Monday, August 08, 2016

Beware the False Stock Market Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Beware of a false breakout early week. This is how big money gets out of a position. They create a breakout and then sell to the clueless retail traders that buy the breakout. Buying breakouts rarely works in modern markets.

Monday, August 08, 2016

Gold Counter Cyclical? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

The title of this segment is actually the subject line of an email sent by subscriber ‘RK’ on Friday, after the post-Payrolls update that included the following statement that RK questioned. From the update…

“Gold is getting clobbered as it should. Let’s please keep it real, because a lot of gold bugs are not going to. The case for gold, silver and commodities rests on an inflationary phase, which strong jobs and wages would indicate out ahead. But for now, the hit to the precious metals is logical.”

Monday, August 08, 2016

Stock Market Headed for 10% Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

All the cycles that I follow are topping for the stock market. In fact, ideally, the SPX should top on Monday 8/8 near 2189. I believe we see 1972 by September 1.

The week ahead should see weakness after initial strength. A rally on Thursday should be the “b” wave of an a-b-c type drop into Friday. The expected large drop on Friday could be a monetary issue as Venus squares Saturn on the 13th as Saturn turns stationary/direct. Venus rules money. Saturn also conjuncts the moon Friday (the moon in Sagittarius is often times the low of the cycle); is also an 8 TD low from the 5 week low last week on August 2.

Monday, August 08, 2016

Nasdaq Composite Cup With Handle / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

I expect we will have new highs in Dow Jones, S&P 500, and the Nasdaq by next week. This is actually a better set-up to short but does not mean this trio will all make new highs next week.

The chart below is of the Comp., with a cup and handle chart pattern.  You may have to use a little imagination, but it is there.

Monday, August 08, 2016

New Stock Market Top Forming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening.  Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Monday, August 08, 2016

Now The Markets Themselves Are Too Big To Fail / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: John_Rubino

The First Rebuttal website has coined a term that gets to the heart of an increasingly dysfunctional system: The too-big-to-fail stock market. The general thesis is that most major countries are over-leveraged to that point of maybe being unable to survive a garden variety equities bear market – and are doing whatever it takes to keep that from happening. Here’s First Rebuttal on the effects of such a prop-up-asset-prices-at-any-cost policy:

Sunday, August 07, 2016

Stocks Bull Market Climbs Wall of Worry, Bubble? When Will it End? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow once more appears imminently ready to set a new all time high after closing Friday at 18,543, barely 50 points away from the last closing all time high of 18,595. Well given the perma-doom of not just the past year but for the duration of this bull market then it should be clear that most stock market analysts, perhaps as many as 95% just don't get it, and likely never will. Which is indicative of a systemic defective thought process which again should not be so surprising since its a case of new analysts learning from old failed analysts forced to make a living by writing and selling books on trading markets.

Sunday, August 07, 2016

Gold's Multiple Resistance Zones / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Gold has multiple resistance zones at the 1380-1400 level. It’s going to take some work to break through these. Gold will need some help from the dollar, which it will eventually get as the dollar will be due for its intermediate cycle low by the end of September or early October. Once the breakout occurs, gold should make a beeline for the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and then maybe to $1550 before this intermediate cycle tops.

Sunday, August 07, 2016

Stocks will have a Waterfall Decline and Silver Price will Skyrocket in August! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In their latest announcement, the FED attempted to prop up the stock market. They attempted to sound hawkish, however, the market paid not any heed to it.  The FED annulment was reflected in a manner that lead the way to the dollar tanking and precious metals rising. Silver has industrial uses as well as monetary ones, which will come to the forefront as the gold bull market progresses.

Sunday, August 07, 2016

Banker Bunker Mentality, Big US Banks On The Brink / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The big US banks are dead, as in giant hollow reeds. Such has been the Jackass refrain for eight straight years. They are insolvent monsters and destroyers of wealth and capital. They are massive criminal enterprises. Events prove the case well. The Too Big to Fail policy has instead assured the wreckage and destruction of the USEconomy. Save the big banks, but ruin the capital base. The USGovt under the management of the banker cartel since the 9/11 event, which they orchestrated in a bold move, has systematically brought down the macro business sector, permitted the USDollar platforms to decay completely, and rigged the financial markets in every conceivable arena. The central bankers are running scared. The Jackass wishes they would all depart in exile, locate on a lovely Polynesian island, and eat each other, with the winners wearing their bones and teeth.

Sunday, August 07, 2016

Gold Price Sideways for Awhile? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

In my last chart of the day I noted that gold and the metals sector in general were too stretched above the 200 DMA and would likely have to churn for awhile before the next leg up could begin. After seeing the sell off following Friday’s employment number I think I probably called that one correctly. The metals may have to churn sideways for most of August before the next rally begins.

