Tuesday, March 22, 2016
Expect the Unexpected! Don't Ever Underestimate What Central Bankers & Government Will Do / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Gordon_T_Long
Falling Progits and Weakening Markets
The full report explores falling corporate profits, slowing cash-flow levels and weakening market breadth.
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Tuesday, March 22, 2016
Greenspan Now Worried About Inflation, Says 'Entitlements Crowding Out Investment, Productivity is Dead' / Economics / US Economy
By: Mike_Shedlock
Former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan spoke with Tom Keene and Mike McKee for Bloomberg TV & Radio. He discussed the ramifications of negative interest rates, entitlement spending, and declining productivity.
On the state of the U.S. and global economy, he said: "We're in trouble basically because productivity is dead in the water."
On whether he is optimistic going forward, Greenspan said: "No. I haven't been for quite a while. And I won't be until we can resolve the entitlement programs. Nobody wants to touch it. And that is gradually crowding out capital investment, and that's crowding out productivity, and it's crowding out the standards of living where do you want me to go from there."
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Tuesday, March 22, 2016
Here We Go Again: U.S. Government Ramps Up Borrowing As Private Sector Slows / Economics / Government Spending
By: John_Rubino
This morning, US existing home sales plunged and the Chicago Fed’s national activity index turned negative. Both are obvious signs of a slowing economy.
Anticipating this kind of news, Credit Bubble Bulletin’s Doug Noland in his most recent column analyzed the Federal Reserve’s quarterly Z.1 Report for signs of changing financial trends, and found something potentially serious. The following three charts tell the tale:
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Tuesday, March 22, 2016
Stock Market Refusing To Sell At Overbought... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market was overbought on many of the index charts going in to the weekend. One would expect the market to pull back from overbought, especially when the overbought conditions were on both the short-term, sixty-minute charts and the daily charts. When that happens it's usually a short-term top and down we go. Not today. The market is refusing to fall with any force. The bulls are back and back in full force, and dare I say, full froth. Markets are all about emotion as we all know by now. It's not about truth or reality. It's about the flavor of the day, regardless of what may be happening in the real world. The flavor of every day seems to be BUY!!! No matter what, BUY!!!!!
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Tuesday, March 22, 2016
Legoland, Alton Towers... Grown Ups Go FREE 2016, 2017 on Kellogg's, Crunchy Nut, Rice Krispies... / Personal_Finance / Money Saving
By: Anika_Walayat
The easter school holidays have just begun with parents seeking ways to keep their kids entertained during the 2 week holiday that will likely include a trip to a major UK theme park. We'll here is some great news, Kellogg's are running a promotion that allows entry into the UK's top theme parks until June 2017! So plenty of time to use the vouchers to gain entry into 14 UK theme parks that include Alton Towers, Legoland, Chessington, the Dungeon, Sea Life, Shreks Adventure and Madame Tussaud's.
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Monday, March 21, 2016
UK House Prices - This is London Falling / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: EWI
Editor's note: The following article is adapted from the State of the Global Markets Report--2016 Edition, one of the most anticipated annual reports for technically minded investors and analysts around the world. For a limited time, we are making the report available 100% free of charge. After that, it goes to $99 per download, where it will stay for the rest of the year. Click here to get your free copy now >>
Monday, March 21, 2016
Crude Oil Price – North or South? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Friday, crude oil lost 1.30% after unexpected increase in U.S. oil rig counts. As a result, light crude slipped under $42 and closed the day under the previously-broken 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. What’s next for the commodity?
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Monday, March 21, 2016
Crude Oil Price Action & Forecast / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, Light Crude has seen a dramatic 35%+ increase in value. As the current price continue to flirt with $40 per barrel, the likelihood of a further price rise is on everyone’s mind. With recent lows near $26 per barrel, what is the possibility that oil will form a base above $30 and attempt a rally?
Historically, the 2009 low price for oil was $33.20. This level should be viewed as a key level of support for current price action. The recent price rotation below this level is a sign that oil prices are under extreme pressure in the current economic environment with a supply glut and slower than expected demand.
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Monday, March 21, 2016
As Housing Markets Increase, Millennial Generation Purchases more Homes / Housing-Market / Global Housing Markets
By: Submissions
Kumarpal Shah writes: The housing market is booming, houses are for sale left and right and the interest rate is increasing, and believe it or not millennial are buying houses. With first time homebuyers on the market it is important to learn how to get the best loan for you.
A few years ago the housing market was in a crisis but for investors it was the best time to a buy a house. Unfortunately for those shopping for a house now the housing market is not as favorable. Prices of homes have increased, interest rates are soaring, and the people benefiting are those who are selling.
