Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, May 07, 2012
U.S. Dollar and Manipulation Control the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the weekend I had an interesting conversation with a local trader. We typically meet a few times a year to share our market outlooks, new trading tools and techniques, and usually finish our session off in a debate about the US market manipulation and how to trade around it.
Talking about market manipulation always opens up a can of worms and sparks some interesting theories… And while everyone has their own views and opinion on this subject I thought I would briefly share the main points I pulled from our conversation.
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Monday, May 07, 2012
The Stock Market Correction is Not Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate uptrend is still intact and so is the extended short-term correction.
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Monday, May 07, 2012
Crazy Stock Market Moves Give Bears a Glimmer of Hope / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: WavePatternTraders
Some crazy moves seen in the risk markets this past week, and potentially some important clues, but I suspect that not many traders are actually watching those clues, although they will do soon if those clues continue.
So what are these clues?
2 forex pairs I follow and have followed for a long time, especially over the past 3 years have been AUDUSD and NZDUSD, they imo are very important clues to where other risk markets will go.
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Sunday, May 06, 2012
Best Stock Market Indicator Ever / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. The $OEXA200R (the percentage of S&P 100 stocks above their 200 DMA) is a technical indicator available on StockCharts.com that can be used to forecast conservative entry and exit points for the stock market.
The OEXA is used to find the “sweet spot” time period in the market when you have the best chance of making money. See Is This the Best Stock Market Indicator Ever? for a discussion of this technical tool.
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Saturday, May 05, 2012
Stock Market Forecast for Coming Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Manas_Banerji
Situation does not change much from last week; in fact it becomes more complicated after US jobs report. It could be better if markets would get an assurance from Mr. Draghi, as it got from Bernanke in past week. Spain’s bond auction was good but declined in German bund yields are indicating the overall situation of riskier assets. Germany is now holding an important position but this type of bad PMI report may create lot of problems not only for them but also for whole world.
Saturday, May 05, 2012
Paralyzed Fed, Economic Recovery Reality, The Emperor is Naked / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: The_Gold_Report
A "paralyzed" Federal Reserve Bank, in its "final days," held hostage by Wall Street "robots" trading in markets that are "artificially medicated" are just a few of the bleak observations shared by David Stockman, former Republican U.S. Congressman and director of the Office of Management and Budget. He is also a founding partner of Heartland Industrial Partners and the author of The Triumph of Politics: Why Reagan's Revolution Failed and the soon-to-be released The Great Deformation: How Crony Capitalism Corrupts Free Markets and Democracy. The Gold Report caught up with Stockman for this exclusive interview at the recent Recovery Reality Check conference.
Saturday, May 05, 2012
Snap.........Goes The Stock Market.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
You cannot be surprised that the market took a big drop down Friday. The jobs creation report was well below expectations, which continues a series of economic reports that have come in weaker than expected these days. None of us want to see that, not just because it's bad for the market, but because it means that too many people are suffering without jobs. It tells us that the global economies are catching up to us. The United States was, basically, the wall of strength for the rest of the world, but the economy is weakening due to the problems abroad, problems that don't seem to have a good solution right now. The slowing in our own economy is rapidly accelerating. Just four to six months ago, there was improvement across the board. There was one economic report after another coming in with data stronger than the previous months. Now the same thing is happening in reverse.
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Friday, May 04, 2012
The Fed and ECB’s Hands Are Politically Tied… Bye Bye to Market Props / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Graham_Summers
As many of you know, my primary forecast regarding Europe is that the EU will be broken up and/or collapse within the coming months.
The reasons for this are political, financial, and monetary in nature. In bullet form they are:
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Friday, May 04, 2012
Stock Market Fear and SPX Toppings / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Zeal_LLC
With the US stock markets surging nearly a third higher in just 6 months, the odds are rising for a major topping. As the best times to sell high, recognizing these events in real-time is very important for traders. But it is a big challenge due to the gradual way toppings unfold. An indicator that can really help is the famous implied-volatility fear gauges. They tend to exhibit unique and identifiable behaviors at toppings.
Friday, May 04, 2012
Stock Market Free-fall Crash to Cycle Bottom / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We should see SPY continue to fall through its Cycle Bottom support at 136.13. It must go lower than the lesser Broadening Top trendline at the bottom of the chart.
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Friday, May 04, 2012
Stock Market Still Above Key Support Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Donald_W_Dony
Global markets are reacting differently to the ongoing challenges in Europe. But they all have one item in common. They appear to have stalled above key support levels.
The broad-based Dow Jones World Stock Index (Chart 1) is now consolidating above the important 245 support level. This line has held the global index over the past two months.
