Wednesday, June 15, 2022

The Dow Industrials’ Big 8-Wave Cycle is Incomplete / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: EWI

"We finally understand our full Elliott wave position"

The Wave Principle's basic pattern includes five waves in the direction of the larger trend, followed by three corrective waves, as illustrated in both bull and bear markets below:

Wednesday, June 15, 2022

7 Things You Need to Know About Finances / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans

By: Steve_Barker

If you are an adult, then you will likely be in charge of your own finances. Most people are. However, if you don’t know a lot about proper financial management, then you won’t be able to make effective and sensible decisions for yourself. Bad financial decision-making can lead to a lifetime of misery and debt. Thankfully, learning to master one’s own finances isn’t as challenging as you might think that it is. All it takes to master them is some dedication and a few helpful articles. This post is one such article, and will tell you six things that you need to know about your finances:

Monday, June 13, 2022

Dow Stocks Bear Market Forecast Trend Trajectory / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Following a false break lower on 20th of May the stock market has managed to unwind some of what was an extremely oversold state, In fact that is 2 false breaks in a row on the Dow chart (red circles). Still the rally is galvanising many to start fantasising that the bottom is in when at the end of the day it is what it is a bounce from a very over sold state and thus a bear market rally that faces a lot of head winds when one considers all those who were buying stocks for a good month between Dow 34,250 and 35,250, who will now be eager for a chance to lighten their load on a rally back into their break even price zone which suggests that this bear market rally will terminate long before the Dow gets anywhere near 34,250 so I don't see much upside both in terms of price and time for this rally.

Sunday, June 12, 2022

Why Putin has KILLED Russia / Politics / Russia

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is also why Putin has effectively KILLED Russia as Russia already had a stagnating population that will now suffer the consequence of a huge brain drain of millions of Russia's best and brightest young minds escaping to a better life abroad, The irony of Putin attempting to protect Russia has in fact KILLED Russia's future! It's GAME OVER for Russia! China will likely seek to capitalise on this dying empire where any close links that Putin forms with Emperor Xi Ping will ultimately result in the loss of Russian territory to China, as several millions of Chinese slip over Russia's eastern border in an stealth invasion in the name of friendship.

Sunday, June 12, 2022

Trading the Calm Before the Stock Market Storm – Consider Putting On A Long Strangle / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants

By: Chris_Vermeulen

There are times when markets consolidate and move sideways in a relatively narrow range.  We often see low volatility, little trending, and “choppy” price action when the market is slow. 

Range-bound, consolidating markets eventually resolve in one direction or the other. Breaking out of a narrow range often takes a catalyst event like a highly anticipated economic report or – in the case of individual stocks – something like an earnings report or FDA approval. Quite often, it is the anticipation of the event itself that keeps price range-bound.  Without knowledge of the event outcome, both bulls and bears are waiting it out before making large commitments.

Sunday, June 12, 2022

Shrinkflation! / Economics / Inflation

By: MoneyMetals

Precious metals markets enter summer trading with investors looking for signs of a directional move.

Gold and silver prices consolidated this spring with silver showing more of a downside bias. Silver did find 200-week moving average support at the $21 level in early May, however. That long-term trend indicator is also now heading in an upward direction. So, there is a good chance that the lows for the year are in.

Metals markets have yet to fully reflect broader inflation pressures in the economy, a statement you’ve heard us repeat many times in recent months.

Sunday, June 12, 2022

6 Useful Tips To Help You Create A Good Marketing Strategy / Companies / Marketing

By: Steve_Barker

A good marketing strategy helps businesses identify their target audience and reach and engage that audience. It involves more than making advertisements and hoping that people will see them and buy what you're selling. Instead, it's a holistic approach that considers all the different ways customers might interact with your business. Here are six useful tips to help you create a good marketing strategy:

Saturday, June 11, 2022

Big Inflation Will Spur Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold investment demand should be soaring with serious inflation raging, catapulting gold way higher.  Yet recently it has greatly lagged fast-rising general price levels, confounding contrarian investors.  But history argues this anomaly won’t last, that eventually big inflation will spur gold.  Today’s terrible inflation super-spike fueled by extreme Fed money printing is the first since the 1970s, when gold rocketed up by multiples.

