Saturday, April 23, 2016
UK BrExit Referendum as European Union Faces Migration Catastrophe / News_Letter / EU_Referendum
The Market Oracle NewsletterNov 12th, 2015 Issue # 23 Vol. 9
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Friday, April 22, 2016
Gold Stocks Climbing Epic Wall of Worry / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016
The gold stocks have had a tremendous rally in recent months that has left most investors and even gold bulls on the sidelines. From low tick to high tick GDXJ has more than doubled while GDX has nearly doubled. Indices such as the HUI and XAU have more than doubled. It has been a fantastic rally yet both anecdotal and actual data suggests there has been a major wall of worry building. Although gold stocks may be starting a correction, the presence of a strong wall of worry provides further confirmation of a major trend change.
In recent weeks readers and followers of various gold centric websites have been bombarded with bearish commentaries from pundits and analysts forecasting a correction. More than a month ago the reasoning was the commitment of traders (CoT) report. More recently, the reasoning revolved around an alleged “parabolic move” in the gold stocks and a budding head and shoulders top in Gold.
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Friday, April 22, 2016
Silver’s New Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Silver officially entered a new bull market this week, decisively crossing the necessary +20% threshold. Speculators and investors alike are returning as awareness spreads of how radically undervalued silver is compared to prevailing gold prices. When silver awakens to a new bull market after a long bearish slumber, massive gains are usually unleashed. Silver’s tiny advance so far is just the tip of the iceberg.
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Friday, April 22, 2016
Mike Mayo: Citigroup, BofA, Comerica Should Shrink Faster / Companies / Banking Stocks
Mike Mayo, managing director at CLSA Americas, spoke with Tom Keene and Michael McKee on Bloomberg Radio this morning. Mayo said Citigroup, Bank of America and Comerica should move faster to restructure, including selling more assets, to catch up with competitors that are generating better returns: “All three of those banks have failed to create value for every year for the last eight years. And so our question for the board of directors is if you’re not getting it done, what is your plan B?”
He said: “You have some banks like JPMorgan and Wells Fargo with very good returns. Citigroup has poor returns. That’s why our team is going to the annual meeting on Tuesday to say some of your peers are getting it done.”
Friday, April 22, 2016
USD/JPY may be losing its influence on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
The USD/JPY influence on the SPX may be waning. ZeroHedge reports, “Kuroda, we have a problem. Following rumors overnight, USDJPY is obediently being bid (Yen weaker), with its biggest day since January and pushing above 111 (highest in 3 weeks). Normally this would be all the US equity needed to spike ignorantly to new highs... but it's not...
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Friday, April 22, 2016
Who are Gold Traders? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The Commitments of Traders Report is one of the most important publications on the gold market. It is usually published every Friday at 15:30 Eastern time by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to provide market participants "a breakdown of each Tuesday's open interest for markets in which 20 or more traders hold positions equal to or above the reporting levels established by the CFTC". Unfortunately the readers don't get a full picture because of a three day lag between a report and the actual positioning of traders (though the report is issued on Friday, it contains Tuesday's data). The open interest, analyzed in the report, is the total number of futures contracts not yet liquidated by an offsetting transaction or fulfilled by delivery.
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Friday, April 22, 2016
Market Bubbles, Bubbles, Toil and... Pop / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
"Prosperity is like a Jenna tower. Take one piece out and the whole thing can fall." That's a direct quote from John Williams, the President of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank in a speech a few weeks ago. - US Recession Data Shows It's a Very Short Road to Capital Controls, Simon Black, March 15, 2016
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Friday, April 22, 2016
Obama Instructs British Poodle to REMAIN Within the EU Superstate / ElectionOracle / EU_Referendum
President Obama, the leader of the free world visits Britain today for the apparent purpose of instructing the British people to vote to give up their hard won freedoms in THREE wars (1st, 2nd and Cold War) to an bureaucratic undemocratic European Union, something that the American President himself would never contemplate for the US of giving up even an inch of American sovereignty to even nations that border it let alone that which Obama today proposes for the UK. One of sacrificing British sovereignty for the greater American good, one of the British identity being drowned out in a EU soup that is determined to average down living standards and civil liberties so that all europeans are equally poor and disenfranchised.
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Friday, April 22, 2016
Blanket US Student Debt Amnesty Now / Politics / Student Finances
A couple weeks ago the Wall Street Journal confirmed our worst fears about the student loan program, that is, that it was going to blow up in the government’s face just like all the other gigantic debt-bubbles that preceded it. For the sake of background, here’s a brief excerpt from the article that will bring readers up-to-date:
Read full article... Read full article...“More than 40% of Americans who borrowed from the government’s main student-loan program aren’t making payments or are behind on more than $200 billion owed, raising worries that millions of them may never repay.
