Sunday, November 01, 2020
Can Trump Win? US Presidential Election Matrix Forecast Final Update / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Will the November 3rd election earthquake trigger a stock market Tsunami or just a few inconsequential waves lapping on the market shore? Here we stand just a few days away from the US presidential election with the liberal MSM in a state of electoral fever as their preferred candidate is way ahead on the polls looking set to win, just as their favoured candidate Hillary Clinton in 2016 was way head of the polls so unlike 2016 there is an edge to the frenzy of their activity given the awareness that the polls tend to be wrong, skewed against conservative voters and opinions. However, 2020 is even more chaotic than 2016, as this year there is the backdrop of the chinese virus raging across the US and especially in many US swing states that is contributing towards new cases of infection soaring to new plandemic highs with deaths already having broken above 230,000! Near double all of the US lives lost in all of the wars since 194 that acts as a continuing noose around the US economy, though that has so far not been enough to full fill that which the perma stock market doom merchants have been proclaiming for a more than a decade, an end to the stocks bull market.
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Sunday, November 01, 2020
US Housing Market Is In A Full-Fledged Boom / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Stephen_McBride
The US housing market is booming. Last month, the number of Americans buying new houses spiked to a 14-year high. Home prices are growing at their fastest pace since 1991. And US mortgage lenders just recorded their biggest quarter in two decades. Lenders handed out a staggering $1.1 trillion in home loans in the past three months!
I’ve been pounding the table on the US housing market since early 2019. And it’s still one of the best money-making opportunities in the entire stock market today. Not even coronavirus could derail this runaway train.
For example, mortgage applications jumped 50% this year to their highest levels since 2005. In other words, US housing is as strong as it was at the height of the housing bubble.
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Sunday, November 01, 2020
Trump vs Biden -- What Does the Stock Market Say About the Election - Webinar / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
The U.S. presidential election is just days away.
What does the stock market say about who is likely to win? Which party would be better for the stock market and the economy? And how can you anticipate trends in politics, the economy and broader society going forward, regardless of who wins?
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Sunday, November 01, 2020
Here’s Why The Stock Market Doesn’t Care About Next Week’s Election / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Stephen_McBride
We’re just days away from one of the most anticipated elections in history. And I’m afraid millions of investors are going to waste time and money trying to “guess” who’ll win and how it will impact markets.
The truth is, smart investors won’t waste a second worrying about which party will win. In today’s essay, I’ll show you why, and share some of my top stocks to own right now.
I could fill the next five pages with data points about how stocks performed under different presidents. I’ve even read theories saying it’s best to buy stocks on October 1 of the second year of a presidential term and sell on December 31 of the fourth year.
I’ve done all the boring work for you. I’ve studied the data back as far as 1897, and one thing is crystal clear: There isn’t some golden, predictable pattern when it comes to presidents and the stock market.
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Sunday, November 01, 2020
Natural Gas Is on the Rise—And Huge Gains Could Be Lurking in This Dead Sector / Commodities / Natural Gas
By: The_Energy_Report
Independent financial analyst Matt Badiali explains why he expects natural gas to rebound and discusses six potential investments.
The oil price gets all the press. The price of a barrel collapsed during the Covid-19 lock down. Companies went bankrupt in droves. Now, the industry turned to mergers to survive.
Investors fled. The sentiment turned awful. No one cares about oil anymore. The future is electric cars…peak demand is right around the corner.
Right or wrong, the oil industry is deep in a bear market. And that brings opportunity.
For example, one unintended consequence to this collapse is a major decline in natural gas production. According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA) data, we haven't seen this big a drop in natural gas production since 2008.
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Sunday, November 01, 2020
Gold Stocks Continue To Disappoint / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020
By: Kelsey_Williams
Apparently investors don’t tire of hearing the same old thing; and their advisors willingly provide the same questionable advice: “The best way to play this new bull market in gold is to buy gold stocks” or something to that effect. Are gold stocks a better choice than golditself? Let’s find out…
Four years ago, in 2016, I wrote the following:
“This year’s turnaround in gold mining shares had helped to buoy the hopes and dreams of investors who were ‘betting’ that their long, agonizing wait for euphoric, exponential gains is over. They continue to believe that the future for the Gold Mining Industry is quite rosy. Unfortunately, they are probably wrong.” (see Gold Mining Shares Are A Lousy Investment)
Just prior to that article being published, the HUI gold stock index had peaked at almost the 300 mark after tripling in price from the 100 level earlier that year in January.
