Tuesday, June 28, 2016
BREXIT “Yes”, Now What for Stocks and Gold? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
I was one of the few last week who said the stock market would fall on Friday. It has also fallen farther than even I expected. So what’s next? The chart below shows a counter trend rally likely on Tuesday, perhaps back to 2049/50 SPX and then one more drop into June 30 to around 1926/27, for about a 9% total decline.
The whole pattern is bullish, once resolved. So now, when everyone is getting bearish, I’m starting to get bullish, but like I said, not just yet. I still see new highs by early Autumn of 2016 and then a late Fall decline of about 22%.
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Tuesday, June 28, 2016
Brexit’s Big Loser? Japan / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: John_Rubino
One of the first results of Britain’s voting to leave the European Union was a sharply lower pound. Which means the UK is now winning the currency war. Henceforth its exports will be cheaper around the world, enabling its major companies to sell more stuff, make more money and hire more people. Inflation will pop, lessening the burden of government and consumer debts, and — other things being equal — growth will be faster.
Monday, June 27, 2016
British Pound BrExit Crash Wins Britain Currency War! / Currencies / British Pound
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The mainstream press is in a state of hysteria, panic even following the plunge in the British Pound from a Thursday night high of £/$1.50 to currently stand at £/$ 1.32. Whilst yes the 12% downwards plunge from £/$1.50 is in forex markets terms HUGE, a move not seen the likes of for many decades that takes the dollar exchange rate down to levels last seen in 1985. Nevertheless the mainstream press has missed one fundamental fact for the obvious reason that they just DO NOT understand the financial markets and what the market movements actually mean or translate into.
Monday, June 27, 2016
Greenspan Calls Brexit a ‘Terrible Outcome’ as Euro Area Tested / Stock-Markets / EU_Referendum
By: Bloomberg
- Former Fed chair has no sympathy for view U.K. better alone
- Scotland, N. Ireland may now choose independence from Britain
By Victoria Stilwell and Lisa Du
(Bloomberg) -- U.K. policy makers miscalculated and made a “terrible mistake” in holding a referendum on whether to quit the European Union, in which voters opted to leave the bloc, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said.
That decision led to a “terrible outcome in all respects,” Greenspan said in an interview with Bloomberg Surveillance on Monday in Washington. “It didn’t have to happen.”
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Monday, June 27, 2016
After 'Brexit,' Can the United States Exit a Few Things Too? / Politics / US Politics
By: Dr_Ron_Paul
Last week's UK vote to leave the EU may have come as a shock to many, but the sentiment that led British voters to reject rule from Brussels is nothing unique. In fact it is growing sentiment worldwide. Frustration with politics as usual, with political parties that really do not differ in philosophy, with an economy that serves the one percent at the expense of the rest of society is a growing phenomenon throughout Europe and in the United States as well. The Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump phenomena are but one example of a frustrated public sensing something is very wrong with society and looking for a way out.
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Monday, June 27, 2016
Gold Surges 20% In GBP In 2 Days On Brexit Fallout / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Gold has surged over 20% in sterling terms in the last two trading days due to the fallout of the UK’s monumental decision to leave the European Union. Gold has extended the biggest price gains since 2008 as market turmoil and sharp falls in stocks globally and especially bank stocks led to safe haven demand for bullion coins and bars, especially in the UK and Ireland.
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Monday, June 27, 2016
Stock Market SPX Below Mid-Cycle Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket fell beneath mid-Cycle support/resistance this morning at 2026.59. As I write, it has bounced to retest the resistance. It appears likely that it may hold.
ZeroHedge reports, “US equity futures are tumbling at the open following Cable and USDJPY's dive. Dow futures dropped 100 points (down 900 points from pre-Brexit highs) and broke below Friday's early crash lows...”
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Monday, June 27, 2016
Gold-to-Platinum Ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The gold-to-silver ratio is the most popular ratio among the precious metals. However, we can also link gold prices to platinum prices. Mathematically, the gold-to-platinum ratio is the price of gold divided by the price of platinum. It describes how many ounces of platinum are needed to purchase one ounce of gold, indicating the relative strength of gold prices compared to platinum prices. The indicator works just as the gold-to-silver ratio, so we will not explain its mechanics, but move straight to analysis of the long-term trends in the ratio. Let’s examine thoroughly the chart below, which presents the number of platinum ounces it took to buy a single ounce of gold since 1975 (we use futures prices, as data series of London fix for platinum is available only from 1990).
