Thursday, January 09, 2020
The Fed Protects Gamblers at the Expense of the Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
Although the repo market is little known to most people, it is a $1-trillion-a-day credit machine, in which not just banks but hedge funds and other “shadow banks” borrow to finance their trades. Under the Federal Reserve Act, the central bank’s lending window is open only to licensed depository banks; but the Fed is now pouring billions of dollars into the repo (repurchase agreements) market, in effect making risk-free loans to speculators at less than 2%.
This does not serve the real economy, in which products, services and jobs are created. However, the Fed is trapped into this speculative monetary expansion to avoid a cascade of defaults of the sort it was facing with the long-term capital management crisis in 1998 and the Lehman crisis in 2008. The repo market is a fragile house of cards waiting for a strong wind to blow it down, propped up by misguided monetary policies that have forced central banks to underwrite its highly risky ventures.
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Thursday, January 09, 2020
Last Chance to Get Microsoft Windows 10 for FREE! / Personal_Finance / Microsoft
The next 5 days could be your very last chance to grab a copy of Windows 10 Home or Premium for FREE!
All you need is an old computers Windows 7 licence key, then you can either upgrade or do a fresh install of Windows 10 for FREE!
This video takes you though the process from start to finish including several obstacles to over come that you could face. But usually it should not take more than an hour from start to finish.
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Thursday, January 09, 2020
The Stock Market is the Opiate of the Masses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
Oh sure, the days of watching Jim Cramer mash buttons on his console with his sleeves rolled up to his armpits are pretty much over.And nobody really day trades anymore, except for masochists. And, despite a 10,000-point rise in the Dow since the election, nobody seems all that happy.
But the stock market is still the opiate of the masses.
I know this because anytime I go on Twitter, the financial pundits are tweeting about stocks. They usually don’t tweet about bonds or commodities or FX. I follow one or two oddballs that tweet about volatility.
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Thursday, January 09, 2020
Is The Energy Sector Setting Up Another Great Entry? / Commodities / Energy Resources
Another wild week for oil traders with missiles flying and huge overnight price swings in crude. As we recently pointed out within our current Oil research article, Oil and the Energy sector may be setting up for another great trade. We recently commented on how the supply/demand situation for oil has changed over the past 20+ years.
With US oil production near highs and a shift taking place toward electric and hybrid vehicles, the US and global demand for oil has fallen in recent years. By our estimates, the two biggest factors keeping oil prices below $75 ppb are the shift by consumers across the globe to move towards more energy-efficient vehicles and the massive new supply capabilities within the US.
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Thursday, January 09, 2020
The Fed Is Creating a Monster Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
Ignoring problems rarely solves them. You need to deal with them—not just the effects, but the underlying causes, or else they usually get worse.
In the developed world and especially the US, and even in China, our economic challenges are rapidly approaching that point. Things that would have been easily fixed a decade ago, or even five years ago, will soon be unsolvable by conventional means.
Central bankers are the ones to blame. In a sense, they are far more powerful and dangerous than the elected ones.
Hint: It’s nowhere good. And when you combine it with the fiscal shenanigans, it’s far worse.
Thursday, January 09, 2020
If History Repeats, Video Game Stocks Could Soar 600%+ / Companies / Gaming
Justin Spittler : A new super cycle is revving up. And if history repeats, this super cycle will hand out profits of 8X to 18X, starting now.If you’ve studied investing, you’ve likely come across the idea of “cyclical” assets. Cyclical assets go through boom and bust cycles. One year they surge in price, the next year they plummet.
Housing stocks are cyclical (read our recent guide on how to profit from the biggest housing boom in history), airline stocks are cyclical, gold is famously cyclical. Most commodities like oil, wheat, and steel are cyclical. Let me tell you about a new super cycle that was just born in a quiet corner of the markets.
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Wednesday, January 08, 2020
What to Know Before Buying a Land Rover Discovery Sport in 2020 / ConsumerWatch / Land Rover
If your thinking of buying a Land Rover Discovery Sport either New are Used then here is my comprehensive review of what you need to own after having owned and driven a Disco Sport for 2 FULL YEARS!
Lan drover Discovery Sport HSE BLACK that I bought under Approved Used when the car was 15 months old, with 11,000 miles on the clock, so still under manufacturers warranty, followed by a few months under Land Rovers Approved Used extended warranty.
So Here's my top 10 of what’s good and bad of what you need to know if your considering buying a Landrover Discovery sport of what to expect, as per my experiencing of owning and driving one for 2 full years.
Wednesday, January 08, 2020
Stock Market Forecast 2020 Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
Long-term Trend Analysis
The Dow finally breached resistance along a series of sub 28k highs of the past 2 years that propelled the Dow towards 29k.
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Wednesday, January 08, 2020
Gold Price at Resistance / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
Technical analyst Clive Maund discusses the effects of geopolitics on the price of gold. In this update I am not going to repeat the points made in the last fairly comprehensive update, instead we are going to focus on the importance of the resistance level just above where the price is now, and impact of the killing of the Iranian general and its potential implications for the gold price.
On the latest 10-year chart we can see that gold is making a second attack on the key major resistance level in the $1530-$1560 zone, which is hardly surprising considering what happened last week.
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Wednesday, January 08, 2020
The Fed Has Quietly Started QE4 / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
In September of last year, something still unexplained happened in the “repo” short-term financing market. Liquidity dried up, interest rates spiked, and the Fed stepped in to save the day.
Story over? No. The Fed has had to keep saving the day, every day, since then.
Wednesday, January 08, 2020
The All-Out View of Crude Oil’s Spike / Commodities / Crude Oil
Let’s put the geopolitical gyrations in oil into a proper perspective by taking a look at the monthly chart. The overall situation hasn’t changed much as crude oil is still trading inside the blue consolidation below three very important resistances (the red and orange bearish gaps and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement), which form the key resistance zone for the coming week(s).
