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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 06, 2016

Examining Top Foreign Investments for 2016 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016

By: Submissions

Larissa James writes: While there are plenty of sound investments to be made in the United States in 2016, wise investors are expanding their horizons beyond domestic soil. In fact, many investors are choosing to place a majority of their portfolios overseas. And while there’s no need to move all of your assets, there are some solid foreign plays that you should know about as we enter 2016.

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Politics

Wednesday, January 06, 2016

Future of Corporatism in 2016 / Politics / Corporate News

By: BATR

Economists, stock pickers and financial analysts are eager to play the forecast game. Clients of these erudite soothsayers would like you to believe that their study of trends and markets are founded on empirical maxims. What they carefully avoid admitting is that predicting the political climate is even more important than knowing the direction that monitory central banking will follow. 2016 promises to be a pivotal year. Depend upon the overactive drive of a lame duck President to complete his task of ruining the economy before he leaves office.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 06, 2016

Investors Green Energy Trend Is Your Friend / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: The_Energy_Report

David Talbot of Dundee Capital Markets forecasts uranium demand growth of about 6% compounded annually through 2020, which ought to be more than enough to kickstart depressed U3O8 prices. Nuclear energy is part of a growing trend away from fossil fuels toward green energy and things like lithium-ion batteries for cars and energy storage. Talbot explains that lithium demand is expected to grow even faster than uranium demand, and the market is already undergoing a supply deficit. In this interview with The Energy Report, he offers his top picks in the uranium and lithium spaces, as well as a graphite name, all poised to ride the green energy trend higher.

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Economics

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Are We Headed for Another Economic Bust? / Economics / US Economy

By: Frank_Shostak

On Wednesday December 16, 2015, Federal Reserve Bank policymakers raised the federal funds rate target by 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent for the first time since December 2008. There is the possibility that the target could be lifted gradually to 1.25 percent by December next year.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Silver Rides a Runaway Expense Train / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

The US government will spend nearly $4 Trillion this fiscal year – starting last October 1.  Of course it projects a massive deficit, increasing national debt, uses “funny” accounting, and does not address unfunded liabilities.

Business as usual…

Examine the last 100 years of US government expenditures and national debt – on a log scale in $ millions.  Note that official government expenses have increased from about $750 million to about $4 Trillion, an increase by a factor of over 5,000.

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Politics

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

The American Melting Pot versus the European Salad Bowl / Politics / Social Issues

By: Rodney_Johnson

I recently took a car service from the outskirts of Washington, DC to Baltimore. Along the way I struck up a conversation with the driver, who was from Uganda. After the weather and other pleasantries, the topics turned to social issues of the day, eventually landing on marriage. We discussed the benefits of a great marriage, and how finding the right partner can be a struggle.

He then mentioned how some people get “postal maids,” and that’s where things got interesting. I asked if he meant “mail-order brides,” which made him laugh as he corrected himself.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

The Importance Of A Good Trading System in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Harry_Dent

In this morning’s 5 Day Forecast, Adam O’Dell, our Chief Investment Strategist, gave Boom & Bust subscribers a snapshot of what 2015 was like for stocks, bonds and commodities.

The picture was ugly!

So I’m going to show you too, but I’m going to let charts do the talking…

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Pento's Market Predictions for 2016 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Michael_Pento

2015 was a year where nearly every asset class failed to provide any returns at all. If fact, the S&P 500 hasn't gone anywhere in about the past 400 days. An analysis of that Index's performance at the end of the 3rd quarter by S&P Capital IQ showed that over 250 stocks were down more than 20% from their 2015 highs and 25% of the S&P 500 Index had plummeted more than 30%.

The 30-year Treasury bond has fallen over 2.0%, cash in money market accounts have returned just +0.11% (so after taxes and inflation your return was solidly negative), and the CRB index is down nearly 25%.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

SPX Opening Weak. Will the Decline Resume? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX appears to be struggling below yesterday’s close in the Premarket. Although anything can happen with HFTs, we may expect to see a resumption of the decline below the Cycle Bottom at 2007.99. Chinese intervention in their market failed to break the rout in the overnight markets.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

DJ-UBS Forecast: Can it get worse in 2016 for Commodities? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Submissions

Ken Ticehurst writes: The commodities complex ended 2015 with another poor year, the Dow Jones Commodity Index ended down 25%. Unfortunately as far as we are concerned the downtrend is set to continue for the foreseeable future there appears very little evidence of a capitulation or a bottom forming.

