Thursday, December 15, 2016
Stock Market New Downtrend Or Just Quick Downward Correction Before Another Leg Up? / / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,330, and profit target at 2,150, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook remains bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, December 15, 2016
Trump’s Debt Financial Revolution! / Interest-Rates / US Debt
Trump’s economic plans will increase national debt!
A Ticking time bomb!
Currently, U.S. debt stands at a mammoth $19.8 trillion and will continue to increase under President-elect Trump considering his lenient tax cuts and plans for infrastructure spending:( http://www.usdebtclock.org/).
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Thursday, December 15, 2016
Gold and Silver Now What ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
I had a completely different post in mind for tonight, but the action in the PM complex has changed my mind. Since the US elections the PM complex has had a hard go of it trapping many bulls in their long positions. The magnitude of this decline especially in gold has been unrelenting in nature, which is how a bull trap is set. Just a short five weeks ago all looked good for this sector as it had one of the biggest rallies in history off the January low for the PM stocks. There wasn’t anything to suggest that five weeks ago the plunge was coming, but since then, there have been many clues that all was not right with the PM sector.
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Thursday, December 15, 2016
FOMC Raises US Interest Rates, Market Reacts in Mood Swings / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy day with the FOMC meeting taking place as they raised interest rates. The day started out with a move to the upside, they met resistance, backed off to test support, held, and although the S&P 500 made lower lows, the Nasdaq 100 did not. They then ran up into the FOMC. At that point, they made a little bit of a pop, and then went down in a steep slide, a big rally ensued, they went down in another steep slide, held support on the Nasdaq 100, but not on the S&P 500. A very sharp rally took them back almost near the rally highs, and then in the last 20-25 minutes they took a plunge into the close, and finished very ugly on the day.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Warning: Fed Interest Rate Hike Could Trigger Stock, Financial Markets Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
The big day has finally arrived.
The Fed adjourns its two day FOMC meeting today. At 2PM Fed Chair Janet Yellen is expected to announce that the Fed is raising rates again.
If the Fed does hike as 100% of analysts expect, it will be the first hike in 12 months and only the second in this tightening cycle.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
US Congress Votes To Give Jihadists Anti-aircraft Missiles / Politics / Syria
Wednesday, December 14, 2016
The Silver Tsunami / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
At this point in the cycle, the silver market should be relatively easy for the average person to enter. Prices are beginning to move back toward natural supply and demand equilibrium, as large disruptions are occurring between the positioning of dominant futures speculators that have kept futures prices entrapped for nearly 6 years.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
War on Cash Spreads to India / Currencies / War on Cash
Over the past year, central banks, commercial bankers and prominent economists have expressed the view that digital money and transfers should replace large denomination cash and cash transactions. This dramatic transition has been fostered under the guise of the public interest in an effort to curb terrorism, tax evasion and criminal activity. Many observers contemplate more sinister motives that involve increased government control of economic activity. The latest country to engage in this 'war on cash' is India.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Forget about Fake News – Worry about Fake Money / Currencies / Fiat Currency
Post-election airwaves and publications today are filled with bad news, good news, and fake news.
The bad news is ‘fake news’ is very real. The good news is fake news is nothing new. The even better news for gold and silver stackers is they have learned to live with decades of fake news about sound money.
You already know all about fake news. It used to go by other names – lies, propaganda, false advertising, and brainwashing, to name a few. Now we can add polling results and agenda-driven predictions to that list.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Stock Market Orthodox Broadening Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX is clearly under its Orthodox Broadening Top trendline this morning. This is the first step and may be considered an aggressive sell signal (with stops).
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Stock Market Exciting Day Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
SPX nearly maxed out yesterday as it approached 2285.92, which is the limit of this wave structure. That’s not to say that it absolutely cannot change its form again. However, we’ll address that issue if it comes. Right now, it is overdue for a decline and a measure of the decline will tell us what may come after.
The Premarket is modestly down. There may not be a lot of activity until after the FOMC announcement at 2:00 pm.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Take Advantage of Gold, Silver, Platinum and Palladium Different Seasonal Trends / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Prices in financial and commodity markets are exhibiting seasonal trends. This applies to the precious metals gold, silver, platinum and palladium as well.
