Friday, March 31, 2017

There Is No Such Thing As Peak Oil Demand / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Notwithstanding that oil demand has increased for over 150 years, it will eventually stop increasing. If oil demand were to reach an actual peak, then the top might be easier to predict. As it stands, the forecast models of demand are likely predicting peak demand far later than it will be.

Friday, March 31, 2017

The Case for Socialized Medicine / Politics / Healthcare Sector

By: John_Browne

Last week the American political establishment was shaken to its foundation when the Republican Party leadership withdrew the American Health Care Act (AHCA) just before the vote was to be taken on the floor of the House of Representatives. Besides being a most unusual procedure, it exposed a fundamental split in the country,reflected not merely in Congress but within the Republican Party. GOP purists, represented by the House Freedom Caucus, demanded more significant roll backs in socialized medicine that were contained in the Ryan plan. Their refusal to back the plan, after years of promising complete repeal, doomed the bill.

Friday, March 31, 2017

Our Economies Run On Housing Bubbles / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Raul_I_Meijer

We are witnessing the demise of the world’s two largest economic power blocks, the US and EU. Given deteriorating economic conditions on both sides of the Atlantic, which have been playing out for many years but were so far largely kept hidden from view by unprecedented issuance of debt, the demise should come as no surprise.

The debt levels are not just unprecedented, they would until recently have been unimaginable. When the conditions for today’s debt orgasm were first created in the second half of the 20th century, people had yet to wrap their minds around the opportunities and possibilities that were coming on offer. Once they did, they ran with it like so many lemmings.

Thursday, March 30, 2017

Brexit Gold Buying – UK Demand for Gold Bars Surges 39% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– UK investors buy gold bars as demand surges 39% in 2016
– Brexit Day sees Article 50 triggered and pound weakens
– “Brexit nerves” see “Brits hoard gold” reports WSJ
– End of 44 year relationship with closest economic partner
– May sets Brexit clock ticking in letter to Tusk

Thursday, March 30, 2017

What are the Biggest Gambling Markets in the World? / Personal_Finance / Gambling

By: Submissions

Thursday, March 30, 2017

USD May Stay Soft in Near Term / Currencies / US Dollar

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

Although the Fed is in the rate hike cycle, USD rally started to lose momentum early this year when market started to realize that monetary policy divergence started to narrow. ECB has started to talk about rate hikes, while China started to tighten monetary policy by raising money market rates early last month. The Fed also sounded less hawkish in their last rate hike as they forecasted only three rate hikes this year and no Fed members agreed to hike rate four times.

Thursday, March 30, 2017

Stock Market Mixed Expectations As Technology Stocks Reach New Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, March 30, 2017

Elliott Wave Analysis of APPLE (AAPL) / Companies / Elliott Wave Theory

By: WavePatternTraders

With a 5 wave looking advance from 138.57, there are now enough gyrations to suggest that wave [v] could be completed, a strong reversal back below 142.00 is needed to support further downside, although if a peak is in place for wave [v], we need to see a strong break back under 138.57 to confirm wave [v] is completed, as a 3 wave pullback that stays above 140.00, likely favors further upside for wave [v], but I am counting the idea as a completed move for wave [v], so a strong reversal under 142.00, then 140.00 is the preferred route.

Thursday, March 30, 2017

Did the Stock Market Top for the First Half of 2017 Just Hit? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Graham_Summers

The top for the first half of 2017 probably just hit.

Markets do not react to what everyone knows. Markets react to surprises. And the surprise today is that the Trump administration will not be able to implement rapid reform.

Since election night, the stock market has assumed that President Trump would somehow repeal Obamacare, reform the tax code, and announce a massive infrastructure project almost immediately.

Thursday, March 30, 2017

Bitcoin Price Rises Higher Than Gold… But Its Value Is a Different Story / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: John_Mauldin

Since hitting a record-low of $177 in January 2015, Bitcoin is up almost 600%.

On March 2, 2017, it reached a new high of $1,268 per unit—thus surpassing the price of an ounce of gold for the first time ever.

So, what’s the driving force behind this parabolic rise?

