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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Commodities

Monday, June 20, 2016

The Dow/Silver Ratio Signals All-Time High Silver Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

I have written extensively about the relationship between the Dow and silver prices. One of the points I have emphasized, is the fact that Dow peaks are often followed by silver rallies.

Given the above, its natural that the Dow/Silver ratio is also an important indicator for future silver prices. One example of this, I deal with in my silver fractal analysis report:

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, June 19, 2016

Brexit Fear-Mongering / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Stephen_Lendman

The European Union is fundamentally undemocratic, a flawed system, a sinking ship, a CIA creation. 

Paul Craig Roberts explained, citing Ambrose Evans-Pritchard’s September 2000 article, saying:

“DECLASSIFIED American government documents show that the US intelligence community ran a campaign in the Fifties and Sixties to build momentum for a united Europe.”

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ElectionOracle

Sunday, June 19, 2016

Reason Brexit Debate Has Gotten So Out of Hand is Nobody Understands What it’s About / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum

By: Raul_I_Meijer

The Brexit campaigns have started anew in the UK, and from what I’ve seen here from left field barely a thing has changed since the murder of MP Jo Cox. Neither side has any qualms about using her death to make their respective points. The main, and perhaps only real, point is that nobody understands what the vote is about. Jo Cox, bless her soul, didn’t either.

This lack of understanding is also, at the same time, the reason why the debate has gotten so out of hand. Nobody seems to understand it’s not about Cameron or Nigel Farage, or Michael Gove vs Boris Johnson, it’s about voting for or against the EU, for or against Juncker and Tusk and five other unelected presidents having a say in one’s life.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 19, 2016

Silver Sleeping On the Job / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Richard_Mills

In the time of the ancient Babylonians - long before the periodic table - there were seven sacred metals: gold, silver, copper, iron, tin, lead and mercury.

In Roman and Greek Mythology, the First Age was called Golden, the Second Age Silver. Apollo, the god of truth and light, and teacher of medicine, carried a silver bow.

The hieroglyph of  Isis (Egyptian moon goddess) is a crescent and images of her are usually reproduced with her standing on the Crescent. This has also become the symbol for silver – on old maps a crescent shows the location of a silver mine.

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InvestorEducation

Sunday, June 19, 2016

Trading Markets - When Is A Candle Not A Candle? / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: Chris_Drinkwater

When it's a bar?  When it's a line drawing?   Mountain?   A candle is never a candle, it is a representation of a group of people buying and  selling.   Further to that, you could say it is a representation of thousands of people's hopes and dreams as they try to make this thing called trading work for them.

It seems so obvious when you write it down like this but I don't think the average trader gives it a moment's thought.  A candle to them is one in a series that makes a pattern that will ultimately lead them to a buying or selling decision.  Ignore the truth of what the candle represents at your peril.

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Politics

Sunday, June 19, 2016

Donald Trump vs The First Amendment / Politics / US Politics

By: Walter_Brasch

If Donald Trump should become president, don’t expect his administration to be a transparent one or one that tolerates dissent and believes in the First Amendment.

At his campaign rallies, even those held at public venues, he forbids, according to his press advisories, “homemade signs, banners, professional cameras with a detachable lens, tripods, monopods, selfie sticks, back packs or large bags.”

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InvestorEducation

Saturday, June 18, 2016

How Elliott Waves Tell You When to "Jump In" & When to "Jump Out" of Markets / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Our senior instructor tells you how he analyzes real price charts to spot trade opportunities

Jeffrey Kennedy, the editor of our Trader's Classroom service, talks about some of the easy techniques to help you spot high-confidence trade opportunities.

