Friday, January 26, 2018
Davos – My Personal Experience of the $100,000 Event, $60 Burgers, Massive Inequality and Blockchain Revolution / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
– Davos elite hear warnings of complacency akin to 2007 as economic risks grow
– Toxic mix of infallible belief, arrogance, megalomania and economic ignorance
– Some express concern economies are vulnerable due to imbalances, trade, geo-political tensions
– Soros: Trump creating ‘mafia state’ & ‘set on a course towards nuclear war’ with N Korea
– Bond bear market, rising interest rates and massive $233 trillion debt are some of the many threats to global stability
– Davos theme explores massive inequality across the globe while eating $60 hamburgers
– Thousand private jets fly as some attendees lecture poor and middle classes about their fossil fuel consumption
– Blockchain has potential to revolutionise the world of money and foster equality – if not co-opted by elites
– Better spending $100,000 on physical gold stored in vault in Switzerland then $100k to attend Davos
By Jan Skoyles. Editor Mark O’Byrne
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Friday, January 26, 2018
Sell the Stock Market Rally! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Good Morning!
SPX futures are higher, but no new records. Today is day 253 of the Master Cycle that began at the May 18, 2017 low. As mentioned, we may call this an inverted Master Cycle because of its uninterrupted rally since then. An inverted Master Cycle may also mean the end of a trend, since it sows the seeds of its own destruction. While the uptrend hasn’t yet been broken, the range of the consolidation is becoming narrower and may lead to a breakout or breakdown.
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Friday, January 26, 2018
2018: Yearly Forecasts for Systemic Breakdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2018
The following Jackass forecasts listed within the article for this new year are fully consistent with the Hat Trick Letter analysis over the last few years. All are on the verge of occurrence. If even one quarter of these calls comes into reality, the world will become a better place. In the current year upon us, the following events will begin to take form in some path with recognized progress. The result will be truly frightening, as all known tenets are either swept aside or profoundly questioned. Many of the listed events have begun to take form with some initial progress. The magnificent event that occurred ten years ago has been called the Global Financial Crisis, centered and triggered by the Lehman Brothers failure as a firm. It was actually a suffocation event with killjob, whereby both Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan bought several $billion in Lehman mortgage bonds and never paid for them, thereby killing Lehman from a very severe sudden liquidity drain. What happened in 2007 (initial bust symptoms) and 2008 (final crisis unfolding) was horrible and quite devastating. What comes in 2018 in the systemic breakdown and global crisis will be triple in magnitude of damage and triple in breadth with range of extended wreckage. This year will see sovereign bonds enter failure, in an unprecedented manner.
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Friday, January 26, 2018
What Could Push Crude Oil To $100? / Commodities / Crude Oil
If anyone thought the latest oil market outlooks of the EIA and the IEA are upbeat, here’s an even more upbeat one from Energy Aspects: The consultancy expects crude demand this year to grow by 1.7 million bpd, and says Brent could touch above $100 a barrel in 2019.
According to Energy Aspects, the reason for the further jump in prices will be a drop in new production outside the U.S. shale patch. It’s a little hard to buy that, however, if one remembers that there is 1.8 million bpd in production capacity ready to be tapped again once OEPC and Russia taper their production cuts. That alone should take care of the demand growth that the consultancy predicts for this year. That is, unless it booms by 2 million bpd, which is the top of the range forecast by Energy Aspects. But even then, the U.S. and Russia alone could take care of it: The Russian state majors are itching to expand production in eastern Siberia.
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Friday, January 26, 2018
Bitcoin In a Bearish Place / Currencies / Bitcoin
We’re hearing a lot about Bitcoin these days. The stories range from fortunes made on the currency to the idea that this is the biggest bubble in history. What we’re not seeing much of are analyses of the Bitcoin market, and even less so of Bitcoin users. Now, in an article on the Fortune website, we read:
Nearly 60 percent of Americans have heard or read about the world’s largest cryptocurrency, according to a joint SurveyMonkey and Global Blockchain Business Council poll of more than 5,700 adults conducted in January. But only 5 percent of people actually own the digital coin.
Friday, January 26, 2018
A Vision for the European Economic Future / Economics / Euro-Zone
Hi everyone,
I have seen the Future for the European Economy,
And it is not looking good.
The EU tracks a wide number of european wide economic indicators,
Everything from consumer credit,
to unemployment expectations in the future.
Friday, January 26, 2018
Four Ways to Beat the Bank and Lower your Mortgage / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Read these four ways you can beat the bank and lower your mortgage
A home is usually the most precious thing we own and the biggest financial commitment we make in our lives. Unfortunately, mortgages typically have expensive interest rates and complicated repayment terms that are designed to make us pay more for our homes than we actually need to. With that in mind, here are four smart ways you can beat the bank and lower your mortgage.
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Friday, January 26, 2018
Reversal Day in Precious Metals ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Here are a few charts on the USD, Gold, Silver and GDX showing the reversals today. One day does not make a trend, however, and tomorrow is a new trading day.
