Sunday, April 10, 2022
Stocks Bear Market Trend Forecast Current State / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
We are in for a volatile trend with a downwards bias for much of 2022, as I wrote to expect on the 5th of Dec 2021 accompanied by revised trend forecast graph.
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Sunday, April 10, 2022
Eye On JPM Ahead of Earnings / Companies / Corporate Earnings
By: Mike_Paulenoff
JPM (JP Morgan) reports quarterly earnings this coming Wednesday during pre-market hours. Investor reaction to this particular report is positioned to have a significant influence on the price of the stock. JPM's outspoken and high profile CEO Jamie Dimon already has warned us that changing (i.e., deteriorating) macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions are making business more challenging for the bank, despite the fact that interest rates have backed up sharply in recent weeks, which usually is a prescription for stronger bank earnings.
One look at Mike Paulenoff's daily chart of JPM certainly indicates something else is on the mind of investors that is outweighing the traditionally positive influence of rising interest rates on JPM's bottom line.
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Sunday, April 10, 2022
Not About Gold – All About The US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Kelsey_Williams
IT’S NOT ABOUT GOLD
There is a lot of talk centering on the US dollar and its “ultimate end as the world’s reserve currency”.
There is also additional talk about what this means with respect to the price of gold, but that is just talk.
The price of gold tells us nothing about gold. The only thing a continually rising gold price tells us is that the US dollar continues to lose purchasing power. (see What’s Next For Gold Is Always About The US Dollar)
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Sunday, April 10, 2022
6 Things You Need To Know Before Investing In Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Steve_Barker
Investing in gold is a smart investment. But why? Gold has been valued for centuries and for good reason! It's rare, durable, and can be used to make jewelry or electronics. Plus, it's not affected by inflation so no matter what happens with the economy it'll always have some value. But before you invest in gold there are a few things you need to know - what type of gold should you buy? How do you store your gold? What if the economy takes another downturn? Learn more here!
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Sunday, April 10, 2022
New Biden Tax & Spend Plan Throws Gasoline on Inflation Bonfire / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: MoneyMetals
As the Federal Reserve ramps up its rhetoric on rate hikes, precious metals markets continue to consolidate.
Gold and silver showed some signs of basing out and readying to moving higher with a rally on Thursday. As of this Friday recording, gold prices come in at $1,951 an ounce – up 0.9% for the week. Silver, meanwhile, is putting in a slight weekly gain of 0.3% to trade at $24.97 per ounce.
Turning to the platinum group metals, they have been slumping on late. Platinum is off 1.6% this week to trade at $1,000. And palladium, which is putting in a big advance here today of +$200 so far, is up a robust 7.4% this week to command $2,499 per ounce.
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Saturday, April 09, 2022
Stock Market in the Eye of the Storm, Visualising AI Tech Stocks Buying Levels / Stock-Markets / Investing 2022
By: Nadeem_Walayat
What if you could know the future, had a chart that showed you how the stock market could trend into the middle of May 2022, how much value would you put on it? More than $4 bucks?
We'll that's what my Patrons got in a market brief at the end of March 2022, a trend forecast based on Deem neurons right into the middle of May 2022 that so far has spooky Mulder style tracked the S&P quite accurately.
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Saturday, April 09, 2022
What to Make of the Bullish Resilience of Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: EWI
"A corrective pattern is countertrend to the larger trend in force"
Every time an obituary is written for Bitcoin, the granddaddy of cryptocurrencies manages to resurrect.
As a Jan. 25 CNBC headline noted:
Investors fear 'crypto winter' is coming as bitcoin falls 50% from record highs
The day before that headline published, Bitcoin had briefly dipped below $33,000, far below its November high of nearly $69,000. At that time, the entire crypto market had shed roughly $1 trillion in value since that all-time high in Bitcoin. Also around that time, Russia's central bank had proposed banning the use of cryptocurrencies.
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Saturday, April 09, 2022
6 Pieces Of Advice To Help You Make The Most Out Of Your Investments / Personal_Finance / Investing 2022
By: Steve_Barker
If you are looking into investing your money but are not sure how best to go about it, read on. Below are six straightforward pieces of advice for new investors to help them make the most out of their investments. These top tips include saving money first, using a free tracking tool to manage your investment portfolio, ensuring your investments are diverse, and leaving your investments alone for at least five years to allow them to grow. These tips, and more, will be detailed more thoroughly below. Good luck and get investing!
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Saturday, April 09, 2022
Innovative Tactics That Will Help You Solve Any Business-Related Problem / Companies / SME
By: Steve_Barker
Do you have a business-related problem that you can't seem to solve? Are you feeling frustrated and overwhelmed? If so, don't worry – you're not alone. Many entrepreneurs face business-related problems daily, but with the right tactics, you can solve them! In this article, we will discuss innovative tactics that will help you solve any business-related problem. We'll also talk about the importance of sustaining innovation, breakthrough innovation, disruptive innovation, and basic research. So don't despair – read on and find the solution to your problem!
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Thursday, April 07, 2022
ARKK SARK SHORT FUND / Companies / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The cherry on the top for the demise of ARK funds is the SARK short fund that moves inverse to Cathy Wood's ARK fund by shorting the stocks that ARKK are invested in. So if ARKK moves down 5% SARK moves up 5%.
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Thursday, April 07, 2022
U.S. Dollar (USD) Is On Our Radar! / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Since the USD plays such a strong role in global economics, we thought it appropriate to see how the USD performance is vs. other currencies and investments.