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Monday, June 27, 2016
If We Don’t Do Anything, Obesity Will Bankrupt the US Economy / Economics / US Economy
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK COX: A recent study reported that 40% of American women are now obese; the highest percentage in history. Men have a slightly lower rate of obesity at 35%.
This is not the world that Malthusians like Paul Ehrlich and John Holdren (President Obama’s science advisor) predicted a few decades ago. By now, we were supposed to have run out of resources due to overpopulation and starved to death…
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Monday, June 27, 2016
Major Debt and Dow Collapse Will Set Ideal Conditions For Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Hubert_Moolman
The current silver bull market is similar to the bull market of the 70s in many ways. Despite the similarities, silver will ultimately perform much better than during the 70s.One of the big reasons for this is the fact that debt levels are so much higher today, than during the 70s. Not only are debt levels higher on an absolute basis, but also on a relative basis. For example, Total Us Debt as a Percentage of GDP is about 360% today, whereas, in the 70s it was around 150%.
Monday, June 27, 2016
Stock Market: Thirteen Months Down, And Now... Brexit / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Steve_Selengut
I prepared this article on the 13th month anniversary of the last S & P 500 all time high... the market has been down for over a year, but MCIM portfolios continue to grow in both working capital and realized base income. Income CEFs continue to rally.
I'm confident, regardless of where "Brexit" takes us in the financial markets, that the scenario Friday, and any continued downturn, will prove to be yet another investment opportunity that we will be able to take advantage of.
Monday, June 27, 2016
More Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Stocks Extend Their Two-Month Long Consolidation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, June 27, 2016
UK Mortgage Cashback Deals in Decline / Housing-Market / Mortgages
By: MoneyFacts
Cash rebates were once a great way for providers to stand out in the highly competitive mortgage market. However, research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that these deals have begun to fall from favour, resulting in the number of available deals dropping by a staggering 280 in just one year.
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Monday, June 27, 2016
Best Holidays for Summer 2016 / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays
By: ....
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Monday, June 27, 2016
Another Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: A lengthy correction is most likely underway!
SPX Intermediate trend: Brexit has most likely initiated a decline of intermediate nature.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, June 26, 2016
BBC EU Referendum Result Highlights - YouGov, Markets, Bookmakers, Pollsters ALL WRONG! / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Here are the key highlights I have picked form 8 hours of BBC coverage of the EU Referendum count that started shortly after 10pm as YouGov's poll effectively gave the referendum to REMAIN on 52% against LEAVE on 48% which even prompted Nigel Farage to effectively concede defeat at around 10.15pm, sending sterling soaring to its highest level against the dollar for 2016, and also triggering a sharp FTSE stock futures rally, which I will cover in-depth in an accompanying video on trading sterling and FTSE during brexit, until then here are the highlights of what happened after the polls closed on Thursday 23rd of June.
Sunday, June 26, 2016
Investors Map Post-Brexit Strategies Amid Global Market Upheaval / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Bloomberg
Pulling data and information from around the globe, this is a nice round up story from Bloomberg about how Credit Suisse Group AG, Morgan Stanley, Charles Schwab & Co, Deutsche Bank AG and others are starting to map post-Brexit strategies around stocks, currencies, bonds, emerging markets, corporate debt.
- Flummoxed investors seek havens, bargains in uncharted waters
- History suggests more losses, months before a full recovery
Sunday, June 26, 2016
Gold Price Weekly COT Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dan_Norcini
We received a batch of astounding numbers in this weeks’ COT report for not only silver, but also for gold.
Guess what? Hedge funds are at a new all-time high on the long side exposure of gold.
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Sunday, June 26, 2016
Brexit: Anti-Neoliberal Rebellion / Politics / EU_Referendum
By: Stephen_Lendman
Sunday, June 26, 2016
Brexit Contagion? / Politics / European Union
By: Stephen_Lendman