Category: Gold & Silver Stocks
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, November 27, 2013
Gold Miners Look To Break Below June Low / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I’m looking for the miners to break below the June Low, but for Gold to hold above it. A decline by miners below the low should trigger exhaustion selling, but if Gold doesn’t confirm, it should mark a significant bear trap for investors in miners. If Gold holds above the June low, additional weakness in miners should be short-lived…and a final bottom in miners will become more likely.
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Thursday, November 07, 2013
Put Your Trust in Gold and Silver, Not Governments / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Continued fiscal stimulus, high debt levels and loss of confidence in governments will lead to the return of big inflation and a consequent big run-up in precious and other metals, says Leonard Melman, author of The Melman Report. In this interview with The Gold Report, Melman examines six companies he believes are well positioned to generate stock-price multiples when the bull market returns.
The Gold Report: You've expressed astonishment at the record highs of world stock exchanges. Given the sluggish world economy, can we expect this trend to end, or have equities become completely disconnected from economic reality?
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Wednesday, October 23, 2013
Gold Strategies for Success in a Flat Commodity Price Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It could be 2017 before the commodity supercycle is evident again, but stormy weather in the mining space has a silver lining: It is encouraging miners to develop new, innovative approaches to their business. In this interview for the first edition of The Mining Report, John Kaiser of Kaiser Research Online outlines 10 strategies that are setting certain companies apart. Discover the companies that are redefining their business, as well as miners with the goods in the ground to continue come rain or shine.
The Mining Report: John, you have characterized the current resource market as a bear market unlikely to have higher metal prices in the next year, with the possible exception of zinc. Why are you drawing a different conclusion than other analysts who believe we are in a resource supercycle?
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Thursday, May 02, 2013
How to Stress Test Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold prices are down in the short term, but the commodity metal is here to stay, says geologist Joe Mazumdar. In this interview with The Gold Report, the Canaccord Genuity analyst assesses the current situation and compares the performance potential of the majors with the mid caps. He backs up his analysis and predictions with a few solid companies that are positioned to weather the storm.
The Gold Report: Where can long-term gold investors look for safety during times of market turbulence?
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Saturday, December 29, 2012
High IQ Gold Stocks Investing / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The past year was a very tough one for the junior gold mining sector. In this interview with The Gold Report, Brien Lundin, CEO of Jefferson Financial, says that the past year has, in fact, put many gold mining companies on the bargain basement shelf. He shares some advice on end-of-year portfolio repositions and talks about some of his favorite stocks that he believes are poised for a rebound in 2013.
The Gold Report: Brien, in late October you and your company Jefferson Financial hosted the New Orleans Investment Conference. What were some of the commodity-related themes consistently making the rounds there?
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Saturday, December 22, 2012
The High-risk World of Junior Resource Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As many people know, I'm a frequent traveler. This means I spend a lot of time standing in lines at airports, taxi stands, train stations, and so forth. My habit has been to use this time reading books, playing with lines of poetry, or simply thinking about whatever needs thinking about. If I believed in sin, the cardinal sin in my book would be to waste time; every squandered minute is a piece of my life I will never get back.
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Saturday, December 15, 2012
Gold Stocks Golden Points To Ponder / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Investors seeking leverage to precious metals should focus on junior resource companies who own the world's undeveloped gold and silver deposits as they provide the best exposure to a rising precious metals price environment.
You need to find the quality management teams with money in the treasury, the ability to raise more and owning the advanced projects that are well along the development path towards a mine.
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Tuesday, December 11, 2012
Peter What a Turnaround in Junior Gold Mining Stocks Will Look Like / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The fundamentals at many junior mining companies have improved, yet their stock prices continue to languish. In this interview with The Gold Report, market guru Peter Grandich gives his thoughts on when this may end and where gold is headed in 2013, and names some of his picks in unlikely jurisdictions.
The Gold Report: Peter, when we talked in the spring, you were essentially all in on a number of junior resource equities that were trading at what you believed were at or near their lows. Have you changed your course of action or are you still all in?
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Tuesday, December 11, 2012
How Gold Miners Can Leverage the Gold Price / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gazing into their crystal balls last week, Wall Street firms interpreted differing futures for gold next year. Morgan Stanley awarded gold the “best commodity for 2013” while Goldman Sachs called the end of the metal’s hot streak. After seeing 11 consecutive years of positive performance from gold, one needs to be wary of research analysts’ price forecasts, as they have consistently underestimated the shifting dynamics driving the precious metal higher.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 10, 2012
Gold Stocks Bottoming / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold stocks have been in another recent downtrend, which makes sense during a “wave 2″ correction in GOLD.
If we review the GDX ETF for Gold Stocks we can see a possible triple bottom formation. This one though looks bullish for a reversal trade to the upside near term as GOLD forms a C wave bottom.
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Sunday, December 02, 2012
Gold, Silver and Miners in Stage 1 Accumulation Mode / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We don’t hear much about gold and silver anymore on the news. This time last year you could not go 5 minutes without a TV or radio station talking about them. Why is this? Simple really, precious metals have been building a Stage 1 Basing Pattern for the last 12 months. This boring sideways trading range is how the market gets most of those long holders out of an investment before it starts another move up. The saying is “If the market doesn’t shake you out, it will wait you out”.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 30, 2012
Global Silver Mining Stocks Production / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In order to satiate the world’s growing hunger for silver, a lot of pressure has been placed on its supply chain. And with total annual supply recently exceeding 31k metric tons (1.0b ounces) for the first time ever, the suppliers of this white metal have so far made a valiant effort to meet demand.
Silver demand is on the rise for a variety of reasons, in large part due to big increases in investment demand. And this has naturally created a structural imbalance that has spawned a major secular bull market. A bull in silver of course translates to higher prices. And silver’s much higher prices have provided ample incentive for the major sources of supply (recycling and mining) to boost output.
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Thursday, November 29, 2012
Gold Stocks Approaching a Crossroads / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Recently, the Erste Group published a 120 page report covering precious metals. The report contains an absolute treasure of analysis, figures and charts concerning gold and the gold stocks. I have selected a few of the charts which help us explain the current status of the gold stocks. Essentially, there is a huge divergence between financial performance and valuations. Ultimately, the performance of the shares over the coming months will answer the question as to the resolution of that divergence.
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Tuesday, November 27, 2012
How to Play Your Gold Stocks Right Now / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
After a year or more of depressed prices, gold and silver stocks reversed with a vengeance. GDX (the ETF proxy for the Gold Miners Index) was up in just two months (August and September). Those who followed our lead and bought or averaged down this summer have profited handsomely. It's been a fun ride, and I'm convinced we'll see many more surges like this before it's all over.
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Saturday, November 24, 2012
Gold Stocks Cyclical Decline? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The Gold Report met up with Rick Rule, founder and chairman of Sprott Global Resource Investments Ltd, at the Hard Assets Conference in San Francisco. In this interview with The Gold Report, he shares his belief in the power of gold as both "catastrophe insurance" and an investment vehicle. As to equities, he sees a new discovery cycle lifting the prospects of majors and juniors alike, as long as they act like "rational" businesses.
The Gold Report: Rick, you believe the natural resources sector is experiencing a cyclical decline in a secular bull market similar to the 1970s. Is that true for other sectors as well?
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Monday, November 19, 2012
Gold Stocks Correction Nearly Done, Forcast 2013 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The past week has been witness to a very sharp decline in energy and commodity stocks, while broad stock markets and related commodities really have not moved. Huge noted gaps were put in place in the HUI which saw an extreme price excursion beyond lower 21 and 34 MA Bollinger bands, indicating that a bottom was likely put in place.
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Friday, November 16, 2012
Gold and Silver Stocks – A Dramatic Change in Fundamentals or a Short-Term Anomaly? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Stock exchange is a very volatile, emotion-driven place. Even though most of the time one can predict future moves in particular assets with decent effectiveness, every once in a while abrupt and unexpected market moves take place. And we have just seen such violent and heavy declines in precious metals mining stocks.
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Wednesday, November 14, 2012
How to Speculate in Gold and Silver Stocks Without Gambler's Ruin / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Rodney Stevens, portfolio manager at Wolverton Securities, believes investors speculating in precious metals must be disciplined to avoid gambler's ruin. While "disciplined speculation" may seem like a contradiction, it is key to Stevens' approach. Through both technical analysis and fundamental analysis, and a careful read of intermediate trends, Stevens has developed a concentrated portfolio of precious metal companies held both long and short. In this Gold Report interview, he shares where the sweet spot in the mining space is and advises how to limit portfolio risk.
