Thursday, May 05, 2016
US 2016 Election Is a Global Risk / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Dan_Steinbock
As America is struggling amid a historical protest election, the political risk could undermine US economic rebound and the lingering global economic recovery. Europe will be least immune to spillovers, says Dan Steinbock.Currently, the leading Democratic presidential candidates, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, are approaching the final showdown. Concurrently, the Republican establishment – including Senate’s majority leader Mitch McConnell and House Speaker Paul Ryan– is struggling to undermine the real estate mogul Donald Trump’s campaign by promoting Senator Ted Cruz, Governor Kasich and less-known ‘dark horses.’
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Investing After the Global Commodities Super-Cycle / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Dan_Steinbock
While cyclical challenges remain tough in global commodities, structural realities look more tolerable.According to conventional wisdom, the challenges of global commodities can be attributed to China’s slowdown and poor growth prospects. Advanced economies are not immune. In the US, just two commodity-related sectors – oil and gas, as well as metals and steel – accounted for more than half of the defaults in 2015.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 05, 2016
The Next 2008 Style Financial Crisis Event Is Lurching Towards Us / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Graham_Summers
As we noted yesterday, the ECB cannot and will not be able to generate GDP growth or inflation.
The EU is simply too leveraged. You cannot have an entire region sporting a Debt to GDP of over 90%… with banks leveraged at 26 to 1 using sovereign debt as collateral on their derivatives trades, and “fix it” using NIRP or QE.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 05, 2016
A Few Facts About Gold That Nay-Sayers Conveniently Ignore / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Graham_Summers
We continue to see articles by so called “experts” trashing Gold and Silver as investments. Gold is everything from a “Pet Rock” to a “Dumb Investment” or “Barbarous Relic.”
Do these people even bother doing research? Or are they just stock shills?
First and foremost, you cannot compare Gold’s performance relative to stocks anywhere before 1967.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Stock Market Holding On By A Thread... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The Nasdaq has long ago broken down below all key, exponential moving averages. Bad action there, but this has been an S&P 500 bull market for the most part the last year plus. The Nasdaq has been performing poorly due to those higher beta, higher P/E stocks the big money wants nothing to do with. Priceline Inc. (PCLN) was down 100+ today on their earnings report. No mercy anywhere if you have higher P/E stocks. The big boys and girls want lower beta. They want lower P/E and they want lower risk.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Donald Trump - Make America Great Again / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Peter_Schiff
Donald Trump's critics have heaped scorn on his calls for protective tariffs to deal with America's widening trade imbalance and the resulting loss of higher-paying blue color jobs. Some have accused him of trying to turn back the clock in pursuit of a cheap populist ploy and have said that he simply refuses to acknowledge that America is now an information and service economy for which large trade deficits are the new normal. But voters are sensing that The Donald is right to sound alarm bells, and that something radical needs to be done to revive manufacturing to make America great again. But his tariff solution is hardly the best medicine. To be honest, given the even worse solutions that are being offered by the left, Trump's instincts may be preferable.
Thursday, May 05, 2016
Walkers Crisps Spell & Go - Letters K, C and D Swaps Special to Win Holidays / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps
By: Sami_Walayat
This is a special letters K,C and D update for the Walkers Crisps Spell and Go 20,000 Free Holidays promotion. By now like us after having entered many codes and collected lots of letters you will be realising that the letters K, C and D are just not being randomly given but for reasons explained in this video are either being released in very few numbers or even being completely with-held -
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Dow Stocks Bull Not Ready to Crash Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Sol_Palha
Have patience. All things are difficult before they become easy.
SaadiOkay, okay, we have heard it before; this market should crash, everything is fake, etc. We are as we have spoken many times over the past two years in a new paradigm. Reality is being recreated; this entire economic recovery is a hoax but despite this, the markets have soared higher. What gives? If you manipulate the data, you can control the outcome, and that’s what has been done throughout this so-called economic recovery phase. Hence, there is no point in looking at the markets through old lenses, because the playing field has changed. The only thing you can focus on now is price and market psychology.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Stocks may "cut loose" after supports are passed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX took all morning to successfully decline through the 4.5-year trendline and retest it. There are two probable paths it may take from here. First, it may complete an impulse at the 50-day Moving Average at 2037.73 and retest the trendline again. Or it may break the 50-day support and 2-hour cycle Bottom at 2026.17 while continuing its decline, as the Wave structure in the chart implies.
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Save the Environment and Your Retirement: Sell Tesla / Companies / US Auto's
By: Michael_Pento
The stock price of Tesla Motors (TSLA) has soared along with the recent announcement that pre-orders (i.e. a fully-refundable $1k deposit) for its Model 3 are approaching 400,000 units. The Model 3 is purported to sell eventually for an estimated $35,000; and is Silicon Valley's inexpensive electric vehicle (EV) offering that appears to be affordable for everyone; except Tesla that is.
