Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, October 26, 2013
Stock Market Dow Theory Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tim_Wood
With the last all time closing high on the Dow Jones Industrial Average having occurred on September 18th, it is an indisputable fact that as of this writing, structurally, the advance out of the 2009 low remains intact. From a Dow theory perspective, the bullish primary trend change also remains intact. The money makers continue their infusion, the commentators in the mainstream news continue telling us why all is well and what to believe. All the while the public continues taking the bait and seemingly believing that the illusion is real.
Friday, October 25, 2013
U.S. Dollar's Breakdown, Stocks' Breakout and Implications for Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: P_Radomski_CFA
After 12 years of gains, gold has fallen nearly 20% this year. The price of gold has been pressured for much of this year by the view that the Fed would end its stimulus program soon because of strength in the U.S. economy. However, some recent (weaker than expected) economic data, along with the 16-day U.S. government shutdown, have suggested that the central bank may keep its bond purchase in place for longer and increased gold's safe-haven appeal.
What impact did these circumstances have on the yellow metal?
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Friday, October 25, 2013
US Stock Market The Great American Wall Of Worry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Traders and investors all around the world is having trouble climbing over the wall of worry/fear with the US stock market, and rightly so. There is a lot of things taking place and unfolding that carry a high level of uncertainty. Let’s face it, who wants to invest money into the market when it’s hard to come by (high unemployment, banks are still extremely tight with their money, companies are nowhere near wanting to hiring new staff).
Friday, October 25, 2013
Five-Year Stocks Bull Run Showing Signs of Fading? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Leong writes: A soft jobs reading came out last Tuesday, and the stock market…soared? That’s right. Initially, I was a bit taken aback by the surge, but then again, the buying was driven by the optimism surrounding soft economic growth—because that means the Federal Reserve can justify its continuance of cheap money and the stock market stays at its highs. (You’d be a fool to think the buying was driven by sound economic and corporate growth—even if that is the first lesson in Economics 101.)
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Friday, October 25, 2013
Friday’s Fantastic Stock Market Finish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
1,752. You can't argue with that.
We're just a bit off Tuesday's spike high of 1,759 and we closed that day at 1,754 – up 1,088 points (163%) from our March, 2009 low of 666 (the mark of the Dimon!). As you can see from Doug Short's chart, we've had 4 rounds of QE to get us this far and that was after a couple of bailouts but that's all water (or money) under the bridge and here we are…
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Friday, October 25, 2013
Gold, Stock Market Investors Time to Sit on the Sidelines / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Toby_Connor
My best guess continues to be that stocks will extend this consolidation on Friday and then deliver one more push higher into the FOMC meeting next week. I expect the Fed will confirm no tapering which will likely trigger a big rally and probably reversal as smart money traders sell into the emotional move. Barring an immediate Fed intervention, that should give us the drop down into the half cycle low.
Thursday, October 24, 2013
Money Printing: Not What It Was / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Adrian_Ash
There are lots of reasons why QE hasn't yet created inflation in the rich West...
SO HEADLINE writers everywhere got to say money really does grow on trees today.
Gold, in fact, has been found in minute quantities in eucalyptus trees in Australia. Analyzing tree leaves and bark could now unearth gold deposits up to 30 metres below ground elsewhere in the world, geochemists say.
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Wednesday, October 23, 2013
Trying to Stop Stocks Bull Market Has Risks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Frank_Holmes
U.S. stocks have been on a tear. The S&P 500 Index has climbed a surprising 20 percent so far this year, as a global synchronized recovery takes shape and funds flow back to equities. As I often say, investors take risks when they try to stop a bull run, and plenty of data suggest you might regret taking that action this year.
Consider the optimistic views from Joshua Brown, i.e. The Reformed Broker, as we have "all the rocket fuel we need for an explosion." There's no election, no war in Syria, and no taper talk. Banks are highly capitalized, stocks around the world are cheap and hedge funds' short positions are the highest since January, says Brown.
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Wednesday, October 23, 2013
EURUSD Remains Bullish While The S&P 500 Trades Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Gregor_Horvat
Markets are in sharp reversal after yesterdays risk-on rally. We can see some USD recovery this morning but for now that's only on the intra-day basis, larger picture is still down for the buck, so technically nothing changes. The only difference is maybe a shift between strong commodity currencies to a temporary bearish picture. But important part here is »temporary«. Before we go to some wave counts, lets firstly take a look on correlations.
Wednesday, October 23, 2013
Getting Ahead of the Fed to Protect Your Investments in 2014 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: InvestmentContrarian
Sasha Cekerevac writes After months of getting the markets riled up with talks of reducing quantitative easing, the Federal Reserve will, once again, continue the “taper-shuffle” dance.
According to a survey by Bloomberg, most economists now expect the Federal Reserve to begin reducing its quantitative easing program in March of 2014. (Source: “Fed QE Taper Seen Delayed to March as Shutdown Bites,” Bloomberg, October 18, 2013.)