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Sunday, November 11, 2012
Most Gold Miners are Sacrificing Profits for Growth / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Matt Badiali writes: Hardcore gold and gold-stock investors are a unique breed.
They are not like "normal" investors. Most hardcore gold investors see gold (and often silver) as the only real form of money. They expect it to soar when the world falls apart. They fall in love with gold... more so than an investor likes his shares of Google or Microsoft. So when gold and gold stocks fail to live up to bullish expectations, the level of disappointment is very high.
Friday, November 09, 2012
Gold Mining Stocks High-Stakes Speculator? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Louis James, Chief Metals & Mining Investment Strategist : I attended this year's New Orleans Investment Conference along with Doug Casey, Marin Katusa, and Casey Research's CEO, Olivier Garret. It was fun to see many old friends among the attendees and other speakers, but the most interesting thing was an experiment I conducted as part of my speech.
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Friday, November 02, 2012
Gold Stock Investors Chasing the Rainbow / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Robert Lee Hatcher was born June 24th 1867 in Montague, Texas. He arrived in Alaska in 1888. Hatcher had started prospecting in White Oaks, New Mexico, came north at twenty-one, spent time prospecting in Atlin, Canada, and southeast Alaska before heading to south-central Alaska.
In September 1906, Hatcher located hard rock gold. The Skyscraper Vein was a quartz gold claim 1,200 feet above the floor of Fishhook Valley and nearly 5,000 feet above sea level. It was on a ridge below Skyscraper Mountain in the southern Talkeetna Mountains.
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Wednesday, October 31, 2012
'Tis The Season For Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold and gold stocks typically start to advance in the 4th quarter. This year that pattern appears to be right on schedule.
Canada has a great number of gold stocks. Here are four that look as if they are starting the normal season movement.
Thursday, October 18, 2012
Correction in Gold and Silver Stocks Nearing End / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We expected a correction after the gold and silver shares ran into predictable resistance that coincided with October seasonal resistance. That was predictable. Now we are 19 days into the correction and we see some stealth signs of strength and signs of the correction nearing its end.
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Friday, October 12, 2012
Are Gold Stocks Cheap? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
After surging sharply in August and early September, gold stocks have been consolidating sideways ever since. Naturally this loss of momentum has sapped the nascent trader enthusiasm for this sector. But stalling out temporarily certainly doesn’t negate gold stocks’ dazzling fundamentals. They remain deeply undervalued relative to gold, the metal that drives their profits and hence ultimately their stock prices.
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Thursday, October 04, 2012
ECB Confidence Game, Gold Stocks Roller Coaster / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Did we tell you or did we tell you? It’s a bit premature to claim bragging rights but the Junior market has been trading exactly how we hoped it would. Ben Bernanke delivered the early Christmas presents gold bugs were dreaming of and the market tenor looks better than it has for a year.
The operative word is still “better”, not “great”. The increase in volume in the Juniors is gratifying but still not enough. It will take higher volumes still to keep a rally alive through to year end.
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Monday, October 01, 2012
Time to Bank Profits in Gold and Silver Mining Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It's been a great run over the last two months but it may be time to tighten stops on mining stocks. You can see in the chart below that at least during this stage of the new C-wave gold is still inversely tethered to the dollar index, as are miners.
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Monday, October 01, 2012
Major “Risk On” Rotation As Junior Miners Outperform Gold and Silver Bullion / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The fundamentals for gold and silver appear to be making a positive turn as the US, ECB and Bank of Japan simultaneously signals Worldwide QE3. The charts are just beginning to make new uptrends and may have much more room to go. One must remember both gold and silver have not made new inflation adjusted highs despite record sovereign debt levels and a coordinated worldwide currency debasement. There is much more room to go in this precious metals rally as many investors still need to unwind a record position in cash and treasuries.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 28, 2012
Silver Mining Stocks ETF / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It’s hard to believe that silver was trading at only $4 just 11 years ago. And amazingly it was only 7 years ago that silver had hit $10 for the first time in nearly two decades. Now at over $30 and rising, silver is flexing its muscles as one of the best-performing assets of the last decade.
There’s no arguing that silver’s secular bull has been spectacular. Since its 2001 low, silver had soared a staggering 1094% to its 2011 high. And based on its structural fundamentals, silver’s bull still likely has plenty of room to run in the years to come.
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Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Creating Fiat Currency Is a Blank Check for Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Worldwide monetary creation today has implications for the watchful investor in gold and silver. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Leonard Melman, publisher and editor of The Melman Report, explains why, and shows who will be well positioned to benefit from current economic stimulus strategies.
The Gold Report: Now that the curtain has been raised and we can see the Federal Reserve's much-anticipated program of a third round of quantitative easing (QE3), what are your thoughts? How do you expect QE3 to affect your portfolio?
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Tuesday, September 18, 2012
Goldcorp Golden Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The price of gold one year ago touched an all-time high of over $1,900 per ounce, as investors flocked to the yellow metal in the wake of the first sovereign-debt downgrade in US history and above-target inflation in most emerging markets.However, the bull market in gold was due for a breather. The Midas metal has punctuated its 700 percent rally over the past decade with several 10 percent to 20 percent pullbacks; the sell-off in May to just over $1,500 per ounce fits the pattern.
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Sunday, September 16, 2012
Gold Stocks Just Began a Huge Run Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark writes: A big move in gold is coming...
After gold peaked just above $1,900 per ounce in August 2011, it took a well-deserved break. But now, after spending an entire year on hiatus, the bull is back.
Friday, September 14, 2012
Winds of Change Blow for Gold and Silver Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Yesterday gold was little changed before the key Federal Reserve policy decision, a day after a German court ruling in favor of a euro zone rescue fund. The decision centered on challenges to Germany’s participation in the 500 billion euro ($639.3 billion) European Stability Mechanism, or ESM. Critics charged that the treaty behind the ESM robs Germany’s parliament of its constitutional authority over the country’s budget and had asked for an injunction to prevent the country’s president from signing it into law. In other words the Court ruled that it is constitutionally permissible for Germany to finance the debt of other nations.
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Friday, September 14, 2012
QE3 Loose Money Here Again and Gold Stocks Love It! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Stock and commodity prices across the board soared on the latest announcement from the Fed, which was viewed as wildly bullish by Wall Street. The Federal Reserve launched another aggressive stimulus program on Thursday, promising it would buy $40 billion worth of mortgage debt per month and continue to purchase assets “until the outlook for jobs improves substantially.”Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 12, 2012
Why Are The Silver Miners Outperforming? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We have seen major developments in the silver mining sector (SIL) which shows that the majors are hungry for the juniors. Coeur D’Alene (CDE) has made some strategic investments in some juniors silver explorers in British Columbia and Mexico, Hecla (HL) made a bid for U.S. Silver and Silver Wheaton (SLW) has signed its first major royalty deal in years. This signals that the smart money believes we are near a bottom and we may just be at the beginning of a major move in the junior silver miners. The majors are hungry for new deposits in mining friendly jurisdictions.
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Tuesday, September 11, 2012
Gold Stocks Under-perform All Other Sectors / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Different investors prefer to invest in different products for a multitude of reasons and end goals. A vast range of equities, currencies, bonds and commodities can now all be traded from the click of a mouse anywhere in the world. Although not our predominant focus, equities have several pros and cons, can lead to significant wealth, especially with the market in the right state. On the flip side, some traders preach the benefits of gold mining stocks as a way to benefit from rising gold prices – a view we strongly disagree with.
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Tuesday, September 04, 2012
Near-Term Targets for Gold, Silver and Mining Shares / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It's amazing. Suddenly, everyone is bullish again. Two months ago you couldn't give away mining shares or Silver. No one wanted to buy. After back to back weekly gains (for essentially the first time since January) the gold bugs are back and proud. Bullish calls are coming out of the woodwork. This is good and all but as analysts our job is to stay ahead of the market, rather than react to or follow it, as so many professionals do. That being said, today we give you a quick synopsis of where things stand and the potential risks coming into play.
