Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Trump World: What Happens to Your Investments Now? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Donald Trump’s victory came as the first surprise for many around the world. The reaction in the markets was the second surprise. Investors got what they expected for a few hours overnight as the ballot results came in; stocks were crushed and metals spiked higher. By mid-morning on Wednesday, however, stocks were surging and metals rolled over.
Now, a few days post-election, commentators and “experts” have written stories to explain the action in markets. Some of these stories may even prove true. But at this early stage, investors should recognize that markets mostly reflect hopes, fears, and high frequency trading shenanigans. Reality tends to arrive later.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Did President-Elect Trump Just Inadvertently Kill The Golden Goose? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
President-Elect Trump may have just unwittingly sowed an equity market draw-down which will send even more protesters into the streets of America. Donald Trump's stated economic policies are clearly pro-growth and if he manages to implement his pro-business, anti-regulation agenda, in the longer term they have the potential to surpass the bold and successful initiatives of Ronald Reagan. However, in the near term he has already unknowingly just shot himself in the foot.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Trump's Mandate to Yellen: Print More Money or You're Fired! / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
What kind of President will Donald Trump be? Will he restore America to its former position of greatness, or end up being feckless like a long list of his predecessors? That is yet to be determined.
However, what is clear now is if Donald Trump wants to avoid starting his tenure with an economic crisis similar to that of Mr. Obama he will need to put a lid on long-term interest rates rather quickly. And in order to do that he will have to convince a supposedly politically-agnostic Fed Chair, Janet Yellen, to not only refrain from further interest rates hikes but also to launch another round of long-term Treasury debt purchases known as Quantitative Easing (QE).
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Silver and the Train Wreck / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
The U.S. National Debt is a “train-wreck.” The official debt is nearly $20 trillion and the unfunded liabilities are $100 – $200 trillion, depending on who is counting.
- It can never be repaid. Implications are dire.
- Official debt doubles about every 8 years. Does $80 trillion of official debt in the early 2030s sound viable?
- Per Krugman there is no problem. Consider the source.
- Denial is not a winning strategy, but it does prolong the period before the crash.
- The losers in the crash will probably not be the financial or political elite. That leaves the rest of us.
Tuesday, November 15, 2016
OPEC’s Bearish Report Provides Little Hope For Oil Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil
Just one day after the IEA warned the world could drown in oil if production does not fall beneath demand sometime soon, OPEC released a new market whammy, offering up the cartel’s production figures, which largely jive with figures reported by the IEA yesterday: OPEC has increased its oil production.
OPEC’s Monthly Oil Market Report revealed daily oil production for the cartel of 33.64 million barrels for October—up by 240,000 bpd on September—largely confirming the IEA’s report, although the international authority’s figure was a bit higher at 33.83 million bpd.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Gold Mining Shares Are a Lousy Investment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
This year’s turnaround in Gold Mining shares had helped to buoy the hopes and dreams of investors who were ‘betting’ that their long, agonizing wait for euphoric, exponential gains is over. They continue to believe that the future for the Gold Mining Industry is quite rosy. Unfortunately, they are probably wrong.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Gold Commitments of Traders / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
No wonder gold got clocked like it did!
Hedge funds were actually busy adding more longs and covering shorts over the past week’s reporting period. As soon as those downside support levels were taken out after the election results were digested, gold bulls were getting mauled in a big way.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Human Derivatives and Gold - The Oligarchs’ Plan to Monetize Humanity / Stock-Markets / War on Cash
The greed-diseased and power-obsessed Deep State oligarchs hate you for your freedom and love you for your money, and they are accelerating their plans to strip you of both. There are two things standing in their way: cash, and precious metals. The oligarchs are doing everything in their power to falsely discredit both of them in the eyes of the people. Cash and precious metals are physical manifestations of financial and human liberty. Liberty, which is indivisible, is the absolute last thing the oligarchs have in mind for us, as there is no profit in it for them. The oligarchs realize that the people are fast waking up to what is being done to them. While the Oligarchy remains an unimaginably dangerous enemy, it was wounded in the United States presidential election, is acting more erratically and illogically, and is starting to make serious mistakes. How we, the people, push forward from here will determine whether we remain free, or become slaves to the greatest Force of Evil ever known to mankind, the Deep State oligarchs.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 15, 2016
The news they're burying in "Trump Week" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Trump.Trumpety-trump.
