Friday, July 24, 2015

Gold Mining Stocks Nearing Rebound / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Recently we've been writing about the downside potential in precious metals and the danger for precious metals bulls. The gold miners and Silver have led the rout while Gold finally cracked support ($1140-$1150/oz) last week. That led to a severe selloff across the complex. As we pen this on Thursday evening it appears Friday could be a nasty day if Gold breaks below $1080/oz. Nevertheless, the odds now favor a rebound in the weeks ahead and especially in the gold miners.

Friday, July 24, 2015

Gold Stock Carnage Continues Unabated / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

There is still no sign of any serious buying occurring in the gold mining sector. The HUI continues to plummet lower and has fallen to levels last seen in October and November of 2002! This is simply astonishing for its ferocity.

Friday, July 24, 2015

Misperceptions Create Significant Bond Market Value / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: John_Mauldin

In today’s Outside the Box, my good friend Lacy Hunt of Hoisington Investment Management reminds us that since the 1990-91 recession, the 30-year Treasury bond yield has dropped from 9% to 3%, a downward move nearly identical to the decline in the rate of inflation, which fell from just over 6% in 1990 to 0% today. Therefore, Lacy says, “(I)t was the backdrop of shifting inflationary circumstances that once again determined the trend in long-term Treasury bond yields.”

Friday, July 24, 2015

Commodities Distressed Investing / Commodities / Investing 2015

By: John_Mauldin

When most people think of distressed investing, they think of buying CCC-rated bonds at 20 or 30 cents on the dollar, then maybe sitting in bankruptcy court to divvy up the capital structure, making healthy risk-adjusted returns in the end. You just need to hire a few lawyers.

Distressed investors are a different breed of cat. It’s one of those countercyclical businesses, like repo men, who do well when everyone else is getting hammered.

Friday, July 24, 2015

What Blows Up Next? Part 1: Resource-Based Economies / Economics / Brazil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com The Great Recession and its aftermath was actually the best of times for countries with natural resources to sell. The US, Europe and Japan ran record deficits and cut interest rates to zero or thereabouts, sending hot money pouring into mining and energy projects around the world, while China borrowed (as it turned out) $15 trillion for an epic infrastructure build-out.

Friday, July 24, 2015

OPEC Shorts Are Driving Down the Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: The conflict between OPEC and U.S. shale/tight oil producers has entered a new phase. And the result has been an accelerated decline in oil prices.

Last November (on Thanksgiving no less), Saudi Arabia led an OPEC decision to hold production stable, followed by a later significant increase in volume. For the first time, the cartel had opted to protect market share rather than price.

Friday, July 24, 2015

USD Index Rebounds / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Nadia_Simmons

Earlier today, the U.S. Department of Labor showed that the initial jobless claims in the week ending July 18 dropped by 26,000 to 255,000, beating analysts' expectations for a 1,000 drop. In this environment, the USD Index bounced off session's lows and came back above 97. What impact did this move have on the euro, pound and Swiss franc?

Friday, July 24, 2015

If You’re Worried About a Tech Bubble, You’re Focusing on the Wrong Thing / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Google Inc. (Nasdaq: GOOGL) made major headlines Friday when an upbeat “read” of the search giant’s earnings report ignited a 16% surge in the company’s stock price.

That single-session bump added a whopping $65 billion to Google’s market value. And this came just one day after shares of Netflix Inc. (Nasdaq: NFLX) – another tech darling – zoomed 18%.

Friday, July 24, 2015

Gold Stocks Bear Market Bottom Buying Opportunity? - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The early year gold price rally soon peaked in mid January 2015 at $1307 that had fooled many gold bugs into assuming that the preceding multi-year bear market was finally over and that 2015 would see a strong price rally to possibly even new all time highs! However, so far 2015 has seen a series of failed rally's rolling over into downtrends to new lows, punctuated by flash crash days such as that which took place on the 19th of July that saw a series of flash crashes that lasted no more than a couple of seconds that took the gold price to well under $1,100, to a new five year low of $1080 before recovering a little to $1,100.

Thursday, July 23, 2015

The Stealth War on the United States / Politics / Cyber War

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: Late last month, Sony Corp. (NYSE: SNE) suffered the most catastrophic attack EVER on a U.S.-based company.

It was so epic in scale that analysts are calling it an act of war.

More details are coming out. And it may just be the tip of the iceberg.

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Did Gold Stocks Just Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: "Perhaps today was capitulation in the gold market," a CEO of a gold-mining company told me in an e-mail Monday evening...

