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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 25, 2007

Summary of Financial Markets and Economic Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Summary Forecasts & Analysis

By: Nadeem_Walayat

With so many differing opinions on market direction, each supported by good solid analysis, the reader can become lost in which way appears the most probable.

Therefore the following represent the Editor of the Market Oracle, Nadeem Walayat's summary forecasts of the most probable outcomes, as derived by technical analysis and research, much of which are published as articles to this site. New forecasts & comments to exisitng forecasts are added on each new update.

Commodity Markets
Gold

Gold Bull Market set to resume, targeting a rally to initially $847 and then $900 by the end of this year.

25/3/07 - Despite recent rally, gold looking weak in the immediate term, though has plenty of time to fulfill the forecast.

21st Jan 07
$636
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Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 24, 2007

Harness the Power of China’s $1 Trillion! - Gala Edition / Stock-Markets / Investing

By: Money_and_Markets

Martin Weiss - The timing of our second international teleconference this week couldn't have been better.

Every single one of the foreign stock markets we covered has since shaken off its earlier correction ... turned sharply higher ... and blasted off toward new highs.

So I hope you were able to make it and call in at the appointed hour. But if you couldn't, this double-length special issue gives you a second opportunity to get the information in a handy, readable format ...

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 24, 2007

Stock & Commodity Markets Elliott Wave Analysis - 25th March 07 - Testing, 1, 2 . . . 3? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Dominick

What a week… again! Once more, the boat was extremely tilted to one side and it had to sink. But not the market, this time it was the bears that really took a soaking. Members of TTC and regular readers of this update, though, continued to bank plenty of profits.

Since the markets broke from the top a few weeks ago, I've insisted on two things. The first was that I wasn't going to label the big picture yet. Even though we were fortunate to be among the few, if not the only ones to navigate last year's rally all the way to the top, I didn't like that drop last month at all – at least not as the start of a bear market. It would have been easy to take a bow, and congratulate myself on a job well done, but I'm always looking for the next trade and I said the fast selloff from 1461 opened doors for alternatives that included new highs AND new lows.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 24, 2007

Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 24th Mar 07 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: Last week new lows evaporated. On the NASDAQ new lows declined on both Thursday and Friday in spite of declines in the NASDAQ composite (OTC). The picture was similar on the NYSE with only 7 new lows recorded on Friday.

Short Term
Martin Zweig's up volume indicator got a lot of publicity in technical circles when it was triggered last week. The indicator was also triggered on March 6, but analysts' were probably too afraid to notice that time.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, March 23, 2007

Amex Oil Index (XOI) getting set for a possible strong Upside Breakout / Stock-Markets / Oil Companies

By: David_Petch

The chart of the XOI is getting more and more interesting each week. The XOI has shot up the past few days and is set to break out of an apparent wedge structure; should it break to the upside then the next impulsive move is underway. The Bollinger bands are still contracting, indicating a contraction in volatility (sorry, not revealing much information in their current pattern).

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Stock-Markets

Friday, March 23, 2007

Stock Market Bounce due to Fed Liquidity / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

The Fed pumped in a ton of liquidity that is supporting the market's up movement. Sometime next week, the S&P 500 (and the other indexes) will meet resistance when they close their gaps as seen on the chart below.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, March 23, 2007

Financial Markets Manipulation - The Rise of the Bernanke Put Option? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson - Did you see that monster rally on Wednesday afternoon? The one that sent the Dow up more than 150 points in the blink of an eye? If you're wondering what caused it, I have an answer for you …

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke is trying out the “Greenspan put!”

Alan Greenspan, our last Fed Chairman, was notorious for solving market crises by lowering interest rates. In fact, the Wall Street crowd even dreamed up a nickname for this — the Greenspan put.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Wednesday, March 21, 2007

Stock market and natural resources recovery continues / Stock-Markets / Metals & Mining

By: Clif_Droke

The market indicated its super-oversold condition to us soon after the Feb. 27 sell-off based on volume and put/call ratio indications. The bottom has since been confirmed and Wednesday witnessed the big rally day everyone has been waiting for. The market rewarded our patience on Wednesday by rallying 24 points, or 1.71%, as measured by the S&P 500 index (SPX).

