Friday, November 04, 2016
Russia–US Tensions Likely to Rise in 2017 / Politics / GeoPolitics
By: John_Mauldin
There will be increased tensions between Russia and the US in the near future. That is the opinion of Jacob Shapiro, director of analysis for Geopolitical Futures. He argues that a Clinton win means the relationship between the US and Russia is going to worsen.
In an interview with Mauldin Economics, Shapiro begins by calling the Clinton campaign email leaks a “political sideshow.” He does not think it is a big deal, even if it was done by Russian hackers.
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Friday, November 04, 2016
Will BoJ’s New Framework Become a Turning Point for Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The Bank of Japan announced in September a cocktail of new monetary policy measures, called “QQE with Yield Curve Control”. Let’s analyze these innovations in detail and discuss their potential implications for the gold market. As we have already noted in the Gold News Monitor, the package consists of two components:
- The promise to keep expanding the monetary base until inflation “exceeds the price stability target of 2 percent and stays above the target in a stable manner”;
- The pledge to cap 10-year government bond yields at zero percent.
Friday, November 04, 2016
Lifting the Veil on the 2016 US Presidential Election / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Greg_Tomlinson
The Essential PointThe 2016 Presidential Election has certainly kicked up its share of dust and debris in the hearts and minds of thoughtful voters in the US. While this appears on the surface to be a contest between two very different and polarizing figures, from day one it was a referendum against the highly effective Liberal Statist* avalanche we've seen for eight straight years. This avalanche is actually Obama's far more refined approach to implementing the entire kitchen sink of modern leftist principles in government - his unique aggregation of everything they have learned in the past five decades. That's right, it is a tested, reproducible, market-ready product on shelves right now for voter consumption. We see it clearly in Clinton's campaign and we'll be seeing it again in future campaigns, because this new plan is better than all before it. This fact will remain true whether or not Clinton is indicted after the election, simply because Tim Kaine, or any other future replacement will be nearly identical in policy and approach, or even further left. Considering that universality, I'd like to shift focus away from the immediate election campaign, and instead consider a bit of how we got here, then move on to larger and more dangerous strategies and conflicts that are profoundly more impactful than this one election cycle.
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Friday, November 04, 2016
The Stock Market Grand Illusion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tim_Wood
Many know that the economy is not good. Fact is, the economic issues actually began in 2000 and have only been made worse. The world economy is in a systemic crisis and I am going to show you the stock market bubble that has resulted from the attempts to resuscitate the underlying economy.
In spite of equities’ push to a new high in 2007 and again in 2015/16, I have maintained all along that the secular bull market peaked in 2000, along with the underlying economy. The first attempt at stimulating the economy and resurrecting the secular bull market came in the wake of the decline into the 2002 4-year cycle low. Those efforts resulted in what was at the time the longest cyclical extension since the inception of the averages in 1896, which in turn resulted in a banking crisis, a commodity bubble and a housing bubble. Then, when the extended cycle finally began to roll over the end result was the worst financial crisis since the great depression. Yet, the response to the worst financial crisis since the great depression was an even more extreme version of the same policies that created the problem in the first place.
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Friday, November 04, 2016
Very Tough Session for Wall Street / Politics / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a tough session again. The day started out on the downside, they formed some morning consolidation bear wedges, dropped late morning, and continued down for the rest of the session, finishing near the lows for the day going away.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 28.97 at 17,930.67. The S&P 500 was down 9.28 at 2088.66. The Nasdaq 100 was down another 47.80.10 at 4679.10.
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Friday, November 04, 2016
Silver Price Discovery and The Illusion of Progress / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
As of the close of trading Tuesday, silver spot prices have rise through the key 50 day moving average, most likely the result of short covering by the managed money traders - along with new shorts added by the commercial traders.
In other words, the lock-down pattern of price discovery driven by these two speculative classes continues unabated and disconnected from physical reality.