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Friday, May 04, 2012
Financial Crisis Next Major Trigger Will be ETFs and Derivatives / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Jesse
ETFs and derivatives may be fine for a trade or a hedge to a trade, but by no means are most of them that I have looked at worthy of a long term hold. I distinguish them by their opacity, leverage, and lack of transparent audits from legitimate physical trusts.
And some of the ETFs, especially in commodities and on the short equity side, appear to be almost fraudulent both in construction and representation, and are often more instruments of manipulation and raw speculation for extracting wealth from the less sophisticated than investment vehicles.
Thursday, May 03, 2012
Stock Market MAP Waves Part 2, An Alternative to Elliot Waves - Corrections Explained! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Marc_Horn
In part 1 http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/... or http://mapportunity.wordpress.com/...I presented the methodology and probabilities for Weekly and Daily pivots. Here I will be looking at establishing the probabilities of smaller scale wave counting and begin to highlight the difficulties in using small scale wave counting. I will also look at where are you most likely to find extensions. You can check the numbers for yourself using simple moving averages to validate my findings, or duff them, in order to make more informed investment decisions. Remember the world was once flat!
Thursday, May 03, 2012
Why the World Economy Won’t Collapse, Bullish for Stock Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Brian_Bloom
Arising from my last week’s blog, a reader sent me the following link: Bond, Stock & Gold Market Update - Lundeen
He also posed a particularly interesting question (paraphrased): “If Mr Lundeen’s conclusion regarding rising risks in the bond markets is correct, is it possible (maybe even likely) that – if money fleeing the bond markets was to seek alternative investment avenues – all three of the equity markets, the commodity markets and the gold market might rise?”
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Thursday, May 03, 2012
Stock Market Striking Similarities Upon Us / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Darah_Bazargan
I have this growing suspicion that many of you are making the subtle transition to a potential bullish outlook for the stock market. I'll need a minute or two of your time so that I can King Kong all of that nonsense.
If I must say, last week was full of distractions. Obviously the first, Apple's remarkable quarter was a surprise to many, especially given the five day sell-off prior to the actual news release. This outcome provided investors with relief, and the reassurance of knowing this bellwether did not actually stumble, but instead just underwent a retracement. Unfortunately, the leaders of the stock market, including Apple, have yet to clear their previous highs. This I can tell you has done very little to generate much renewed confidence among investors.
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Thursday, May 03, 2012
Stock Market Negative Divergences Unwound... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
As the day moved along yesterday, I noticed the short-term 60-minutes charts got both a bit overbought, and they also printed negative divergences. From that point, yesterday until early this morning, the Nasdaq fell sixty points, two percent to work off that combination of overbought and poor divergences. That's about what it usually takes, give or take one percent. Remember, these bad divergences, and overbought conditions, occurred on the 60-minute time-frame charts, and not on the daily charts. That's key as those 60-minute charts can unwind those conditions within one to two days, while, if they took place on the daily chart, it could take several weeks, and sometimes even months. Never panic out of long positions just because those negatives set-up on a 60-minute time frame on all the index charts.
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Thursday, May 03, 2012
US Stocks Fight to Hold Up While EU and US Data Give Mixed Signals / Stock-Markets / US Dollar
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Investors and traders just can’t seem to catch a break when it comes to economic news. For example Tuesday in the United States we saw strong ISM manufacturing numbers which surprised the market. The numbers were way above expectations and it triggered a feeding frenzy in US based investments like stocks and the green back.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 02, 2012
U.S. Stock Market is in a Fed Fueled Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Bloomberg
Harvard economics professor Martin Feldstein spoke to Bloomberg Television's Sara Eisen this morning, saying that the real danger to the U.S. economy is that "this is a bubble in the stock market created by low long-term interest rates that the Fed has engineered."
Wednesday, May 02, 2012
Stock Market Top is In / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that this rally was done in 43 hours. It apparently didn’t need the full 21.5 days from the April 10 low, as I had suggested yesterday.
Things should speed up from here. I estimate that the decline to point 6 may only take 2 days (12.9 to 17.2 hours). Then a rally into the weekend.
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Wednesday, May 02, 2012
SPY-TLT Relationship a Cautionary Tale / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Mike_Paulenoff
In reaction to today's strong ISM data, the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) has rocketed towards a retest of its April 2 high at 142.21. Meanwhile, the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond (TLT) has weakened, but curiously it has not imploded in a way that would suggest either that the economy is stronger than most people think or to allay suspicions about sustainable strength in the equity indices.
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