The chart below depicts the seasonal trends of the gold price over a time period of 45 years.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Russian President Putin Plans Surprise Christmas Aleppo Visit to Celebrate Syrian Government Victory / Politics / GeoPolitics
President Vlad Putin plans a surprise visit to formerly Syria's most populous city, Aleppo, which after 4 years of civil war and the recent Russian military backed onslaught has been turned to rubble. Nevertheless a celebratory Christmas scene will be set to include an orchestra playing "Carol of the Bells", russian jets flying over, a military parade through cleared of rubble and white washed streets, all topped off with Vlad Putin's grand finale that follows in the footsteps of whom he was named after Vlad the Impaler, as the pinnacle of festivities will involve Vlad Putin disrobing and bathing in the blood of hundreds of dead Syrian children harvested earlier from the rubble of East Aleppo, leaving fellow Dictator Assad to take notes whilst looking on, on how to truly frighten the people into obedience, which Vlad Putin is the master of.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Shariah Gold Standard Is “Revolutionary” – Mark Mobius / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
One of the world’s leading investors, Mark Mobius told a gold conference in Dubai that the new ‘Shariah Gold Standard’ is both “innovative and revolutionary” and importantly will bring “transparency” to the physical gold market which suffers from a lack of trust.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
China's Unfinished Trade Revolution / Economics / China
Dec. 11 marks the 15th anniversary of China's accession to the World Trade Organization. Measured by its impact on the Chinese economy, which has grown almost tenfold since 2001, accession to the WTO was no less momentous than the epochal changes ushered in by the start of "Reform and Opening" in 1978 or the fiscal and political recentralization that followed the 1989 Tiananmen crisis. In the scale and speed of changes it wrought on Chinese society and politics, WTO accession was hardly less revolutionary than the Great Leap Forward of 1958-1961 or the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution of 1966-1976. And in terms of their import for the structure of the global economy, few events in recent memory equal China's entry into the organization. By virtually any indicator, Dec. 11, 2001, was an inflection point not only for China's economy but also for much of the world's. But the anniversary also highlights how Chinese integration into the global economy remains incomplete.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Stock Market Very Strong Session Despite Profit-Taking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The stock market indices had very nice big gains until the last few minutes when they sold off, especially on the Nasdaq 100, which gave up about 25 points off its big gains today, still finishing up at 4935, with a good trade and double top around 4960 by midsession, before the late pullback.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 114.78 at 19,911.21, a new all-time at 19,953. The S&P 500 was up 14.76 at 2271.72. The Nasdaq 100 was up 61.54 at 4935.82.
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Wednesday, December 14, 2016
Why Market, Economic Collapse isn't on the Menu / Economics / Economic Collapse
The word "collapse" instantly conjures primal feelings of both fear and excitement whenever we hear it. We fear it because it evokes our collective belief that collapse is fatal and final, yet it excites our imagination to the possibility, however, remote, that perhaps we'll be among the lucky few to survive and even prosper from it.
Whether in reference to a financial market crash or the collapse of government, the very idea has given birth to a plethora of writings on the subject. Indeed, some of the top selling books in the financial literature category in recent years have had collapse as the subject matter, for writers instinctively know they can always count on a visceral reaction from their readers whenever they write of it.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2016
There is money to be made / Companies / Mobile Technology
Online gaming is a booming industry. In 2016, the value of the global entertainment and media market was valued at over $1.8 trillion. Out of that 10% of the value is generated from online gaming across the globe. We’ve had a look at some highlights and most popular gaming brands that lead to this remarkable figure.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2016
Deutsche Bank Turns Over Proof of Metals Price Rigging / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Some say there is honor among thieves. Perhaps, but apparently not among the banking class of criminals when they are under serious legal and regulatory pressure.
German behemoth Deutsche Bank agreed last spring to assist plaintiffs and regulators by ratting out their co-conspirator banks in a wide-ranging scheme to rig prices and cheat clients.
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Tuesday, December 13, 2016
Do Larger Federal Budget Deficits Stimulate Spending? Depends On Where The Funding Comes From / Economics / US Debt
I’d like to share a counterintuitive argument against the concept that fiscal deficits and/or infrastructure spending consititute effective economic stimulus. It comes from Paul Kasriel (one of my favorite reads when he was at Northern Trust, before he retired). He always has a way of looking at things from different angles than everybody else does.
Paul notes that the post-election US stock market rally has been due in part to the expectation that the Trump administration will enact stimulative fiscal policies, which in turn will jumpstart growth. But Paul begs to differ on that last point.
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