After all, Tesla loses more than $4,000 on each of its high-end Model S electric sedans; and that model's cost is between $70 and $108k. With margins like that one has to assume a $35k Model 3 can't be the answer to solving Tesla's red ink.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Fear Not Gold Bugs, Gold Ratios Well Intact / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Gary_Tanashian
What has been going on since mid-February is a burst of the ‘inflation trade’ as evidenced by silver’s leadership in the precious metals sector. This opened the barn door for all kinds of inflated animals to flee into the light of day, and for commodity and inflation boosters to do their thing. As often happens with silver, things were pushed to and even through their limits. Silver went up, oil went up, base metals went up and stocks went up.
But what we should do is retire back to some of the things that actually indicated bullish for the gold sector well before the mini hysteria (and market relief) cropped up. A pullback/correction in gold stocks would be an opportunity.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Watching for an Undercut Bottom in the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Gary_Savage
Undercut bottom in the dollar coming next? Maybe.
Currencies are tricky SOB’s. Be aware we may still get one more drop to form an undercut low and catch shorts on the wrong side of the market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Silver Bullion Has Key New Player – China Replaces JP Morgan / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
The silver bullion market has a key new player – Enter the Dragon. The Shanghai Futures Exchange in China is replacing JP Morgan bank and its clients as the most significant new source of demand according to a very interesting blog with some great charts and tables published by SRSrocco Report yesterday.
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Barclays Launches 100% Mortgage to Compete with Bank of Mum and Dad - Video / Housing-Market / Mortgages
By: Mario_Innecco
Transcript Excerpt: hi it's out Wednesday's the 4th of May 2016 I'll be talking about Barclays Bank
here in the UK they've just launched the first hundred percent mortgage since the
2008 crisis if you remember well Northern Rock collapse because you know
their lending recklessly so now Barclays Bank is doing the same thing I do have
to say though that it's not surely a hundred percent because it's also called
a guarantor mortgage which basically means that the parents of the young
couple or young person taking on that mortgage they put down 5% the mortgage
in an account with Barclays for three years to guarantee that mortgage and you
know and and the border wars they keep paying the interest and the guarantor
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
War, Debt, Default and Socialism - Just Another Day In America / Politics / US Politics
By: Jeff_Berwick
I've accepted that there are evil forces in this world that will do what they can to destroy you and your family in order to build globalism. From the Brussels bombings to the Panama Papers to the ongoing Syrian massacres and turmoil in the Middle East and the refugee crises, it is all planned out.
People have a hard time with that insight. It's very difficult to live with the idea that the top controllers of Western society are actively trying to kill you or at least destroy the society you live in.
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Tracker Mortgage Rates Start to Rise as Demand Falls / Housing-Market / Mortgages
By: MoneyFacts
The Bank of England base rate has now been on hold at 0.50% for seven years, so it would be fair to assume that variable rate tracker mortgages have also remained static. However, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that this is not the case, with the average two-year tracker mortgage rate increasing by 0.06% since November 2015.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Why China Is Really Dictating the Oil Supply Glut / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
Ship tracking data from Bloomberg shows that 83 supertankers carrying around 166 million barrels of oil are headed to China, which has stockpiled an impressive 787,000 barrels a day in the first quarter of 2016—the highest stockpiling rate since 2014.
While the world was speculating about oil prices plunging to $20 and $10 per barrel, China was busy stockpiling its reserves.
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Gold Stock Picks Up Over 400%, What's Next ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
By: The_Gold_Report
A battle royale is brewing between gold bulls and commercial traders who are short gold, says Brien Lundin, publisher of Gold Newsletter. That tug of war, which should play out in the coming weeks, could result in either a severe correction or a spectacular rise in the price of gold and silver. No matter which way it goes, in this interview with The Gold Report, Lundin recommends that investors continue to look at companies with world-class resources that are still being priced at a fraction of what their values should be. Lundin should know; some of his recommendations are up more than 400% from December and January.
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
U.S. Treasury Secretary Jack Lew: Puerto Rico Needs Urgent Action / Politics / US Politics
By: Bloomberg
U.S. Treasury Secretary Jack Lew discusses Puerto Rico's debt crisis and corporate inversion deals in an exclusive interview with Bloomberg's Erik Schatzker at the Milken Institute Global Conference.
Lew on the need for urgent action in Puerto Rico: "Puerto Rico doesn't have decades. Puerto Rico has a crisis today. Right now, today in Puerto Rico, you have hospitals that have laid off hundreds of workers, closed beds, closed wings. You have a Zika problem developing without the funds to come in and prevent the disease from spreading. You have schools that are closing. You have broad economic stress that's leading people to leave the island. Almost 100,000 people left Puerto Rico last year. Let's just be clear, there's three and a half million American citizens, many veterans -- American citizens living in Puerto Rico. If Puerto Rico doesn't have a solution, that's three and a half million Americans who are plunged into chaos. That's why the need for action is so urgent."
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 04, 2016
Interest Rates: Ten-year US Treasury / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Ed_Carlson
TNX (the yield on the 10 year, US Treasury note) fell 3.65% to close at 18.19 on the 30-dma last week. Look for a bounce with equities early this week but don’t expect it to be sustained as the daily Coppock is still high enough to expect a top, not a bottom. Resistance is near 20.00. Look for support at Friday’s close. A break of this level opens the door for a return to the April low near 17.00.
Read full article... Read full article...