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Friday, August 31, 2012
Gold Stocks GDX ETF Rising / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As gold enters into a season of fundamental strength and what should be a powerful new upleg, there ought to be rekindled interest in gold stocks. In fact, if gold indeed rallies the gold-stock sector will likely see a much-more-powerful upleg than the metal considering how oversold it’s been. And one of the first places investors will go when they are drawn to this sector is the venerable GDX Gold Miners ETF.
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Monday, August 27, 2012
Gold Stocks New Cyclical Bull Market Underway / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Three weeks ago we wrote that the short-term outlook in precious metals was bullish. Quoting our conclusion: "The bottom line is this sector is very close to a breakout which would likely confirm the May bottom. The price action has started to improve and the sector has not been deterred by the aforementioned bad news which, in normal conditions would have caused a selloff. In the meantime, the public has been bearish the entire year and the dumb money has started to exit the market. It is this combination of factors that lead us to a firm bullish posture over the rest of the summer." In terms of weekly closing prices, GDX and SIL closed last week at a four month high, while GDXJ closed last week at a three month high. Silver closed at a four month high while Gold closed at a five month high. From that it would seem that these markets are overbought. However, a quick study of the long-term charts, sentiment and valuations confirms that we are in an absolute sweet spot. Markets have bottomed, a new cyclical bull has begun and there is substantial room to move over the coming months and year.
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Friday, August 24, 2012
Why Gold Mining’s Still a Great Place to Make Money / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold has shown some good support and buying after previously declining to below $1,525 an ounce. The metal has rallied above $1,600 and is currently showing some promise, being on the verge of a possible breakout towards $1,700.
I continue to like gold going forward, given the massive financial distress and possible exit of Greece from the eurozone, despite recent statements from the European Central Bank and its desire to keep the eurozone intact. And then there is Spain and the other five eurozone countries currently in a recession.
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Wednesday, August 22, 2012
The Only Way to Win with Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
David Galland, Casey Research writes: While I have read certain works on the life and ponderings of Buddha, I claim no deep knowledge of his philosophy.
Note that I didn't use the word "religion," because Buddha himself claimed no supernatural powers and even begged his followers not to deify him after his death.
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Sunday, August 19, 2012
Gold $2,000 Will Soon Kickstart Mining Shares / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The lack of excitement haunting the precious metals and mining shares markets over the past year is expected to change in the next few months, according to Michael Fowler, senior mining analyst with Loewen, Ondaatje, McCutcheon Ltd. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he explains why he expects gold to finally break through the $2,000/ounce barrier in 2013 and how this should affect the mining stocks that he covers. While share prices are generally low across the board now, Fowler tells us about a few of the ones that he expects to shine bright when the market turns.
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Thursday, August 16, 2012
How to Optimize Your Gold Stocks Portfolio / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Ron Struthers has crunched the numbers and his indicators are telling him the gold markets are poised for a big jump up. The editor of Struthers' Resource Stock Report called a double-bottom in July and is ready to deploy his liquid reserves so he will be ready for the next bounce. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he makes recommendations for optimal portfolio diversification and names some junior companies set to take off.
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Tuesday, August 14, 2012
Secret Factors for Beating the Gold Stock Indexes / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
John Doody doesn't run off chasing down Indiana Jones' lost gold mines in Peru. He focuses on producers or near-producers whose reserves have been verified as economic to produce. A former professor and the author of the Gold Stock Analyst, Doody has been lying in wait for the market to reach bottom, at which point he's ready to deploy the one-third of his portfolio he's been holding in cash into his top 10 stocks. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Doody shares the metrics he uses to nail down those companies.
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Tuesday, August 14, 2012
Why Stock Selection in Gold Mining is Paramount / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As we alluded to last week, there is an overflowing amount of evidence that both the metals and the shares have bottomed. Price action, sentiment indicators and fundamentals more than confirm a market bottom. Does this mean the market is ready to zoom much higher? Not necessarily. The sector must contend with some overhead supply as well as repair technical damage that caused a loss of both short and long-term momentum.
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Friday, August 10, 2012
Silver Wheaton Corporation: The $100.00 Silver Bullet / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Today our team is full of excitement as we work our way through the news of new acquisitions and the publication of the Q2 financial results of our largest single holding in the silver space. In this article we will cover the Q2 financial results, the additions to the silver streaming facilities, take a quick look at the charts and conclude with one long term suggestion and one short term suggestion for your consideration.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 07, 2012
Why Junior Gold Stocks Are Still the Place to Be Invested / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Edward Karr, CEO of Geneva-based RAMPartners, favors a disciplined, patient and steady approach to investing in junior gold mining companies. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Karr shares his thoughts on the European crisis, its effect on gold prices and some of his favorite junior gold mining companies.
The Gold Report: Edward, because you're based in Switzerland, it would be interesting to get your perspective on the Eurozone's new rescue fund, the Eurozone Stability Mechanism (ESM). There is talk in the market that it could get a banking license, which would provide it access to European Central Bank (ECB) funds, aiding it in bailing out Spain and other economies. Do you believe that will happen?
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Saturday, August 04, 2012
General Outlook for Gold and the Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
General Outlook for Gold and the Miners - It is our firm belief that the precious metals sector has bottomed out and the downside is very limited from here on out. While there doesn’t seem to be an immediate rush back into the sector, now is a great time to be acquiring physical metals, but more importantly producers with growth profiles. That’s where we really see the value and upside potential. Now would be a good time to start adding and scaling into any new positions you plan on taking.
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Friday, August 03, 2012
Is Gold Mining Healthy? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In 2011 gold-mine production came in at an all-time record high. And in 2012 experts anticipate production to be even higher, edging above the previous year’s 87m-ounce tally. From the looks of it, the major source of gold’s supply is in fine fettle. But is the gold-mining industry truly healthy?
In attempting to answer this question it is important to understand how we got to the production levels we’re at today, and then take a look at some of the structural fundamentals that may impact this industry going forward. And in terms of how we got here, it was nothing short of remarkable.
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Thursday, August 02, 2012
What Moves Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold and precious metals stocks are certainly affected by the price of the underlying commodity, but the most important catalysts that move prices revolve around resource assessments and production schedules. Sagient Research Senior Analyst Jocelyn August watches her companies like a hawk and records detailed data on how stocks move when certain events are made public. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, August shares her thoughts about a select group of stocks and what events might move these shares over the next quarter.
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Tuesday, July 31, 2012
Will a Stocks Bear Market Hurt Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The relationship between gold stocks (while in a secular bull market) and the broad market (while in a secular bear market) is difficult to diagnose and that is what makes it so interesting. There is no single rule of thumb or axiom we can trust because history is quite varied. There are instances of the gold stocks crashing with the stock market, rising with the stock market and rising substantially while the stock market endures a nasty bear market. Currently, the gold stocks are moving into the latter stages of their third secular bull market in the last 90 years. Yet, the equity market could be at risk of soon entering a cyclical bear market. In this article, we review some history between the gold stocks and the equity market before drawing conclusions relevant to the near future.
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Wednesday, July 18, 2012
The Potential for Gold Stocks in 2013-2014 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
There are two drivers of stock prices: valuation and earnings. Valuations are very much driven by investor sentiment while earnings are driven by revenue and margins. In recent months we've devoted some time to the three phases of a bull market. These are the stealth phase, wall of worry phase and participation or bubble phase. Earnings rise in each stage while valuations only increase in the first and last phase. The average gold producer has made no net progress in five or six years because the average valuation has declined considerably. Going forward, this means opportunity.
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Wednesday, July 18, 2012
Gold and Silver Investors Rotating Into Undervalued Junior Explorers / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The rule of the casino emphasizes that in order for one to be right in the market, the consensus has to believe that you are wrong. The majority goes home empty handed while the few emerge winners. Today there is extreme volatility, nevertheless the few players emerge as winners despite the daily ups and downs.
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Monday, July 16, 2012
Gold Stocks: Bottom, Re-Test, Launch? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Though I favor physical Gold held outside the banking system that can't get MF Global'd over those paper Gold derivatives known as Gold stocks, there are times when a speculative opportunity presents itself that cannot be ignored (at least not by me). Now is such a time in Gold stocks. In my last post, I welcomed a new cyclical Gold stock bull market. I continue to believe a new cyclical Gold stock bull market has already begun and we are now completing (if we haven't already) the re-test of the mid-May, 2012 lows. What comes next? The launch!