Gold-exploration stocks had just lost 14% of their value in two days – based on the gold-exploration stocks fund, the Global X Gold Explorers Fund (GLDX). This CEO thought it could be the bottom in gold-exploration companies.

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Gold and Silver Falling, Coiling - The Slow Blues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jesse

"At its very inception this movement depended on the deception and betrayal of one's fellow man; even at that time it was inwardly corrupt and could support itself only by constant lies...

If at the start this cancerous growth in the nation was not particularly noticeable, it was only because there were still enough forces at work that operated for the good, so that it was kept under control. As it grew larger, however, and finally in an ultimate spurt of growth attained ruling power, the tumor broke open, as it were, and infected the whole body.

Thursday, July 23, 2015

The Epicenter of the Next Global Financial Crisis - Financial Dreadnoughts / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015

By: Jesse

The 'trigger event' for the next crisis could be elsewhere, someplace distant, and out of the way. The first World War was ignited by a political assassination over a fractious disagreement in Sarajevo that engaged an international web of interconnections.

Granted that hubris was on a high note, particularly in Germany, and the system itself was fragile and deeply interwoven.

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Commodity Prices, Gold and Silver Stocks Next Leg Down / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

There is a lot to go over tonight in regards to commodities and the precious metals complex. A while back I wrote a report on the commodities in general getting ready for the next possible leg down which will fuel the deflationary pressures that really took hold last about this time. That's when the US dollar finally broke out of its massive base and charged higher topping out in March of this year and has been consolidating those gains ever since. Lets start by looking at the big base the US dollar broke out of last year at this time and the strong impulse move up as shown by the string of white candlesticks. That's what a strong impulse move looks like when all the pent up energy finally has a change to escape.

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Commodities Damage to BRICs Economic Cushion / Economics / Emerging Markets

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Aside from $ trillions in monetary stimulus from the world's major central banks, a major source to the recovery from the 2008-9 global financial crisis emerged from the BRICs economies. The dependence on commodities exports from Brazil, Russia and China proved instrumental in these economies' rapid comeback thanks to the cushion from rapid gains in agricultural and energy prices from 2002 to 2008. But now that agricultural commodities have crashed, metals crumbled and energy plummeted, what becomes of the BRICs engine to the world economy?

Thursday, July 23, 2015

The ‘Real’ Reason the Fed Wants to Raise Interest Rates / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Gary_Tanashian

In case you thought you were smart enough to know why the Fed wants to do what it supposedly wants to do [1] MarketWatch sets you straight with the real scoop.  We’ll use this as a talking point and see what comes of it…

Here’s the real reason the Fed wants to raise rates

Policy makers want to give themselves some room to maneuver

That is the commonly held belief and who am I to dispute it?  A big part of the problem is and has been their refusal to begin a journey toward normalization 2 years ago, when the economy began to visibly (we noted the seeds of that improvement in January of that year) improve.  They had no confidence and I was left to wonder (aloud here, frequently and I am sure, sometimes obnoxiously) why Grandma [2] (and her 0% savings account payout) had to continue to bear the brunt of this non-action despite a recovering economy.

Thursday, July 23, 2015

The War on Cash is Now a Global Phenomenon / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015

By: Graham_Summers

More and more institutions are trying to make it harder for you to move your money into cash.

Globally, over $5 trillion in debt currently have negative yields in nominal terms, meaning the bond literally has a negative yield when it trades. In the simplest of terms this means that investors are PAYING to own these bonds.

Thursday, July 23, 2015

5 ways in which Real Estate has changed in the US in the last decade / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Submissions

Peter Scully writes: Following a ten year review of the real estate market in the United States, it is clear to see that things have changed a lot.  Ten years is a long time but in that period there is a huge difference, and it may be surprising to hear that it is not all related to finance.

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Gold and Gibson's Paradox / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Alasdair_Macleod

There is a myth prevalent today that the gold price always falls when interest rates rise. The logic is that when interest rates rise it is more expensive to hold gold, which just sits there not earning anything. And since markets discount future expectations, gold will even fall when a rise in interest rates is expected. With the Fed's Open Market Committee debating the timing of an interest rate rise to take place possibly in September, it is therefore no surprise to market commentators that the gold price continues its bear market. Only the myth is just that: a myth denied by empirical evidence.

Thursday, July 23, 2015

Stock Market Fluctuations Following Recent Rally - Flat Correction Or Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish