Sunday, April 26, 2020

A Baby Boomer's Government Response to Covid-19 Plea / Politics / Coronavirus Depression

By: The_Gold_Report

Sector expert Michael Ballanger voices frustration with his own generation, which has "turned a blind eye" to the radical, fiscal and moral principles that shaped it.

I was born in the 1950s, a decade dominated by thousands of WWII servicemen marrying and starting families in the creation of the largest demographic in history, the "Baby Boom Generation." The 1950s saw Elvis Presley dominate the entertainment industry with ten #1 hits and the top box office movie was Disney's "Cinderella." Actors and actresses in the limelight included John Wayne and Marilyn Monroe, and the most popular sports figures were Jackie Robinson, Maurice Richard and Rocky Marciano, while politics were dominated by Eisenhower, Castro and Khrushchev. It was the decade that ushered in a "Cold War," which was the prelude to major attitudinal events of the '60s, including the Bay of Pigs Crisis and the assassination of JFK in '63.

Sunday, April 26, 2020

Stocks Bears Hoping To Win Battle At Confluence Of Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Ricky_Wen

Tuesday’s session saw an immediate downside continuation based off of Monday’s double top/lower high setup. Essentially, the bears broke support and hit a quick homerun into the daily 20EMA 2718 target on the Emini S&P 500 (ES), and then buyers/bulls showed up to put a temporary floor in place. It was a fairly simple trend day to the downside that could be classified as a ‘gap down and go’ day given the fact that the majority of the losses occurred during the overnight globex hours.

Sunday, April 26, 2020

What’s Next for Crude Oil Price? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

From the unimaginable lows, crude oil is shaking off the dust. Moving higher, can it rise like a phoenix?

Before moving to the technical part of today’s analysis, it seems that a quote from yesterday’s Oil Trading Alert would be appropriate:

Crude oil was just trading below 0. Well, not completely, but the nearest futures contract was trading below 0 for the first time ever.

In case you missed it, here’s the screenshot from finance.yahoo.com and yesterday’s price quote as it was falling.

Sunday, April 26, 2020

Buying a NEW Budgie, Parakeet From a Pet Shop - Jollyes UK / Personal_Finance / Animals & Pets

By: Anika_Walayat

What life was like before the lockdown - Anika and Eliza or back to the local Jollyes pet shop with a plan to buy a second budgie / parakeet. So that the green budgie we bought 10 days ago has a friend to play and live with it. Find out what budgie we buy will it be green or a different colour and how the budgies characters differ. As out green budgie is already very friendly after just 10 days of living with ut.

Though with the wide selection of pets on offer there was a tug of war underway, Hamsters, small mice, rabbits, fish and even rats on offer! Eliza wants a Rabbit whilst Anika wants a Mouse or Hamster. But the plan was to buy a Budgie! After all we have a budgie cage at home so can't suddenly switch to another animal. Find out what it's like to visit a pet shop like Jollyes pet food superstore to buy a pet Budgie and / or other animals for the first time. Not forgetting food and accessories.

Saturday, April 25, 2020

Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications and AI Mega-trend Stocks Buying Levels / Stock-Markets / Investing 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Coronavirus trend trajectories for both the UK and US ARE IMPROVING! I.e. Targeting 36,000 US deaths and 10,000 UK deaths far below the likes of Dr Fauci have been bandying around of a minimum of 100,000 to 240,000 deaths. With some late to game so called Medical experts are getting carried away with projections running to 1 million plus for the US which is NOT reflected in the trend trajectory. So it looks like many people have become infected with EXTREME PESSIMISM which is what happens at major market bottoms, as I concluded last week that we have probably seen the bear market low at Dow 18,200 which this weeks coronavirus data is confirming.

Therefore this improving coronavirus trend 'should' resolve in relative stock market strength during the coming week.

Saturday, April 25, 2020

US Housing Market Real Estate Crash The Next Shoe To Drop – Part II / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we continue to delve into the looming Real Estate crisis that will likely hit the US and globe over the next 12 to 24+ months, we want to focus on the human psychological process of dealing with a crisis event and how that relates to economic engagement.  In the first part of this research article, we discussed how the time-line and events that have unfolded over the past 120+ days have setup a continuing global crisis event.  The best of our knowledge, there has been nothing like this, other than massive wars like WWII, that have taken place on the planet over the past 75+ years.

This presents a very real possibility that human psychological processes have engaged throughout the planet that may disrupt how effective the recovery efforts are in the near future.  If humans engage in a traditional psychological crisis-cycle process, then there is little chance that the economic recovery will reach 2018-2019 levels very quickly.  Let’s review the psychological process of a crisis event.