Friday, April 22, 2016
Gold Price Forms Bearish Double Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The gold price saw some volatile price action today after hitting upside resistance and reversing back down impulsively. Let's check out the daily and monthly charts and see the bearish pattern that has formed.
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Friday, April 22, 2016
Our Day of Reckoning / Politics / Social Issues
The second half of the 20th century saw the biggest increase in the world’s population in human history.
Our population surged because:
- Medical advances lessened the mortality rate in many countries
- Massive increases in agricultural productivity because of the “Green Revolution”
The global death rate has dropped almost continuously since the start of the industrial revolution - personal hygiene, improved methods of sanitation and the development of antibiotics have all played a major role.
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Friday, April 22, 2016
President Trump? President Clinton? Gold Up in Both Scenarios / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton may have very little in common, but Barry Allan, vice chair of mining for Mackie Research Capital, says if either moves into the White House, the U.S. dollar will fall and gold will rise. A higher gold price bodes well for gold equities, and in this interview with The Gold Report, Allan and his colleague Ryan Hanley share the names of some of their top picks for this environment.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
US To Paint New Pictures On Its Dying, Barbarous Relic of a Currency / Currencies / US Dollar
In a letter to the American tax slaves, US Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew “the Loon” has presented his plan to replace some of the images on the dwindling $20, $10 and $5 Federal Reserve Notes. Slave emancipator, Harriet Tubman, will replace Andrew Jackson on the $20, leaders of the suffrage movement will go on the $10 and images of the Lincoln Memorial will go on the $5.
You’d think with the US government being $19 trillion in debt they’d have bigger priorities than artwork.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
Gold and Silver are on the Cusp of a Massive Rally! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Gold and silver have more or less confirmed they have bottomed and are ready for a multi-year rally. Their trend has not fully ‘reversed’ to the upside yet but the market breadth and internals for the precious metals sector are very bullish. My subscribers know that I am ‘bullish’ on precious metals and believe that they will be the best performing ‘asset class’ within the next three to five years for those who can only buy long (profit from rising prices). There are a few more big opportunities unfolding in other assets also but that is not what this article focuses on.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
Gold, Silver Blow Off in Progress but 'Launch Phase' Confirmed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
On March 4 we reviewed the technical reasons why the gold sector was launching as opposed to blowing off. This, after articles began appearing calling the rise to that point a doomed parabolic blow off using daily charts. Those calling it a blow off were confused; silver in spring 2011 was a blow off in the terminal sense. But when a parabolic move comes off a bottom, it is an impulsive thrust to change the trend, possibly ending the bear market.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
EU's Growing Refugee Panic, How to Change Terms of Deal with Devil (Turkey) / Politics / Refugee Crisis
When you make a deal with the devil, it's certain the devil will insist you keep up your end of the bargain.
That's precisely where we are at today in regards to the European refugee crisis.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel signed off on a deal with the devil (Turkey) that would give 80 million Turkish Muslims visa-free access to the EU. As part of the deal, Turkey will receive €3 billion in aid.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
Harry Dent: Stock Market 70% Crash By Late 2017 – Gold $400-$800 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
FRA Co-founder, Gordon T. Long is joined by Harry Dent to have a detailed discussion about the state of the global economy and how investors can be prepare themselves for the turmoils to come.
Read full article... Read full article...Harry S. Dent, Jr. is the Founder of Dent Research, an economic forecasting firm specializing in demographic trends. His mission is “Helping People Understand Change”. Using exciting new research developed from years of hands-on business experience, Mr. Dent offers unprecedented and refreshingly understandable tools for seeing the key economic trends that will affect your life, your business, and your investments over the rest of your lifetime.
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stocks, Dollar, Oil and Gold - What a Difference a Couple of Months Makes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
My what a difference a couple of months makes. Several months ago everyone was convinced that stocks were starting a protracted bear market. Many expected it to be even worse than the last one in 2008/09.
A couple of months ago everyone was calling for 110-120 on the dollar index.
A couple of months ago everyone knew that oil was going to the low 20’s or even into the teens.
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Thursday, April 21, 2016
Stock Market Highest Since Early November - Will It Continue Even Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, April 21, 2016
Crude Oil Complacency Climbs / Commodities / Crude Oil
US production at 18-month lows was partly behind the recent surge in crude oil prices following yet another report of building onshore inventories. Despite the veritable flood of crude oil prices hitting global markets, crude prices continue to rise amid rising speculation that key global producers will elect to increase production even further. Since the freeze deal fell through, Russia has underlined its doubts that any such agreement will be possible, potentially paving the way for OPEC members to further stray from a single policy, opting instead to put national interests ahead of economic rationality. While prices have jumped to the highest levels since November on new forecasts that anticipate a rebalancing of the market my 2017, complacency amongst traders continues to grow as problematic fundamental conditions remain intact.Read full article... Read full article...