Wednesday, September 20, 2017
US Equities Destined For Negative Returns In The Next 7 Years - 3 Assets To Invest In Instead / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : With the S&P 500 up 260% since March 2009, investors have been well rewarded for holding US stocks in the recent past.
However, the prime time of US stocks has come to an end. Here’s why.
In a white paper titled The S&P 500: Just Say No, investment research firm GMO projected that returns on US equities would be -3.9% over the next seven years.
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Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Looking For the Next Big Stock? Look at Design / Companies / Investing 2017
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
When it comes to market analysis, many investors know how to determine value by the numbers. Book value, P/E ratio, yearly revenue - these are all key numbers that value investors use to calculate a company’s intrinsic value. And while these factors are important and more investors should learn to use them, a numbers-first approach to analyzing a company for future growth potential leaves out some important observations. Perhaps most important of these is the company’s visual image, and how easy it is to understand and to use.
Wednesday, September 20, 2017
Really Bad Ideas, Part 4: US Federal Flood Insurance / Politics / US Politics
By: John_Rubino
As Hurricanes Harvey and Irma wreaked their havoc over the past couple of weeks, several interconnected questions popped up, the answers to which make us look, to put it bluntly, like idiots.
Why, for instance, are there suddenly so many Cat 4 and 5 hurricanes? Is this due to man-made climate change and is this summer therefore our new normal? The answer: Maybe, but that misses the point. There have always been huge storms (like the one that wiped Galveston, TX off the map in 1900, long before global warming was a thing), and barring another ice age there always will be. So the US east coast will remain one of Mother Nature’s favorite targets.
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Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Armed Police Sheffield Following Asian Men Around Meadowhall Shopping Centre / Local / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
The raising of the terror alert level following the attempted mass killing on a London tube train has resulted in machine gun armed police on patrol in public places, not just in London but across Britain, and so has been the experience of shoppers at Sheffield's Meadowhall shopping centre.
Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Former Wall Street Trader: Here’s The Biggest Mistake People Make With ETFs / InvestorEducation / Exchange Traded Funds
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : Pretty cheap to trade these days—$7 or whatever. Costs less than lunch. Some online brokers will give you the first 50/100/200 trades free. What a deal!
But there are consequences.
Have you ever gotten nervous about one of your positions, sold out of it, then watched helplessly as it shot up 40% in six months?
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Tuesday, September 19, 2017
In 10 Years, Your State May Well Be in the Same Place Where Puerto Rico is Now / Politics / Debt Crisis 2017
By: John_Mauldin
This is the first time on record that two Category 4 hurricanes have struck the US mainland in the same year.
Worse, Harvey and Irma landed on some of our most valuable and vulnerable coastal areas. So now, besides all the problems, the US economy has to absorb the cleanup and rebuilding costs for large parts of Texas and Florida, as well as our Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands territories.
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Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Self Employed? Understanding Business Insurance / Companies / SME
By: Submissions
Joanna Stovic writes: The number of people choosing to become self-employed is gradually rising. Those people strive for independence, control and freedom from the stress inflicted on them by their previous employers. Since the start of the economic downturn, there has been a 10% growth in the self-employment sector. While venturing into self-employment has its own challenges, it can be rewarding if you know the right steps to take.
Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Stock Market Bubble Fortunes / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Raul_I_Meijer
A few days ago, former Reagan Budget Director and -apparently- permabear (aka perennial bear) David Stockman did an interview (see below) with Stuart Varney at Fox -a permabull?!-, who started off with ‘the stock rally goes on’ despite a London terror attack and the North Korea missile situation. His first statement to Stockman was something in the vein of “if I had listened to you at any time after the past 2-3 years, I’d have lost a fortune..” Stockman shot back with (paraphrased): “if you’d have listened to me in 2000, 2004, you’d have dodged a bullet”, and at some point later “get out of bonds, get out of stocks, it’s a dangerous casino.” Familiar territory for most of you.
Tuesday, September 19, 2017
USD/CHF – Verification of Breakout or Further Declines? / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Nadia_Simmons
At the end of the previous week, the greenback moved lower against the Swiss franc, which resulted in a comeback to the previously-broken support/resistance line. Will we see a verification of the earlier breakout or rather further declines in the coming week?
Tuesday, September 19, 2017
Blockchain Tech: Don't Say You Didn't Know / Currencies / BlockChain
By: The_Gold_Report
Lior Gantz, founder of Wealth Research Group, discusses blockchain technology and one company that is harnessing its power.
"You can't stop things like the blockchain. It will be everywhere, and the world will have to readjust. World governments will have to readjust" – John McAfee, Founder of McAfee
As you're aware by now, the world's largest corporations and most governments are already testing the incredible potential of it.
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Tuesday, September 19, 2017
The Fed’s 2% Inflation Target Is Pointless / Economics / Inflation
By: Kelsey_Williams
Within the Federal Reserve sometime in 1996, a discussion took place among FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) members regarding the subject of inflation targeting. Federal Reserve District Governor (San Francisco) Janet Yellen believed that a little inflation “greases the wheels” of the labor market. Her preferred “target” was 2%. She asked Chairman (at the time) Alan Greenspan his preference.
