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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Companies

Saturday, September 12, 2015

What Really Mattered at Apple Corps Big Event / Companies / Apple

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Michael A. Robinson writes: After 30-plus years in Silicon Valley, I’ve developed a thick skin.

I need it to keep myself immune from the daily barrage of useless hype that comes out of the Valley’s publicity mills every day.

That’s why I don’t fill your inbox with breathless reports every time Elon Musk burps.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 12, 2015

The US Has Already Tightened — Which Explains A Lot / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: John_Rubino

Next week we’ll find out if the longest-ever will-they-or-won’t-they drama involving a virtually insignificant quarter-point interest rate change will amount to anything. But either way, US monetary policy is already a lot tighter than it was a year ago.

The Fed’s balance sheet, for instance, is a measure of how much new currency it is pumping into the banking system. And it’s up only $79 billion, or 1.8%, in the past year. In real terms, that’s flat to slightly negative.

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Commodities

Saturday, September 12, 2015

Lumber Looking Lousy / Commodities / Lumber

By: Austin_Galt

Lumber is looking pretty lousy at the moment hitting new yearly lows recently. Price has been trading as laid it in previous analysis so let's update the situation using the monthly and weekly charts.

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Economics

Friday, September 11, 2015

China's Market Meltdown: Dangers and Opportunities / Economics / Demographics

By: John_Mauldin

The buzz around Mauldin Economics’ virtual water cooler these days is El Jefe’s new documentary, China on the Edge. The timing for the online release, September 23, is propitious given the media attention to the meltdown of the Chinese market. The list of participants is impressive, and John has spent considerable time over the last few years wrapping his brain around the staggering number of variables at play in the People’s Republic of China.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 11, 2015

QE Forever Continues Unabated / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Sol_Palha

It is a fraud to borrow what we are unable to pay. Publilius Syrus

Corporations are using share buyback programs to manipulate earnings, by reducing the float of outstanding shares.  This ploy was not as ubiquitous before, but today it is being used rather indiscriminately by companies as a way to boost EPS. This modern form of alchemy turns would-be losses into profits or can be utilized to make modest profits appear to be impressive in nature. We are now in the paradigm of lies and deceit.  In these conditions, the truth does not thrive.

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Commodities

Friday, September 11, 2015

Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

In the previous post Steve Saville talks about the “true” fundamentals of gold, i.e. the ones that actually matter as opposed to the ones that make a good story.  In this post, let’s review something that is related but different; gold mining fundamentals.

While we (NFTRH) have been noting gold’s negative fundamentals for years (especially the status of the yield curve and a thus far ironclad confidence in the Federal Reserve and indeed, relative confidence in global central banks), gold mining sector fundamentals have been on an up-swing.  Gold’s fundamentals are generally what we have been calling macro fundamentals and the things that matter to mining operations are sector fundamentals.

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Commodities

Friday, September 11, 2015

Silver’s Vexing Slumber / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

Silver has had a rough year, slumping to major new secular lows.  After sliding on balance for years now, even the diehard silver bulls are losing faith in their metal.  But despite its vexing slumber, silver’s price-appreciation potential from today’s levels remains enormous.  Between radical underinvestment and very-high speculator silver-futures shorting, silver is poised to see massive buying as gold recovers.

Silver has proven very disappointing in 2015.  Late last year, it was battered down near $15.50 as gold plunged into the $1140s on extreme futures shorting.  That looked to be a decisive low, as silver spent the next 8 months forming a strong technical base around $16.  But unfortunately in early July, silver fell to new lows near $15 as gold was crushed by an epic futures-shorting attack.  Silver was collateral damage.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 11, 2015

Pay Your Fair Share (to the Teachers’ Union) / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

Taxpayers take note…you could get a much bigger tax bill than you expect.

The California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS) recently announced that it may move 12% of its assets, or $20 billion, out of stocks and bonds.

CalSTRS is the second-largest public pension fund in the U.S. It manages roughly $191 billion for 868,000 teachers in California.

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Politics

Friday, September 11, 2015

After the Greek Debt Crisis, Euro Elites Dream of a Unified Euro State / Politics / European Union

By: MISES

Ryan W. McMaken writes: [E]urozone officials shot down any prospect of a quick resumption of talks, even though finance ministers were planning to meet during the week to discuss the fallout from the vote. German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande immediately scheduled a bilateral meeting.

“Tsipras and his government are leading the Greek people on a path of bitter abandonment and hopelessness,” Germany’s Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel told the Tagesspiegel daily. He said negotiations with Athens now were “barely conceivable.”

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Politics

Friday, September 11, 2015

Here's Everything Wrong with Jeb Bush's Tax Reform Plan / Politics / Taxes

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: Like much of his campaign, Jeb Bush's tax reform plan is "weak tea."

Bush proposes to reduce tax rates, which is a good thing. But he just doesn't go far enough.

Rather than a bold program to radically reshape the unproductive U.S. tax code, Bush does not go far enough to rewrite the DNA of the U.S. economy.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 11, 2015

Bloomberg Interest Rate Hike Odds Still Wrong; Deflationary Bust Coming / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Bloomberg

As of September 10, the CME has the of a September hike by the Fed at 24%. Bloomberg says the probability of a move is 28%.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 11, 2015

Stock Market Brace Yourself! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Puru_Saxena

BIG PICTURE - Last month, the multi-month trading range on Wall Street ended with an abrupt break to the downside and once key support levels were violated, we witnessed an epic swoon! Thereafter, due to direct stock buying by the Chinese policymakers, the stock markets stabilised somewhat and we got a sharp relief rally.

As things stand today, we have already had the initial plunge from the multi-month distribution pattern and after the bounce; the S&P500 Index is now trading just beneath an area of overhead resistance (Figure 1). Going forwards, we are of the view that the bellwether index will struggle to get past the two zones of overhead resistance depicted on the chart. Even if it does surpass those levels, the now declining 200-day moving average (red line on chart) should keep the festivities in check.

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Commodities

Friday, September 11, 2015

Gold And Silver - Markets, People Never Change / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

The events unfolding around the world, or perhaps better expressed, events unraveling at such a rapid and confusing pace can only be a prelude for the disastrous consequences that inevitably will follow. While it may be hard to reconcile, all of this has been orchestrated by the global elites who fully intend to create as much havoc and destruction as possible, the Problem. They then monitor the Reaction, now around the world and not just confined to specific countries and regions, and what everyone is seeing is chaos, but it is an intended chaos that will lead to a Globalist's Solution.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 11, 2015

The Stocks Bear Makes a Welcome Return / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Clif_Droke

The S&P 500 Index had its worst August since 2001, while the Dow’s 6.6 percent drop was its biggest since declining 15 percent in August 1998.  Most investors consider the September-October period to be the witching months for equities, but the past month was a painful reminder to many of them just how bad August can sometimes be. 

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 11, 2015

Stock Market Rebounds from Crash Low Amidst Extreme Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very volatile, difficult day today. The day started out with a move up. They continued upward in a 5-wave advance until early afternoon when they spiked. At that point, they completed the 5-wave advance near resistance, and then pulled back in a 5-wave decline, only to snapback into the close and finish with a positive day.

It was a tough session to trade stocks today.

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Politics

Friday, September 11, 2015

The Fourth Turning: Crisis of Trust / Politics / Social Issues

By: James_Quinn

"Imagine some national (and probably global) volcanic eruption, initially flowing along channels of distress that were created during the Unraveling era and further widened by the catalyst. Trying to foresee where the eruption will go once it bursts free of the channels is like trying to predict the exact fault line of an earthquake. All you know in advance is something about the molten ingredients of the climax, which could include the following:

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 11, 2015

Stock Market Volatility Drops Ahead of Q4 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Donald_W_Dony

Following the September 2, 2015 Market Minute titled "Likely bottom for the S&P 500", the key volatility indexes continue to crest ahead of the bullish Q4 period.

The volatility indexes for the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ all appear to have peaked over the last week.

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InvestorEducation

Friday, September 11, 2015

Stock Market Forecasts: Why You Should Consider Technical Analysis / InvestorEducation / Technical Analysis

By: EWI


Technical versus fundamental analysis? The winner is...

Technical versus fundamental analysis: Which approach yields better investment results?

A new study by three finance professors offers an answer.

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InvestorEducation

Friday, September 11, 2015

Decision Theory - The Certainty Equivalent / InvestorEducation / Learning to Invest

By: John_Mauldin

By Jared Dillian

One of my students met me in my office the other day. He is a ROTC cadet; that’s Reserve Officer Training Corps, in case you don’t know.

He knows I have military experience, and he wanted to pick my brain about how he could use his MBA while working for the government.

“Uh, you can’t, really,” I said.

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Commodities

Friday, September 11, 2015

Gold Price Slides Again as Expected / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion, short (full) speculative positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward point of view.

Gold, silver and mining stocks declined once again yesterday, but this was not surprising to those who followed our analysis. We moved to the short side many days ago and the profits have just increased. Will they increase even more?

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