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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Interest-Rates

Monday, February 01, 2016

BOJ Negative Interest Rates Central Banking Crime Syndicate's War on Cash for Triggering Panic Consumption / Interest-Rates / War on Cash

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst most market commentators were fixated on the prospects for further Fed tightening, the so called unwinding of easy money quantitative easing in the United States. The Japanese arm of the central banking crime syndicate took the markets by storm Friday by effectively decreeing that inflation is just too low for the systematic stealth theft of bank deposits to continue so now it's time to ramp things up a notch with the next step which is for NEGATIVE INTEREST RATES. The FIRST instance of which will be that an interest rate of -0.1% will be applied to bank deposits (excess reserves) with the central bank, again this is just the FIRST instance with MORE or rather WORSE to follow which sends a discouraging message to all against holding Yen deposits, triggering an immediate drop of over 2% in the value of the Yen.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 01, 2016

Great News! This Bull Market Is About to Collapse / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Investment_U

Matthew Carr writes:By now, I’m sure you’ve heard that the East Coast was hammered by a Godzilla-sized snowstorm last weekend.

Ignoring the milk, bread and toilet paper, my wife and I loaded up on liquor, cookie dough and junk food in preparation of being snowed in for a few days. We made a list of all the movies we missed in theaters that are now On Demand. We took video of our dog spazzing out in the backyard.

All things considered, it was a pretty great weekend.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 01, 2016

More Stock Market, Gold Selling Next Week? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The SPX should hold about 1943/44 Monday and then drop to around 1850 by Feb 3 or 4. The astro/fib CIT turns are Feb 1 and Feb 4. There is a Bradley turn due Feb 3-5. The 16 TD low is due Feb 3.

Astro-wise we have Venus conj Pluto as it translates the Uranus/Pluto square Feb 5-6. Mercury translates this same pair Jan 30/31. Normally, the stock market makes it low before the Venus Pluto conjunction suggesting Feb 3 to 4 for the low. This would agree more with the astro/fib turns, however, a bit of a stretch for the 16 TD low to meld with the 5 week low on Feb 25 if the low comes on the 4th, but not impossible.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 01, 2016

Elites Set to Wipe Out Stock Market Shorts Before Next Downwave... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Clive_Maund

The recovery rally in the US stockmarket that we have been expecting for a week or two started on Friday with a robust advance that gathered strength into the close. The trigger was Japan's announcement that it is going into NIRP (Negative Interest Rate Policy) in a big way, which means that as they slip deeper into the abyss of bankruptcy they are going to resort to robbing savers. This is real "endgame stuff" - another milestone on the road to ruin, and it looks like it was the result of the Japanese attendees at Davos being taken to one side and given their "marching orders". The US stockmarket reveled in this news of course, because it means that the Fed's proposed interest rate rises will never happen and instead they will get ready to launch a massive QE blitz, in concert with Central Banks around the world, in a desperate effort to fend off the gathering forces of deflation. The end result of this QE blitz will be hyperinflation and chaos. At some point the penny will drop with investors and there will be a stampede into gold and silver, although latest COTs suggest that this is still some way off.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, February 01, 2016

Stock Market A-B-C Correction Unfolding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Severe correction underway.

SPX: Intermediate trend - counter-trend rally!

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Companies

Sunday, January 31, 2016

Lockheed Martin’s F-35 Lightning II Boondoggle / Companies / US Military

By: Stephen_Lendman

At an estimated lifetime development, production, operational and maintenance cost of $2 trillion or more (adjusted for inflation), the F-35 perhaps most of all symbolizes notorious Pentagon waste, fraud and abuse - ripping off taxpayers, using the nation’s resources irresponsibly, at the expense of vital homeland needs.

Pentagon hype calls the F-35 “a 5th Generation fighter, combining advanced stealth with fighter speed and agility, fully fused sensor information, network-enabled operations and advanced sustainment” - for Army, Navy and Marine Corps use, as well as for selected allies.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, January 31, 2016

As Goes January, So Goes the Year... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Jesse

And so we say goodby to January 2016.

There is an old saying on Wall Street that as goes January, so goes the year. This is also known in some circles as the 'January barometer.'

If this is the case it is going to be a good year for precious metals and a very wild ride for stocks.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 31, 2016

Nice week for Gold : It’s All about Sentiment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dan_Norcini

I wanted to take a bit of time in this post to discuss one of the most important things that those wishing to be successful in trading/investing need to learn, namely detecting shifts in sentiment.

Those of you who have been reading my work for a while will be familiar with my constant reference to this topic. It is primarily for some of the newer readers that I wanted to write this but also to reinforce the concept in the minds of some of the more seasoned hands.

Sentiment is what moves markets. Never forget this. Bullish sentiment drives prices higher; bearish sentiment drives prices lower. It matters not what we MIGHT THINK the current fundamentals happen to be; that is irrelevant. Price will move in the direction that the majority of market participants happen to think it should move in; not in the direction that one’s own understanding of the fundamentals dictates it should. Understand this and you are well on your way to becoming profitable.

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Commodities

Sunday, January 31, 2016

Silver Price Breaks Higher on Rising Anxiety / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: AnyOption

Echoing the perilous financial market volatility of late, silver prices have gradually moved to the highest levels since December as growing risk aversion and shifting sentiment see safety bids gain momentum.  While not necessarily indicative of a resumption of the trend higher that began in the depths of the last financial crisis, several factors are pointing to increased potential gains in the precious metal as investors are forced to pivot from yield to quality in an effort to hedge against ongoing turmoil.  While inflation may remain low, dragging on prices over the medium-term, tightness in the physical supply chain alongside increased interest in hedging against uncertainty of monetary policy and central banking continue to contribute to upside in silver.