The rise in share prices of gold stocks outstripped the increase in physical gold prices quite handily. Gold, itself, rose from $1070 to $1370 for a gain of twenty-eight percent. That’s nice, but not nearly so nice as the two-hundred percent gain in gold stocks.
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Saturday, October 31, 2020
Gold Is the Winner of the U.S. Presidential Election / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Frank Holmes, CEO and chief investment officer of U.S. Global Investors, says it doesn't matter if the U.S. sees a Red victory or a Blue victory in the presidential election; gold will be the real winner. In this far-ranging interview with Streetwise Reports, he discusses gold's prospects post-election, inflation, stock market performance, criteria to evaluate mining companies, and companies in U.S. Global funds.
Streetwise Reports: Frank, let's begin with gold. After a substantial rise in the price of the metal earlier this year, which went as high as $2,036 an ounce in early August, it has since been trading sideways, consolidating roughly around the $1,900 mark. What effect do you think the U.S. presidential election will have on the price of gold? Do you see different scenarios based on which candidate wins?
Frank Holmes: Well, you can hit the red button or the blue button, but I'm hitting the gold button, no matter which one it is. You have to sit back and look at macro forces and macro themes to understand gold and the drivers of gold.
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Saturday, October 31, 2020
Gold and Silver Prepare For Another Price Advance / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
As we continue to near the November 3rd election day, Precious Metals have continued to trade within a narrow range suggesting price support is staying strong. It is my belief that potential downside risks for Gold and Silver will be relatively short-lived after the election. We believe the broad market decline witnessed on October 26, 2020, where the Dow Jones fell over 700 points, coupled with the fact Gold and Silver barely budged throughout the selloff, suggests support for Precious Metals has reached a “battle line”.
My research team has highlighted the current support and resistance price levels for both Gold and Silver on the charts below. We believe the initial support levels will hold up well throughout the pending election and that an upside breakout in both Gold and Silver are likely outcomes after the elections. Global traders and investors have already likely hedged their portfolios accordingly to attempt to eliminate risks, yet the fear of what is not known is one of the main drivers of appreciation in Precious Metals.
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Saturday, October 31, 2020
Gold Is Likely to Win This Election / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Trump and Biden debated for the second and last time in this campaign. So, who will win, and why gold is likely to be the biggest winner of them all?President Donald Trump and Democratic challenger Joe Biden met for the second and the last debate before the elections. Thankfully, this time things were less chaotic and with far fewer interruptions and insults. Perhaps Trump has acknowledged that his aggressive behavior was a liability and decided to change his approach – especially since this was his final opportunity to alter the presidential campaign dynamics.
However, it might be too late now. According to both nation-wide and state-by-state polls, and market bets, Biden is still in a significant lead (as the chart below shows). Moreover, because of the postal voting, many votes are already locked in, as a record 47 million Americans have already cast their ballots.
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Saturday, October 31, 2020
Why Trump Can Still Win 2020 Election - Establishment Mainstream Media Wrong Again? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020
By: N_Walayat
Biden is 10 points ahead of Trump in the polls and the mainstream establishment media is once more slapping themselves on the back with have seen off the agent of chaos that was Trump for the past four years, with many so called analysts declaring with a 90%+ probability that Trump cannot win. However, we've literally been here before, here's a reminder of what happened last time Trump was 10 points behind with the mainstream establishment media writing him off.
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Saturday, October 31, 2020
Why Budgies Need their Own Feeders - Parakeets Feeding UK / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets
By: Anika_Walayat
Here's why Budgies need their own feeders. So if your thinking of getting budgies than ensure each has it's own feeder.
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Friday, October 30, 2020
Can Trump Still Win? US Presidential Election Forecast Matrix 2020 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market continues to mark time ahead of the US Presidential election result with much uncertainty surrounding what happens after November 3rd which is the focus of my current analysis and concluding trend forecast due to be posted first to Patrons within the next day or so.
Where the US presidential election is concerned then the last update of my Election Matrix as of 23rd of October continued to suggest...
