Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, February 06, 2016
More Economic Problems...Jobs...Nasdaq Breaking Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has had every excuse to use economic woes as a reason to fall hard this past week. Poor numbers from the ISM Manufacturing sector, and then a hard decline in the ISM services sector. The market refused to fall, but it was somewhat understandable since the market had taken a massive hit lower and was simply trying to unwind oversold oscillators. The bear flag, if you will, that we have been seeing on all the daily index charts. Today was day fifteen, or exactly three weeks, but it seems as if the fifteenth day was the bad one for the bulls as the market could not withstand the Jobs Report, which came in 34,000 jobs shy of expectations. 151K versus 185K expected. The futures fell initially, only to come roaring back to green for a few seconds ahead of the open. It then began to fall, and, thus, we actually gapped down across the board with the Nasdaq taking the biggest hit. The market tried a few times to come back, but it seemed as if all attempts to rally were sheared off by the bears. They seemed angry today. Enough of these flags seemed to be their mantra for the day, especially in the world of high P/E stocks.
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Saturday, February 06, 2016
The Stocks Bear Is At The Door, Part 1: Momentum Stocks Getting Crushed / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Rubino
One of the common transitions that bull markets go through as they age and die is a narrowing of leadership. As formerly strong sectors begin to stall out, investors shift into whatever is still looking good — that is, whatever still has upward momentum. Eventually capital becomes concentrated in just a few names. Then those stocks roll over and the game ends.
This time around Big Tech was the final category of momentum play, and it ended up attracting astounding amounts of money from both the usual suspects like hedge funds and some new suckers like the Central Bank of Switzerland, now a major holder of Apple shares.
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Friday, February 05, 2016
Gold Reversal and Last Chance for Stock Market Shorts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Gold reversed this morning after making a throw-over above the ending diagonal formation. So far, the low is at 1145.68. A decline beneath 1138.00 puts it back into the formation,, while a break at 1126.88 confirms the new trend.
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Friday, February 05, 2016
As the Stock Market Turns... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX rallied to the Broadening trendline, then began impulsing down. The wackiness may be over and the puzzle appears solved. This may actually be a point 7 (an extra zigzag) within what is normally referred to as a five point reversal. All moves within the Broadening formation are corrective, which makes the outcome confusing and uncertain…until it is over.
Thursday, February 04, 2016
Stock Market Sentiment Still Showing Fear... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The bear market almost took another turn down today as the S&P 500 threatened to blow through the last gap up at 1869, but after coming within three points the bulls kicked it in to high gear and blasted the market higher. There have been quite a few tests of this last gap up on the S&P 500 that remains open, but the bulls have taken over the market once the bears get close. The move down off the top needs more unwinding upward on those MACD's, before trying lower over time allowing for an eventual test of 1812, but that will take quite a bit of time from here. The MACD's over the past two days showed no inclination to trend lower as price-dove down on those key, daily index charts. I don't know that the MACD's have to get back to zero, but they are still quite compressed lower, thus, more up time seems right, even if it's nothing on the dramatic side of the ledger. It is possible for the S&P 500 to still get to the 50-day, exponential moving average at 1970, while the Nasdaq lags, but clears the 20's, and falls short of the 50's.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
The Dethroning of Cash: Discouraged, Penalized, Even Banned? / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
By: MoneyMetals
Stefan Gleason writes: Stock market gyrations and deteriorating global economic conditions in the early goings of 2016 sent investors fleeing for safety. Or at least what is commonly thought to be safety.
Many in the financial media are now trotting out the bromide that “cash is king.” A sampling of recent headlines illustrates how pervasive the thinking is:
- “Cash Is King as China Sparks Market Turmoil” (MarketWatch, January 20, 2016)
- “Cash Is King in Times Like These” (Toronto Star, January 15, 2016)
- “Cash Is King as Europe Adapts to Negative Interest Rates” (Bloomberg, January 26, 2016)
- “Cash Is King as Disunity Reigns Within G20” (Barron's, February 1, 201)
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Here’s How You Can End Up Losing All Your Money In The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
If you want to increase your wealth and make more money, you want to consider stock investments. This is quite obvious but there is no real guarantee that you are going to succeed. The statement is true even in the event that you use a perfect strategy. Unfortunately, problems happen. The real problem is that many do not actually know why they lose money. If you find yourself in such a situation and your friends figure out that they shouldn’t loan you more money to invest, consider the following mistakes.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Stock Market Seasonality Is Out of Season / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Chris_Vermeulen
A “rally” attempt is underway. Stocks are continuing to rebound and all is well with the World? Or is it? With each passing day, the United States plummets deeper and deeper into a “black hole” of debt, of which it will be almost impossible to repay. At the time, of this writing the national debt is $18,939,663,109,937!
To put this into perspective, the national debt is so bad that if every citizen (including children) were to help pay it off, each one of us would have to contribute $58,652.00.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Ugly Day on Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a turnaround Tuesday as they rolled over and took a big loss off of clear, overhead resistance, which they failed to get through at Nasdaq 100 4300 area. The S&P 500 had a big problem at the 1950 area, and as a result, they tanked today, coming down on really hard, and declining channels all day. There was a bounce in the last hour but it was a little anemic.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 295.64 at 16,153.54, 45 points off the low. The S&P 500 was down 36.35 to 1903.03, 6 points off its low. The Nasdaq 100 was down 93.46 to 4193.10, 13 points off its low.