Sunday, August 07, 2016

SPX Interesting Stock Market Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 2174. After making an all time high on Monday at SPX 2178 the market pulled back to 2148 on Tuesday. After that the market worked its way higher to make another new all time high on Friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.50%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.2%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, factory orders, consumer debt, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit rose. On the uptick: personal income/spending, PCE prices, the ADP, monthly Payrolls, and Q3 GDP estimates. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Retail sales, Business inventories and Export/Import prices. Best to your weekend and week!

Saturday, August 06, 2016

Donald Trump Warns of ‘Very Scary Scenarios’ for Stocks Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

I’m not sure Trump is aware of this Jubilee year, but he certainly understands that the stock market is at a highly dangerous level.

“Interest rates are artificially low,” Trump told Fox in an interview, HERE. “The only reason the stock market is where it is is because you get free money.”

That is absolutely true and unheard of to be acknowledged by a front-running Presidential candidate.

Saturday, August 06, 2016

Gold And Silver Charts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

Our pace for posting commentaries will slow down for August by design over the next few weeks, and for the last week of August, there will be no posting due to vacation time. This week, focus will be solely on the charts. There is so much going on in the world and with the Bread and Circuses election in the United States, the sum of which is enough to send the price of precious metals considerably higher, but the reality is price is still under the control of Chinese buying at bargain prices while the West’s central bankers try to keep alive the Ponzi scheme facade regarding gold and silver.

The globalists behind the fiat curtain have been exposed for their financial and political chicanery to keep the vastly underwater banking system “alive and well,” yet the public has no unified voice to be so shocked by the extreme theft by the bankers and their political hacks, so the game plays on.

Saturday, August 06, 2016

The U.S. Political year of ‘Neither’ and the 12th Amen? What if? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Michael_T_Bucci

What if the results of Election 2016 failed to give either major party presidential candidate 270 Electoral votes? In this event, the Twelfth Amendment of the U.S. Constitution stipulates the President is elected by the House of Representatives, and the Vice President is elected by the Senate. This process is referred to as “contingent election”.

What are the chances of this event occurring? Which House and which Senate is stipulated: the sitting or the newly elected? What deadline dates are imposed? What occurs when either the upper house or lower house - or both houses - reach a stalemate? When does the Supreme Court decide the outcome?

Saturday, August 06, 2016

Jobs Report, Stock Market Impetus To The Breakout....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

In the very recent past we experienced a poor Durable Goods Report along with a poor ISM Manufacturing Report. This put a lot of doubt in today's Jobs Report and probably explains to some degree why the market was meandering the past few days. The meandering did some good in that it allowed the oscillators to unwind quite decently on the daily index charts.

Saturday, August 06, 2016

Why Stability is Not what Bitcoin Needs and Why Big Business Should Move Into It / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: Submissions

Shannon Lowery writes: It is constantly spoken that Bitcoin is not viable because it is not stable.

Stability, from my view point, is not what Bitcoin needs.

Bitcoin needs appreciation.

Saturday, August 06, 2016

Best Cash ISA for Crash / Collapse in UK Savings Interest Rates / Personal_Finance / ISA's

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Bank of England slashing UK interest rate from 0.5% to 0.25% in a panic to save its always teetering on the edge of bankruptcy bankster brethren from going bust again and to monetize government debt by means of quantitative easing, the smoke and mirrors phrase used for the Bank of England to print another £170 billion mostly for its banking sector friends to gorge themselves on, to generate additional artificial profits. The net effect of this 'THEFT' of purchasing power is that the price savers and workers have already been paying for 8 years has just gotten a lot worse!

Friday, August 05, 2016

Gold and Gold Stocks Bull Analogs / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Over the past two weeks the precious metals complex has retested its Brexit breakout and rebounded back to the July highs. Today’s jobs report has pushed the complex lower but has delivered an opportunity to cash heavy portfolios which have missed the bulk of the move. With that said, we wanted to share our current analog charts for Gold, gold stocks and junior gold stocks which suggest continued upside potential in the sector.

Friday, August 05, 2016

Gold Stocks Autumn Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have already enjoyed a phenomenal year, blasting higher with gold’s new bull market.  This sector’s market-dominating performance has been amazing.  Yet incredibly, the gold stocks are only now entering their strongest time of the year seasonally.  Historically during bull-market years the gold stocks have enjoyed massive autumn rallies on average, starting right about now which is very bullish.

Gold-stock performance is highly seasonal, which certainly sounds odd.  The gold miners produce and sell their metal at relatively-constant rates year-round, so the temporal journey through calendar months should be irrelevant.  Based on these miners’ revenues, there’s no reason investors should favor them more at certain times of the year than others.  Yet history proves that’s exactly what happens in this sector.