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Saturday, July 14, 2012
Gold Mining Stocks Bargains Abound, But Buy With Care / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It may look as if almost any mining stock you see these days is a bargain just waiting to be plucked. While most stocks have seen major drops from their highs and some are showing significant price turns, others have more downside left and a few just won't make it to the next market peak. Ivan Lo, publisher of The Equedia Weekly Letter, takes both a macro view of market and economic conditions and then carefully studies the specifics of each stock he decides to follow or acquire. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Lo talks about the critical factors that can separate a mega-winner from a rollback candidate and talks about some of his favorite names.
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Tuesday, July 10, 2012
The Gold Stocks Compared to Past Bull Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In researching past equity bull markets, we've found numerous similarities between all. Each bull market has three clearly defined phases. The last phase of each bull market is driven by valuation expansion which is made possible through the wall of worry phase in which valuations contract and the weak hands give way to the strong hands. Though the gold stocks may have already bottomed, plenty of fear and despondency persists. However, when one compares the present bull market in the gold stocks to five previous equity bull markets, they should realize that things are on par with the past and the gold stocks are right on track.
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Wednesday, July 04, 2012
Gold Stocks, How Undervalued? Part2 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Continued from the last article...
Something missing here?
There is another important factor left out of this research train of thought however; and that is 'cost of production'. We have to be careful to get this right or we could end up comparing apples to oranges. Therefore to complete this line of reasoning we have to consider the profitability factor. Cash costs are confusing across the industry because they are not standardized. Royalties and other factors vary from company to company and lease to lease.
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Tuesday, July 03, 2012
Gold Stocks the Way to Benefit from Gold Bullion Price Strength / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Henk J. Krasenberg, analyst and founder of the European Gold Centre and author and publisher of the GOLDVIEW newsletter, sees no lack of potential among small-cap equities, especially for investors willing to look beyond the U.S. borders. He offers names in Europe and Africa—what he calls "the poorest and richest continent"—and reminds us that Mexico produces a lot more than silver. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, Krasenberg counsels patience because "you have to wait for the development."
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Saturday, June 30, 2012
Gold and Silver Metals Mining Stocks: Long- and Short-Term Outlook / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Today’s market session is very volatile, not only in case of euro, dollar and stock indices, but also in case of precious metals. The rally in the mining stocks is much less significant than one might expect based on gold’s and stocks’ rally. Should this be of concern to precious metals investors?
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Friday, June 29, 2012
Gold Junior Exploration Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Over the course of gold’s secular bull the demand for this precious metal has skyrocketed. And as a result gold’s primary supply source, mine production, has been forced to respond. Thankfully with the price of gold soaring to all-time highs, there’s been no shortage of mining companies hitting the hills to look for the next deposit.
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Thursday, June 28, 2012
A Warning for Gold Stock Investors / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Frank Curzio writes: Aaron Regent just lost his job.
A month ago, Aaron was the CEO of Barrick Gold, one of the world's largest, most successful gold-mining companies. He earned over $8 million in 2011, making him one of Canada's highest-paid executives.
Thursday, June 28, 2012
Why Are We Certain that Gold Producer Stocks Will Soar? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Casey Research writes: For the past eighteen months, gold stocks have been pummeled.
They showed some life from mid-May to mid-June – GDX, the gold miner's index, was up 21%, while gold rose 5.5%. That bounce was exciting, but they've still got a lot of lost ground to make up. Since January 1, 2011, GDX is down 28%, while gold is up 10%.
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Monday, June 25, 2012
Cash in on the Next Gold Rush by Investing in Underwater Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Ben Gersten writes: The next real gold rush won't be on a far flung asteroid. It will be under the sea.
In fact, The Wall Street Journal said earlier this month that underwater mining could be a $500 trillion business someday.
That means underwater mining stocks, which are cheap now, could be headed for monster gains.
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Saturday, June 23, 2012
Why Stocks Outperformed All Other Gold Investments / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Ian Gordon of Longwave Analytics and Longwave Strategies believes we're on the precipice of very difficult and frightening times and predicts complete financial collapse. But it's in those periods of darkness that gold really shines. Gordon, who recently published a special edition of his Investment Insights entitled "The Gold Rush of the 1930s Will Rise Again," believes that companies with gold in the ground now will be the ones to prosper. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, Gordon discusses where he thinks the Dow will bottom and what companies will come out on top.
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Friday, June 22, 2012
Gold Stock Valuations / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold stocks languish in a sentiment wasteland these days, left for dead by everyone but a small contrarian remnant. So naturally bears abound, their arguments dominated by the idea that gold miners’ costs are so high that they can’t make money anymore. Provocatively though, this notion is totally wrong. As gold-stock valuations reveal, gold miners are earning profits hand-over-fist at today’s gold levels.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2012
Gold Stocks, How Undervalued? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
This article is really about potential energy. The coming gold stock mania is gathering essential potential ahead of the most exciting capital growth opportunity we may witness in our lifetimes. As if this was not valuable enough, it will occur as other assets continue to devalue. This is the role of gold for investors in a crisis. For the banks it may well assist them to regain confidence once it is completely lost.
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Tuesday, June 19, 2012
Gold Stocks Comparing the 2012 Bottom to Past Bottoms / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Mark Twain said that history doesn't repeat itself but it rhymes. This is also true in the markets. No bull or bear market or particular event is ever the same. Yet, because there are similarities, the prudent analyst always studies history. When trying to foresee bottoms and tops we always compare current conditions (price action, sentiment, fundamentals) to past conditions. We continue to believe that the recent bottom in precious metals markets falls into a group of major bottoms that includes 2000-2001, 2005 and 2008. In today's piece we examine how these markets evolve following such bottoms which hopefully can give us an idea of what to expect in the coming weeks and months.
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Tuesday, June 19, 2012
Prepare for the Pivot Point in the Gold Stocks Exploration Cycle / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Historically, major gold exploration has occurred when the Dow was down and out. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, geologist and Exploration Insights writer Quinton Hennigh talks about the coming gold rush and what that could mean for existing companies.
The Gold Report: While the NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index (HUI) is up a bit from its May low, it is still lagging the price of gold and not living up to expectations based on the role it has traditionally played as a safe haven for investors. Are we close to a turning point in that dynamic?
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Friday, June 15, 2012
Cheap Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold stocks have recovered sharply following last month’s panic-like capitulation plunge. But this embattled sector still remains incredibly cheap relative to prevailing gold levels, which drive gold miners’ profits and hence ultimately their stock prices. While it is very challenging psychologically to buy in deeply-out-of-favor sectors, the panic-like gold-stock bargains out there today are simply amazing.
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Friday, June 15, 2012
Gold Stock Investors Prepare for a White Knuckle Ride / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In the early days of this bull market in precious metals we all did well as most mining stocks sprang to life and made considerable gains. The quality producers made spectacular gains and the turkeys made moderate gains. It has changed a lot since then, the mining indices such as the HUI* were outperforming gold prices by leaps and bounds, however, for the last few years they have failed to keep pace with gold and indeed still lag behind as evidenced by the chart below.
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Wednesday, June 13, 2012
Euro Debt Crisis is Good for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Charles Oliver, a senior portfolio manager for Sprott Asset Management, is keeping the faith that gold and silver stocks will eventually benefit this year as Europe and the U.S. continue to print money. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Oliver says that an indicator that juniors are about to take off could be an improvement in certain bellwether mid-cap stocks.
The Gold Report: Last February, you forecast that stocks would rebound in 2012. What signs indicate that's about to happen?
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Monday, June 11, 2012
Gold Stocks, How to Invest Your Mother's Money – And Keep Your Peace of Mind / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Casey Research writes: I manage one of my mother's IRA accounts, and when it comes to investing, she doesn't like to take a lot of risks. I guess the same would be true for most of our mothers – and maybe for many of us as well.
Unfortunately, after surveying today's investment landscape, I see numerous risks – stock markets seem propped up and vulnerable, many major economies have low or suspect growth, and many currencies are being actively devalued or weakened by government actions. Even the number of options to park money is limited since investors can't earn a reasonable interest rate.
