Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, December 02, 2008
Inflated Egos Next Bubble To Burst / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Captain_Hook
As a follow-up to last week's commentary on the chronic complacency that has gripped the investing public, a population that thinks ‘ big daddy ' will bail them out of all troubles forever apparently, once its realized by the masses this belief is a falsehood , a sense of panic will enter the collective psyche, and the issue of our inflated egos will finally be addressed. Of course in the meantime the bureaucracy is doing a great job of keeping the mob's attention off of real issues, much in the spirit of Rome's bread and circuses so long ago now. In knowing this the question begs, ‘have we not progressed past the failings of our forefathers in matters of society?' Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 01, 2008
Nasdaq Retraces 50% of Upmove / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) are pressing towards a 50% giveback of the prior 5-session upmove, at 27.25, which is the next significant support plateau beneath the 11/25 pullback low of 27.52. If 27.25 does not contain the selling pressure, then we should expect downside continuation that fills the gap area from 11/24 in the 27.00-26.65 target zone.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 01, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Rally Continues During December / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend -
Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over earlier than anticipated and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2012- 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - intermediate low may have been reached in November, but this remains to be confirmed. There is good possibility that January 2009 will bring a new low, or at least a test of the lows.
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Monday, December 01, 2008
Stock Market Santa Rally Could Correct this Week / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Markets pulled their socks up last week, with global equities putting some distance between the November lows and Friday’s close. The FTSE 100 enjoyed a 13% weekly gain, while the Dow, S&P500 and Nasdaq are up 17.1%, 19.9% and 18.3% from the November lows respectively. The week started well with traders liking what they saw in the massive bailout of Citi group.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 01, 2008
European Banks to be Hit by Collapsing Emerging Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Money_and_Markets
Jack Crooks writes: Most investors are understandably fixating on the spectacle of the U.S. debt crisis and Washington's $7.8 trillion in loans, investments, commitments and guarantees designed to end it. Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, November 30, 2008
Stocks Head into Seasonally Second Strongest Month of the Year / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is: New lows all but disappeared over the past week.
Short Term In an up trending market the down days give you the best information. We have not had a down day in the past week.
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Sunday, November 30, 2008
Investors Give Thanks for Stock Market Five Day Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
The holiday-shortened Thanksgiving week brought investors an additional item to be thankful for when stock markets closed higher for five consecutive trading days - a rare winning streak last accomplished in July 2007. The S&P 500 Index has gained 19.1% since the start of the rally on November 21 and 12.0% on the week, registering the largest weekly gain since 1974. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 29, 2008
Important Questions for the Stock Market and U.S. Economy / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes: It's a beautiful, long holiday weekend. I've been celebrating Thanksgiving (and my birthday) with my family, and I'm sure many of you are also busy with relatives and friends. So I'm going to keep this week's column short.
Specifically, I'm going to highlight three big questions we should all be thinking about — and offer up my best answers. I feel these are the most important three questions to ask right now because the answers will determine the next big moves in the market and the U.S. economy.
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Saturday, November 29, 2008
Important Aspects of Dow Theory Interpretation / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
By: Tim_Wood
It's amazing how many people write articles and publish material on Dow theory. The sad thing is that the vast majority of the material I see is dead wrong. Recently, I was sent an older article that was published by a Certified Financial Analyst stating that a Dow theory “buy signal” was triggered on April 18, 2008. I was asked why that so-called signal failed and why my read on the Dow theory has proven correct. It's simple. When I read these articles I always see a common denominator in that it becomes immediately apparent that the author had never actually studied the original writings of Charles H. Dow, William Peter Hamilton or Robert Rhea. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 29, 2008
Stock Market Patterns Suggest More Upside / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Jack_Steiman
I'll keep things brief tonight as the holiday shortened week didn't do much to change my outlook from Wednesday. What appears to be setting up is the exact opposite of what was happening in the down trend for several months. The 60's would flash amazingly strong positive divergences along with very oversold conditions and the market could barely rally. The 60's are now very overbought with some strong negative divergences out there but it's not mattering. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 28, 2008
Healthcare Stocks ETF Looking Robust / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Many of the major components of the SPDR Select Healthcare ETF (AMEX: XLV) have been acting well technically and exhibiting patterns that argue for more upside directly. These include Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Merck (MKR), Pfizer (PFE) and Eli Lilly (LLY). Let's expect continued strength in the ETF that next confronts a key 8-week resistance line, now at 25.35/40. If hurdled that will trigger upside follow-through towards my optimal target zone of 27.20/60.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 27, 2008
Is the tide turning for the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
I posed the following question a few days ago: “ Does the stock market rally have legs? ” We have now had four days in a row of a higher market, something we have not seen since June this year. This is also the S&P 500 Index's biggest four-day surge (+18.0%) since 1933.
