Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, September 30, 2008
Stock Market Meltdown On Bailout Rejection / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
I'm writing this around 6:00 AM and the market futures are up this morning following yesterday's 777 point drubbing of the DOW, which came after the House of Representatives voted no against the Wall Street bailout package. We are in a pure crash mode in the market. After the close yesterday I looked at the internal figures and 97% of the volume on the Nasdaq was to the downside - that's a figure I never have seen before.
On the national news last night there was talk of expecting a crash today. And of course we've heard doom and gloom pronouncements by President Bush, Treasury Secretary Paulson, and Ben Bernanke that if their bailout for Wall Street wasn't passed there would be a stock market crash and massive bank failures.
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Tuesday, September 30, 2008
Surprise Bailout Plan Rejection Sends US Stock Market Crashing / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
William Patalon III writes: In a move that will reverberate from Wall Street to Main Street, the U.S. House of Representatives yesterday (Monday) voted to reject a compromise $700 billion banking-bailout bill, an act of stunning defiance that eradicated $1.2 trillion in shareholder wealth as U.S. stocks endured their biggest one-day point loss in history.
The blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average Index plunged 777.68 points, or 6.98%, to close at 10,365.45. The tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index plummeted 199.61 points, or 9.14%, to close at 1,983.73. And the broader Standard & Poor's 500 Index plunged 106.59 points, or 8.79%, to finish the day at 1,106.42.
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Tuesday, September 30, 2008
Stock Market New Lows and Institutional Selling Trend Indicators / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Many of you remember this past July when I reported about the existing banking risk to your family and yourself. Back then, I noted that Cindy and I had closed all our accounts at Wachovia and went to a sound local bank. We knew we wanted to exit Wachovia and we knew which local bank we wanted because we obtained the VERIBANC REPORTS.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 29, 2008
Could Paulson's Dead Bailout Plan Have Worked? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
The purpose of Outside the Box is to present views which cause us to think through our basic assumptions. This week our old friend Michael Lewitt of Hegemony Capital Management gives us a view as to why the bailout bill going down may not be as bad as I think it might. There is much we agree on, however. And part of our agreement is that a deeper recession is in our future. Let me be clear. Muddle Through is now at risk.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 29, 2008
Financial Markets Crash into a Credit Freeze Ice Age / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Pre NO Vote Commentary -The greatest transfer of wealth in history (from those who hold their money in paper to those that don't) took a GREAT LEAP forward since the last edition of this newsletter. The wall of money which will someday become known as the great REFLATION began in earnest in the last two weeks. The MONETARY flooding we anticipated then has now MATERIALIZED and the initial BLANK checks have been written. A whopper of a BLANK check is due to arrive sometime in the next week (I am writing this on a Sunday morning) when the BAILOUT of the biggest banks and brokers in the world is FINALIZED and we actually get to see 120 pages of POLITICAL compromises. A political compromise means political supporters will BENEFIT while the PUBLIC gets FLEECED.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 29, 2008
Dow Jones Stock Market 777 Point 7% Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
In a classic example of the market knows best, stocks opened sharply lower by some 350 points in the first hour ahead of the Congress Bailout vote some hours later in the day which left many mainstream commentators confused as the over-riding expectations were that stock markets 'would' rally ahead of and in anticipation of the YES vote on Bush, Paulson and Bernanke's proposed $700 billion bailout down payment on the buy up of the financial sectors holdings of toxic mortgage backed securities.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 29, 2008
Stock Market Crash Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
In part one of this series , we addressed a few speculative investments that might rise over the next few years. We would like to stress that most assets will fall in a deflationary environment . We have therefore focused on preserving portfolios with U.S. Treasury Bills held at more secure financial institutions .Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 29, 2008
Flawed $700 Billion Bailout Plan / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
William Patalon III writes: Even with a congressional compromise having been reached, the $700 billion credit-crisis bailout plan will remain the headline story this week as analysts monitor whether the deal is viewed as a good one, or is ultimately regarded as a flawed deal that can only do damage to the U.S. economy over the long haul.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 29, 2008
Stock Markets Crash D-Day as Black October Approaches / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Martin Weiss writes: Tomorrow is your last chance to get on board with new inverse investments for massive profit potential in a Black October.
Plus, tomorrow is also your last opportunity to join us before we double our prices starting October 1. No exceptions, please.
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Monday, September 29, 2008
Stock Market Crash is Inevitable! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
We've heard that before, huh? But this time it is real.
“The US stock market could suffer a devastating crash with shares losing a third of their value this week…” “…a meltdown of 1929 proportions…” “Officials close to Paulson are privately painting a far bleaker portrait of the fragility of the global economy than that advanced by President George W Bush…” “…the message from government officials is that “the economy is dropping into the john.”
