Tuesday, February 20, 2018
4% US 10-year Treasury Note Yield Will Be a Floor Not a Ceiling / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
The two most important factors in determining the level of sovereign bond yields are the credit and inflation risks extant within a nation. When determining a country’s ability to service its debt investors must analyze not only the absolute debt level, but also the ratios of debt and deficits to GDP. In addition, the current rate of inflation must also be viewed within the context of debt in order to make an accurate assumption as to the level of future inflation.
When analyzing historical measures of these criteria, the conclusion reached is that the U.S. 10-year Note yield should rise to at least four percent in the coming quarters.
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Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Why Now Is the Perfect Time to Be in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
We buy gold for many reasons—as monetary insurance, a crisis hedge, and even for simple diversification. And another one of those reasons is coming to the fore right now: as a hedge against overvalued stock and crypto markets.
We’ve been saying for some time that sooner or later these two markets had to correct—and that gold would serve as a buffer against those inevitabilities. It’s a short and simple message, but one that is crucial for investors to address: Are you sufficiently hedged against overvalued equity and cryptocurrency markets?
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Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Governments Are LYING about Their Gold Activities while Mining Companies Cower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Chris Powell, Secretary-Treasurer at the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee, also known as GATA. Chris is a long time journalist and a hard money advocate and through his tireless efforts at GATA he is working to expose the manipulation of the gold and silver markets. Through GATA's work over the years some important revelations have come to light, which quite honestly should concern everyone.
It's great to have him back with us. Chris, good to have you on again and how are you?
Chris Powell: Oh, very good, Mike. Glad to be here.
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Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Stock Market End Is Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
The doomsayers have been calling for recession for years. Mainstream economists laughed at them, painting a rosy picture. However, the recent plunge in the stock market strengthened the pessimists’ hand. They interpret the dive as a signal of a coming recession. Is the end of the stock market boom really near?
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Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Baidu (BIDU) Resuming the Bullish Cycle / Companies / Company Chart Analysis
Baidu, Inc. (NASDAQ: BIDU) is one of the largest Chinese multinational technology companies specializing in Internet-related services & products and one of the premier AI leaders in the world.
Last week, Baidu has reported excellent results in Q4 which helped its stock to bounce +15%. Solid margin expansion and good developments on several fronts were on the headlines behind the recent rally which switched the opinion of many major investment firms to the bullish side.
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Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Stock Market Breakout Rally will Squeeze Shorts In March / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Our proprietary price modeling systems are showing us that our expected price basing, which we have been warning our members of for near 3 months, has altered in range and scope. What we did expect to happen near February 21 is now expected to START sometime between February 21 and February 26. In other words, we are warning our clients that a moderate downside move is expected in the US majors through most of this current week ending near the end of February before a strong rally in prices is likely to begin.
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Tuesday, February 20, 2018
New Low in Gold Stocks is a Strong Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018
Gold has been on the cusp of a major breakout but someone forgot to tell the gold stocks. Gold is right back at resistance levels yet the various gold stock indices are off their September 2017 highs by 11% to 16%. The relative weakness in the gold stocks (and Silver) is a signal that Gold is unlikely to breakout now. In fact, if Gold were to correct here the gold stocks could threaten support and perhaps make new lows. While that sounds quite bearish, history shows that a break to new lows in gold stocks would be a massive buy signal.
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Tuesday, February 20, 2018
No Silver Lining Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
As bad as the prognosticators can be with their predictions for the price of gold, the situation for silver is even worse.
Some very recent headlines trumpeted the following proclamations:
“Silver prices to surge…”
“Silver…Why Prices Will Soar”
“Why You Must Own Silver…”
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Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Semi Conductor Stocks SEMI Bearish? / Companies / Tech Stocks
Over the last several years, beginning in 2013 I’ve made post titles like ‘Semi Bullish‘ in response to the bullish leading edge economic cycle indicator, the Semiconductor Equipment sector and its implications for broad stocks and the economy. Those implications of economic acceleration were along these lines… Semi Equipment Book-to-Bill (b2b) → Broad Semi → Manufacturing → Employment → Firm Economy. Shortly after the b2b was noted as bullish the SOX index and the S&P 500 broke out to new highs, not to even hint at looking back until the rocky 2015-2016 period.
The 2013 period launched everything we know as bullish today.
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Tuesday, February 20, 2018
The Prisoner Promised Land / Politics / Social Issues
Apprise just how much the perception of the world has changed in the last fifty years since the preeminent British series, The Prisoner first aired its run of 17 produced episodes. Essential background is available in the Solitary Purdah essay, The Sovereign Man is the Real Prisoner. For those of a generation who never viewed the definitive treatment of the ongoing globalists attempt to eradicate the human spirit, the subject matter may well be beyond their capacity for understanding. As the collective consciousness is channeled into a communal controlled "PC" culture, most are unable to master philosophical reasoning much less independent thinking. For these clones, utopia is the village and conformity is a continual price to be paid to belong and be happy.
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Tuesday, February 20, 2018
Best Car Dash Cam Review: Z-Edge S3 Dual Dash Cam - UNBOXING (1) / Personal_Finance / Motoring
Dash Cam, a camera that goes onto your car's dashboard is now deemed to be a necessity rather than optional as one of the first things your insurer will ask following an accident is do you have dash cam footage. However, car owners hunting for a dash cam can be bewildered by the choice that ranges across the price spectrum from as little as £10 to several hundreds of pounds.
