Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, June 08, 2012
The Wonder Rally is Over, Stock Market Back at Flash Crash Trigger / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
-- I have reset the wave count on the VIX to correspond more closely with the Cycle Model. The Trading Cycle high on May 18 occurred on day 63 of the new Master Cycle. Normally, Trading Cycles are 60 days long, so that high meets the parameters. It turned out that today was a pivot day, which signals that VIX is ready to move considerably higher after its pullback. I had expected a Primary Cycle to top out tomorrow but inverted to a low today, instead. Today is day 83 in a normal 86 day Primary Cycle, so it has met its minimum date range. The alternate view is that the Primary Cycle may extend to June 13-14, primarily because of the influence of the Euro. This would definitely have a high probability of a crash scenario. Whether it happens by June 13 or not, the same crash scenario extends to mid-July.
Friday, June 08, 2012
EUvs.USA markets – Inflation vs. Deflation: #1 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Brian_Bloom
Author Note: This is the first of three articles that examine the threats and opportunities facing the world economy. It looks at the European crisis – and its potential impact on the world economy – through the eyes of the financial authorities and the banking community. The next article will look at the opportunities flowing from a now serious commitment by the oil companies to embrace natural gas as an alternative to oil. The third will articulate and examine the risks that the financial/political authorities may be underestimating, or may even have missed because the issues lie outside their areas of expertise or focus.
Tuesday, June 05, 2012
Stock Market Very Sick...And Oversold.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
Both are true, to be sure. It's rare that the market stays this oversold on both the daily charts and its index charts. It's not much to get excited about, if you're short when you're this oversold. But it's nothing to get excited about, if you're a bull considering how much trouble the market is having with regards to bouncing hard at such oversold conditions. The fundamental news continues to be mostly sour for just about the entire world as everyone seems to be slowing into a recession and for some, worse than that. There's the occasional good spot here and there, but overall, the majority of leading countries are struggling with massive debt and a slowing economy. The slowing, rapidly-moving-along into what is clearly a recession just about everywhere, which means the price of stocks have to come down in order to make them become more fairly valued. Not a pretty picture.
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Tuesday, June 05, 2012
Stock Market Pulling in the Bottom Feeders / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPY closed above its 200-day moving average at 127.90, opening the door for a brief surge to the new Head & Shoulders neckline at 129.50. Should the Head & Shoulders downside target be met, there is yet another formation which I will disclose later that give a potential target near 875…a 30% decline from today’s close. The Broadening Top has been the early warning pattern for what is to come. All of this is possible by June 13.
Tuesday, June 05, 2012
U.S. Quantitative Easing, Circling Sharks, and Gold Backed Eurobonds? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: Ian_R_Campbell
Why Read: More to focus on possible further U.S. (and other Central Bank) quantitative easing, than on the possibility of gold backed Eurobonds - but to be aware of at least some 'talk' with respect to the latter.
Featured Article: For reference to possibility of gold backed Eurobonds, see King World interview with Don Coxe of Chicago based Coxe Advisors.
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Monday, June 04, 2012
Stock Market Low Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Correction nears end.
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Monday, June 04, 2012
Stock Market Panic, What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Gordon_T_Long
The questions nervously being asked during this market turmoil and onslaught of worrisome news is:
1. Are we experiencing an Intermediate-Term pullback or the beginning of a major Long Term move down?
2. How do you determine when and where a pullback might stop?
3. What should I be looking at to give me the correct perspective and what tools will help give me an investment edge?
Monday, June 04, 2012
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Diary of a Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Garry_Abeshouse
US share indices have been until recently sitting at highs not seen since 2007/2008, while the world was and still is experiencing an economic meltdown with no end in sight. Where did the bulls think the market would go to from these levels? What were they thinking – that we live in a world where the law of gravity can be defied and bull markets will keep on rising forever? What sort of world do they think this is? It is just this type of thinking that makes Bull traps what they are – traps for those that feed off fantasies.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 03, 2012
Stock Markets Heading for a Blood Bath Next Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
Well since our last analysis last week, both fundamental and technical aspects of the markets have since deteriorated much. On the technical perspective markets seems too weak to produce any meaningful rebound although all of them are in oversold conditions. The barrage of bad news coming out from Europe only helped to worsen the situation. Yesterday’s stock markets performances have been awful to say the least. The DJIA and S&P 500 had their worse 1 day drop this year.
