Thursday, May 09, 2019

May 10th 2019 - A Big Day for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: readtheticker

This Friday (May 10th 2019) TRUMPs red line on the China trade talk will move stocks. Will trends break?

readtheticker.com correlation Period Scan tool suggest it will be either OutPut1 or OutPut2. Of course correlation is not causation, but a equity market trend of 10 years may soon find its end.

95% correlation scans are always interesting.

Thursday, May 09, 2019

How Arya Stark Became the Night King Killer - Game of Thrones / Personal_Finance / Social Media

By: Sami_Walayat

Arya Stark's progression through Game of Thrones from Season 1 right through to her Season 8's stealthy assassination of the Night King! And there's still at least Cersi to come !

Wednesday, May 08, 2019

Trump Bashes Political Correctness, Gold Rush Mascot Banned as Offensive / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: MoneyMetals

The roller coaster presidency of Donald Trump is currently riding high as the stock market races back up to new highs, economic data come in better than expected, and Congressional Democrats’ endless investigations come up empty handed.

Trump’s approval rating recently hit 50% at the same time as CNN’s ratings are tanking.

Over the weekend, President Trump sent CNN and the rest of the “MSM” (mainstream media) into a tizzy by speaking out against the latest Big Tech purge of “far right” voices.

Trump re-tweeted verboten alternative media personalities including Paul Joseph Watson and Lauren Southern.

Wednesday, May 08, 2019

How Fed Interest Rate Cycles Exponentially Reduce Long Term Wealth Creation / Interest-Rates / Economic Theory

By: Dan_Amerman

The most historically reliable way to create long term wealth is the reinvestment of cash flows over time, as earnings are earned on earnings, which are earned on earnings.

Compound interest is the best known example, but the same principle of compounding cash flows is also the most powerful and stable source of wealth with the stocks and real estate over the long term as well.

Reinvested (and increasing) dividends are a more important and stable source of stock market wealth than price gains.  Reinvested (and increasing) net cash flows are the most stable and important source of wealth with real estate and REIT investments as well.

However, what was taken for granted for many decades - is no longer available. As a result of Federal Reserve policies, only a small fraction of the historically average power of this wealth building engine still remains. In this analysis we will examine the mathematical implications of publicly stated Fed intentions if there is another recession, and look at the extraordinary implications for investors.

Wednesday, May 08, 2019

Do the Crude Oil Bulls Have Any Aces Left Up Their Sleeves? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Crude oil has had an eventful session yesterday. It has closed the opening gap and the bulls have been building upon their gains till the session’s close. Earlier today however, the price appears to be rolling over and heading south. Is all hope for higher oil lost? The bulls have shown to be quite tireless. Can they pull a rabbit out of their hats shortly?

Let’s take a closer look at the chart below (chart courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

Wednesday, May 08, 2019

Average UK House Prices Dragged Down by Decline in Capital / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: Submissions

Over recent years, house prices in the UK have fluctuated quite significantly. There has been some positive news of late, with house prices across the country increasing by 0.6 percent over the year. However, house prices declined in the South East and London, which resulted in the UK average house price falling.
 
According to figures, performance in London was the worst in a decade. However, despite the falling property prices, it is still the most expensive place to buy property in the UK. The South East and East of England are the second and third most expensive places to purchase residential property. Figures show that house prices in London have fallen at the fastest pace since 2009. 

Wednesday, May 08, 2019

NVIDIA - NVDA - TOP 10 AI Stocks Investing / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Where to invest to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend. I have ranked these stocks in in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. Do remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!

If you've not already done so then watch my following video from November 2016 which illustrates why everything will start to change exponentially by 2022.

Wednesday, May 08, 2019

Mueller Never Wanted The Truth / Politics / US Politics

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Zero Hedge ran an article about omissions from the Mueller report and/or investigation. It’s instructive, but there is more. First, some bits from that article:

Major Mueller Report Omissions Suggest Incompetence Or A Coverup

Robert Mueller’s 448-page “Investigation into Russian Interference in the 2016 Presidential Election” contains at least two major omissions which suggest that the special counsel and his entire team of world-class Democrat attorneys are either utterly incompetent, or purposefully concealing major crimes committed against the Trump campaign and the American people.

First, according to The Federalist’s Margot Cleveland (a former law clerk of nearly 25 years and instructor at the college of business at the University of Notre Dame) – the Mueller report fails to consider whether the dossier authored by former MI6 spy Christopher Steele was Russian disinformation, and Steele was not charged with lying to the FBI.