Trump Trump Trump.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 15, 2016
Trump Won. Here’s what YOU should do next / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
A lot of people are in shock this morning…But the election of Donald Trump didn't shock me.
For the past few weeks, months even, I've had a feeling he would win.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Here's Why Stock Market Investors Should Ignore Corporate Earnings Season / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Shattering the myth about earnings and the stock market
[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Commodities, Forex and Stocks Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
Our forecast down phase for WTI continues and was largely unaffected by the volatility seen in some markets last week. We could easily see price back down to $30 early in 2017. We expect this weakness to be reflected in many other parts of the commodity sector.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Delirium of Trump Mania Win's Mr BrExit US Presidential Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
So Donald Trump, Mr BrExit WON the US Presidential Election of 2016 despite the fact that right up until the polls closed the pollsters, the mainstream media journalists and paid pundits, the so called analysts, financial markets and even betting markets ALL had concluded that Hillary Clinton was going to win. How did he do it and why did nearly every analyst get it so badly wrong?
We'll find out why in my latest and last video analysis on the US Presidential election of 2016. One where the pollster number crunches were all looking in the wrong direction for as I repeatedly pointed out that the US polls would turn out to be just as wrong as they were for the UK's EU Referendum, this election was never about the numbers as I explain why -
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Average Five-year UK Fixed Rate Mortgage Falls Below 3.00% / Personal_Finance / Mortgages
The cost of the average five-year fixed rate mortgage has fallen significantly over the past year, with many providers launching the lowest ever rates. This competition has seen the average five-year fixed mortgage rate fall below 3.00% for the first time on Moneyfacts.co.uk records.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Gold Prices Have Overreacted To The US Election / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
To say it has been a turbulent week in markets would be a dramatic understatement. The moves around the US election were nothing short of incredible. We wrote last week about fading a risk off move over the election, and whilst we expected market nerves to calm after an initial period of uncertainty, we were completely blindsided by the pace and magnitude of the reversal. Nowhere are we more surprised than in the yellow metal’s reaction to the result. Not only do we view it as an overreaction, but actually view the gold prices as significantly undervalued in the current environment.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Good Trump, Bad Trump – What’s Really Going On? / Politics / US Politics
We expected the Super Shemitah/Jubilee time period (which officially ends on November 20th with the end of the Catholic Jubilee) to be one of dramatic change and chaos.
And, did we ever get it!
Since the beginning of the Jubilee year, in October of last year, two massive events have happened. Brexit and Trump.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 14, 2016
This Past Week in Gold, Silver and Copper / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts a break in copper, as well as recent movements in the gold and silver markets.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Crisis Is Coming: The Elites Plan To 'Steal' Your Money / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016
I call it the 'Ice Nine Plan'...
And if I'm right, it could give the financial elite total and absolute control over you and every single penny you own during the next financial crisis.
Look, in my mind there is no doubt we're heading towards disaster...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Bond Market Bull Over or The Start of The Final Blow Off Top? / Interest-Rates / Bond Bubble
Over a Trillion dollars has been vaporized in the bond market in just one week. The phrase "blood bath" is an understatement as the widows and orphans have been routed. This isn't supposed to happen in the the bond market. So is the great 33 year bond bull finally over and the deluge that we knew would ultimately come upon us? Not so fast chipmunk, is my reply and this is why. All great bull markets go through three complete phases. Phase I is the accumulation or stealth phase, phase II is the mark-up phase which lasts the longest and phase III is the blow off or mania phase. The NASDAQ and the oil bull markets exhibit provide us clean examples of these three phases in their 10 year bull runs which ended in crashes. Phase III is characterized by violent and deep yet short term corrections which shakeout all but the strongest hands. That is what the government bond market is undergoing in this recent violent move. First let's review those two bull markets in the NASDAQ and oil.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 14, 2016
Stock Market The Final Up-Phase? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.
SPX Intermediate trend: SPX may be entering the final short-term phase of the uptrend which started at 1810.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...