Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, December 24, 2012

Stock Market Rally Slows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

For the fifth consecutive week, the average performance of the eight world indexes on my watch list has been positive — this past week by 0.48%, down from the 1.2 plus percent averages of the two previous week. The top performer was Japan’s Nikkei 225, up 2.08%. The S&P 500 was a distant second, up 1.17%, which was surprisingly strong given the political stalemate over the potentially traumatic financial impact of the year end expirations of tax cuts and deductions and the government’s mandated spending cuts.

Monday, December 24, 2012

2012 Calm Before Stock Market Storm 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Gordon_T_Long

Red Sky at Night, Sailors Delight,

Red Sky in the Morning, Sailors take Warning!

We have a new era dawning in Global Monetary policy. It is a new day with the monetary skies already red.

Within 90 days the captains of monetary policy have steered the world into uncharted waters and on a course that history warns us against.

Monday, December 24, 2012

Stock Market Wave C Fiscal Cliff Plunge Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current position of the market

SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014.  It is probable, however, that the severe correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend –  SPX made a top at 1474 and is engaged in an A-B-C intermediate correction.  It is possible that wave “B” was completed at 1448.

Monday, December 24, 2012

Stock Market Fireworks Early 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: WavePatternTraders

3 Down 2 More to Go! - I have been following a number of markets since late September, and I have been looking for new highs and price to exceed those highs made on September 2012. Early this week 2 of those markets took out and surpassed the prior September highs, the NYSE and XLF making those new highs confirmed my original thoughts that the decline from the September high was a clear 3 wave decline, which I have maintained only to the cries of the bears telling me it is the start of some gigantic market crash.

Sunday, December 23, 2012

Our Leaders Disappoint...As Usual....Market Takes It Mostly In Stride...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

You can never be disappointed too much or surprised all that much when our political leaders drop the ball and allow for things to deteriorate due to their enormous, pathetic egos. It's always about them and not the good of the people they serve. They don't have much to worry about financially or politically, thus, it's business as usual, even when there's a fiscal cliff hanging over our heads. It really doesn't mean all that much to them. Their safe, wrapped up in their little shell of protection. When it comes to the big decisions, ones where they have to put power and ego aside, they fail. It's really that simple. They just fail. It's been in going for what seems like our entire lives but we've learned to accept it as politics as usual. There comes a time, every now and then, however, when they have to come through big for the people they serve, and that's when their lack of soul shines through. This time, sadly, is no different.

Saturday, December 22, 2012

Stock Market Crash Fractal Pattern Complete / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that the first crash fractal is complete.  SPX and the rest of the market should resume the decline into the close.  The next item to be challenged is the trading channel trendline and hourly mid-Cycle support at 1422.58.  It is hard to say how much progress may be made before the close today, but if the SPX is in a minute or minor wave [iii], then we should see a sizeable gap down on Monday morning to move us on our way to the trifecta of supports, the Orthodox Broadening Top, the 200-day moving average and daily mid-Cycle support, all at 1388.00. 

Saturday, December 22, 2012

Stock Market Breather & Gold Yearly Cycle Low / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Toby_Connor

The stock market has known all along that the fiscal cliff issue was going to be pushed out to the last minute. This is just how Washington works. Nothing is ever settled until everybody gets all of the pork needed to buy their vote.

The correction today is nothing more than a short-term breather before the market makes a final push to test the all-time highs, probably by the first week in January. I'm guessing we will get some kind of stopgap measure, or extension of the deadline next week that will trigger another explosive move up to test those September highs. At that point the market will find some excuse to drift down into a daily cycle low around the middle of January.

Friday, December 21, 2012

The Santa Clause Cliff, Stock Market Forecast 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Gordon_T_Long

The chart to the right shows the average annual percentage return during election years. This chart has been a surprisingly accurate guide since spring, but this about to change!

Looking forward at the average post election year cycle, as shown on the chart below, it gives us a better view of what typically occurs in the weeks leading up to and after the January inauguration. Additionally, the analogy shows how 2013 might possibly unfold.

Friday, December 21, 2012

5 Hidden Market Opportunities for 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: EWI

Dear Trader,

Today, you have a chance to see a unique new report on 5 hidden market opportunities that should be coming your way in 2013.

The report was put together by Elliott Wave International's Senior Currency Strategist, Jim Martens. EWI prides itself on finding opportunities that others miss. This free report is no exception.

Friday, December 21, 2012

Is Japan Turning a Corner? / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: Investment_U

Carl Delfeld writes: writes: Here’s some political trivia you can use at your next holiday cocktail party: Who’s the only U.S. president to lose re-election and then come back to win again?