Take a listen -- and see if you can adapt his methods.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 18, 2016

Stock Market Inflection Point During Bifurcation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2096. After hitting SPX 2098 in the first hour of trading on Monday the market dropped to 2064 by Tuesday. A rally followed into Wednesday on the FOMC meeting, and the market hit SPX 2086 minutes after the FOMC statement. Then the market pulled back again, gapped down to open Thursday, and hit SPX 2050 before rallying to 2080 into the close. Friday saw a lower open as the market dropped to SPX 2063, then bounced to close the week at 2071. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.05%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.90%. Economic reports for the week were again mostly positive. On the downtick: industrial production, capacity utilization, housing starts and weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: the NY/Philly FED, the NAHB, building permits, the Q2 GDP est., export/import prices, retail sales, business inventories, and the CPI/PPI. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by FED chair Yellen’s semiannual economic report to Congress, Durable goods orders and more Housing reports.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 18, 2016

Gold And Silver – Insanity Is World “Norm.” Keep Stacking! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

We know of no discernible line where stupid begins; for sure, it does not end. There are two primary reasons for the never-ending goal of buying and holding physical gold and silver:

1. Both are the only valid form of money. Yeah, yeah, anyone can argue sea shells, livestock, whale’s teeth, barter, any form of paper, etc, etc, etc, but none of them will fly now or even in the last century. When all is said and done, throughout the history of
mankind, gold and silver rule.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 18, 2016

Nasdaq Underperforming Again....Brexit Is Next Up... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The most interesting thing to take away from the past two years of going nowhere has been the continued, under-performance of those tech stocks everyone loves to own. For the most, and there have been small periods of exceptions, the Nasdaq has been the place big money doesn't want to go very often. The focus has been on safety plays. Lower risk plays with lower P/E's. Lower valuations over risk simply, because valuations are so out of line with reality. Tech stocks have those higher valuations, and quite often those higher valuations have led to some nasty blood baths.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 18, 2016

Gold Stocks - Bull Markets that Follow Epic Bears / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The gold mining stocks continue to defy any bearish price action or perceived bearish development. Pundits first warned because of the “bearish” CoT data. The commercials are always right and a big decline is coming! Then we heard the miners were too overbought and would have to correct 20%. (I thought this once or twice!) Next we heard Gold was forming a head and shoulders top. Conventional analysis is failing in trying to predict or even explain what is happening and why. A look at history helps explain why the gold mining sector has remained extremely strong and almost immune to any sustained correction. Simply put, history shows that epic bears give birth to bull markets that in their first year do not experience any significant correction or retracement.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 17, 2016

Stock Market On the Brink? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX made an impulse down and may be finishing the retracement as I write. Instead of the 50-day acting as resistance we now have the mid-Cycle resistance at 2076.32 in its place. Stock options “mature” at 3:00 pm, so there may be a let-down into the close.

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Commodities

Friday, June 17, 2016

The Fed Giveth and the Gold Bullion Banks Taketh Away… / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Precious metal expert Michael Ballanger breaks down the gold price roller coaster surrounding the Fed's decision not to raise interest rates.

Janet Yellen just blew all remaining semblances of credibility believed to be still present at the U.S. Federal Reserve Board.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 17, 2016

Brexit: "The Vote Heard Around the World" / Stock-Markets / EU_Referendum

By: EWI

Our new free report gives you our well-researched opinion on Brexit -- and the markets

The campaign for the June 23 referendum on whether or not Britain should remain a member of the European Union has just hit a horrific milestone. CNBC reports that,

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Commodities

Friday, June 17, 2016

Gold Stocks Summer Breakout? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

The red-hot gold stocks surged again this week in an apparent early-summer breakout.  This strong buying is defying their seasonally-weak odds this time of year.  Investors are flocking back to the miners as gold powers higher on also-counter-seasonal strong investment buying.  Such unprecedented gold-stock strength in early June highlights how undervalued the miners remain relative to gold, but is suspect.

Summers are usually lackluster times for gold, and thus silver and their miners’ stocks.  These summer doldrums exist for a couple reasons.  Gold simply enjoys no recurring demand spikes driven by cultural or income-cycle factors in June and July unlike during most of the rest of the year.  It’s before the Asian-harvest, Indian-wedding-season, and Christmas gold buying that flares up like clockwork in second halves.