“The Steele dossier, which consisted of a series of memorandum authored by the former MI6 spy, detailed intel purportedly provided by a variety of Vladimir Putin-connected sources. For instance, Steele identified Source A as “a senior Russian Foreign Ministry figure” who “confided that the Kremlin had been feeding Trump and his team valuable intelligence on his opponents, including Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.”

Wednesday, May 08, 2019

UK Interest-only Mortgage Prodcuts Double but Approvals Fall / Housing-Market / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

The latest research from Moneyfacts.co.uk shows that the number of interest-only mortgage products has almost doubled over the past six years, rising from 102 products in May 2013 to 193 products today. However, this increase in products has not led to a greater number of approvals of this type of product.

Figures released by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the Bank of England show that approvals for interest-only mortgages have fallen from 26,592 in Q1 2013 to 24,148 in Q4 2018*. This decrease comes despite overall residential mortgage approvals nearly doubling over the same period, from 183,900 to 323,700.

Wednesday, May 08, 2019

US Stock Markets Could Rally Beyond Expectations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Late Sunday afternoon, President Trump surprised the global markets with the announcement of increased trade tariffs with China relating to the ongoing trade negotiations and delayed trade talks between the two global superpowers. The global markets reacted immediately upon the open Sunday night (Asian open). The VIX short position puts quite a bit of professional traders at risk of big losses today while those of us that were prepared for an increase in volatility and price rotation is poised for some incredible opportunities.

The US stock market is set up for a price move that will likely make many people very wealthy while frustrating many others over the next few months.  We’ve recently posted many articles regarding the 2020 US Presidential election cycle and the fear cycle that comes from these major political events.  In November 2016, we remember watching Gold rally $60 early in the election night, then fall $100 as news began reporting the surprise winner.  There is so much capital, and future capital expectations that ride on these election cycles – it can actually drive the markets in one direction or another.

Wednesday, May 08, 2019

Will Katie Hopkins Stand for BrExit Party in Elections After Helping Destroy UKIP? / Politics / UK Politics

By: N_Walayat

Katie Hopkins darling of the far right latest tweets are alluding to her preparing to make the leap from UKIP to the Brexit Party. After all UKIP effectively died in the local elections, so a case of mission accomplished for the Trojan Horse that are Katie Hopkins and Tommy Robinson, who successfully turned what should have been a UKIP local elections victory in the wake of Westminster Brexit chaos into an even worse performance than that of the Tories, by losing more than 80% of their councilors to end the night down 145 councilors with just 31 left. A TOTAL DISASTER!

Which should not come as much surprise to those who follow my analysis as I forewarned what to expect in electoral terms of the impact of Trojan Horse right win fanatics for the fundamental fact is that elections are won at the margins and not by preaching extreme messages to die hard supporters as they would have voted for UKIP regardless.

29 Mar 2019 - UK INDEPENDENCE DAY CANCELLED! As Westminster SUBVERTS BREXIT!

Brexit Master Nigel Farage understands this which is why he will storm the European elections by winning at least 25 seats! Literally going from nothing to 25+ seats all within a couple of months of the launch of his Brexit Party! A true electoral genius, who unlike the idiot in charge of UKIP understands that the likes of Katie Hopkins and Tommy Robinson are toxic to political parties.

Wednesday, May 08, 2019

This FinTech Stock Is Like Buying Square At $13 / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Submissions

Tuesday, May 07, 2019

Waiting for Double Bottom Support in Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Several weeks ago we wrote about the downside risk in the gold stocks.

After the various gold stock indices formed distribution-type tops, the subsequent selling has been swift. Miners have plunged through moving averages and short-term breadth indicators quickly reached oversold extremes.

While the gold stocks are oversold, it could be a little while before we can expect a sustained rebound.

We plot GDX below along with the percentage of HUI stocks that closed above the 50-day moving average and 200-day moving average. (The HUI is essentially GDX sans royalty companies).

Tuesday, May 07, 2019

US Federal Reserve Bank Vetoes Cain and Moore / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: BATR

If you ever had doubts just who is squarely in charge of the finances for the debt created U.S. Dollar currency, the nixing of Herman Cain and Stephen Moore for the Federal Reserve Board confirms that the Banksters are the real power. The Shadow Government is truly the elitists behind monetary hegemony that rules over government and economic policies. The institutions that shape and direct the financial dynasty of the reserve currency is outside the realm of Presidential compliance. Donald Trump has just experienced the push back from the Jackals of Jekyll Island.    