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Wednesday, June 06, 2012
Have Gold, Silver, and Mining Stocks Bottomed? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
On Friday, the price action in gold caught the attention of most market participants as gold put in a monster move to the upside in light of risk assets such as the S&P 500 selling off sharply. In fact, gold futures rallied nearly $58 per troy ounce on Friday (+3.71%) while the S&P 500 Index sold off over 32 handles (-2.46%).
Monday saw some profit taking in gold and silver futures as Friday’s monster gains had to be digested. Short term traders were locking in profits, but overall the price action remains quite bullish at the moment. The gold miners remained extremely strong into the bell on Monday as buyers bid up prices in the afternoon to push them nearly 1.65% higher for the trading session.
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Tuesday, June 05, 2012
Golden Days Ahead for Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Savvy investors and central banks in Asia are accumulating physical gold, the most stable form of value. In an exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Dave Kranzler, founder of Golden Returns Capital, contrarian gold investor and newsletter writer, shares his investment outlook and explains what he looks for when investing in gold miners poised to profit from economic turbulence.
The Gold Report: You started your career, Dave, in the fixed income securities division of Goldman Sachs. And you worked as a junk bond trader before founding Golden Returns Capital. What prompted you to move into precious metals?
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Monday, June 04, 2012
A New Cyclical Gold Stocks Bull Market Is Born / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
And it is about time! After a 40% bear market (the second worst of the secular Gold stock bull so far), the large majority of investors and speculators have been worn out or scared out. The mid-May bottom was THE bottom in my opinion and we have a long way to go on the upside. The metals will rise as well, but Gold stocks will outperform this time.
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Thursday, May 31, 2012
Financial Markets 'May Be Right' in their Current Gold Mining Share Pricing / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Why Read: Because almost every day now there is Media and Internet commentary on the current prices at which gold mining stocks are trading:
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some of which is excellent:
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some of which isn't so excellent;
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a lot of which simplistic; and,
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some of which seems to be written from 'vested interest perspectives'.
Thursday, May 31, 2012
Gold Mining Stocks: Now is the Time to Buy / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Don Miller writes: There are lots of reasons you should own some gold. Despite taking a recent breather, gold prices are still up by 139% in the last five years.
Even so, shares of gold mining stocks have suffered lately, hurt mainly by higher energy and exploration costs.
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Monday, May 28, 2012
Strong Evidence of an Important Low in Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Two weeks ago we proclaimed a major bottom could be imminent in the precious metals sector. Our basis for making the prediction was that the metals and shares were extremely oversold, breadth indicators were at 2008 levels, sentiment was contrarian bullish and markets were nearing areas of strong support. In this missive we review the compelling evidence for this important bottom and discuss the potential fundamental driving forces for the start of the next cyclical bull market in this sector.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
What Is Volume Telling Us about Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Casey Research writes: I've read articles from more than one analyst claiming that gold stocks are down on low volume, implying there's a lack of interest in precious metals. While on the surface that seems like an obvious statement, their point is that most of the recent volume has been coming from sellers and thus exaggerating the recent decline.
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Tuesday, May 22, 2012
The People Have Spoken, Gold and Silver Markets Will Soar / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The elections in Greece and France have shown that in democratic societies the people are the ultimate deciders of how well the best-laid economic plans will work out in the long run. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Leonard Melman, veteran precious metals analyst and publisher of The Melman Report, talks about the implications of the recent European elections on the prospects for the gold and silver markets. He also discusses some of his favorite stock picks for taking advantage of the huge rebound he sees in the metals markets later this year.
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Saturday, May 19, 2012
Is Major Decline in Gold and Silver Stocks Underway? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
All eyes are on Greece which is heading toward national elections six weeks after the last vote. Many feel that a Greek euro exit would be a chance to cauterize a festering wound and move on. There are also those that feel that Greece could be the first of several dominoes to fall, much larger economies such as Spain, Italy, for example.
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Saturday, May 19, 2012
Gold Stock Capitulation / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold stocks have been pummeled mercilessly this month, their price action looking almost apocalyptic. The psychological stress spawned by such extreme weakness is intense, breaking the wills of this sector’s few remaining bulls. This week their selling cascaded into a full-blown capitulation, a mass surrender by weary investors. While exceedingly miserable, these events flag major long-term bottoms.
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Monday, May 14, 2012
Gold and Gold Miners Are Closing in on a Major Bottom / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
"You can't understand what lays ahead if you don't understand the past" ~ Satellite, Rise Against
Members of my service as well as long time readers know that I do a lot of analysis based on the past. I am constantly looking at long-term historical price charts and data. As a trader, I am always looking for an edge.
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Thursday, May 10, 2012
Rick Rule's Primer on Contrarian Market Speculation, Compelling Case for Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In an interview with Louis James, Rick Rule provides an excellent summary of what contrarian speculation investment is and makes a powerful case that the current metals climate means gold stocks are the play to make.
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Thursday, May 10, 2012
Bottom for Gold GDX Miners ETF? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Today's action in the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has the makings of a key upside reversal on relatively high volume. This comes in the aftermath of a 27-month new low and barely any participation in the October 2011 - April 2012 bull phase in the S&P 500.
A major upside reversal (on a close above 42.85) comes after what appears to be a two- leg correction of equidistant magnitude. The first leg was off of the September 2011 high at 66.98 into the December 2011 low at 49.22 (-$17.76). After an intervening rally to the February 2012 high at 57.94, the second leg down was a near-vertical decline to today's low of 41.10 (-$16.84).
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Wednesday, May 02, 2012
The Acquisition of Gold Mining Stocks is a Question of Timing / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In an attempt to maximize the profits on our investments we consider that the timing of any purchase of precious metals mining stocks to be of paramount importance. To that end we have not increased our exposure to this sector since our last purchase, which was in February 2011 and on reflection we are pleased with our decision to keep our powder dry until the opportunity presents itself whereby we bag a jolly good bargain.
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Saturday, April 28, 2012
Invest in Africa Gold Stocks Now / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Last year, Africa was the region that witnessed the strongest growth in gold-mining operations. In an exclusive interview with The Gold Report,Nana Sangmuah, managing director of research with Toronto-based Clarus Securities, expects that trend to continue and suggests some immediate smart investments in Ghana, Mali, Liberia and the Democratic Republic of the Congo.
The Gold Report: Gold consultancy GFMS, which is now owned by Thomson Reuters, recently published its 2012 Gold Survey. GFMS predicts that before the end of 2012, the yellow metal will likely reach above its all-time nominal high of $1,920/ounce (oz) in September 2011. The catalysts include inflation concerns and sovereign debt problems in Europe, especially Spain. What are your thoughts on these predictions and conclusions?
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Friday, April 27, 2012
Large Cap Gold Miners Underperforming the Juniors and Silver Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
While the precious metals sector has consolidated and struggled to find a bottom, an important development has taken place. First, lets harken back to 2007-2008. Large cap mining stocks peaked in March 2008, yet the speculative sides of the sector "gave out" far earlier. The juniors and silver stocks actually peaked in April 2007. That was about a full year ahead of the large gold stocks. As the 2007-2008 crisis unfolded, juniors and silver stocks led the way down and displayed extreme relative weakness even as metals prices were firm.
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Thursday, April 26, 2012
Gold Mining Stocks Will Catch Up to Higher Gold Price / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Ongoing inflation pressures and China's investments in the African gold supply chain point to a higher gold price according to Matt Badiali of Stansberry & Associates. Bullion in all its forms belongs in every portfolio and when it comes to equities, investors have their choice of business models—dividend payers, prospect generators and royalty companies. In this exclusive Gold Reportinterview, Badiali outlines companies whose equities should catch up to the higher gold price.
The Gold Report: Matt, in the February 2012 edition of Stansberry's Investment Advisory, Porter Stansberry predicted gold would hit $9,600 an ounce (oz) someday. How should investors protect themselves from this coming crisis?
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Wednesday, April 25, 2012
Gold Stocks Where Is The Bottom? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold and silver mining stocks have sold off by roughly 30% from their 52-week highs based on the PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index (XAU) and by roughly 32% based on the Amex Gold Bugs Index (HUI). In comparison, gold is down approximately 14% from its nominal all time high in 2011 while silver is down approximately 37%.
