Sunday, October 11, 2015

October Stocks Bear Market and Crash Killer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are now well into October, which is THE month for stock market doom and gloom to prevail. This is the month when the perma stock market crash proponents are at their most vocal when they dust down and repost ancient charts of previous crashes such as 1929 and 1987 and more recently 2008, to once more proclaim that history is about to repeat and a stock market crash is imminent. Though this time its even worse than usual because even those who may have been 'mostly' bullish threw in the towel several weeks ago to at least conclude that stocks bear market had begun.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

A Bifurcated U.S. Housing Market, How Much Longer Can Unaffordable Housing Prices Last? / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Adam_Taggart

Charles Hugh Smith writes: Markets discover price via supply and demand: Big demand + limited supply = rising prices. Abundant supply + sagging demand = declining prices.

Eventually, prices rise to a level that is unaffordable to the majority of potential buyers, with demand coming only from the wealthy. That’s the story of housing in New York City, the San Francisco Bay Area and other desirable locales that are currently magnets for global capital.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

Gold Stocks GDX 30% Stealth Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Gary_Savage

We've had a stealth 30% rally off the low and still almost no one believes in the rally. Many bears are still trying to short this market. This is how bull markets start with no one on board and shorts still trying to press a very mature downtrend.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

Stock Market Primary V to New Highs Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 1951. After a gap up opening on Monday morning to start the week, the market made higher highs and lows every day ending the week at SPX 2015. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.5%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.5%, and the DJ World index gained 4.4%. Economic reports for the week continued their neutral to negative bias. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, the WLEI, GDPn and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: ISM services, consumer credit, export/import prices, the MMIS and the trade deficit expanded. Next week, a busy week, we get Industrial production, the FED’s Beige book, and Retail sales.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

Putin’s “Endgame” in Syria / Politics / Russia

By: Mike_Whitney

Russia doesn’t want to fight a war with Turkey, so Russian generals devised a simple, but effective plan to discourage Turkey from taking any action that could lead to a clash between the two nations.

Last week, Russian warplanes intruded into Turkish airspace twice. Both incidents caused consternation in Ankara and send Turkish leaders into a furor. On both occasions, officials in Moscow politely apologized for the incursions claiming they were unintentional (“navigational errors”) and that they would try to avoid similar intrusions in the future.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

Gold And Silver Trapped In A Low-End Trading Range / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

Syria: An example why gold and silver have not rallied, and an example of why gold and silver ultimately will rally.

As a side note, never in the history of the world has a fiat paper currency ever survived. Never before in history has there been so much fiat-created paper currency nor has there ever been as much debt in the world. Never before has the demand for gold and silver been greater, nor the supply of same less, relative to the demand. Obviously, as we have stated in the past, the natural factors of supply and demand are of no consequence for the pricing of gold and silver.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

A Week Where Pessimism Ruled.... Stock Markets Rally.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Pessimism has been rocking in over the past two months. Step by step we've seen more and more bears come in, while more and more bulls run out. Shorting positions dramatically on the rise. Fewer and fewer people are talking as if the market can actually go up again. So naturally the market had a nice week to the upside, closing at overbought on the short-term charts for good measure. Shows how much pessimism and short interest can do for the short-term, if not a bit longer than that. The bull-bear spread started the week at minus 4%. It was probably close to zero or slightly green, but still a solid number for the bulls.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

Free Traders Educational Week / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade

By: EWI

Dear Trader,

You have an opportunity to spend the next week learning how you can spot high-confidence trade setups in the charts you follow every day.

Elliott Wave International (EWI) is hosting a free Trader Education Week. Register now and get instant access to free trading resources -- plus you'll receive more lessons as they're unlocked each day of the event.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

Why I'm Bearish on Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Submissions

Tony Mermer writes: Many investors have turned bullish on gold since it fell below $1080 in July, which was the 50% retracement level since gold's secular bull market began in 2001. These investors believe that gold's cyclical bear market is now over and that the secular bull is about to resume. I disagree. Gold will fall below $1000 before this cyclical bear market is over. Here's why.

Friday, October 09, 2015

Obama Abandons Scheme to Train Nonexistent Syrian Moderates / Politics / Syria

By: Stephen_Lendman

On Friday, Defense Department publication Stars and Stripes (S&P) headlined “Pentagon plans new approach to train Syrian rebels.” More on this below.

Friday, October 09, 2015

Gold and Silver Bucket Shop / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jesse

"The terrible, cold, cruel part is Wall Street. Rivers of gold flow there from all over the earth, and death comes with it. There, as nowhere else, you feel a total absence of the spirit: herds of men who cannot count past three, herds more who cannot get past six, scorn for pure science and demoniacal respect for the present.

And the terrible thing is that the crowd that fills the Street believes that the world will always be the same, and that it is their duty to keep that huge machine running, day and night, forever."