The most-widely-followed US inflation gauge is the Consumer Price Index.  While its components and calculation methodologies have been changed countless times, the CPI’s history extends back well over a century to 1913!  For an entire decade prior to April 2021, the monthly headline CPI averaged modest 1.7% year-over-year gains.  That long span didn’t see a single 4%+ print, even with pandemic-lockdown disruptions.

But something changed in April 2021, when the CPI suddenly accelerated up 4.2% YoY.  That proved its hottest read since September 2008, emerging from that year’s brutal stock panic.  The Fed itself blamed that mounting inflation on supply-chain disruptions.  The Federal Open Market Committee’s monetary-policy statement released late that month argued “Inflation has risen, largely reflecting transitory factors.”

Saturday, June 11, 2022

Economic "Hurricane": Here's a Take on a Bank CEO's Warning / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: EWI

Here's what reached a nadir as the war in Ukraine broke out

On June 1, a CNBC headline said:

[Major bank CEO] says 'brace yourself' for an economic hurricane caused by the Fed and Ukraine war

Yes, the U.S. central bank is engaging in so-called "quantitative tightening" and the war persists in Ukraine.

Yet, those cited "causes" of a possible economic "hurricane," like a severe recession or even a depression, are results themselves. For instance, the war in Ukraine resulted from a shift in social mood -- going from positive to negative.

Saturday, June 11, 2022

Axie Infinity (AXS)Mmade a lot of People Rich… Temporarily, What We Learned / Companies / cryptocurrency

By: Stephen_McBride

Axie Infinity (AXS) made a lot of people rich… temporarily.

In 2020–2021, the crypto token shot from about 14 cents to above $150… handing out a mind-boggling 107,000%+ return... in just one year.

And it didn’t just make investors rich. The Axie token is associated with a video game that pays you to play it. Players—many of them in poorer countries like the Philippines—were making up to $3,500/month.

Friday, June 10, 2022

The CRACK UP BOOM! Implications for Stocks, Housing. and Commodities, Silver Potential / Economics / Crack Up BOOM

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Dear Reader

Whilst everyone is rightly focused on the BEAR MARKET that continues to cycle through stocks delivering sharply lower prices (buying opps), and as bad as things are likely to get i.e. this bear market has a lot further to run. Nevertheless there are mega-trends under way (monsters) that likely will deliver new all time highs for all of my primary AI tech stocks, though at that time most folks could have far more to worry about than stock prices.

Friday, June 10, 2022

Crude Oil Price Trend Trajectory / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Donald_W_Dony

Buoyed by tight world supply and higher demand, Light crude oil prices are expected to reach the first resistance level of $124.50 over the next few weeks. WTI prices are being driven by several factors. First, the summer driving season in the US, and second by the relaxation of China's Covid curbs (Chart 1).

Friday, June 10, 2022

Is Your Apple iPhone Going Obsolete? / Companies / Apple

By: Stephen_McBride

By Chris Reilly Will you be throwing your smartphone in the garbage soon?

If you’re like me, you’re seeing more and more ads claiming your smartphone will be obsolete sooner than you think.

But just how soon… and why?

RiskHedge’s tech expert Chris Wood shares his predictions…

Friday, June 10, 2022

How Will Rising Crude Oil Prices Affect Demand and Gasoline? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Submissions

What are the new fundamentals for crude oil to look at this week? Could Asian demand be slowed down by Saudi Arabia raising its prices?

Crude oil prices soared earlier this week after Saudi Arabia said on Sunday it would raise crude oil prices for most regions except the United States. Just days after opening the floodgates a little wider (as announced last week following an OPEC+ meeting), Saudi Arabia wasted no time in raising its official selling price for Asia, its main market. It is worth noting that the country is one of the few OPEC members that has spare oil capacity. Thus, this decision to raise prices happens just when demand, especially in Asia, is increasing.

In the prediction contest, Goldman Sachs raised its forecast for the price of a barrel of Brent to $135 by the end of the year.

Friday, June 10, 2022

Will Ignoring Fundamentals Take Revenge on Bullish Stock Traders? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: P_Radomski_CFA

While the Fed strives to tame inflation, short-term investors continue to ruin its efforts with bullish actions. Will their love of risk pay off?