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Companies

Friday, June 17, 2016

Stock Investors Get Higher Returns and More Dividend Income - In Less Time With Less Risk / Companies / Dividends

By: Charles_Carnevale

Investing in blue-chip dividend growth stocks such as the Dividend Aristocrats or Champions has become very popular with retirees.  This is understandable considering the low interest rate environment we find ourselves in.  Traditional fixed income investments do not currently offer enough yield for the retired investor to live on.  Consequently, current low interest rates, coupled with the possibility of a steadily increasing level of dividend income have made dividend growth stocks a viable and even attractive alternative.

When choosing the appropriate dividend growth stock, many dividend growth investors will rightfully focus on the company’s dividend record and dividend growth more than they will its price history.  However, this can be a detrimental practice if the investor ignores valuation.  Unfortunately, this is not an uncommon practice.  There are many dividend growth investors who will invest in a blue-chip Dividend Aristocrat even when it is overvalued at the time.  Many of these investors argue that since the dividend is what is of paramount importance, being out of a blue-chip will cause them to generate less dividend income.  To these investors, a dividend missed is a dividend lost.

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Commodities

Friday, June 17, 2016

Silver Wildcats - And The Day Futures Died - Part 1 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

From Legends to Bankers


Yes, there has always been price manipulation.

There will always be price manipulation.

From the time of Caesar, through the American Civil War and into the 20th and 21st centuries.

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Commodities

Friday, June 17, 2016

How to Use the Gold-to-Silver Ratio? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

We have debunked the myth that gold-to-silver ratio should revert to its “true” level around 16. The predominant range for the ratio in modern times is rather well between 40 and 80. Moreover, the notion that the gold-to-silver ratio should revert to some historical average makes no sense. The relative valuation between these two precious metals depends on market forces, like the health of the world economy and monetary demand for both metals, or industrial demand for silver. Such factors change over time. For example, gold has nowadays much higher monetary demand compared to silver than in the past, which largely explains why the average ratio in the 21st century was on average higher than earlier.

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Commodities

Friday, June 17, 2016

Inflation, Deflation & Associated Trading Prospects / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Gary_Tanashian

Recently I have gotten wordy about the decline in ‘inflation expectations’ beginning on June 2, right on through yesterday’s update of the TIP-TLT ratio and TLT in essence, attaining their targets.  The implication would be that the mini deflation whiff is coming to its limits.

As often happens at potential limit points, the market’s crosscurrents are strong.  As noted yesterday, USD, gold, silver and the gold miners all did in-day reversals as items that had been risk ‘off’ got hammered.  ‘What, USD and gold in lockstep?  What is the meaning of this?!?’ think inflationists. See yesterday’s in-day post Strange Bedfellows.

The meaning is that these items, along with the VIX and US Treasury bonds have been plays for a risk ‘off’ market as it got the jitters over deflation.  Gold miners had been, however fleetingly, rising in line with their counter-cyclical fundamentals and this is the mirror image to the reasons why I so often parrot that if you are a gold miner bull, realize that fundamentally at least, the sector is done no favors in an inflationary backdrop (price, for long stretches of time, can be something else all together).

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 17, 2016

Overnight Markets Struggling to Stay Flat / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket is struggling to stay near yesterday’s closing price for the close of index options at the open this morning. Today is Quadruple Witching day, which has the probability of being very volatile.

ZeroHedge writes, “Traders are still stunned by the dramatic move in risk assets during yesterday's US session. As a reminder, at the lows for the day in the mid-morning Eastern Time, we saw the DAX at -1.81%, FTSE -1.13%, S&P500 -1.03%, US 10y yield 1.516% (lowest since August 2012) and GBPUSD 1.401. By the various closes these rallied to -0.59%, -0.27%, +0.31%, 1.580% and 1.420 respectively!

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