Saturday, April 25, 2020

Junior Gold Miners Dangerously Close to the Cliff / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

There are times to keep being focused on higher timeframes, yet the finer ones do send valuable signals at times too. And today, every precious metals investor better pay attention to their message. Take a look at the below chart featuring the miners.

We will compare the junior miners to what GLD ETF and SPY did. The latter are ETFs representing gold and the S&P 500.

Saturday, April 25, 2020

Deflationary Psychology Versus the Fed: Here’s the Likely Winner / Economics / Deflation

By: EWI

Weeks before the February top in the DJIA, the January Elliott Wave Theorist (Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter's monthly publication about financial markets and social trends since 1979) said:

Most economists believe the Fed can prevent financial crises and depressions. [EWI's analysts] disagree. Socionomic theory proposes that naturally fluctuating waves of social mood regulate financial optimism and the economy. They are unconscious and cannot be managed. [emphasis added]

In case you're unfamiliar with socionomic theory, socionomics is the study of how society's changes in mood motivate social actions in realms that include the economy, political preferences, financial markets, actions of peace and war, and the fads and fashions of popular culture. Robert Prechter began formulating socionomic theory in 1976.

Friday, April 24, 2020

UK Covid-19 Deaths are REAL Extra Deaths, Coronavirus Catastrophe Current State / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My last analysis (Are Coronavirus Death Statistics Exaggerated? Worse than Seasonal Flu or Not?) focused on answering the question are Covid-19 real extra deaths or are they people who would have died anyway. The answer to which was expected to be in the weekly total registered death statistics as published by the ONS Where my analysis concluded in a central expectation for the number of total UK deaths registered for the week ending 3rd April to jump by 44%. And for every percentage below then Covid-19 could be deemed to be less significant, but for every percentage above then would deem to be more deadly.

Friday, April 24, 2020

Coronapocalypse Is Deeper than the Great Recession. Will Gold Shine Even More? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The recent economic reports show that the current coronavirus crisis will be bigger than the Great Recession. What does it imply for the gold market?

US Economic Data Paints a Gloomy Picture

This week was full of new reports about the US economy. And guess what, I don’t have good news… First of all, let’s start with the update about the weekly initial unemployment benefits. In normal times, the initial claims are not too keenly watched by investors. But in times of a pandemic, they are very informative. The spike in the initial claims may even become the symbol of this crisis. Anyway, the number of new claims for the unemployment benefits declined from 6.6 million in the previous week to 5.2 million in the week from April 4 to April 11, as the chart below shows.

Friday, April 24, 2020

US Real Estate Housing Market Crash Is The Next Shoe To Drop / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The past few weeks and months have been very interesting to see how the global central banks and governments have attempted to position themselves ahead of this COVID-19 virus event.  We continue to suggest that we are just starting the process of navigating through this potentially destructive virus event.  We believe the sudden onset of the virus pandemic has sent a shock-wave throughout the globe in terms of expectations and valuations that are, just now, starting to become “real”.  Let us try to explain our thinking and how this relates to Real Estate…

Before we continue much further, we suggest taking a moment to review our previous research articles related to the Real Estate market which we predicted the selloff and falling values. Both of these articles were at the top of the Yahoo finance and Google with hundreds of thousands the week we posted them:

Friday, April 24, 2020

Commodity Markets Crash Catastrophe Charts / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

After a long term bear market in most commodity related stocks we are starting to hear analyst talk about inflation. From a Chartology perspective the deflationary scenario is still in play but how much lower can this sector go? In tonights Weekend Report, I’m going to update some long term commodity charts we’ve been following for years to see where they are currently trading in their bear cycle.

Lets begin by looking at one of the most widely followed commodity indexes the CRB. This 20 year monthly chart clearly shows the bear market began in July of 2008 which puts the age of its bear market at 12 years and counting. The initial crash, out of the 2008 high, was the same crash that the stock markets and PM complex experienced. The countertrend rally out of the 2009 crash low setup the next important high in the ongoing bear market which was the 5 year H&S consolidation pattern. The impulse move out of that 5 year H&S consolidation pattern took the CRB index down to the January 2016 low where we saw another countertrend rally that concluded in May of 2018 forming the head of the 4 year H&S consolidation pattern. The H&S neckline gave way in February of this year and has reached the minimum H&S price objective at 134.23. The CRB index has now reached an important point within its impulse move down where we could see either another small consolidation pattern start forming, similar to the blue expanding triangle halfway pattern in 2005, or some type of reversal pattern.