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Wednesday, October 23, 2013
An Empty Forest Full of Trees / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: John_Mauldin
By Grant Williams
ca·tas·tro·phe
n.
1. A great, often sudden calamity.
2. A complete failure; a fiasco.
3. The concluding action of a drama, especially a classical tragedy, following the climax and containing a resolution of the plot.
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Wednesday, October 23, 2013
New Stock Market High - S&P and Dow Following Separate Paths / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Ed_Carlson
The methods of George Lindsay were meant to be applied to the Dow Industrials index and he warned against using these methods on broader indices (S&P 500, Wilshire 5,000, etc.) because of the constant rotation of stocks in and out of the indices and the inclusion of, what he called, "unseasoned issues". But with all major equity indices (DJIA, SPX, and NASDAQ) setting highs on or near 9/18/13 it looked as if the Lindsay forecast for a high in the Dow at that point in time was complete; game-set-match. So what are we to make of new highs in the S&P and NASDAQ since that time?
Tuesday, October 22, 2013
S&P 500 Breaks Higher After The Non Farm Payrolls / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Gregor_Horvat
European stocks and US stocks futures are higher across the board after the bad NFP report on speculations that tapering will not start any time soon. From a technical point of view we see S&P futures rallying in wave v) of (iii), so corrective retracement may show up soon, but there is room for 1750 before wave (iv) pull-back occurs. This coming wave (iv) could then be a new opportunity for traders who want to join the trend.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 22, 2013
Has The Stock Market Reached Peak Optimism? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: Optimism towards key stock indices is increasing each day. The U.S. stock market “seems” to be a safe place, and it’s common to hear stock advisors suggesting we are going higher on key stock indices.
Key stock indices like the S&P 500 are making fresh highs. Google Inc. (NASDAQ/GOOG) has surged above the $1,000-per-share mark. Just take a look at the chart below.
Tuesday, October 22, 2013
Stock Market Cycles Chirality and Chiral Inversions / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: David_Petch
This article is a further extension of the concept I introduced over 2 years ago, titled “Markets Trapped in a Contracting Fibonacci Spiral” and the April 2013 issue of Stocks and Commodities Magazine titled “The Contracting Fibonacci Spiral”. Many might view this part of the article as a good place to exit, but I would encourage all to read this in its entirety, because it does provide a scientific insight into why cycles sometimes appear to skip a beat. If anyone is unfamiliar with either article, I would encourage to read them to have an understanding for what is presented in this article. I will give a very brief review about the Contracting Fibonacci Spiral (CFS), but it will be nowhere near as comprehensive as the other articles.
Tuesday, October 22, 2013
Keeping an Eye on the Dow, Stock Market Crash Fractal in Place / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX made a final probe to its upper trendline at 1751.78 this morning. From there it drifted down very slightly on low volume. Not a very impressive day for either side of the aisle, especially when considering today was one of the larger POMO days in October.
Monday, October 21, 2013
Is Japan's Stock Market the Most Attractive in the World? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Investment_U
Alexander Green writes: A few months ago, I opined that Japanese stocks are among the most compelling investments worldwide.
Sure enough, since its June low the market there is up 18%. Yet I feel even stronger about Japanese equities now than I did then. Here’s why…
Monday, October 21, 2013
The Risks of a Stock Market Deflationary Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
So many financial markets; so little time to follow them. The one forecaster I know who will put it all in perspective is EWI's Robert Prechter. Read his reports and you will get a clear idea of what really drives the markets and the U.S. economy – and why the Fed is beating its head against the wall.
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Monday, October 21, 2013
Stock Market Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short:Seven of the eight indexes in my international focus group finished in the green for the week, with the S&P 500 topping the list with its 2.42% gain. The lone loser was the Shanghai Composite, which fell 1.54.
The Shanghai Composite remains the only index on the watch list in bear territory — the traditional designation for a 20% decline from an interim high. See the table inset (lower right) in the chart below. The index is down 36.80% from its interim high of August 2009. At the other end, the S&P 500 and DAXK closed the week with all-time highs and CAC 40 hit a new interim high since its 2009 trough.
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Monday, October 21, 2013
Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
After gapping down three of the five trading days, which were mostly bought before 10AM, and two gap up openings, the SPX closed at all time new highs. The DOW ended the week about 300 points from its all time high, and the NDX/NAZ are still a long way from their 2000 all time high. Nevertheless it has been a bull market since March 2009. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.75%, the NDX/NAZ were +3.45%, and the DJ World index was +2.50%. Economics reports were again sparse, as the government remained partially closed until the last hour “let’s do it again in February” agreement was made midweek. For the week negative reports outpaced positive ones 4 to 3. On the uptick: the monetary base and the M1 multiplier, plus weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: the NY/Philly FED, the NAHB housing index, and the WLEI. Next week, with reporting hopefully back to normal we should get the Payrolls report, Consumer sentiment and some Housing reports. Best to your week!