Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, October 01, 2009
Stock Market Trading Back and Forth, Unwinding Nasty Divergences / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
That's all we're doing while trying to unwind those daily charts along with those nasty negative divergences. We go up. We go down. We go back up and then back down all in the same day. Tremendous whipsaw in wide and loose triangles as the bulls and bears fight it out between 1045/1080.
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Stock Market Investors Don’t Fight the Fed / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
By: Hans_Wagner
Martin Zweig, in his investment book “Winning on Wall Street” points out investors should not “fight the Fed”. In his book, he discusses the relationship between the discount rate and the performance of the US stock market. As he showed, most of the time, a rise in the discount rate leads to a lower average share prices. A drop in the discount rate leads to higher average share prices. Another concept called “two tumbles and a jump” indicates that two decreases in the discount rate within a six-month period lead to a jump up in the stock market. On the other hand, one or two rate increases within a 6-month period are moderately bearish for stocks. Three or more rate increases are extremely bearish.
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Financial Markets Driven by Uncertainty / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
By: Christopher_Laird
I can’t think of a better way to describe the last 2 years than as times of great uncertainty. Not only did we have two near catastrophic banking failures worldwide, but we also have the ever present Iran Israel nuclear contention. The USD held reasonably well during this period, although it’s weaker. In any case, gold has held up amazingly well over the period of the last two years too, in fact is at highs. What else is except US T bonds?
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Volatile Stock Market Session Ends Mixed / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The markets ended mixed but it was a wild ride, as volatile swings both ways whipped traders around.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Predicting the Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Paul_Lamont
Two years ago in The Return of Capital, Not The Return on Capital, we stated: "...as an indicator of a major trend reversal, 'Tens of thousands' of Japanese homemaker-traders are leveraging their bets on a fall in the yen. As global margin calls come in, investors will unwind their positions, and the homemaker-traders will find that they were the last ones to the party. We expect the Yen to appreciate for the long term, causing major pain for these novice investors." The weekly chart below of the Japanese Yen shows just how wrong those homemaker-traders have been.
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Financial Sector Crime, Regulation and Reform / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Mark_B_Rasmussen
We have had the most expensive and damaging crime wave in American history over the past few years, costing the American public $10-$11 trillion loss of net worth. You are probably as surprised as I am about the lack of investigations, indictments and prosecutions for crimes of this size. At last week’s G-20 meeting we heard a wonderful speech from our “Orator-In-Chief”.
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
This Stock Market Correction Is Dead / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Steve_Selengut
Actually, hindsight and the Investment Grade Value Stock Index (IGVSI) Bargain Level Monitor tell us that it died early in March 2009. More realistically, however, corrections don't die quite so abruptly. They are supplanted by rallies--- and vice versa.
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Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Stock Market Rydex Bullish and Bearish Leveraged Funds Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Guy_Lerner
As of Tuesday's close, the amount of assets in the Rydex bullish and leveraged funds exceeded the amount of assets in the bearish and leveraged funds by a ratio of more than 2 to 1. Over the past 3 months, this measure of excessive investor enthusiasm for equities has coincided with more selling than buying.
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
This Stock Market Sentiment Indicator Always Works / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Q1_Publishing
Last Friday the folks at Fox Business News invited your editor on to talk about gold (view clip here – I come on at about the 21 minute mark).
If you watch the video, it won’t take long to see Fox Business probably won’t be having me back on anytime soon.
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Fed Fuelling the Next Stock Market Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Claus_Vogt
Every few weeks the world’s most powerful and influential central bankers — those in charge of the world’s number one reserve currency, the U.S. dollar — come together in what’s called the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
They discuss the economy, interest rates, financial markets and whatever else they deem important. Then they decide to set the Federal Funds Rate at a level they think is appropriate.
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Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Understanding How Stock Market Divergences Work / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: INO
Do You Understand How Divergences Work in the Market?
In my new short video, I share with you some divergences that are taking place in the S&P 500 right now.