As of Wednesday the number of stocks making new 52-week highs on the NYSE was 239 versus only 19 new lows. The number of new lows over the past week has held consistently below 40, a sign that internal selling pressure is almost non-existent. That's a big positive from a technical standpoint and it proves that the recent damage done by the Feb. 27 panic selling was over-done and bound to be recovered. As of Wednesday we've recovered most of those losses as measured by the SPX.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 19, 2007

FTSE 100 and Dow Jones Stock Market Analysis and Outlook / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The FTSE last week fell and hit its target of 6000, followed by the anticipated bounced as summarised below. (Article - 13th March 07)

FTSE 100
The FTSE 100 is targeting 6000, there is a strong probability of the FTSE holding 6000 (5990 low). Further downside appears limited in the immediate down swing.

The FTSE continued its rally on Monday to complete the target requirements for the bounce from 6000. I.e. to effectively put in a lower high, and therefore now again targets a trend back to 6000.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, March 19, 2007

Another View on the recent Stock Market Panic / Stock-Markets / US Utilities

By: Roger_Conrad

Speaking engagements are one of the more useful aspects of my job.

This weekend, I'm at the Renaissance Waverly Hotel in Cobb County, Georgia, for the WealthExpo.

I look forward to meeting many readers and hearing of their concerns and queries, and I'll be summing them up in next week's Utility & Income. Utility Forecaster subscribers please note: This issue's Roundup has a brief, between-issues roundup of every Portfolio recommendation.

As the past week's extremely turbulent market events showed yet again, the world's investment markets are increasingly connected.

Events that may seem wholly unconnected on the other side of the globe are increasingly affecting investors everywhere.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, March 19, 2007

Nolte Notes - Financial Markets attempting to make a bottom in the short-term / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Paul_J_Nolte

The issue du jour has been alternating between the sub-prime mortgage “contagion” and China trying to slow their economic growth and by extension the speculation in their markets. Banks, brokerage firms as well as loan companies directly involved in the mortgage business are being affected, however no one is quite sure how pervasive the problem is (or can be) and ultimately the impact upon the consumer and the economy.

Retail sales came in below expectations as weather was cited as a problem (what IS good shopping weather?) and brokerage earnings reports outlined some problems with their sub-prime mortgages – but little else was disclosed. China is a whole separate issue, as their local market has doubled in less than a year and the government has hiked both interest rates (again this weekend) and increased investment requirements for speculation.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, March 19, 2007

Three Sweeping Events in China's Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Money_and_Markets

Suddenly, just in the past week, China has jumped ahead with three sweeping reforms to solidify its growth, bolster its financial markets, and more rapidly transform itself into a 21st century market economy.

Each step, when taken separately, is fuel for more growth. All three, when combined, are electrifying.

Whether or not these reforms bring more political freedom to China remains to be seen. But they're likely to set off a chain reaction of further legal changes, and ultimately, an end to nearly all vestiges of communism in China's economy.

Reform #1 Chinese National Legislature Passes New Property Law

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 18, 2007

Financial Markets Wrap - US Economy, Bonds, Currencies and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo

Economy - The Labor Department reported a 0.4% increase in the consumer price index, which followed on the heels of a 0.2% increase in January. Core prices, excluding food and energy, were up 0.2%, and 2.7% from one year ago. Overall prices are up 2.4% from last year.

Food prices comprise about 20% of the CPI. They increased 0.8%, the most since April 2005, after a 0.7% rise in January.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Sunday, March 18, 2007

Weekly Financial Markets Review - More weakness expected this week / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The corrective stock market rally continued into Monday with targets of 50% of the decline from the highs. The Dow hitting 12,350 on Monday and the FTSE enjoying a morning rally on Tuesday to just shy of 6280. Tuesday evenings article - The Corrective Rally is over as the Stock Markets tumble on more Subprime bad news Summarised targets for the current down leg as follows -

FTSE 100
The FTSE 100 is targeting 6000, there is a strong probability of the FTSE holding 6000 (5990 low). Further downside appears limited in the immediate down swing.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 17, 2007

S&P Stock Market Analysis & Forecast : Knockdown, Drag Out / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Dominick

“I also think the boxing gloves might come off and we'll be in for a real street fight at the first gap off the lows.”