The Chairman replied. “I would say the number is zero, if inflation is properly measured.”
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Tuesday, September 19, 2017
How To Resolve the Korean Conundrum / Politics / North Korea
By: Dan_Steinbock
As the US policy has failed in the Korean Peninsula, dark scenarios cast a shadow over the region – but could also pave way for peace. Recently, U.S. UN Ambassador Nikki Haley called for “the strongest sanctions” to pressure North Korea into giving up its nuclear arsenal “before it's too late.”
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Tuesday, September 19, 2017
A World Doomed to a Never Ending War / Politics / War on Terror
By: BATR
Are you disappointed with Donald Trump's bellicose continuing with the deployment in Afghanistan? Well, if you are not; you should be. Predicting a non-ideological President, who prides himself on making pragmatic decisions, raises prognostication to a new level of mystical proportions. Instilling hope during an election campaign seldom translates into dynamic action on every pledge made. Defending Trump no matter how many times he walks back on a promise is not the standard to judge his administration. Call him a turnaround artist if you wish, but the reality of the power elite inside the military, intelligence agencies and the state department is showing just how far they are willing to go to maintain their force of destructive rule.
Tuesday, September 19, 2017
What is Backtesting? And Why You Need Backtesting System? / InvestorEducation / Forex Trading
By: Kavinesh_A
If you be familiar with Currency trading backtesting or always considered how to do it, then this information is for you. Just like everything in dealing, and in life, there is no one-size-fits-all. Backtesting will not work for every investor or every dealing plan. It is considered the specified information to backtesting Currency dealing techniques, to help get you began. This information is the effect of my personal expertise with backtesting and speaking with a multitude of expert Currency trading investors over the years. it can help you begin and see the value in the procedure. Even more important perhaps, It is also wished that it is something that carries on to help you take your dealing activity to new stages, even when you have become continually effective. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 19, 2017
What Does "Desperate Complacency" Look Like? See For Yourself... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: EWI
What Does "Desperate Complacency" Look Like? See For Yourself...
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Monday, September 18, 2017
The Sum of Risks – Global, Strategic, Political, and Financial / Politics / GeoPolitics
By: Raymond_Matison
Never before, not since the founding of America even including our Civil War of the 1860’s, not in the history of the entire world has a confluence of risks risen and coalesced to the degree that makes the next few years the most dangerous on this planet since monkeys evolved to walking upright. Immense risks are prevalent in America, Europe, Middle East, and Asia – essentially covering most of our globe.
Monday, September 18, 2017
Elliott Wave Analysis of COMPQ (Nasdaq Composite) / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: WavePatternTraders
The relentless trend from the Feb 2016 could be close to a pause on some tech markets. Particularly the NDX and COMPQ. Both markets can suggest the trend is close to ending either wave [3] or wave [5] from the Feb 2016 lows. Personally I think the better idea is to suggest it’s close to ending wave [3]. Although I can see the merits of the other idea when I look at a weekly chart, it can clearly be counted as a 9 swing move from the Feb 2016 lows.
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Monday, September 18, 2017
These Two Articles Debunk The Biggest Financial Nonsense I See In The Media / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: John_Mauldin
For this week’s Outside the Box (subscribe here for free), we have a two-parter of short essays. They are unrelated but equally important. First, in “Time to Drain the Fed Swamp,” Brian Wesbury and colleagues at First Trust make the case that it was the private sector, not the federal government or the Fed, that saved the economy after the panic of 2008.
The Fed has outgrown its britches, they argue, and it’s time to fill the Board of Governors chair and vice-chair positions with people who will hold the Fed to account for its mistakes. They conclude with this trenchant line:
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Monday, September 18, 2017
Most Investors Won’t Be Buying Gold & Silver until AFTER Big Gains Occur / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: MoneyMetals
Physical demand for bullion rounds, coins, and bars remains somewhat soft in the U.S. This year’s run higher in prices as well as rising geopolitical tensions has whet the appetites of some investors, but it has not yet triggered broad participation.
With strong gains both this year and last, metals prices have been responding to a host of issues – from unrestrained federal borrowing to the prospect of nuclear exchange. But they haven’t moved up as much as many expect.
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Monday, September 18, 2017
Bitcoin Price Crash 40% In 3 Days Underlining Gold’s Safe Haven Credentials / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: GoldCore
– Bitcoin price action shows cryptos vulnerable to commentary and government policies
– Bitcoin falls to low of $2,980, down by $1,000 in week as China flexes muscles
– Volatility major issue: In 3 days btc fell 40% before bouncing 25% off lows
– BIS state risks of cryptos cannot yet be fully assessed and says technology still unproven
– Apple and Google developing a payment API for cryptos – may give governments full oversight
– Bitcoin and cryptos current volatility and exposure to governments underlines gold’s safe haven status