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Tuesday, April 24, 2012
Navigating Gold Stocks During the Weakest Quarter / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Barry Allan, vice chairman of Mackie Research Capital Corp.'s mining group, is guarded about gold equities from March to May, statistically the weakest period. However, Allan remains bullish on gold stocks through the end of the year and has Buy recommendations on more than 70% of his coverage universe. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Allan points to where he's finding value during this period of seasonal weakness.
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Monday, April 23, 2012
Weighing the Evidence of Crude Oil and Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The MSCI Emerging Markets and the S&P 500 indices have increased double digits since the beginning of the year. Investors should be thrilled, but instead of cheers, the only sounds the markets are hearing are crickets. Many have been asking, where are the investors?
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Monday, April 23, 2012
Gold Stocks Half Way? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
With the calendar moving into the second third of the year, some of the popular delusions of the crowd seem increasingly remote possibilities. Have we been waiting a year for QE-3? But like a broken clock, those forecasting QE-3 to be imminent still have a shot at being correct. At the same time, some are chopping down the AAPL tree. Already down 10% from the high, the leading delusionist on that stock is still forecasting a $1,000 price. Gold seems well short of $2,000. Would that be still or again? And the pick up trucks loaded with Silver ready for the ride to $100? Well, seems most have broken down in the middle of the road. And the Gold stocks? Perhaps about half way to the bottom.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2012
Are Gold Stock Fundamentals Still Bullish? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In the face of a correction or poor price action, we'll often hear analysts proclaim the bullish fundamentals of precious metals. While this is true on a structural and secular basis, it doesn't mean the market always advances every year or two. We've written about the wall of worry phase and how progress in the second third of a bull market is limited. The HUI hasn't made any net progress in the past four and a half years. It has actually made only limited progress since 2006! Furthermore, the typical corrections in this sector are wicked. Corrections of 25% are routine and happen several times per year. As we noted in our last editorial, this market has endured several 40% setbacks. As market observers and investors we need to be especially diligent about the near-term fundamentals and weigh them with the present risk/reward of the market.
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Monday, April 16, 2012
Where’s the Beef for Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold bulls have plenty of room to graze in the stockyard these days as the investing herd migrated to other assets during the market’s steep climb in 2012. For the fourth time in the past year, gold bears outnumbered the bulls in Bloomberg’s weekly Gold Bull/Bear Sentiment Survey. In fact, the bears had the bulls outnumbered by almost 2-to-1.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 16, 2012
Gold, Silver and Copper Stocks Investing Strategie / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Precious and base metal companies both have to obey the basic laws of physics and economics to be profitable. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, geologist turned analyst Vishal Gupta of Fraser Mackenzie shares names of small-cap companies that could successfully take advantage of unique mineralogy to produce profitable mines.
The Gold Report: You are an analyst and a geologist. Can you explain the fundamentals behind investing in base metals compared to precious metals?
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Saturday, April 14, 2012
Silver Mining Stocks Building for Price Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The health of the U.S. economy may not be quite as robust as some government statistics indicate and more stimulus could be on the way, despite what the Fed may be saying. Regardless of which way the economy goes, Chris Marchese, contributor to The Morgan Report, tells us in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report that precious metals will go higher as investors seek protection from the effects of monetary policies that don't work. In the process, he expects that greatly undervalued mining shares of silver producers will again shine in the eyes of investors and highlights several of his favorites at current bargain prices.
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Friday, April 13, 2012
Gold Stocks Are Turning Up / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Something funny is happening in the mining stock world. Gold and gold stocks have been in a correction since last September and it has gone on for so long that many people are giving up on them just as it appears that this correction may be coming to an end.Just a few days ago the well respected commentator Dennis Gartman declared on CNBC that the gold bear market that began ten years ago is over. His reasoning - the recent FOMC minutes release proves that “the game has changed.”
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Thursday, April 12, 2012
Gold Miners on the Move / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Apart from what we discussed about the relationship of the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) and the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) on Tuesday evening, what is interesting today is that the heretofore (and more often than not) inverse relationship between the GDXJ and the SPY has morphed into a direct relationship.
That is to say, both the SPY and the GDXJ are climbing today, although, more to the point, the former is up about 1%, while the latter is up 4.4% so far today.
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Thursday, April 12, 2012
Gold Stocks Gaining Credibility / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
While gold equities continue to trail the gold price, junior stocks are gaining traction according to Doug Groh, co-portfolio manager and senior analyst with Tocqueville Asset Management. He believes investors should not let the market's risk aversion keep them out of a stock picker's market. The trick, Groh reveals in this exclusive Gold Report interview, is to pick managements, not jurisdictions.
Companies Mentioned: Abzu Gold Ltd. - ATAC Resources Ltd. - Bear Creek Mining Corp. - Detour Gold Corp. - Gold Resource Corporation - Osisko Mining Corp. - Randgold Resources Ltd.
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Tuesday, April 10, 2012
Gold Mining Industry, Never Mistake Intelligence for a Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
George Ireland, portfolio manager with Boston-based Geologic Resource Partners, believes in seeing what he invests in and his passport bears witness: 80 countries visited in five years. From Africa to Argentina, from gold to lithium and graphite, he and his team seek out companies with experienced management, promising geology, good infrastructure and strong cash flow. Ireland shares his views on issues facing the mining industry in all corners of the world in this exclusive Gold Report interview.
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Monday, April 09, 2012
Gold Stocks Failed Bottom Initiates Start of Capitulation / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It was only a week ago we felt the gold stocks had a great chance of putting in a bottom. Monday supported our thesis but after Tuesday's action and Bernanke's jawboning it was apparent that the gold shares were in for a very difficult period. We immediately went long DUST to hedge long positions and trimmed some of our most vulnerable positions. We aren't day traders personally or professionally (in our service) but sometimes you have to be considering the day to day volatility in this sector. Having accounted for the short-term, the next move is to gameplan for a potential major bottom in the sector.
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Monday, April 09, 2012
Further Downside Run in Gold and Gold Stocks is Coming! Here's Why / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The Fed's recent inference that QE3 was not imminent has caused physical gold and silver and the HUI and XAU to breach their downside support lines. These transitions set up the distinct possibility that we could well see $1,500 gold and the HUI and XAU at 400 and 144, respectively! Let me outline my analyses of the current situation and how it might unfold.
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Saturday, April 07, 2012
Gold Junior Stocks Available at Bargain Prices / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
What do the gold market and the weather have in common? You can forecast both, but predict neither, according to Brien Lundin, chief executive of Jefferson Financial and publisher of Gold Newsletter. Lundin, who also organizes the New Orleans Investment Conference, isn't focusing on if there will be rain or sun in the market, he told The Gold Report in this exclusive interview. He's slowly accumulating juniors on the cheap that have big news in the forecast.
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Wednesday, April 04, 2012
Is it Safe to Start Buying Gold Stocks Yet? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
One of the most common questions I field from my forecast and trading subscribers is can we buy Gold stocks yet? We have seen Gold consolidating and correcting following a 34 fibonacci month rally that I discussed last fall was going to top out around 1900 per ounce. This type of rally went from October of 2008 to August of 2011 and we saw Gold rally from $680 to $1900 per ounce during that time.
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Tuesday, April 03, 2012
Gold Stocks Cheap or Silver Stocks Expensive? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Although Gold prices are off their highs of 2011, they still remain at a reasonably high level.
From the chart below, we can see that Gold and Silver are highly correlated:
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Monday, April 02, 2012
Did Gold Stocks Bottom Last Week? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The gold stocks have frustrated investors for several reasons. First, the sector has had a general inability to keep pace with Gold and that struggle has been particularly incensing over the last year in which Gold has gained. Second, the substantial rebound in the equity market has provided no lift. We know that the gold stocks can be vulnerable when Gold falls and when the stock market is plunging. Yet, the gold stocks did not respond as expected despite the reverse favorable conditions in the past year. In the words of a friend, these stocks couldn’t advance if a rocket ship landed up their ass! It is time to bail, right? Wrong! Considering the extreme negative sentiment and our technical work, we believe the market made an important long-term low last week.
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Sunday, April 01, 2012
Gold and Silver Mining Stocks Approaching Most Oversold Level Since Start of Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The following chart shows the performance of mining stocks (XAU) versus the broader stock market (S&P 500). This comparison is useful in identifying periods when mining stocks are oversold or overbought versus the stock market as a whole. As you can see from the long-term chart, mining stocks have been outperforming the S&P 500 over time with the expected volatility that is mostly confined within the upward-sloping trend channel.