If you read last week's update, then you should've been expecting the total bull vs. bear streetfight that broke out like a gang riot at Wednesday's lows.

But did you have the guts to pull the trigger?

There were two things I mentioned last week that should have had readers buying Wednesday's lows with no sweat. The first was the quote above, and the second was this:

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 17, 2007

Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 17th March 2007 / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: The weakness that began late last month should end soon, although, there is likely to be one more leg down.

Short Term
New lows dry up quickly after a bottom has been reached.

The first chart is an update of one I showed last week, it covers the past 6 months showing the S&P 500 (SPX) in red and a 10% trend of NYSE new lows (NY NL) in brown. Dashed vertical lines have been drawn on the first trading day of each month and NY NL has been plotted on an inverted Y axis to make the chart easier to read (up is good).

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Saturday, March 17, 2007

The Yen Carry Trade, Mortgages and Fingers of US Housing Instability / Stock-Markets / Yen Carry Trade

By: John_Mauldin

This week we look at the yen carry trade, delve deeper into the mortgage lending world, and see if we can find a possible connection between them and the economy in general through something called complexity theory. As I have written for many months, I think the subprime mortgage problems are going to be the catalyst for a recession. We look at some ways that the contagion in this small part of the housing market could spread.

Bubbles have consequences far beyond their causes when they burst. That is because they encourage irrational behavior and expectations not just in the asset that is rising in price, but in surrounding areas. As an example, remember the internet bubble? There were 350 internet stocks at the end of 1999, comprising a mere 6% of the market cap of total US equities. But the NASDAQ dropped by over 70%. The damage was not confined to just internet stocks.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Friday, March 16, 2007

Stock Market Relative Strength Analysis Suggest More Falls in Share Prices / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Marty_Chenard

We don't show this chart very often, but one on the things that our paid subscribers see every morning before the market opens is our Ratio of the % of Stocks with Upward Strength vs. the % with Downward Weakness.

Every night, we run a strength measuring analysis of all the stocks on all the indexes ... on over 8,000 stocks. This is a measurement of the broad market for every stock with a value over $2.00.

Why is this important?

Very simply ... a market that is rallying up has more stocks trending up than down, so its ratio is a positive number. The higher the ratio number is, the stronger the rally gets. The opposite is also true ... when the Ratio is negative, then there are more stocks in a down trend compared to those in an up trend, and therefore the market trends down.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 15, 2007

US Utilities Analysis - The Greed Factor / Stock-Markets / US Utilities

By: Roger_Conrad

“Greed is good,” says Michael Douglas' Gordon Gekko in Oliver Stone's cult classic, Wall Street. Undeniably, the world's financial markets are based on self-interest, which is why they work so well moving capital around the globe. Money will only go where it can be used profitably--that is, filling a need and thereby increasing the world's wealth.

Markets work best, however, when the self-interest driving them is enlightened. In other words, there's a huge difference between decisions made solely to grab a big payday and those based on sound business principles.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, March 15, 2007

Investing in Malaysia and my take on the Stock Market Falls / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: Money_and_Markets

I'm writing to you from the 33rd floor of the Kuala Lumpur Hilton, in the capital and largest city of Malaysia. One of three main Malaysian territories, metropolitan Kuala Lumpur is home to 6.9 million of Malaysia's 26.6 million citizens.

I've been here in the city, which locals call “KL,” for three days. Let me sum up what I've observed: KL, and Malaysia in general, are hotter than hot! And I don't mean just the weather, which is 97 degrees and humid. I'm talking about the country's economy.

Chic, vibrant, youthful, exciting, buzzing — those are just some of the words I'd use to describe the scene here. Like other Asian cities, KL is a melting pot. There are people of original Malay descent, along with Chinese, Indians, and other indigenous ethnic backgrounds.

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