Clearly the Federal Reserve 100 Years of Failure has been the single most destructive financial factor in history. Over the last century the Merchantry economy has been systematically dismantled in favor of the Corporatocracy. The Wall Street establishment has always opposed entrepreneurs unless they go public with shares that the Masters of the Universe can manipulate. Both Cain and Moore have a long record of media appearances that often vary from the establishment viewpoint.

Tuesday, May 07, 2019

Stocks, Oil, Gold: Inflation-Adjusted Returns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Kelsey_Williams

In late 1999, the hyper-bullish technology stock sector was nearing the end of its nearly decade-long run to unsupportable and overly optimistic highs. At the center of the hype and fascination were new companies, headed by twenty-something geniuses. They were referred to as startups.

The multiples of earnings that normally applied in order to assess value of these companies was thrown aside. That is because most of them did not have any earnings.

Nevertheless, they were attractive enough to garner huge crowds of support.  Just the hint of a revolutionary idea could boost an unknown small private company into the spotlight of the new issue market with over subscription being commonplace.

Technology stocks collapsed in 2000, and were eventually joined by the broader stock market which began a two-year descent that saw the S&P 500 lose fifty percent of its value.

Tuesday, May 07, 2019

When Will the Stock Market’s Rally Stop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market managed to squeak out some additional gains this week, and the S&P is now up 15 of the past 19 weeks. A lot of traders are probably wondering “when will the stock market’s rally end?”

The economy’s fundamentals determine the stock market’s medium-long term outlook. Technicals determine the stock market’s short-medium term outlook. Here’s why:

1. The stock market’s long term risk:reward is no longer bullish.
2. The medium term direction (e.g. next 6-12 months) has a bullish lean.
3. The stock market’s short term leans bearish

Tuesday, May 07, 2019

DIY Money Saving Magic with Wood Moisture Meter for DIY Repairs / Personal_Finance / Home Maintenance

By: HGR

Here's how a cheap moisture meter can save you a lot of time and money in DIY repairs. For instance we bought a cheap meter from Amazon for just £14 (https://amzn.to/2GZZnlA) to test the boards on a 10 year old decking so that we don't unnecessarily replace good boards, better to get the job all done in one go rather than having to revisit a few months later.

The Moisture meter has 4 sharp prongs, It basically works by sticking the prongs into wood and then gives a percentage moisture reading, anything over 20% means the woods likely rotting, most wood should read less than 20%. I tested it on a tree and it came back at 40%. The dry deck boards generally gave 0%-5% readings so were fine. 1 board that needed replacing underside was giving readings of over 30%!

Tuesday, May 07, 2019

Record-Low Unemployment and Trump’s Message to China: Implications for Gold / Economics / US Economy

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The US unemployment rate dropped in April to 3.6 percent, a level not seen since December 1969. So, everything must be great. With the exception of the renewed worries about the U.S.-China trade deal. On Sunday, President Trump surprised the markets again. What did he write exactly and how could his tweets affect the gold market?

US Economy Adds More Than 250,000 new jobs in April

America created 263,000 jobs last month, following a strong rise of 189,000 in March (after an downward revision). The number surprised again on a positive side, as the economists polled by the MarketWatch forecasted 213,000 created jobs.

Tuesday, May 07, 2019

Silver Sets Up A Long-Term Wave B Bottom / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Precious Metals traders have been hanging on every turn in the markets over the past 2+ years.  The upside price move in early 2016 setup a very strong expectation that further upside price moves were about to result in an upside price explosion in metals.  Remember, 2016 was a very big US Presidential election year.  2020, being the next big US Presidential election year, is only about 7 months away and the rancor has already started in the news cycles.

Our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting that Silver has set up an ABC bottom in Oct/Nov 2018 and has already initiated an A/B upside price leg that should result in a C or C/D/E price advance over the next few months.  Our Fibonacci price modeling system is suggesting an upside price target of $22 per ounce for this move, which breaks the previous July 2016 highs of $21.22.  We believe the ultimate upside target of this next bullish move is bear $28 to $29 based on longer-term Fibonacci price modeling.

Tuesday, May 07, 2019

Stock Market Failed Attempt / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Final long-term phase on the way?  How much longer, is the question.
Intermediate trend –  The trend which started at 2346 could be close to making a final high (as a B-wave?) before another significant correction begins.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.