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Friday, January 26, 2018
Here Is A Trusted Brokerage Business / Stock-Markets / Investing 2018
Beginners should have the involvement to practice various trading strategies and also understand about trading policies. They can either take up a course or use books to learn. Practicing the strategies using a demo account gives better support. A number of online websites provide guidance to beginners in getting used to the market. Starting up with a reliable broker gives great advantages and people gain confidence to move ahead in the market. With demo accounts, traders can invest virtual money and see what happens and then get trained. Choosing the right brokerage firm is currently one of the most important risk factors.
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Friday, January 26, 2018
Key Trends for Trading Markets 2018: This Will be a “Gold”en year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
Abalgorithm: Inflation around the world is starting to pick up. Only a matter of time before policy makers will start to get nervous. All the bond market money is about to pour into commodities and stocks. Gold is pushing the envelope. Charts below.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
Stock Market Trendlines Being Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
It appears that the Ending Diagonal trendline may be broken in the SPX at 2830.00. This is your initial aggressive sell signal. The VIX is on an aggressive sell and Hi-Lo is not. Use your discretion and do a partial short until we get confirmation with the VIX over 12.81 and the Hi-Lo beneath the trendline.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
Gold as a Hedge Against Hyperinflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
LETTER TO THE EDITOR
Dear Mr. Kosares,
I have read your articles with great interest and pleasure. I believe we are in a corner which is far from the mainstream. In reference to buying gold as protection, I also read stories like “sell-cryptos-buy-gold,” but it is never told what will happen when there is indeed hyperinflation.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
A New Commodities Bull Market is Emerging / Commodities / Commodities Trading
We’ve all watched in amazement, while the equities markets around the world have risen to new highs. On Wall Street hardly a week goes by without a new record. There comes a time however when a sector becomes so overbought, that smart money begins to leave and search for a sector that has been overlooked. That moment is now at hand, as can be seen in our first chart – courtesy sources listed.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
Can Toys R Us Survive by Learning Lessons from The Entertainer Toy Shop's Relative Success? / Companies / Retail Sector
In December the British arm of Toys R Us came to within hours of going bust the followed it's american parent company's filing for bankruptcy protection in September 2017 which that triggered a downsizing programme through rapid store closures that are likely to see at least 200 of it's 866 US stores close in an attempt at reducing its $5 billion debt mountain which dates back to its leveraged buy out of 2005 that costs Toys R Us $400 billion a year in interest payments.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
Bitcoin, Oil, Gold, and SPX Price Prediction Next 5 Days / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
Our articles, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors to explore the tools and techniques that discretionary and algorithmic traders need to profit in today’s competitive markets. Created with the serious trader and investor in mind – whether beginner or professional – our approach will put you on the path to win. Understanding market structure, trend identification, cycle analysis, volatility, volume, when and when to trade, position management, and how to put it all together so that you have a winning edge.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
USD Nearing its Target / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
Good Morning!
USD futures are still trending lower, although some are calling for a bottom here. The morning low at 88.62 came awfully close to the Orthodox Broadening Top target that I have highlighted for nearly a year.
One wouldn’t be blamed for taking short profits here. However, even as the risk of a reversal rises, the Cycles Model suggests that it still has a week, if not more, of decline ahead. In addition, Wave (5) reaches 1.5 X Wave (1) at 88.16 and 1.618 X at 87.60.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
Gold Gains a Powerful Friend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Yesterday, gold won an influential supporter in the White House. Who is he?
The Enemy of Gold’s Enemy Is Gold’s Friend
As the ancient proverb goes, my enemy’s enemy is my friend. Although it is usually employed in foreign policy, this concept also applies to finance. Given the negative correlation between the greenback and gold, the enemies of the U.S. dollar are generally gold’s friends.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
USD/CHF Under Long-term Support! / Currencies / Forex Trading
Earlier today, the greenback declined to the lowest level against the Swiss franc since mid-September 2017, which resulted in a small drop under the long-term support line. Is this a sign of bigger move to the downside or just a trap?
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
Debt, Dollar and Stocks - A Modest Plan / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
This is an article written by Dr. D, who last month wrote a series at the Automatic Earth entitled Bitcoin Doesn’t Exist.
It shouldn’t surprise you that bitcoin plays a cameo in his Modest -but actually quite grand- Plan as well.
Dr. D: With all the talk about the bubble market, people are once again saying Donald Trump is a fool, he should never have taken credit for a Dow that’s about to collapse. In addition, how does he think he can get away with claiming we have a great economy made greater? He said in the election the economy was terrible and the Dow was a bubble, that’s why he won.
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Thursday, January 25, 2018
Gold Jumps To Crucial Technical Level. Important Action Coming Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
After what seems like a decade in the shadow of tech stocks and cryptocurrencies, gold and silver are rocking again. Which of course leaves everyone wondering if this is the beginning of the long-awaited epic run, or just a head fake preceding yet another grinding, protracted, soul-sucking decline.
The following chart has a couple of technical indicators that, if history still matters, shed some light on the challenges gold now faces. The first is the 50-day moving average, shown here as the thin line that tracks the more colorful price line. Note how when gold’s price spikes above the moving average, it is, in technical terms, “overbought.” In other words, it’s ahead of itself and has to fall to get back into sync with longer-term momentum.
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