Friday, April 24, 2020

Stock Market 40 Year Cycle - 1980 Part 2? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Submissions

We are tracking the 1980 correction in relation to the ongoing correction today. Thus far, the two have been shockingly similar.

1980 SHARE MARKET CHART 40 YEAR CYCLE

Thursday, April 23, 2020

US and UK Government Response to Coronavirus is Like RABBITS in the HEADLIGHTS! / Politics / Pandemic

By: Nadeem_Walayat

RABBITS IN THE HEADLIGHTS are the UK and US Government Response to Covid-19. Nearly always acting about 6 weeks after they should have done so and only then when in the midst of a panic, likely due to being advised by mad scientists who should not have been let out of their ivory towers!

They do not have a clue, not a single clue whatsoever, literally are rabbits in the headlights cannot even understand the most basic aspects of what's taking place. If anything should come out of this crisis than it should be less reliance on governments! Though I fear the exact opposite may transpire as governments use the pandemic to expand their reach into every aspect of ordinary citizens lives which does not bode well for the next crisis!

Thursday, April 23, 2020

Clapping for the NHS Heroes, Clap for Carers From Sheffield Across the UK Sound / Politics / NHS

By: Eliza_Walayat

Eliza joins the rest of Britain at 8'oclock to clap for the NHS heroes, clap for carers from Sheffield as the sound of clapping, banging of pots and pans, whistles and fireworks echo across the UK every Thursday night.

Even so the fact we have to do so is a sign of gross government negligence in the handing of the pandemic. None of which should have happened as Taiwan and South Korea illustrate.

Thursday, April 23, 2020

How Chart Price Gaps Help Market Traders Hit the "TARGET" of Opportunity / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

As many of us continue the process of working from home, isolated with young children and significant others day in and day out, the subject of price gaps feels paradoxically fitting.

Here's why: After countless hours of sharing the same tight-knit space of finger-painting on the walls, dirty dishes, and zero social outlet, in comes your partner. You nervously ask, "Are you okay?" To which she replies with the most frightening of all four-letter "F" words,

Wednesday, April 22, 2020

The Coming Impact of Coronavirus Economic Contraction in ASEAN Countries / Economics / Coronavirus Depression

By: Dan_Steinbock

After the COVID-19 earthquake and a historical contraction, China is rebounding, whereas advanced economies face a depression-like plunge. The consequent tsunami is about to hit Southeast Asia.

As the total number of confirmed cases may exceed 3 million and deaths will surpass 200,000 in a matter of days, the U.S. and Europe account for more than 80% % of both. What was an epidemic in China at the turn of January and February grew into a pandemic in the 1st quarter, thanks to the belated mobilizations in Europe and the US.

As I predicted in a mid-March briefing (TMT, March 23), what is about to follow is the great coronavirus contraction. Its economic impact will be comparable to the 1930s Great Depression. With more data available today, we have a better idea what’s about to happen, despite extraordinary uncertainty.

Wednesday, April 22, 2020

Central Banks Fire Bazooka at Coronavirus. Will Gold Rally? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The new coronavirus has already infected the global economy. The global lockdown means that recession is inevitable. The central banks all over the world have stepped in, including the Fed, cutting interest rates and pumping liquidity into the system. We invite you thus to read our today’s article about the monetary policy in time of plague and find out what the fresh central banks’ bazookas imply for the global economy and the gold market.

The new coronavirus has already infected the global economy. The global lockdown means that recession is inevitable. The central banks all over the world have stepped in, cutting interest rates and pumping liquidity into the system.

Wednesday, April 22, 2020

Coronavirus Burning Down the House / Economics / Coronavirus Depression

By: James_Quinn

Watch out you might get what you’re after

Hold tight wait till the party’s over
Hold tight We’re in for nasty weather
There has got to be a way
Burning down the house

Talking Heads – Burning Down the House

Wednesday, April 22, 2020

Bob Moriarty's Thoughts on the Coronavirus / Politics / Coronavirus Depression

By: The_Gold_Report

Bob Moriarty of 321gold shares his thoughts on the coronavirus.

If there was ever a time for real leaders to step forward and lead, the last four months would have been the time to do so. If there was an issue that demanded cooperation from all the nations of the world, we have seen it. Instead we have been fed a steady diet of disinformation and outright lies from almost every government at most levels. If these are the leaders, we ought to fire the whole lot and start anew. Instead of "women and children first," we are seeing "every man for himself."

I've been fairly quiet for the last ten days or so and a lot of people have been bugging me to write more. Certainly this is an important issue so I'll give you my thoughts.