A sharply weaker opening yesterday as a result of a barrage of gloomy economic reports was followed by a reversal on the news of former Fed Chairman Paul Volcker's appointment to a new White House Economic Recovery Advisory Board tasked to revive growth in the US. Involving the 81-year Volcker in this way is a smart move by President-elect Obama.
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Thursday, November 27, 2008
Dow Jones Stock Market Index Defies Gravity And Reality / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: PaddyPowerTrader
The Dow Jones is now on a 1,000 point, four day winning streak in a defiant bear market rally that defies the ever darkening economic backdrop and the awful cowardly terrorist attacks in Mumbai. So as the ghastly slew of economic data continued unabated yesterday the reality is that this mini rally has probably a lot to do with month end portfolio adjustments from cash and bonds into stocks. Look at US 10 year Treasuries yields which are below 3%, so the bond market is blowing this rally a big raspberry. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 27, 2008
The Millennium Wave Suggests Dramatic Technological and Economic Changes / Stock-Markets / Resources Investing
By: John_Mauldin
- A Thanksgiving Fire Drill
- The Financial Fire Trucks Are Gathering
- The Millennium Wave
"It will therefore be crucial that you see the world anew. That means looking from the outside in to reanalyze much that you have probably taken for granted. This will enable you to come to an understanding. If you fail to transcend conventional thinking at a time when conventional thinking is losing touch with reality, then you will be more likely to fall prey to an epidemic of disorientation that lies ahead. Disorientation breeds mistakes that could threaten your business, your investments and your way of life." -- James Dale Davidson and Lord William Rees-Mogg, The Sovereign Individual, 1997
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Wednesday, November 26, 2008
Dow Jones Three Up Days In A Row! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: PaddyPowerTrader
After the helter skelter of the previous two days of headline-grabbing gains, the stocks markets went about their business in a more sedate manner yesterday. They still finished above water , extending their winning streak to three. Equities were buoyed by Hank and Ben's latest trick, direct intervention into the frozen mortgage markets.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
Stock Market Rally Impressive Resiliency / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Mike_Paulenoff
One thing is for sure: the major equity market ETFs in general, and the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) in particular, all have exhibited some impressive resiliency today -- in the aftermath of 13-14% upmoves since last Friday's low. As to whether or not the pullback from 28.80 to 27.52 in and of itself represents a completed minor correction, I really don't know just yet. A climb that sustains above 28.30 ahead of the closing bell will argue that the Q's in fact have started a new upleg. Conversely, inability to hurdle 28.30 will leave open the likelihood of another loop to the downside that retests and possibly breaks today's intraday low at 27.52 prior to my expectation of another upleg.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
Does this Stock Market Rally Have Legs? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Global stock markets rallied for a second consecutive day after the US government agreed to rescue the beleaguered Citigroup (C) and as President-elect Obama introduced his administration's new economic team, emphasizing the need for quick action to hasten an economic recovery and signaling that he may be willing to keep at bay higher taxes for the wealthy.
The MSCI Word Index has improved by 10.1% since the start of trading last Friday, whereas the MSCI Emerging Markets Index lagged somewhat and registered a more modest gain of 4.6%.
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Tuesday, November 25, 2008
Citigroup Collapses! Global Banking System Shutdown Possible / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System
By: Money_and_Markets
It pains me deeply to announce that, despite the massive government rescue, yesterday's collapse of Citigroup could ultimately lead to a shutdown of the global banking system.
For many years, I hoped this would never happen, and I thought we might be able to avoid it.
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Tuesday, November 25, 2008
The Paradox of Deleveraging Will Be Broken / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Mauldin
We are clearly not having as much fun taking off leverage as we had putting it on, or at least the vast majority are not. This week in Outside the Box we look at some very thought-provoking insights from my good friend Paul McCulley, who helps us think about how we got here and what will be the end point. From the letter:
"But what ailed Lehman was but a manifestation of what ailed, and ails the global financial intermediary system: the presumption that grossly levered positions in illiquid assets can always be funded, because those doing the funding will always assume the borrower is a going concern."
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Monday, November 24, 2008
Stock Market Excellent Follow-Through Session / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
We had an excellent follow-through day to the rally on Friday. The indices gapped up at the opening, did have a quick pullback but held, and then came on very strongly. By late morning we had a pretty sharp pullback for about 20 minutes, but they held intraday moving averages, bounced and then made successively higher lows and higher high all afternoon until they finally spiked up with about 15 minutes to go at the session highs. At that point the Dow was up nearly 550 points, but they pulled back sharply over a 10- minute period, and with about 5 minutes to go, jumped back again.Read full article... Read full article...