Sunday, June 03, 2012
Stock Market Downtrends Continue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Tony_Caldaro
After a one week gain, and the possibility of a downtrend low, the markets rallied early but broke down late in the week. Fear of an economic slowdown in the US, in conjunction with economic slowdowns in Asia and Europe, fueled the decline. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.85%, and the NDX/NAZ were -2.95%. Asia managed only a 0.6% decline, but Europe lost 3.7% and the World index was down 2.7%. On the economic front it was a predominently negative week: 4 positives and 13 negatives. On the uptick: the ADP index, construction spending, the monetary base and auto sales. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, consumer confidence, pending homes sales, Q1 GDP, the Chicago PMI, monthly payrolls, personal income, PCE prices, ISM manufacturing, investor sentiment, the WLEI, and both the unemployment rate plus weekly jobless claims increased. Next week we will get reports on ISM services, consumer credit and the FED’s beige book. Best to your week!
Sunday, June 03, 2012
Stock Market 'Crash Alert' Flag is Flying / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Bill_Bonner
Yesterday, we promised to tell you more about our L-shaped non-recovery. It’s already lasted 5 years since subprime cracked up… It could last another 5…10…20…or even 100 years.
Okay, 100 is probably an exaggeration, but who knows?
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Saturday, June 02, 2012
Stock Market Forecast for Coming Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Manas_Banerji
It is surprising to see that market is focusing more on Spanish banking problem than Greece election, look like they are preparing the list that will be next after Greece! I don’t know whether Spain needs the bail-out money but it will be better for market if authorities deal with the bad loans than other things.
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Saturday, June 02, 2012
The Time Has Come Mr. Bernanke for More Stimulus! / Stock-Markets / Economic Stimulus
By: Sy_Harding
For several months Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has been assuring Congress and by extension, investors, that the Fed stands ready with ammunition to re-stimulate the economy “if it becomes necessary.”
It has become necessary.
Friday, June 01, 2012
Stock Market Breakdown is in the Making / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The testing and retesting of the purple Orthodox Broadening Top appears to be finally over. This completes a reversal pattern (going down) after an 8.6 day correction from the May 18 low.
The next item on the agenda will be the breaking of the 129.55 low. This may happen in the overnight session, by all appearances. Keep your bear costume on, the party is about to begin.
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Thursday, May 31, 2012
Financial Market Forecasts Last Chance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: EWI
With Europe in turmoil, U.S. stocks retreating and the mainstream financial press totally on the wrong side of the trend (as usual), EWI's big-picture forecast -- though dire -- is actually quite refreshing to read. In trademark fashion, EWI tackles the issues that everyone else ignores, and they explain the future using straight-talking language I appreciate.
Thursday, May 31, 2012
Europe Rules Stock Market Trend......20's Sold On Back-Test....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
By: Jack_Steiman
The United States stock market no longer trades on its own. Those days are behind us. Whatever takes place overnight in Europe is what we see when we wake-up, regarding our stock market futures. If Europe is down big, then we're down big. If Europe is down a drop, then we're down a drop. The same holds true on the upside of this equation. Europe is facing some terrible news on an almost daily basis, and this is causing their markets to spend a lot of time heading south. A few days to the northern side of the ledger, but mostly it goes south.
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Wednesday, May 30, 2012
Stock Market Free fall Crash is Imminent / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
FXE (123.67) is slipping lower. It appears that the retest of the Head & Shoulders neckline is over and FXE is losing what little support there is left. Free-fall lurks below 123.64 and appears to be imminent.
Wednesday, May 30, 2012
United States is Going Down Slow, Debt Problem is Global / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
By: UnpuncturedCycle
The greatest discovery of my generation is that a human being can alter his life by altering his attitudes of mind.- William James (1842 - 1910)
If you believe everything you read in the newspaper it appears that the U.S. housing market is finally rising from a long slumber. Yet real estate Web site Zillow reports that homeowners are still under water. Nearly 16 million homeowners owed more on their mortgages than their home was worth in the first quarter, or nearly one-third of U.S. homeowners with mortgages. That’s a $1.2 trillion hole in the collective home equity of American households. Despite the temptation to just walk away and mail back the keys, nine of 10 underwater borrowers are making their mortgage and home loan payments on time. Only 10 percent are more than 90 days delinquent. Still, “negative equity” will continue to weigh on the housing market – and the broader economy – because it sidelines so many potential homebuyers.
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Wednesday, May 30, 2012
Investing in Japan: Is There Light at the End of the Tunnel? / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
Most people have given up on investing in Japan.
With an aging population and far too much government debt, the conventional wisdom is that Japan will never again see the vigorous economic growth it once enjoyed.
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Wednesday, May 30, 2012
Are Capital Controls Coming to America? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
By: Gary_North
Are capital controls coming to the United States? They may be for Switzerland, The Swiss National Bank has announced that it is considering the imposition of controls. But these will be controls on euro accounts being shifted into Swiss francs.
Why would a central bank impose controls on money flowing in? Because this will raise the market price of francs in relation to euros. The central bank is dominated by mercantilist thinking. A rising currency is seen as a liability. Why? Because exporters are hit by the falling value of the foreign currency. Foreigners must pay more to buy francs to buy Swiss goods.
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