Thursday, March 30, 2017

Stock Market Mixed Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a solid session for tech stocks, but not so for biotech's. The indices were mixed at the closed with the Dow down all day.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 42.18 at 20,659.32. The S&P 500 was up 2.56 at 2361.13, just a couple points off the high and 9 points off the low. The Nasdaq 100 was up 23.06 at 5430.27, 3 points off the high and 25 points off its low.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

SPX Forms a Triangle / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is having an “inside day.” The most likely formation appears to be the Triangle. It is “buying time” and is not likely to be complete until the close of the day or early tomorrow. It appears to be finishing Wave (d) now and Wave (e) is likely to decline to the Broadening Wedge trendline at 2355.00. Using the Triangle formula, SPX is likely to make a final surge from the trendline to 2365.00. The hourly mid-Cycle resistance is at 2364.48 and the 61.8% retracement is at 2364.13. This cluster of resistance may be pretty formidable, but act as attractors until its time.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Critical Fibonacci Extensions May Mark End Of Trump Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research is showing critical Fibonacci extensions are in place for US Major Markets that may be foretelling of a massive market correction.  Part of our research is to search for and study events and resources that are a bit abstract.  One component of this research is to identify critical price levels and early warning triggers from abstract price data.  The major US indexes and most individual all showing price advanced over the past years and many are showing extended price rallies since the US Presidential election on November 8, 2017.  Yet, none are as foretelling as our “US Custom Index”.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Ending Syria’s Nightmare will Take Pressure From Below / Politics / Syria

By: Mike_Whitney

Ominous developments in East Syria have drawn the United States and Russia into closer proximity increasing the likelihood of a violent confrontation.  The Trump administration has embarked on a dangerous plan to defeat the terrorist militia, ISIS, in Raqqa. But recent comments by US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson suggest that Washington’s long-term strategy may conflict with Moscow’s goal of restoring Syria’s sovereign borders.  Something’s got to give. Either Russia ceases its clearing operations in east Syria or Washington agrees to withdraw its US-backed forces when the battle is over. If neither side gives ground, there’s going to be a collision between the two nuclear-armed adversaries.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

The Last G-20 Meeting Marks the End of Free Trade / Economics / Global Economy

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : In the last G-20 meeting, its members agreed to drop the forum’s commitment to free trade at the insistence of the United States. That agreement was reached at one meeting and was contained in a single document—such agreements and documents are far from written in stone.

In spite of that, it must be regarded as a historical moment. Excluding the free trade commitment from the agreement marks a fundamental shift in a concept that has been central to global economics for more than a generation.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

Charts That Reveal US Real Employment Status and It’s Not Good / Economics / Employment

By: John_Mauldin

The “labor force” from which we get unemployment statistics includes only those people who are either working or wish to be working.

It ignores the retired, those in school, the disabled, and nonworking spouses—as well as those who are not interested in working.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

John McCain’s New World Order Is Under “Enormous Strain” / Politics / US Politics

By: Jeff_Berwick

Decades ago, John McCain was in Asia trying to kill people he didn’t know while living off the largess of money (taxes) stolen from hard working people in the US.

In any other reality but our current one he’d be considered a thieving mass murderer.

Unfortunately, in our current reality, some people call him a “war hero”.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

SNP Controlled Scottish Parliament Demands Right for Scotland to Commit Suicide - Indyref2 / Politics / Scotland

By: Nadeem_Walayat

As Britain counts down to triggering Article 50 later today the SNP fired another missile at Westminister Tuesday in their continuing program towards the subversion of the settled BrExit will of the British people by voting to demand that another Scottish Independence referendum be held before the BrExit negotiations are finalised with the EU. This despite the fact that in the run up to Scotland's September 2014 Independence Referendum the Scottish Nationalists from Alex Salmond and Nichola Sturgeon down promised that they would abide by the results of the referendum, declaring that it was at least a once in a generation decision if not once in a life time decision.

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

US Dollar and Gold Dumb Market Myths About to Go Up in Smoke… / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Graham_Summers

Everywhere I look I see talk of a major $USD bull market being underway. I see this coming from CNBC as well as so-called “investment gurus.”

This is odd… because the $USD is DOWN against every major currency thus far in 2017.

I’m not making this up. The $USD is DOWN against the Yen, the Euro, the Swiss Franc, even the British pound.

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

Warning: Three Major Stock Market Bellwethers Are on Red Alert / Companies / Company Chart Analysis

By: Graham_Summers

As we have repeatedly warned since mid-December, the “Trump trade” was based on hype.

This is not to say that President Trump will not succeed in generating economic growth… it IS to say that whatever growth is coming will do so in 2018 as opposed to the GDP growth of 5% that the market seemed to believe would be hitting in early 2017.