Friday, October 09, 2015

Stock Market Rally May be Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

At 9:59 am the SPX made a failed attempt at a new high, missing by 95 ticks. It appears to be coming back down and may break the uptrend at 2010.00. SPX regains its sell signal below the 50-day Moving Average at 1993.78.

The reason I brought up the time element is that it is exactly 51.6 hours from the low on Sept 29.

Friday, October 09, 2015

Gold Stocks Major Breakout / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The left-for-dead gold stocks have rallied dramatically this past week, surging to a major breakout.  This pivotal technical event reveals the hyper-bearish psychology plaguing this sector in recent months is dissipating, paving the way for investment capital to return.  And given the fundamentally-absurd price levels in this battered sector, this new gold-stock buying is likely just the initial vanguard of a massive new upleg.

Even among contrarians, the overwhelming consensus view is that gold miners’ stocks are doomed to grind lower indefinitely.  Pretty much everyone even aware of this obscure sector totally despises it, the inevitable result of recent years’ dismal price action.  The flagship gold-stock index, the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index better known by its symbol HUI, certainly reflects the unbelievable misery in this business.

Friday, October 09, 2015

Contrarian Investing - Being the 10th Man / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: John_Mauldin

By Jared Dillian

I was going to give you this big macro rundown of what happened since the payroll number, but I changed my mind. Anybody can give you the play-by-play. Let’s talk about it in the context of true contrarian investing.

Being contrarian doesn’t just mean doing the opposite of what everyone else is doing. It means doing what is really unpopular and may make you subject to ridicule.

Friday, October 09, 2015

U.S. Can Expect Recession in 1-3 Years / Economics / Recession 2016

By: Bloomberg

David Rubenstein, co-founder and co-CEO at The Carlyle Group, joined hosts Stephanie Ruhle and David Westin on Bloomberg TV's new flagship morning program, Bloomberg <GO>. Rubenstein discussed his call for one or two percent U.S. growth in the next year and explains why the country can expect a recession within the next three years. He also spoke about a transformation taking place in China and unrealistic expectations for 10 percent growth in the nation's economy.

Rubenstein told Bloomberg TV that a U.S. recession is "inevitable." He said "We have not really had a recession in six years.  We came out of the last recession in June of 2009. We tend to have recessions every seven years, more or less in the United States, since World War II.  So at some point in the next year or two or three, you can expect a recession."

Friday, October 09, 2015

The Greater Economic Depression Deep State / Economics / Great Depression II

By: Casey_Research

Master speculator and economic expert Doug Casey believes a global financial crisis is just around the corner, which will result in what he has termed the “Greater Depression”...

This essay originally appeared in The Casey Report. In it, Doug details a hidden but powerful force known as the “deep state” that’s ruining the country.

Friday, October 09, 2015

Global Players at the Financial Poker Table / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

From the movie “Rounders” regarding poker:

“If you can’t spot the sucker in the first half hour at the table, then you are the sucker.”  

Friday, October 09, 2015

Stock Market Waiting for the Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is higher this morning. This appears to be the final phase of the rally, which may be gunning for the hourly Cycle Top at 2022.41.

ZeroHedge comments, “Several days ago, we pointed out a startling fact: short interest in the NYSE had risen to match the record level seen just before the collapse of Lehman!

Friday, October 09, 2015

Financial Markets Calm Before the Storm? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Puru_Saxena

BIG PICTURE - Global business activity is slowing down and the majority of the developing nations are experiencing severe economic problems. Over in the developed world, Japan is contracting again, Euro zone is barely growing and even America's leading economic indicators are suggesting trouble ahead. Elsewhere, the CRB Index is trading at a 13-year low and this implosion in the prices of commodities is suggesting that all is not well with the global economy.

The crux of the matter is that the world is severely over-indebted (debt to GDP ratio of 286%, Figure 1) and without fiscal measures, viable reforms and debt restructuring, we will probably remain stuck in this low growth environment for years. Unfortunately, you cannot solve a problem of too much debt by encouraging even more borrowing; yet policymakers are trying to fix this mess by lowering interest rates and injecting liquidity.

Friday, October 09, 2015

Stock Market History Calling, Says Performance will be Crappy for Another ~10 years! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

I remember the first time I walked into Henry Blodget’s new startup, Business Insider, back in 2009. Twelve fresh-faced kids were crammed into a room about the size of my bedroom, pounding away on laptops, creating a new destination website. He took me over to a corner; we sat down in front of a few cameras; and he began shooting question after question at me, later turning the session into a series of interviews.

You walk into his office today and it’s still packed wall-to-wall with fresh-faced kids (the older I get the younger they look), but the offices are much larger, and it seemed to me last time that there had to be at least 150 people in them. But the interviews are still quick-paced, even if they’re now conducted in a special room, with upgraded equipment.