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Saturday, March 31, 2012
Gold Blossoming in Colombia / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Impressed by Colombia as a country and as a setting for exciting mining and geological opportunities, Paul Harris relocated from England, by way of Chile, and hasn't looked back. In an exclusive interview with The Gold Report, the publisher of the Colombia Gold Letter offers hope for the near future.
The Gold Report: Colombia's mining and energy sectors received about $12 billion (B) in foreign direct investment (FDI) in 2011, making it the largest recipient of FDI relative to gross domestic product of any country in Latin America. Although there are excellent geological potential and dozens of junior mining companies exploring Colombia, not one of those juniors has successfully permitted a mine. Does the country risk losing some of that free-flowing capital if it doesn't start to permit mines?
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Saturday, March 31, 2012
Rotation into Gold Miners? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
To state the obvious, the gold miners definitely are the forgotten sector of the rally from the October 2011 low in the S&P 500 at 1074.77 to this week's high at 1419.15. This rally amounts to a 32% climb, compared to the performance of the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX), which is down 2.7% since its October 2011 low.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 27, 2012
Forget Goldman Sachs; Only Fools Rush Into Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Shah Gilani writes: Is Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) playing us all for Muppets when they say stocks now present a generational buying opportunity?
The investment bank's 40-page bullish report, titled "The Long Good Buy: The Case for Equities," says to forget the huge run-up since 2009, forget the 25% rise in equities over the last five-and-a-half months, and forget bonds. This party is just getting started.
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Monday, March 26, 2012
Stealth Bottom Coming in Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The struggle of the mining stocks has surprised many including us. We thought record profits and a bullish environment would catapult the miners out of a consolidation and into a major breakout. The perception of an enduring recovery and the endurance and persistence of the wall of worry stage has left the gold stocks unloved and under-owned and for far longer than we expected. We do have to remember that the miners exploded in 2009 and 2010 and it is normal for a bull market to spend months in consolidation.
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Sunday, March 25, 2012
Calling Another Bottom in Gold and Silver Stocks Sector / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The last time I called an important bottom in the precious metals sector was on December 29, 2011 (as documented here). Well, it's time for another important bottom. I believe the late December lows in the precious metals (PM) sector were THE lows for the metals, for the GDXJ ETF (a rough representation of the junior Gold mining sector) and for silver stocks (as represented by the SIL ETF). The current bottom is much more important for those seemingly perpetual laggards, the senior Gold mining stocks.
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Saturday, March 24, 2012
Randgold Highlights Mining Risk as Turkey Seeks Gold Bullion / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
On Thursday, gold prices declined to $1,642.50 per ounce, while silver fell nearly 90 cents to settle at $31.35. Both precious metals have declined over the past few weeks. While short-term corrections in bullion prices can be frustrating for investors, the pullback in miners has been even more pronounced. In the past month, the Market Vectors Gold Miners index declined almost 11 percent, while the Market Vectors Jr. Gold Miners index has fallen 14 percent. However, both indices fail to compare to the steep sell-off seen in Randgold Resources.
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Friday, March 23, 2012
Bullish Outlook for Gold and Silver Stocks Sector Holds / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It’s tough being a lone voice saying that gold prices will go up when they have tumbled and the financial press is writing obituaries for the gold bull market. It’s also encouraging being a lone voice saying that gold prices will go up precisely because it means that the general sentiment is very bearish and this is what we see at major bottoms. Gold has gotten clobbered and silver has taken a beating as Treasury yields surged and markets are moved by optimism that a recovery has gained traction. Fears over an implosion in the Eurozone seem to have receded. February’s jobs report signaled a strengthening recovery. Greece’s widely expected default has momentarily taken Europe’s sovereign debt crisis off the radar screen. UBS’s Edel Tully has lowered the one-year price target of gold to $1,550 an ounce, a 12.7% downgrade.
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Friday, March 23, 2012
Silver Wheaton Corporation Triples Quarterly Dividend Payment / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Silver Wheaton Corporation (SLW) Q4 Earnings have been reported as $0.41 which is around the Mean for the analysts who's expectations were in the order of US$0.460 US$0.406 US$0.370. Hopefully this result will be reasonably well received as it is in line with expectations. When earnings fall short they tend to disappoint the analysts and subsequently the stock can be sold off.
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Thursday, March 22, 2012
Resource Investors and the PDAC Curse / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It's that time of year again. Thirty five thousand people descended on Toronto to take part in the largest mining industry confab in the world. The PDAC has become famous for the broad range of attendees, the numerous parties and the gouging by local hotel operators. In case you only go to Toronto for PDAC, $500 a night is not the usual price for a three star hotel in Hog Town.
For resource stock investors, the PDAC famous for something more sinister; the "PDAC Curse". So far this month is looking like this annual scourge is alive and well and making life miserable for resource stock traders yet again.
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Thursday, March 22, 2012
The Gold Stock Sector Is On Sale / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Michael Fowler, senior mining analyst with Loewen, Ondaatje, McCutcheon, sees small- and mid-cap junior producers and developers as the "sweet spot" in the gold equities space, and provides a basket of names to consider in each space. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, he also shares his views on the irresponsibility of the "new paradigm" of large-scale financings now in vogue.
The Gold Report: Let's start with the changing risk picture in the gold space. Agnico-Eagle Mines Ltd. (AEM:TSX; AEM:NYSE) and Kinross Gold Corp. (K:TSX; KGC:NYSE) are down by about 50% and 75%, respectively, from their 52-week highs. Both would once have been considered low risk. Are there no low-risk companies in the gold space today?
Thursday, March 22, 2012
Endeavour Silver Provides Blueprint to Sprott’s Call to Action / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Eric Sprott, legendary gold and silver investor and chairman of Sprott Inc., famously issued an open letter to 17 of the world’s largest silver producers last year. The letter is well-known to the precious metals community because it challenged the mining industry to limit silver sales until prices increased. Unlike an OPEC style cartel, Sprott advocated that miners simply hold a portion of their cash reserves in the form of silver, in order to protect themselves and shareholders from irrational price corrections that take place too often in the silver market. Endeavour Silver not only heeded Sprott’s advice, but has already benefited from it.
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Monday, March 19, 2012
Gold and Silver Stocks Are Decoupling from the Stock Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Normally, decoupling from the stock market is a good thing. In recent turbulent times, many have wondered if emerging markets would decouple or if gold stocks would decouple. Its surprising to see gold stocks decouple from a strong stock market. Many wondered if the sector would decouple from a weak market. Yet, the decoupling now could be positive long-term provided the decoupling continues when the stock market peaks just below the 2007-2008 highs.
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Saturday, March 17, 2012
Canada Sees Gold Mining Resurgence / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Amid the bustle of the 80th Prospectors and Developers Association of Canada (PDAC) convention in Toronto, The Gold Report sat down with PDAC President Scott Jobin-Bevans for his take on the challenges the mining industry faces. In this exclusive interview, he covers a wide range of topics, from skilled labor shortages to the trials of mining in remote northern Canada.
The Gold Report: What are the key challenges the mining industry faces in 2012–2013?
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Thursday, March 15, 2012
Barron’s Gold Mining Index To Double Over The Next Couple Of Years? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The behaviour of gold stocks during this gold bull market is really not that different to the gold bull market of the 70s. It was not until almost the end of the bull market (in 1979) that the gold stocks really started to take-off. Those who think gold stocks will not rise during this bull market will be disappointed, and need to consider the evidence presented here.
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Thursday, March 15, 2012
Hecla Mining Co.'s Silver Moment / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jack Barnes writes: Shares of Hecla Mining Co. (NYSE:HL) have been beaten up during what should be extremely bullish conditions for the largest silver miner in the United States.
I think that presents some value for investors willing to take a contrarian view.
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Tuesday, March 13, 2012
HUI Stocks vs Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In this article we will have a look at the performance of the HUI index (Amex Gold Bugs) compared to the performance of Gold.