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Monday, March 21, 2016
Silver – A Long-Term Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: DeviantInvestor
We all know silver is volatile. When gold rallies, silver usually rallies faster and farther, particularly after the rally has been well established.
Volatility is not a reason to avoid silver. Instead, now is a time to continue stacking. Yes, silver almost certainly will correct many times, but examine the big picture.
Over the past 50 years prices for stocks, silver, gold, crude oil, health care, and presidential elections have increased exponentially, mainly due to massive increases in debt (see graph below) and devaluations of currencies. Expect exponential price increases to continue.
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Monday, March 21, 2016
Gold Silver Ratio Says It’s Time to Buy Silver, Sell Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
Silver remains undervalued versus gold and the gold silver ratio suggests “selling the former” and “buying the latter” according to a Bloomberg article published today.
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Monday, March 21, 2016
Stock Market Cycles are Delayed. A Panic May Play Catch-up / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
All eyes are on China as PBOC attempts to manage its debt load while keeping the markets aloft. The Shanghai Index closed above 3000 for the first time since January. This is an inversion of a Master Cycle which was due for a low this week. Instead, it will be a high. However, these inversions don’t end well, as the low may arrive within the next two weeks .
Monday, March 21, 2016
Over 90% of Current Accounts Charge Fees / Personal_Finance / Current Accounts
By: MoneyFacts
The latest research from Moneyfacts.co.ukreveals that more and more day-to-day current accountcustomers* are paying fees to use their account. Traditionally, customers would pay fees to get extra add-ons, such as travel insurance, but not all fee-charging accounts continue to reward their customers in this way.
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Monday, March 21, 2016
Unemployment vs Inflation - May the Phillips Curve Rest in Peace / Economics / Economic Theory
By: Michael_Pento
In 1958, economist William Phillips claimed there was a historical inverse relationship between the rate of unemployment and the corresponding rate of inflation. His conclusion was that full employment (whatever that means) was inflationary. He illustrated his claim through a chart referred to as the Phillips Curve.
Monday, March 21, 2016
Silver Price About to Slump Lower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Clive_Maund
Whilst silver had a good week last week, outperforming gold and rising to multi-month new high, it looks like that may have been its "swan song" for a while. It looks quite positive at first sight on its latest 6-month chart with the new high and moving averages starting to swing into a more positive alignment, but once you "look under the hood" you quickly realize things are not so good at all.
Monday, March 21, 2016
Gold Price Intermediate Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Clive_Maund
All the technical evidence suggests that gold is building out an intermediate top area here, which fits with the fundamental situation where complacency and "risk on" are making a comeback, thanks to the boundless generosity of Central Bankers.
Starting with gold's 6-month chart we see that after its parabolic ramp up in January and early February, it has been struggling to make further progress. The supposed (by some) bull Flag or Pennant turned out to be false and although it has edged ahead a little, the passage of time has resulted in its breaking down from the parabola simply by moving sideways, which has, unknown to many, opened up the risk of a potentially severe drop. The most plausible interpretation of pattern development since the parabolic blowoff spike in early - mid February is that it is a bearish Rising Wedge, which the price broke down from about a week ago, before a backtest of the breakdown point with the big up day last Wednesday when the Fed didn't raise rates, which triggered panic short covering.
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Monday, March 21, 2016
Stock Market Extends Its Month-Long Uptrend, Will It Go Even Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, March 21, 2016
Budget 2016: Borrowing, Lifetime ISA, House Prices, Economy, Syria, Brexit and Stocks / Politics / UK Tax & Budget
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Budget 2016 and its aftermath has given a window into the politics of the Conservative Party as Britain counts down to the EU Referendum (June 23rd). The plan was supposed to be for George Osborne to play ultra safe in the run up to the vote, but he appears to have been well and truly duped by Ian Duncan Smith (IDS), Britain's welfare minister who apparently whilst in agreement with the proposed benefits cuts before the budget speech that includes £1billion of cuts for the disabled. Instead now, suddenly after 6 years in the job of delivering benefits cuts he apparently has developed a conscious and decided to resign as he cannot go along with the latest series of cuts.
Monday, March 21, 2016
Stock Market Top Near, GDX Makes New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I was looking for a top in the stock market within a week or two. We are still very close to that top and nothing has changed. The SPX needs to break decisively below the rising trend line. Normally, markets coming off a top are slow to descend, giving the short seller plenty of time to react. A strong move down into June looks forthcoming.
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Monday, March 21, 2016
Cisco Systems (CSCO) Stock Price To Explode Higher in 2016 / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
By: Austin_Galt
Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) is in the business of designing, manufacturing and selling internet protocol-based networking products and services related to the communications and information technology industry. It is listed on the NASDAQ with a market capitalisation of around $145billion. Price last traded at $28.33.Read full article... Read full article...