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Friday, October 30, 2020
Why a Biden Win will Keep Metals Prices Rocking / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: Richard_Mills
Joe Biden’s performance in Thursday night’s presidential debate was solid. The former vice president was combative against Donald Trump and frequently had the billionaire US President on the defensive. Post-debate analysis centered around the question of whether Trump, who is behind in the polls, did enough to convince voters that taking a chance on Biden would not be in their best interests. The consensus was he had not.
At AOTH we want to know what is coming for the world economy, and just as importantly, what is in store for the metals we are invested in. If Biden wins the election, I am extremely bullish on industrial metals and precious metals, in particular gold, silver, copper, zinc, and nickel sulfides.
Why?
The Democrats winning the White House and both Houses of Congress would throw markets into a tizzy, causing investors to clamber for safe havens. Gold is the world’s oldest flight to safety and the logical response to market fear.
Installing a Democrat in the White House would also be good for gold (and silver) because of Biden’s propensity to add to the debt.
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Friday, October 30, 2020
Is Silver the Next Bitcoin? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Peter Krauth compares silver and bitcoin and explains why he believes investors should own both.
At the risk of offending bitcoin or silver investors, I think this is a question worth asking.
I have been researching and following these assets for some time.
In my view, it's not an either-or dilemma. You should simply own both.
I believe silver and bitcoin remain massively undervalued, and that the market fundamentals of both these assets look extremely bullish.
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Friday, October 30, 2020
A New World Monetary Order Is Coming / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
By: MoneyMetals
The global coronavirus pandemic has accelerated several troubling trends already in force. Among them are exponential debt growth, rising dependency on government, and scaled-up central bank interventions into markets and the economy.
Central bankers now appear poised to embark on their biggest power play ever.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, in coordination with the European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund (IMF), is preparing to roll out central bank digital currencies.
The globalist IMF recently called for a new “Bretton Woods Moment” to address the loss of trillions of dollars in global economic output due to the coronavirus.
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Friday, October 30, 2020
Do These Explanations Make Sense for This Intraday Stock Market Turn? / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory
By: EWI
The market "is not propelled by ... external causality"
On Oct. 19, the DJIA had been trading higher for much of the morning, but by the last hour of trading, the index was more than 400 points in the red.
During that last hour of trading, a major financial website offered this explanation (CNBC):
Dow drops more than 400 points as stimulus uncertainty grows and coronavirus cases rise
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Thursday, October 29, 2020
US Presidential Election Forecast Matrix, Stock Market Uncertainty / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market continues to mark time ahead of the US Presidential election result with much uncertainty surrounding what happens after November 3rd which is the focus of my current analysis and concluding trend forecast due to be posted first to Patrons within the next day or so.
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Thursday, October 29, 2020
Stock Market Turning? Look For These Support Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The breakdown in the US stock markets early on Monday, October 26, was more about investor expectations and a transitioning away from risk ahead of the US Elections than any other factor. No new stimulus deal being reached in addition to a surge in US COVID-19 cases recently suggests another contraction in the US economy may not be too far away. Additionally, as news bombs seem to be nearly an hourly event, investors and traders are suddenly much more uncertain of the outcome of the US elections which are nearly 7 days away.
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Thursday, October 29, 2020
Silver: A Conceivable Dead-Cat-Bounce on the Cards / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Silver is not just any industrial metal. Used as money for centuries, much longer than the fiat currencies have been used, with its specific properties that are also widely used in many industries (best conductor of heat and electricity), with crude oil, it is perhaps one of the most versatile commodities.
As far as the white metal is concerned, on September 24 th , we have warned you about the possible temporary rebound.
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Thursday, October 29, 2020
Election May Impact Near-Term Action in Gold & Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
By: MoneyMetals
Metals broke out earlier in the year because there has likely never been so many fundamental reasons to buy gold and silver. We’ve seen economic turmoil, political strife, social unrest, a $3 trillion federal deficit, and a dollar weakened by fiscal and monetary stimulus – all happening at once.
How the markets finish the year will depend on whether these conditions persist.
The near-term bearish scenario for metals would probably have something in common with 2016. Donald Trump wins and investors feel more confident.
They could focus on buying risk assets, and they could be less motivated to buy safe-havens assets.
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