We are currently in a small oversold bounce which we do not expect to last too long as the index itself has spent the last few months in a controlled descent. Rather than an uncontrolled crash the index has moved steadily lower which can sometimes indicate a lower for longer pattern is unfolding.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Countdown to the End of UK Housing Market Help to Buy Phase 2 / Housing-Market / UK Housing

By: MoneyFacts

In December this year the mortgage market will wave goodbye to the Help to Buy Mortgage Guarantee Scheme. Since its introduction, the scheme has had a profound effect on the 95% loan-to-value (LTV) mortgage market, giving it a significant boost at a vital time.

As a result of the impetus from the scheme, data from Moneyfacts.co.uk can reveal that the number of mortgages at 95% LTV has risen from 56 in October 2013 to 249 today – a 444% increase.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Stock Market 2016 Further to Fall - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

I think the 7 year cycle low still has unfinished business. One way or another, either through a normal stair stepping down correction, or a market crash if the government continues to intervene in the markets, stocks still need to fall further before the next leg of the bull market can begin.

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ElectionOracle

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

2016 Presidential Unreality Show - Hillary is No Snow White / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016

By: BATR

The theatrics from a presidential campaign cycle is some of the best entertainment that a political junkie can hope for. Imagining that the electoral process has even a remote connection that reflects the will of the people is one of the idiocies that Americans delude themselves with in order to rationalize that the country is ruled under democratic elections. At the outset, elections are actually a selection ratification provided by the party hacks and media gatekeepers that serve their supra-elite masters.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Hedge Funds Remain Bullish Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Dan_Norcini

Just as the case with Silver, so do the hedge funds remain stubbornly long in crude oil.

Here is the updated COT chart as of last Tuesday, December 29, 2015.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

SPX May Have a Completed Reversal Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX made a perfect five-wave decline and (thus far) a 25% retracement. If SPX is in a Wave C decline, that is all it needs to be complete. The shape of the fractal is intriguing, implying that Wave [iii] may have a minimum target of 1795.00…

The market may have been saved by a $2-3 billion late-day bid out of nowhere. If this is the beginning of Wave C, the retracement may be finished already. Otherwise, I would suggest a target at the 38.2% retracement at 2024.63 at the open tomorrow.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Yellen Comes Down The Chimney  / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: HRA_Advisory

You heard it from Janet Yellen.  “Economic expansions (and by extension bull markets) don’t die of old age.”  That’s true.   But they do die from excess, policy mistakes and Wall St Stoopid. 

Seven years of zero interest rates have created plenty of capital misallocation, mal-investment and yield chasing.  We’ve seen some minor debacles in the high yield space this month.  Nothing earth shattering but certainly disquieting. Big problems often start small and go unnoticed until the tsunami is on the horizon.  Keep an eye on bonds.  The credit market funds a large percentage of the buying underpinned the bull market.  We’ve got a problem if it stops.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Government 'Processing Error' Sinks U.S. Housing Market Reports for Entire Year / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Mike_Shedlock

Huge "Processing Error" in Government Housing Data

When I saw some of the upwardly revised GDP estimates in 2015 I thought they were too good to be true, and that downward revisions were coming.

I had almost given up on that idea, but I was correct all along.

Last month, construction spending was reported to be up 1%. Today we see it was only 0.3%. Economists, being perpetual optimists, came up with a consensus estimate for this month of +0.7% The actual result is -0.4%, over a full percentage point below the consensus and nearly a pull point lower than the lowest estimate of +0.5%.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Manufacturing Hits The Global Stock Markets... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market futures were up a bit early last night. The S&P 500 was up about six points, while the Nasdaq was flashing upward action by fifteen points. A nice way to start the new year after a poor 2015. The last two days of the year 2015 were nasty, thus, the bulls were looking for something positive to break the chain of poor-trading action. The good news didn't last long as China reported news on their manufacturing front, and it was ugly to say the least. Ugly to the tune of being down between seven and eight percent.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Gold and Silver Investors Betting on Deflation May Be a Huge Mistake. Here's Why... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Precious metals investors heading into 2016 worry the dollar will continue marching ahead, right over the top of gold and silver prices. The Fed is telegraphing additional rate hikes throughout the year, and commodity prices – led by crude oil – are falling. There have been tremors in the biggest beneficiary markets of all when it comes to the Fed's QE largesse – U.S. equities and real estate. And the possibility of a recession is growing, both in the U.S. and around the world.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Gold Bull Trap / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

For most of December, gold has acted as if it is forming a base from which to rally but gold had a rough week last week losing $16.90/oz. and closed at 1,060.30. In addition, gold printed an engulfing bearish candlestick on the weekly chart. Cycles point to a low this week which could be followed by the kind of rally we would all like to catch but be careful; a 4 year cycle low is not due until later this year making any rally now a likely bull trap.

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