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Friday, November 04, 2016
US Election Campaigning - Please Make It Stop / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Walter_Brasch
Pennsylvania, which had been a no-contest state in presidential primaries because of its late balloting, is a now a swing state with less than a week until the election. Just about every voter by now has received dozens of robocalls, e-mails, letters, postcards, and exposure to almost-uncountable TV, digital, satellite, and social media ads. Most are attack ads, with similar messages.
The ads focus upon homeland security, taxes, immigration, pro-life/pro-choice, and bringing jobs back to America. The conservatives have thrown in the phrase “liberal extremists” in many of their ads in an effort to shock all America to believe that liberals are somehow tied to Muslim extremists. The liberals are pushing an agenda that defines the conservatives as greedy plutocrats who have little thought for the middle class. This election, from local offices to the presidency may be the dirtiest since 1800 when Thomas Jefferson challenged John Adams.
Friday, November 04, 2016
American Civil War II - Fourth Turning Intensifying (Part I) / Politics / US Politics
By: James_Quinn
"History offers even more sobering warnings: Armed confrontation usually occurs around the climax of Crisis. If there is confrontation, it is likely to lead to war. This could be any kind of war - class war, sectional war, war against global anarchists or terrorists, or superpower war. If there is war, it is likely to culminate in total war, fought until the losing side has been rendered nil - its will broken, territory taken, and leaders captured." - The Fourth Turning - Strauss & Howe -1997
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Friday, November 04, 2016
Hillary Polls Lead Slumps to +1.3%, Trump on Target to WIN US Election 2016 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
We are now less than 4 days away from when the polls open on Tuesday 8th November, Trump and Clinton and crews have been busy shuttling around the key battleground states to bolster their votes as the election boils down to who can win at least 270 electoral college votes. For instance Florida with its key 29 votes is literally sitting on a 50/50 knife edge, a must win state for Trump! Other 50/50 states are North Carolina (15 votes), with another 9 states having poll leads of 3% or less totaling 82 electoral college votes, so near 130 electoral college votes are in play enough for either Trump or Hillary to win.
Friday, November 04, 2016
Establishment Judges, Bankers Attempt to Subvert Brexit Will of the People Risking Civil War! / Politics / BrExit
By: Nadeem_Walayat
In craftily worded judgment the establishment elite comprising city bankers, business owners and elite judges have attempted to subvert the will of the British people who voted to LEAVE the European Union in their first real opportunity to vote against the establishment elite who have tended to play pass the parcel amongst themselves at each general election for at least the past 40 years!
Friday, November 04, 2016
END OF THE U.S. MAJOR OIL INDUSTRY ERA: Big Trouble At ExxonMobil / Commodities / Oil Companies
By: Steve_St_Angelo
The era of the mighty U.S. major oil industry is coming to an end as the country’s largest petroleum company is in big trouble. While ExxonMobil has been the most profitable U.S. oil company in the past, it suffered its worst year on record.
For example, just four years ago, ExxonMobil enjoyed a $45 billion net income profit in 2012. Now compare that to a total $5 billion net income gain for the first three-quarters of 2016. If Exxon continues to report disappointing results for the remainder of the year, its net income will have declined a stunning 85% since 2012.
Actually, the situation at Exxon is much worse if we dig a little deeper.
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Friday, November 04, 2016
Stock Market and Election Implications / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The SPX is attempting to rally this morning and we had those strange up blips up in the aftermarket yesterday on the SPY to 213.10, but earlier this week saw one that went to 215.53 and it did not work as it has in the past.
Ideally, we see a market top today 2 TD's. The last three 8 TD cycles ( 2) ran 6+6+10. We have another trine on Nov 5th, the last two (Oct 30 & Nov 1) knocked the market down after holding it up slightly on very strange internal e-wave patterns that normally suggest higher prices (the problem with interpreting bearish abc waves).