So in the search for the perfect dash cam we spent some time hunting for the optimum spec, starting with a front only camera soon progressing to a dual front and back camera configuration as expectations are that any trouble will come from the back rather than the front. The next requirement was that the dash cam should be able to record many hours of footage so that we don't need to empty the camera too often, unfortunately most dash cams are very limited in the max micro sd cards they can take, usually to just 32gb, which at 1080p equates to about 3 hours of footage. Another potential problem is that most cameras make use of suction mounts which effectively tend to triple the size of the camera on ones windscreen, so our requirement was for a compact low profile dash cam.
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Tuesday, February 20, 2018
TESCO Super Markets All in One 50p Flower Baskets! / Personal_Finance / Gardening
With spring around the corner, Britains super markets such as TESCO will soon be stocked with loads of gardening plants including the all in one flower baskets, populated with a variety of plants that tend to start at £5 each. However amongst the pile of flower baskets there will be the odd disheveled flower basket that staff perhaps forgot to water, that the store will be eager to get rid of and so tend to be heavily discounted to perhaps as low as just 50p!
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Monday, February 19, 2018
How Inflation Reduces The Real Value Of Social Security Net Of Medicare Premiums / Economics / Government Spending
For most retirees age 65 and over, the spending power which they rely on from government retirement programs is their Social Security benefits after their Medicare Part B premiums have been withheld.
Because Social Security is in theory supposed to be fully inflation indexed, many people believe their standards of living in retirement will be fully protected from inflation. However, when we look at what matters the most, which is the purchasing power of Social Security net of Medicare premiums - that particular number has never been intended to keep up with the rate of inflation, as a matter of design.
Current retirees have received a rude wake-up call in recent years, with the increases in their Medicare Part B premiums consuming almost all of their very small increases in Social Security benefits. This is a process that is, however, still in its early stages. Particularly if higher rates of inflation are indeed returning, then the impact on retiree standards of living may be swift, powerful and sustained.
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Monday, February 19, 2018
Gold GLD ETF May Not Yet Be Ready To Break Out / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
For those that follow me regularly, you will know that I have been tracking a set-up for the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA:GDX), which I analyze as a proxy for the metals mining market. I believe that GDX can outperform the general equity market once we confirm a long-term break out has begun, and I still think we can see it in occur in 2018. This week, I will provide an update to GDX, but want to also discuss the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA:GLD), which is an ETF that attempts to mirror the movements of gold. While I have gone on record as to why I do not think GLD is a wise long-term investment hold, I will still use it to track the market movements.
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Monday, February 19, 2018
Could Stellar Lumens be a Challenger to Bitcoin for International Payments? / Currencies / BlockChain
Bitcoin has clearly cemented its position at the top of the cryptocurrency pecking order.
The last few years have seen its status grow immensely, to the point where many people (wrongly) see cryptocurrency and Bitcoin as inseparable.
In the last year or so, Bitcoin’s price has skyrocketed and many new investors have benefitted hugely. If you’d bought a single Bitcoin at the start of 2017, you’d now be about $7000 better off.
Monday, February 19, 2018
US-China Trade War Escalates As Further Measures Are Taken / Politics / China US Conflict
– Trade war between two superpowers continues to escalate
– White House likely to impose steep tariffs on aluminium and steel imports on ‘national security grounds’
– US may impose global tariff of at least 24% on imports of steel and 7.7% on aluminium
– China “will certainly take necessary measures to protect our legitimate rights.”
– China is USA’s largest trading partner, fastest-growing market for U.S. exports, 3rd largest market for U.S. exports in the world.
– If the U.S. continues to escalate its trade actions against China, experts say retaliation is likely.
– Global markets are unprepared, investors should invest in gold to protect portfolios
Monday, February 19, 2018
How To Trade Gold Stocks with Momentum / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
As a technical trader, I like it when multiple charts, indicators, and asset classes agree with each other for trade setups. This short article is to show you some of the things I look at which provide a buy signal for gold stocks.
One of the key trading tips I learned years ago, is that average a sharp price reversal and surge in price, we as traders can buy into the first pullback with a high probability of a continuation in price.
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Monday, February 19, 2018
Is a New Gold Bull Market on the Horizon? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
A read of the gold charts is indicating that a breakout and new bull market are simply a matter of time, says technical analyst Clive Maund. Gold continues to prepare to break out of its giant Head-and-Shoulders bottom pattern. As we can see on its 8-year chart below, this base pattern has been developing for getting on for five years now, so it has major implications. Upside volume has been building for a long time, driving volume indicators higher, a sign that a breakout and new bull market are simply a matter of time, and not much at that now.
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Monday, February 19, 2018
Stock Market Decision Point! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – An intermediate correction from 2872 is currently underway.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, February 19, 2018
Inflationary Pressures Building / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Inflationary pressures have been on the rise since 2016. The U.S. Inflation Rate currently sits at 2.20 percent up from 1 percent in early 2016.
Increasing economic growth both globally and domestically have aided the rise of inflationary pressures.
The rise or fall in commodity prices are a good reliable gauge on inflation.
But the biggest driver of natural resource prices appears to be the U.S. dollar.
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