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Sunday, September 28, 2008
Unprecedented Stock Market Volatility, Unpredictable Future / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading
Apart from Monday’s opening salvo, it was quieter week for global equities. After Monday’s dramatic reversal, daily movements between high and low, were mostly restricted to sub 2% range days. Between Monday the 15th and Monday the 22nd of September, the level of volatility was unprecedented. The US S&P moved 3.5% between the high and low of the day, something not seen since 1982, according to Jason Goepfert’s Sentimentrader.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 28, 2008
Is the West Manipulating the Russian Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Russia
We have all seen considerable fluctuations on World Stock Markets before, but the recent fall witnessed on the RTS (Russian Trading System/Stock Market) has a hint of more than just a loss of confidence in the companies and Russia.Since a peak in May of this year, we have seen a drop of 46 percent, creating a loss (on paper) of $700 billion! It seems odd that many of the companies hardest hit appear to be oil companies like: Rosneft, Lukoil and Gazprom.
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Sunday, September 28, 2008
Last Chance for Financial Crisis Truth / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Martin Weiss writes: On this fateful Sunday morning, while Congress inches closer to approving the greatest financial bailout in history, while we teeter on the brink of what the President himself calls "a financial panic," and while you and I enjoy the momentary luxury of a quiet respite, it's time to sit back and take a long, hard look at what's best for us, our country, our children and their children as well.
This is a defining moment of your lifetime and mine. It's the moment I have been writing you about — and helping friends like you prepare for — week after week, month after month.
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Sunday, September 28, 2008
Baillout Plan Deal to Ignite Stock Market End Quarter Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: A bottom is near.
Short Term When, speaking of the economy, the President declares "This sucker is going down", short term indicators lose their relevance.
Intermediate Term The high number of new lows a week ago imply a high likelihood of a retest of the September price low.
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Saturday, September 27, 2008
Bailout Secret- To Prevent $68 Trillion Derivatives Collapse Chain Reaction / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Paulson doesn't give a toss about the balance sheets. It's what's OFF them that's frightening him to death. When I read Shah Gilani's excellent analysis How to End the Credit Crisis at No Cost to US Taxpayers which was much better than the analysis that I wrote a few days previously “How to save the US Taxpayer $700 Billion and the Failure of "Mark to Market" the penny finally dropped.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 27, 2008
How I Would Have Fixed the Credit Crisis Fiasco / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I was speaking to a standing-room-only crowd at a North Carolina investing conference recently when a sharply worded question soared over the group from a gentleman seated in the back row – and who was clearly agitated by my analysis of the whole bailout-plan situation.
“How would you have handled it differently, Mr. Smarty-Pants?” he asked, in a challenging voice.
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Saturday, September 27, 2008
WaMu America's Biggest Bank Failure / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
In what is by far the largest bank failure in U.S. history, federal regulators seized Washington Mutual Inc. and struck a deal to sell the bulk of its operations to J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.
The collapse of the Seattle thrift, which was triggered by a wave of deposit withdrawals, marks a new low point in the country's financial crisis. But the deal, as constructed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., could hold some glimmers of hope for the beleaguered banking system because it averts any hit to the bank-insurance fund.
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Saturday, September 27, 2008
End of the Financial World- LIBOR TED Spread Flashes Trouble / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
- Who's Afraid of a Big, Bad Bailout?
- It's the End of the World As We Know It
- The TED Spread Flashes Trouble
- The Transmission Mechanism
- Let's Make a Deal
Flying last Tuesday, overnight from Cape Town in South Africa to London, I read in the Financial Times that Republican Congressman Joe Barton of Texas was quoted as saying (this is from memory, so it is not exact) that he had difficulty voting for a bailout plan when none of his constituents could understand the need to bail out Wall Street, didn't understand the problem, and were against spending $700 billion of taxpayer money to solve a crisis for a bunch of (rich) people who took a lot of risk and created the crisis. That is a sentiment that many of the Republican members of the House share.
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Saturday, September 27, 2008
Growing Risk of Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
As you know, a strong oppositional disagreement occurred in Congress last night causing the current Bail Out Plan to be on hold. This was bad timing as Washington Mutual collapsed last night with J.P. Morgan buying their assets.
What is now developing is a "confidence crisis" in our banking system, the Federal Reserve, and our Government. That means Congress has less time to act because the probability of panic break outs are increasing.
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Friday, September 26, 2008
Stock Markets In Limbo Awaiting Bailout Decision / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
With about three hours remaining in this crazy week, let's notice this morning's weakness established a secondary low in the e-Mini Dec S&P for this week at 1194.75 compared with Wednesday's low at 1180.25--and compared to the week ago yesterday (9/18) low at 1136.25. Can we call these three lows part of a near base-building effort? Yes, unless 1180.25 is violated, which will weaken the base-building scenario. To trigger initial upside confirmation of a near-term base, the e-SPZ -- a proxy for those trading the S&P 500 Depository Receipts (AMEX: SPY) -- must hurdle and sustain above 1218 and then 1225.00. For the time being, however, the index is in limbo -- along with the US Congress.Read full article... Read full article...