With the S&P 500 enjoying a mid-day rally on Jun. 7 and the GDXJ ETF (proxy for junior gold and silver mining stocks) following suit, the bulls warmed up to the idea of a "soft landing." However, with a much higher U.S. federal funds rate needed to cool inflation, the short-term optimism should be short-lived.

To explain, I've noted on numerous occasions that risk-on sentiment often reverberates across multiple markets. Therefore, when stocks bid higher, commodities usually follow, and this increases the Fed's inflation conundrum. As a result, investors' optimism enhances the pricing pressures.

Friday, June 10, 2022

Food and Gas Prices: Is the Rising Trend (Finally) Ending? / Economics / Inflation

By: EWI

The Elliott wave structure of a key commodity ETF provides a clue

Consumers around the globe are wondering when they will finally see some relief from rising prices at the gas pump and grocery store.

It's difficult for these consumers to get a handle on what to expect from reading recent headlines because some are conflicting.

Thursday, June 09, 2022

UK Housing Market Affordability Crisis / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Most academic housing market commentators focus on the various measures of housing market affordability or rather unaffordability as house prices despite the price crash of 2008-2009 never fell to anywhere near the affordability levels of the early 1990's housing bear market lows and therefore ivory tower academics have continued to cling onto expectations that a further house prices crash is inevitable so as to fit in with their theoretical models of where house prices should fall to in terms of affordability that gets liberally regurgitated in the mainstream press, and looking at the graph below it is very easy to be seduced by something that on first glance appears obvious that house prices really did have a long way to fall to reach the affordability levels of the past.

Tuesday, June 07, 2022

Dow Stocks Bear Market Trend Trajectory / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Following a false break lower on 20th of May the stock market has managed to unwind some of what was an extremely oversold state, In fact that is 2 false breaks in a row on the Dow chart (red circles). Still the rally is galvanising many to start fantasising that the bottom is in when at the end of the day it is what it is a bounce from a very over sold state and thus a bear market rally that faces a lot of head winds when one considers all those who were buying stocks for a good month between Dow 34,250 and 35,250, who will now be eager for a chance to lighten their load on a rally back into their break even price zone which suggests that this bear market rally will terminate long before the Dow gets anywhere near 34,250 so I don't see much upside both in terms of price and time for this rally.

Tuesday, June 07, 2022

The Horns of Fed‘s Inflation Dilemma / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022

By: Monica_Kingsley

S&P 500 gave up Thursday‘s gains much too easily – not even the short window of opportunity gets acted upon. Medium-term trend is winning – stocks will roll over to a fresh downtrend, it‘s a question of time. Bonds aren‘t offering too much of a reprieve – the 10-year yield didn‘t even decline below 1.70% when testing below 1.50% was doable. This merely highlights the brief time window for CPI inflation to make a peak – before raising its head once again. Commodity price inflation isn‘t going to be tamed, and Friday‘s non-farm payrolls have been a last good figure before we see further deterioration. As I wrote that Q1 GDP could very well be negative, the same goes for Q2 GDP – I‘m counting with stall speed.

For now, each upcoming Fed meeting till September, has 50bp rate hike priced in. The question remains what happens after September – would the Fed pivot already? Crude oil prices could be more than easing by that time, if you know what I mean. The focus would have shifted from inflation to economic growth support – that would be the drumbeat of the day. Precious metals are to be the first to anticipate the next dovish turn (backing off tightening), and that moment could happen later in summer. The copper upswing is likely to continue, and factors beyond China and supply with stockpiles, continue to speak against a deeper downswing. It‘s a bit similar to the realization that not even the OPEC+ production increase would be enough to satisfy world demand.

Tuesday, June 07, 2022

Quick loan, a new business strategy / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans

By: Mark_Adan

If you are looking for a better business policy and a new way to get start your business, quick loans are the right solutions for you.

• Quick loan is part of an innovative strategy which are different from the orthodox system of loans given by various banks.
• The lending process is simple and quick and you can succeed easily in the application process without any delay.
• If you are eligible for the application, the registration and verification process is very meek and feasible.
• After this lender will immediately transfer the required amount to your bank account and the online account as you wish.