For the U.S. consumer, a strong USD means U.S. goods are more expensive in foreign markets. For U.S. companies that buy or sell products/services globally, a strong USD means they are less competitive. A strong dollar is a significant headwind that erodes the profits of U.S. multinationals.
Since we trade and invest in ETFs, it is especially interesting to see how the USD has been trading in 2022 compared to Gold (GLD), the S&P 500 (SPY), and the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ). Gold is the top performer, followed by the Australian dollar (AUD) and the U.S. dollar (DXY). We can also see on the following chart the recent recovery rally in both the SPY and QQQ. Amazingly the QQQ has recovered half of its 2022 loss in just the last few weeks.
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Thursday, April 07, 2022
This Recession indicator just sent a warning: here’s the takeaway / Economics / Inflation
By: Stephen_McBride
There’s a lot of fear in the markets right now.Inflation…
The war in Ukraine…
Rising interest rates…
And now the “inverted yield curve.”
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Thursday, April 07, 2022
Tech stocks in danger as FED becomes more hawkish / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Submissions
Fed becomes even more hawkish
With the exception of the FOMC minutes, due for release later this afternoon, there isn’t an awful lot for investors to focus on. So, it is going to be all about the aftershocks of Tuesday’s reversal in risk appetite, owing in part to a rather hawkish speech by the Fed’s vice-chair. We have already seen some continuation of those moves overnight during Asian hours when bond and equity futures extended their falls.
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Wednesday, April 06, 2022
AMAZON the Dark Horse Stock / Companies / Amazon
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Blasted off into space on strong earnings just as I was getting ready to gorge on it's post earnings corpse Facebook style. Still I had built a sizeable stake via dozens of small orders in the lead up to the earnings report which painted a picture of a stock that looks set to put earnings (profits) before reinvestments, or it could be just a one off, i.e. cashing on the Christmas trade boosted by the last pandemic wave of any significance.
My current exposure has fallen a little to 1.7% from 1.9% of the week before as I took the rally to and ABOVE $3,200 to take profits in advance of further buying opportunities in Amazon later, especially if it comes anywhere near filling it's distant buying levels. The PE drops to 48.7 but on the EGF basis the PE falls to 28 hence why the stock popped higher so strongly.
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Wednesday, April 06, 2022
Gold Begins to Wobble. Is It a Sign of a Greater Fall? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold is still running on the war-fumes, but its last moves bring to mind only bearish associations. Worse yet, a rising dollar appeared on the horizon.
On the technical front, we saw that the junior mining stocks moved higher in the first part of the session, but then declined and ended the day practically unchanged.
Wednesday, April 06, 2022
Waiting For GLD To Make New Highs – Gold Rally Is Still Intact / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The calm of the last 3-weeks has resulted in a risk-on environment. This, in turn, has led to a nice recovery rally in stocks. For the time being, volatility has subsided. However, we believe there are many underlying market risks that can still resurface without any warning.
From late 2015 to August 2020, the price of gold doubled, going from approximately $1040 to $2080. Gold then experienced a profit-taking $400 pullback. Gold’s rally over the past 12-months failed to break through its $2080 price level. After retreating back to $200, gold seems to have found support at the $1900 level.
In reviewing the following spot gold chart, it appears we have broken out of an accumulation phase and seem to be preparing to move above the $2080 high.
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Wednesday, April 06, 2022
7 Reasons to Consider A Professional Commercial For Your Company / Companies / SME
By: Steve_Barker
When it comes to advertising your business, there are many different options. You can use print ads, online ads, or even commercials. Commercials can be a great way to reach many people and generate awareness for your company.
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Wednesday, April 06, 2022
My 3 Favorite Trade Setups / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2022
By: EWI
Hi,
Millions of people have joined the ranks of online traders since the start of the pandemic, and you may be one of them. Or maybe you've been trading for years already...
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Tuesday, April 05, 2022
TSMC - The World's Supreme Chip Fabricator / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Nadeem_Walayat
TSMC's stock price has been very disappointing as it has not offered any opportunities to accumulate into at its buying levels. Whilst I was tempted to take some profits on the earlier rally to above $140, However I held off doing so because I deemed my exposure to be too light, especially after having reduced my exposure to AMD, so not eager to reduce my exposure further by selling any of TSMC as well. So far we are not getting any of the buying levels, plus this is not an easy stock to buy within a tax free wrapper i.e. you can no longer buy TSM from within an ISA! Which was another reason why I was reluctant to sell given that I hold it within an ISA so once sold I would not be able to buy it back. The alternative is to buy it in a SIPP or outside a tax free wrapper. The stock still carries a high PE of 29 so does need to drop before buying, though pays a 1.5% dividend but unfortunately is not well covered so the dividend may not be reliable..
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Tuesday, April 05, 2022
Problem With Predictions For $20K Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2022
By: Kelsey_Williams
PREDICTIONS FOR $20K GOLD
Gold at $20,000 is the latest price prediction from a high profile analyst. The article I read makes a strong case for how the gold price could go to $20,000 oz. if the US dollar loses ninety percent of its current value.
That part of the explanation is correct. And it is what I have been saying in my articles over and over again; namely, a higher gold price reflects the loss in purchasing power of the US dollar that has already occurred – nothing more, nothing else.
Since the origin (1913) of the Federal Reserve, the US dollar has lost ninety-nine percent of its purchasing power. It takes one hundred dollars today to buy a similar amount of goods and services compared to what one dollar would buy a century ago.
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