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Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Stock Market Drifting in No Mans Land / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
And that's just the way it is folks. Boring for sure. No fun. I get it. However, it is what it is. With 1045 being support and 1075/1080 being resistance, neither side was able to get anything done today. We're simply stuck, basically in the middle of the range, thus there's nothing more to do for the moment.
Wednesday, September 30, 2009
Stock Market Down Session Keeps Potential Top in Place / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices had a downday on Tuesday, giving back some of yesterday's big gains. The day started out with a move to new snapback highs on the S&P 500. At that point, the Nasdaq 100 failed to take out the highs, creating a negative divergence. They sold off quite sharply after consumer sentiment information came out. Then the market bounced, rolled over, and made their session lows in late morning until lunch.
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Tuesday, September 29, 2009
What Are the Big Institutional Stock Market Investors Doing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Marty_Chenard
I will be spending most of today flying back to North Carolina ... so I will make today's update short and sweet.
This morning, we will look at the recent and past Accumulation and Distribution actions by Institutional Investors.
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Tuesday, September 29, 2009
Stock Market Investors Anticipate "V" Shaped Recovery / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Paul_J_Nolte
The third quarter is rapidly coming to a close with another double-digit gain in the equity markets. Investors are nearly giddy over the possibility of a “V” shaped economic recovery that they are falling over each other to buy stocks. Will the fourth quarter pull the curtain on the recovery? Will the Fed begin to signal an end to their very easy monetary policy? Will home prices ever go up again? So many questions and a mere page to cover it all!
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Tuesday, September 29, 2009
China FXP ETF Downtrend Readying to Reverse? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The action in the ProShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Stock Index ETF (NYSE: FXP) since mid-June exhibits a series of lower-lows in price, higher-lows in momentum (RSI), and declining volume into weakness, all of which are warning signals that the current downtrend in the FXP is extremely stressed – and ripe – for a period of countertrend movement.
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Tuesday, September 29, 2009
Stock Market Close to Major Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: David_Petch
The daily chart of the Gold miners bullish percentage index (BPGDM) is shown below, with the HUI shown in green. In the past whenever the BPGDM reached 85 or higher, it was often associated with a top. At present the BPGDM has declined from 87 to 67, with an accompanying decline in the HUI. Full stochastics 1, 2 and 3 are shown below in order of descent, with the %K beneath the %D in stochastics 1 and 2. Based upon extrapolation of the trend, the potential downside could last for 3-4 weeks. Expect continued weakness in the gold stocks.
Tuesday, September 29, 2009
Bond Yields Yet to Confirm the New Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Donald_W_Dony
Over the past two decades, the US yield curve has been a very reliable indicator to the major peaks and troughs in the stock market. The periods in which the curve is steepest correlates closely to the bottom of the bear market. The opposite develops at market tops. When the yield curve is flat, this occurs at the top in the bull market.
Tuesday, September 29, 2009
Stock Market Critical Support Holds / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Jack_Steiman
I talked about the first important, though not critical, support level on the indexes being the 20-day exponential moving averages. We tested down to those levels late last week but held and closed right near them. The key was to see if we were in a more immediate selling phase or not, which would be known by how the market responded today. It left little doubt about where we are on the journey.
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Monday, September 28, 2009
Trade Wars Guarantee An End To The Stock Market Party / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Captain_Hook
On one side of the formula we have the continued need for speed in monetary creation by whatever means, capably characterized by Doug Noland in his weekly commentary explaining that while it will all end badly, government largesse will likely get out of control before its all over. The point he is getting at here is that because of all it’s meddling, the government (and us) is locked in an inflation death grip it necessarily needs to keep building on or face implosion. So in essence, Doug is alluding to the risk of hyperinflation, or the closest we will ever come to it on a macro-scale. And he is perfectly correct in this accounting of our dire circumstances, and the eventual disastrous effects of all this government intervention to keep the bailout finance bubble growing. One day this thing is going to pop, like all bubbles do, and it will be game over for the global economy, US Dollar ($) hegemony, runaway socialism, and unchecked fiat currency regimes.