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Wednesday, January 08, 2020
NASDAQ Set to Fall 1000pts Early 2020, and What it Means for Gold Price / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
One of our most interesting predictive modeling system is the Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) price modeling system. It is capable of learning from past price data, building price DNA chains and attempting to predict future price activity with a fairly high degree of accuracy. The one thing we’ve learned about the ADL system is that when price mirrors the ADL predictive modeling over a period of time, then there is often a high probability that price will continue to mirror the ADL price predictions.
One of our more infamous ADL predictions was our October 2018 Gold ADL prediction chart (below). This chart launched a number of very interesting discussions with industry professionals about predictive modeling and our capabilities regarding Adaptive Learning. Eric Sprott, of Sprott Money, highlighted some of our analyses related to the ADL predictive modeling system in June and July 2019. Our ADL predictive modeling system suggested a bottom would form in Gold near April/May 2019 and then Gold would rally up toward $1600 by September 2019, then rotate a bit lower near $1550 levels.
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Wednesday, January 08, 2020
Gold 2020 - Financial Analysts and Major Financial Institutions Outlook / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
Santa Claus rally in Gold and Silver Crowns a very good year
It was a very good year for precious metals. Gold posted a nearly 19% gain and silver rose over 17%. As you can see in the chart below, the move higher began in early summer defying the annual summer doldrums, hit an impasse during autumn, then ended the year with a surprise Santa Claus rally that took it over the $1520 mark. Silver pushed briefly over the $18 mark in late December then settled at $17.78. Bloomberg Intelligence’s Mike McGlone offers a hopeful tone for our favorite precious metal as 2020 begins:
“It’s a new year and decade and gold is poised to follow the dollar and equities to new highs, in our view. When, should be the primary question, particularly when the stock market and greenback succumb to some normal mean reversion. Absent a new higher dollar and stock-price plateau, gold is set to join the all-time-highs club. Gold prices are on a sound footing for further advancement in the coming year and decade, in our view. Gold prices are on a sound footing for further advancement in the coming year and decade, in our view.”
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Wednesday, January 08, 2020
Stock Market Trend Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – There are no signs that the bull market is over.
Intermediate trend – Most likely near an intermediate top.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Tuesday, January 07, 2020
Stock Market Trend Forecast 2020 - QE4Ever! Video / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
My consistent message since QE money printing began a few weeks prior to the birth of this stocks bull market in March 2009, my message has been that once QE money printing starts then it NEVER ENDS! So LEVERAGE once self to the perma money printing INFLATION MEGA-TREND. Invest in assets that are LEVERAGED TO INFLATION.
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Tuesday, January 07, 2020
Crude Oil Price Reverses Lower Again After US Missile Attack / Commodities / Crude Oil
Normally, after tensions between Iran/Iraq and the US flare-up, Oil and Gold rally quite extensively but reversed sharply lower by the end of the session.
Yes, Gold is 1% higher today and was up over $35 overnight, but Crude Oil has actually moved lower today which is a fairly strong indication that disruptions in oil supply from the Middle East are not as concerning as they were 10+ years ago. Traders and investors don’t believe this isolated targeted missile attack will result in any extended aggression between the US and Iran.
When past conflicts in the Middle East happened, Oil would typically rally and Gold would spike higher as well. Consider this a reflex action to uncertain oil supply issues and concerns that global market uncertainty could crash the markets. Gold seems like an easy expectation related to this type of uncertainty as it continues to act as a hedge against many risks like missiles/war, financial uncertainties etc…
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Tuesday, January 07, 2020
Trump’s China Agreement Is a Fake Deal / Politics / Protectionism
We have a trade deal! Should we pop the champagne corks?If so, we better hurry. The Trump administration wants to slam 100% tariffs on French champagne—retaliation for France’s new digital services tax. This trade war has more than one battlefield.
But China is the biggest, and last week the Trump administration said it had reached a “Phase 1” agreement with China. The president postponed a new round of tariffs that would have taken effect Dec. 15.
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Tuesday, January 07, 2020
Bullion Banks Used Paper Gold and Silver to Restrain Price Advance in 2019 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
Gold and silver investors buy metals because they are scarce. Precious metals are by nature difficult to find, and hard to produce. Consequently, above ground stocks are limited and valuable, particularly when priced in unlimited fiat currencies.
The bankers and government officials behind these fiat currency systems don’t like stable monetary benchmarks such as gold putting their inflation schemes on full display. They absolutely hate that gold works as a refuge.
Inflation is a stealth tax. Instead of overtly raising taxes, politicians simply borrow and print the money needed for more government. They just need people not to notice.
Monday, January 06, 2020
Will 2020 be Junior Mining Stock’s Year? / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Another year of covering commodities and select junior mining stocks is all but done and dusted.
We’ve seen palladium prices more than double those of platinum, its sister metal, on tight supply and high demand for catalytic converters in gas-powered vehicles, as smog-belching diesel cars and trucks get phased out to meet tighter air emissions standards particularly in Europe and China.
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Monday, January 06, 2020
JPMorgan Silver Crime Charges to NY Fed REPO Loan Ramp / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020
We often cover the ongoing JPMorgan silver bullion saga here. It seems we have a new twist in the ongoing story since JPMorgan's takeover of the bankrupt Bear Sterns short silver position in early 2008.
Late last year, in early November 2019, CBS’ 60 Minutes show did a puff Public Relations piece for the CEO of the world’s largest and Global Systematic Important Bank.
Here we see 60 Minutes interviewer Lesley Stahle as she interviews billionaire on paper, Jaime Dimon, the CEO of JP Morgan Chase.
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