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Friday, November 04, 2016
The Office of the President of the United States / Politics / US Politics
By: Raul_I_Meijer
Amidst the epic flood of political statements and media commentary that keeps on rolling in and on, there’s something that doesn’t seem to occur to most people, and it should. That is, the unfortunate but apparently inevitable discussion about all the unfortunate and/or illegal things that either candidate may or may not have done, must be seen in the light of the capacity in which -perceived- errors or even crimes are committed. It is essential to this issue.
Friday, November 04, 2016
Here's What Makes Elliott Waves a Useful Forex Tool / InvestorEducation / Forex Trading
By: EWI
Some Elliott wave forex traders do watch the news -- but for different reasons
Last Friday, EURUSD rallied strongly. Said Reuters:
"The U.S. dollar tumbled against a basket of major currencies...on U.S. political uncertainty after the FBI said it would review more emails related to Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton's private email use."
It's true that the euro rallied after Friday’s news. But we pointed out in our October 21 story that Elliott wave patterns had already been calling for a bottom, if only a temporary one.
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Thursday, November 03, 2016
Will London Gold Market Self Destruct? Ripe For China Take-over? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016
By: GoldCore
- London Gold Market has been unchallenged for nearly 100 years
- So opaque that quotes of its $5 trillion size are estimates
- Five new offerings are set to appear in the market in the next six months
- Increased fragmentation set to reduce liquidity
- A share of gold price discovery is ripe to be taken by China
- Disruption in the London Gold Market gives opportunity to the East to take more control of the market.
Thursday, November 03, 2016
The Rise in Infectious Diseases Means Opportunity for Biotech Investors / Companies / BioTech
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK COX : The CDC has expanded its count of Miami neighborhoods with verified local transmission of the Zika virus. As a result, pregnant women are taking precautions. Some have left the area. Others are donning hazmat suits.
At least one case of locally acquired Zika has been confirmed on Florida’s Gulf Coast where I live, and there are probably more. This is because most people don’t know that they’ve been infected and are carriers.
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Thursday, November 03, 2016
Donald Trump & The Passion of the ChristDonald Trump & The Passion of the Christ / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Antonius_Aquinas
if Donald Trump can somehow defeat the Wicked Witch of Chappaqua despite vote rigging, outlandish media bias, backstabbing by his own party’s elites, and opposition of Wall Street, his victory may be the most serious setback for The Establishment since, perhaps, the release of Mel Gibson’s blockbuster movie, The Passion of the Christ.
Both Gibson and Trump faced seemingly impossible odds at the start of their quests and were viciously attacked and undermined by the usual Establishment suspects, yet, in Gibson’s case, he was able to beat the bastards at their own game producing one of the most accurate and authentic Christian movies ever made which garnered over a half billion dollars and numerous cinematic awards!
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Thursday, November 03, 2016
S&P 500 At 2,100 Support Level - Make Or Break? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,150, and profit target at 2,020, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, November 03, 2016
Stock Market Reaches Deadly 7 Straight Days of Losses As Catholic Jubilee Year End Day Approaches / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jeff_Berwick
The S&P 500 has only fallen for 7 straight days three times in the last 20 years. And, each time it was during a financial crisis.
And, it just happened again today. The S&P 500 fell 0.65% on Wednesday, marking seven days in a row of losses.
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Thursday, November 03, 2016
Trump Converging Towards BrExit Factor Election WIN, Opinion Polls are WRONG Again! / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2016
By: Nadeem_Walayat
With just 4 full days to go until the polls open Tuesday 8th, Trump continues to bounce in the polls and betting markets that has resulted in near panic in the Democrat camp that less than a week ago were seen relaxing on expectations for a Hillary landslide election victory. But now, after last Fridays FBI bombshell all that has changed and the Clinton clan are busy crisscrossing the swing states, mainly attempting to bolster the lack lustre black vote that despite fearing Trumps rhetoric nevertheless are unable to find much incentive to get out and vote for the ultimate washington insider Hillary.