Grover Cleveland.

In fact, while saying goodbye to the White House staff, the young and vivacious Mrs. Cleveland’s last words were, “We’ll be back.”

Friday, December 21, 2012

Stock Market To Cliff or not to Cliff – That is the Question / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Here we go again!

We were moving along nicely when John Boehner decided to throw a temper-tantrum if he didn't get his way and his way is now know as "Plan B", which of course, sounds like the kind of thing a 10 year-old would come up with because that's the level we're now dealing with as the GOP is forced to show America their true colors as they throw the middle class and the poor under the bus to protect their wealthy benefactors – apparently at all costs.

Friday, December 21, 2012

Using Goldman and JP Morgan to Predict Stock Market Turning Points / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: WavePatternTraders

Goldman (GS)

A couple of stocks I like to follow are GS and JPM to forecast pivot turning points in the US stock markets, particularly the SPX.

You can see how JPM and GS appear to be tracking the SPX well and that it’s my belief that if we can track potential Elliott Wave counts in both Goldman and JPM, we can find an edge to the US markets and use that information to forecast major peaks and turns in the US stock markets.

Thursday, December 20, 2012

QE4 Ever: Emerging Signs of A New Global Crisis / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: GoldSilver

A more than one trillion dollar debasement in 2013 is now apparent.

Last week, the Federal Reserve announced an expansion of its bond-buying program consisting in large scale purchases of long-term treasury securities.

Wednesday, December 19, 2012

Global Economy Drowning in Printed Money / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

Erroneously believing themselves the cause of their good fortune, Americans continue to deny a changing world

In 2006, when I began writing my book on the coming economic collapse, I didn’t know what the Fed would do regarding liquidity. At the time, whether the Fed would raise or lower interest rates was a soon-to-be multi-trillion dollar question.

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Stock Market Santa Rally at Last? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. The markets got off to a great start from the opening bell, despite a surprisingly poor number in the pre-market Empire State Manufacturing Survey. By the mid-afternoon, however, the S&P 500 looked like it was following the familiar pattern of setting a mid-day high and retreating in the afternoon. But slowly the index gathered some steam, and the buying accelerated in the final 30 minutes of trading. The index closed the day with a gain of 1.19%, the best performance in sixteen sessions.

Tuesday, December 18, 2012

Stock Market Fiscal Cliff Happy Ending???....... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

That's what Wall Street is hoping for today or sometime very soon. A happy ending to what we all don't want to see happen regarding the fiscal cliff as the ramifications will be far reaching. Unemployment will increase as will outsourcing along with higher taxes. Fewer and fewer will feel any job security, thus, putting the economy into recession. If there's no resolution to the fiscal cliff, it's basically etched in stone we'll see at least a few quarters of recession, if not longer, potentially much longer. Washington knows what's at stake here. They may be incredibly stubborn, but they're not stupid, at least I don't think they are. We'll find out if they are as playing chicken as it won't be a very wise action on either sides part.

Monday, December 17, 2012

67 Trillion Reasons to be Cheerful, the Shadow Banking System / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System

By: Submissions

David Rose writes: The much-maligned ‘shadow banking’ sector has so far been accused of causing the global financial crisis, restricting access to capital and, probably, global warming too.  But maybe the time has come to bring ‘shadow banking’ out of the shadows and into the light, so that the discussion can become a little more constructive. 

Monday, December 17, 2012

Stock Market Santa Claus Rally In China This Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Chris Kimble. Is Santa Claus bringing good cheer to the Emerging markets complex this year?

The chart below reflects that BRIC ETF’s/Emerging markets are reflecting relative strength compared to the S&P 500 over the past 60 days.

Monday, December 17, 2012

Stock Market C Wave Decline Probably Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current position of the market

SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014.  It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend –  SPX has made a top at 1474.  A mid-correction rally is underway in the form of A-B-C.  It is likely that wave B completed at 1439. 

Monday, December 17, 2012

Stock Market Inflection Point Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

After the FED increased QE 3 from $40 bln/month to $85 bln/month on wednesday the SPX made a new uptrend high at 1439. After that the market pulled back for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were -0.35%. Foreign markets performed better, with Asian markets gaining 1.8%, European markets gaining 1.1%, and the DJ World index rising 0.6%. Economic reports for the week again displayed positive reports outpacing negative reports. On the uptick: business/wholesale inventories, retail sales, industrial production, capacity utilization, the monetary base, the WLEI, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the budget/trade deficits worsened, export/import prices declined, and the CPI/PPI declined as well. Next week we get reports on Housing, PCE prices, and Q3 GDP, all during Options expiration week. Best to your holidays!