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Wednesday, February 03, 2016
Stock Market Retesting of the January Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Donald_W_Dony
North American markets found support in mid-January after three weeks of sharp declines. However, after a brief rebound, those key support levels are expected to be retested again in February.
The S&P 500 has bounced off of the 1860-1875 range three times in the last 6 months.
Now that the rebound rally has stalled and rolled-over, the index is expected to retest the support range again over the next week or two.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
Stock Market Eighth Year Returns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
As explained in last week's article, my Hybrid Lindsay model is pointing to a high in the Dow today, February 1st. Whether it is today, tomorrow, last Friday, or some other day very close to today, I have every reason to believe equities will begin a decline now that will likely continue for the remainder of the month.
And it is more than just the Lindsay model that has me convinced markets will decline into the first of March. Seasonally, during election years, equities decline for the first two months followed by a rally into April.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
The Next Generational Bust Is Coming, Stock Market 70% Collapse / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Harry_Dent
Oil can’t seem to get a break. After falling just below $27 last week, oil finally rallied back to $32 before falling back to just under $31 on Tuesday. An oversold bounce was naturally due, with perhaps a bit more to come. But the oil market’s doing exactly what I said it would – cratering!Meanwhile, in la-la land, stocks have been so focused on the decline in oil prices that they just ignored the other big trigger for a stock decline.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
The Coming Stock Market Decline May be a Monster / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The SPX Premarket appears to be challenging yesterday’s low at 1920.30.
ZeroHedge reports, “It certainly does feel like groundhog day today because while last week's near record oil surge is long forgotten, and one can debate the impact the result of last night's Iowa primary which saw Trump disappoint to an ascendant Ted Cruz while Hillary and Bernie were practically tied, one thing is certain: today's continued decline in crude, which has seen Brent and WTI both tumble by over 3% has once again pushed global stocks and US equity futures lower, offsetting the euphoria from last night's earnings beat by Google which made Alphabet the largest company in the world by market cap.”
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
S&P 500 Has Likely Entered a New Bear Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Submissions
Ken Ticehurst writes: The S&P 500 has now more than likely entered a new bear phase which could well last for most of 2017 the monthly close signalled the probability that a multi month decline is underway. Since 2008 the S & P 500 has enjoyed one of its largest and longest and rises in modern times, our long term chart below shows this Bull Run in context. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 02, 2016
Bad GDP...Bad ISM....Bad AMZN.....Good Japan....Japan Wins.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has had a lot of bad news to deal with as of late. Two of the worst are the GDP, and the awful news out of the ISM Manufacturing Report this morning. The number 48.2 is showing contraction for our economy and further contraction from the prior month. Things are going the wrong way for our economy. The market should have gotten annihilated today. It decided not to because it can. The market seemingly wants to retrace higher for reasons that make literally no sense to me. We should have stopped before this level, but the MACD's are crossed, and, thus, the market tries.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
SPX Making a Last Stand / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to be stalling at 1947.29, very close to a 50% Fib retracement (1946.92). That also comes out to nearly an exact 8.6 days of rally after 13.5 days of decline. If my Cycles Model is accurate, it anticipates 8.6 days of decline, suggesting a low on Thursday morning, February 11.
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Tuesday, February 02, 2016
How and Why To Move Your Assets Offshore Before the Financial Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
[The following is by Paul Seymour, Managing Partner of TDV Offshore]
I worked for several years with Big 4 CPA firms in both the US and Saudi Arabia, and then spent many years as a multi-national corporate Controller and CFO in places like Florida, Riyadh, Abu Dhabi, Cairo, and Medellín. In my second, more free life, I’ve found satisfaction helping others better position themselves to avoid the onrushing financial catastrophe via variety of international strategies.
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Monday, February 01, 2016
The Davos Confetti Club / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Michael_Pento
The Keynesian elite gathered in Davos Switzerland this past week to pontificate on global economic issues and to strategize the engineering of The Fourth Industrial Revolution. This new so called “revolution” includes a discussion on the future of Artificial Intelligence. Judging by the comments coming from most of the list of attendees, it seems obvious the intelligence on display was indeed faux. But the most important take away from this venue was that central bankers have made it clear to the markets that the level and duration of quantitative counterfeiting knows no bounds.
Monday, February 01, 2016
Great News! This Bull Market Is About to Collapse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Investment_U
Matthew Carr writes:By now, I’m sure you’ve heard that the East Coast was hammered by a Godzilla-sized snowstorm last weekend.
Ignoring the milk, bread and toilet paper, my wife and I loaded up on liquor, cookie dough and junk food in preparation of being snowed in for a few days. We made a list of all the movies we missed in theaters that are now On Demand. We took video of our dog spazzing out in the backyard.
All things considered, it was a pretty great weekend.
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Monday, February 01, 2016
More Stock Market, Gold Selling Next Week? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The SPX should hold about 1943/44 Monday and then drop to around 1850 by Feb 3 or 4. The astro/fib CIT turns are Feb 1 and Feb 4. There is a Bradley turn due Feb 3-5. The 16 TD low is due Feb 3.
Astro-wise we have Venus conj Pluto as it translates the Uranus/Pluto square Feb 5-6. Mercury translates this same pair Jan 30/31. Normally, the stock market makes it low before the Venus Pluto conjunction suggesting Feb 3 to 4 for the low. This would agree more with the astro/fib turns, however, a bit of a stretch for the 16 TD low to meld with the 5 week low on Feb 25 if the low comes on the 4th, but not impossible.
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