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Currencies

Sunday, January 31, 2016

USD-JPY Back In Bullish Mode / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Austin_Galt

Many years from now, the people of Japan will tell their children and grandchildren of a time long since past when interest rates were negative and you actually had to pay the bank to give them money. The kids will go "Wow" in amazement and disbelief.

The Bank of Japan announced this exact thing the past week and this is the present we currently live in and is likely to be the case for the foreseeable future. This should see the USDJPY now trade higher.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Stocks Bear Market Rally Underway / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

Another volatile week! The week started off at SPX 1907, traded down to 1876 on Monday, then rallied to 1917 on Wednesday before the FOMC statement. After the statement was released the market traded down to SPX 1873, retested that low on Thursday, then rocketed higher on Friday to end the week at SPX 1940. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 2.05%, the NDX/NAZ gained 0.50%, and the DJ World index gained 2.10%. Economic reports for the week were positive. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, the FHFA, consumer confidence, new/pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: durable goods, Q4 GDP, consumer sentiment and the WLEI. Next week we get reports on the PCE, the ISM’s and monthly Payrolls.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Gold And Silver Current Prices Do Not Matter / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

Truth be known, short of an uprising or revolution by the masses, which is highly unlikely, the elites have won over the masses, hands down, and the end game is in the final and irreversible stages. Time and again, we have reiterated the elites formulaic strategy of Problem, Reaction, Solution. The most current is the outrageous Mid East refugee situation where European countries are being forced to accept hundreds of thousands of displaced refugees from the war-torn Middle East.

It is no secret that the US has been covertly responsible for much of the destruction and strife in that area. Where not covertly involved, the US has provided arms and logistics to Saudi Arabia as the Saudis are destroying helpless Yemenis in the proxy war against Iran.

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Companies

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Small Business Indicators For Microcap Sector Choices / Companies / Investing 2016

By: Submissions

Alfidi Capital writes: Microcap stocks are notoriously hard nuts to crack. They are the part of the capitalization-weighted investment universe that is typically less liquid, transparent, and profitable than large-cap choices. Investors do have some indicators they can use to estimate turning points in the microcap sector's aggregate health. A small number of microcap ETFs help diversify away company-specific risk.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Gold Price Potential Upside 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Peter_Degraaf

           The most important chart of 2016!
Charts in this essay are courtesy Stockcharts.com unless indicated.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Stock Market Bears Pulverised by BOJ Knock Out Punch, Non Technical Take Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Stock market ended Friday sharply higher, up 396 points or 2.5% on the day at Dow 16,466, continuing its recovery towards the middle of a 6 month long trading range. Whilst my in-depth analysis and detailed trend forecast for 2016 remains pending, however here is my non technical take of Januarys crazy price action that garnered much bearish doom and gloom commentary for much of the month, with the bears literally on the receiving end of a BOJ knockout punch on the months last trading day -

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Stock Market, BOJ Negative Rates...Poor GDP...Up We Go...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Many bear markets in the past have gotten oversold, but one thing did not happen. The daily MACD's didn't cross back up from those oversold conditions. They met and kissed off back down, but today we saw crosses from those deeply compressed levels, which tells you we're likely to stay up for a while, although that level of up and how high is truly unpredictable. Will it only be a test of the 20-day exponential moving average, or will it get through the lost uptrend line, or beyond that, will it get back up to the 50-day exponential moving average? No way to know, but the uptrend line is at 1940. The 50's are all the way up at 1977. With the MACD crosses getting to the 50's is not out of the question.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, January 30, 2016

Lacy Hunt: Inflation and 10-Year US Treasury Yields Headed Lower / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Gordon_T_Long

Dr. Lacy Hunt joins FRA Co-Founder Gordon T. Long in an in-depth discussion on the current debt dilemma and the decisions of the Federal Reserve. Dr. Lacy H. Hunt, an internationally known economist, is Executive Vice President of Hoisington Investment Management Company, a firm that manages over $5 billion for pension funds, endowments, insurance companies and others. He is the author of two books, and numerous articles in leading magazines, periodicals and scholarly journals. Included among the publishers of his articles are. Barron's, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, The Christian Science Monitor, the Journal of Finance, the Financial Analysts Journal and the Journal of Portfolio Management.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 30, 2016

The Curious Case of Copper... / Commodities / Copper

By: Clive_Maund

I recently watched a movie called The Curious Case of Benjamin Button which some of you may have seen. In this film the lead role, played by Brad Pitt, is born as a decrepit old man and gets steadily younger until he eventually died of old age as a baby. To say that it's ridiculous is the understatement of the millennium. Yet many people come away from watching this film thinking "How wonderful, if we all kept getting younger!" As a contrarian I instead found myself wondering about the catastrophic effect on the cosmetics industry, as the market for anti-aging creams would collapse.

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Commodities

Friday, January 29, 2016

No Change in Outlook for Gold and Silver 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

With each passing rally hope has bloomed that the bear market in precious metals may be over. The long and deep “forever bear” has to end but it hasn’t yet. Under the surface, the bear market is getting weaker and Gold is growing stronger. It’s showing strength against foreign currencies and has broken its downtrend relative to equities. These are very positive developments and a precursor to the birth of a new bull market. However, the weak rebounds in the metals coupled with the potential for a US Dollar breakout advise us to continue to remain patient and cautious.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, January 29, 2016

Stock Market Volatility Index Funny Business / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

The volatility index, or the VIX, is commonly thought to be an index that gauges index volatility. Actually, the VIX is an index that gauges the expense of put options. Put options of course are designed to gain advantage when the underlying asset declines in price. In this case, the VIX is a measure of the expense of buying put options on the S&P 500 index. Normally, prices are set by buyers and sellers. More buyers than sellers generally leads to higher prices and fewer buyers than sellers generally leads to lower prices. Normally.

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