First of all, here is a composition of the HUI index:
Tuesday, March 13, 2012
The Need for Updated Gold Stock Indices / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The underperformance of gold stocks was a hot topic at PDAC and continues to dominate discussion in industry circles. As to why the sector is underperforming, we hear numerous reasons. The conspiracy crowd will claim manipulation or hedge fund shorting. More well-reasoned thoughts include the struggle of large miners to adequately replace reserves and grow production and the continued issuance of shares. We believe one key reason is that the bull market is in the wall of worry phase and in this phase valuations compress as investors are nervous of among other things, another major correction. The HUI is trading at 15x trailing earnings and only 13x 2012 earnings. If the market returned to the historical average valuation of 28x earnings, then share prices would double (and that assumes present earnings). Yet, does the HUI or XAU even adequately represent the mining stock universe anymore?
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Friday, March 09, 2012
Gold Stocks: Tread Carefully / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Clarity of vision can be lost in the everyday hustle and bustle of market gyrations, news events, political posturing and the whirlwind of activity that is our daily labor. So, from time to time we need to recap by establishing just what it is that we are trying to attain. It is said that if we can state the problem clearly we are half way to the answer, so here we go:
Question: What is it that we are trying to achieve?
Tuesday, March 06, 2012
Playing the Gold, Silver Stocks Selloff / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The precious metals equities selloff at the end of 2011 was overdone, says Stephen Taylor, portfolio manager of The Taylor Fund and founder of Taylor Asset Management, in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report. Taylor remains bullish on gold, silver and base metals and is looking to some names that were walloped in the selloff to prosper in the next three years.
The Gold Report: The Global and Mail reported that more than 50 private-equity mining deals were struck in Canada in 2011—more than in any other sector. Why is private equity pouring venture capital into junior mining plays faster than any other Canadian business sector?
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Monday, March 05, 2012
Invest in Apple Incorporated or Silver Wheaton Corporation? / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Apple Incorporated (AAPL) or Silver Wheaton Corporation (SLW) some would say its a little like David and Goliath or Bambi meets Godzilla. Apple is currently the darling of technology sector and Silver Wheaton is hugely popular in the precious metals space.
As investors we need to continually ask the following question:
Is this the best investment vehicle for my hard earned cash?
Saturday, March 03, 2012
Gold Bullion and Mining Shares Shakeout / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Mining shares and the precious metals were hard hit on Wednesday after Fed Chairman Bernanke appeared before Congress. Bernanke gave his view on the U.S. economic outlook during and offered a mixed message. He touted the recovery in the job market while warning that unless growth accelerated, the unemployment rate wouldn't continue to drop.
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Friday, March 02, 2012
Gold Mining Margins / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The history of gold mining has been well-documented for thousands of years. And with the demand for this most precious of metals going nearly as far back as human history, miners have ventured to just about every corner of the planet in their quest to find it. Yet unlike the miners of yore that were commanded by kings, today’s miners are commanded by profits.
Like in any business, gold miners do what they do in order to make money. If they can sell their product for more than what it costs to produce, then they ought to see profits. But unlike any business, gold mining is a complex endeavor with a myriad of variables that can radically affect operations on virtually a daily basis. This makes miners’ financial affairs far from cut-and-dry.
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Thursday, March 01, 2012
Quality Gold Junior Miners Poised to Soar / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
After a tough 2011, the junior resource market is turning and things are definitely looking up, Resource Opportunities Publisher Lawrence Roulston tells us in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report. The mood of investors in the resource sector has turned positive, and based on the sentiment and interest shown at recent investment conferences, the smart money is looking for deals that have real upside potential. Roulston tells us about several he feels are poised for significant action as the market heats up.
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Wednesday, February 29, 2012
Is 2012 the Next 1897? Juniors Prepare for Yukon Gold Rush / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Chris Devauld writes: When it comes to gold mining, the Yukon needs little introduction. The westernmost territory’s frigid climate and unforgiving terrain hasn’t deterred prospectors, past and present. The end of the 19th century saw gold miners rush in on mere rumours of the yellow metal, which eventually lead to the renowned Klondike Gold Rush in 1897. Now, it appears, history is repeating as the high price of gold drives ambitious juniors back into the rush for riches.
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Tuesday, February 28, 2012
Small Cap Gold Stocks Successfully Retest 2010 Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
When one speaks of gold stocks they should be more specific as the sector is diverse. The term Gold stocks usually refers to the large unhedged producers. Indices such as the HUI or GDX track these stocks and are a proxy for the gold stock universe. However, most companies in the sector are much smaller. We hear the term “juniors” so often and that is what makes it inconsistent. Juniors are typically micro-cap exploration companies. Yet, GDXJ the junior ETF is comprised of companies with market caps in the $500 Million to $1 Billion range. There is nothing junior about that. We notice there is a gap in terms of terminology. If Juniors are sub- $100 Million, and large caps are over $1 Billion, then what do you call those that fit the gap?
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Monday, February 27, 2012
Will Gold Miners Finally Get Some Respect? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It has been a long and hard road for gold miners. Despite another record performance for gold last year, miner stocks lagged the physical precious metal. Gold prices finished 2011 at $1,566.80 per ounce, representing a 9.3 percent annual increase. However, the Market Vectors Gold Miners Index fell 16.3 percent, and the Junior Gold Miners Index plummeted 38 percent. Although miners have underperformed bullion, recent earnings may finally cause a shift in sentiment and share prices.
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Saturday, February 25, 2012
Gold, Silver Juniors Should Shine in 2012 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
After a tough 2011, Mark Raguz and his colleagues at Pinetree Capital are looking at the junior resource sector with renewed optimism. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, he names some of the plays that are fueling that sentiment, from gold names in Northern Ontario to silver names in Mexico.
The Gold Report: Mark, what do you think will determine Pinetree Capital Ltd.'s (PNP:TSX) success in 2012, especially regarding the junior resource sector?
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Friday, February 24, 2012
Gold Stocks Nearing End of Wall of Worry Stage / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Over the past few months we’ve analyzed gold stocks from a historical perspective. We’ve compared this bull market to the past bull market as well as historical bull markets in equities. We’ve found that nothing is out of the ordinary. Gold stocks are not being manipulated. In fact, this bull market is actually ahead of the bull market in the 1960s and 1970s. They are following a typical bull market which evolves in three stages: the stealth phase, the wall of worry phase then the bubble or public phase. The wall of worry stage entails many twists and turns and marginal new highs along the way. Profits continue to rise but valuations drop as investors remember the first major correction of the bull market.
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Thursday, February 23, 2012
Huichol Indians Protest Silver Mining Plan at Sacred Mountains / Politics / Gold & Silver Stocks
As the rise in the price of silver over the past few years makes an increasing number of formerly prohibitively expensive excavation sites appear much more attractive to mining concerns, environmental and cultural issues remain to be resolved before global silver production can rise in earnest to meet growing demand for the physical metal.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 18, 2012
Gold's Wild Ride Leaves Explorer Stocks Ready to Grow / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Lesser resource companies have been slowly starving to death since the capital faucet was turned off in 2008. What's left? Some exciting, early-stage companies with management teams industrious enough to make it through with promising projects on the horizon. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Tom MacNeill, CEO of 49 North Resources Inc., a Saskatchewan-focused resource investment company, discusses some names his firm is excited about, including some primed to debut on the public markets soon.
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Thursday, February 16, 2012
Broad Market Nearing Resistance while Gold Stocks Basing After Bottom / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
While the gold stocks have enjoyed a decent recovery, they have certainly lagged the broad market which has almost broken out to new highs. Should you be worried that a major shift is in place? Hardly. The fact is the broad market is in the latter stages of its a cyclical bull while gold stocks just completed a major bottom. Don't call us doom and gloomers because we do not foresee a real bear market. The last phase of a secular bear market tends to be mild in nature but coincides with a strong move in resources, higher inflation and higher interest rates. In looking at the charts, we expect 2012 to be a transition year in which precious metals reemerge while the broad market peters out at resistance.
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Wednesday, February 15, 2012
Goldcorp (NYSE: GG): A Safe Play for $2,000 Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The case for investing in gold remains strong: The EU sovereign-debt crisis continues to drag on, while the US economic recovery remains anemic relative to most postwar economic cycles. Meanwhile, central banks purchased about 400 tons of gold last year and will likely add to their stockpiles in 2012.
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Wednesday, February 08, 2012
A New Reason Gold Stocks Will Soar / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Casey Research writes: There are a number of reasons why many of us believe gold stocks will shoot for the moon before this bull market is over – they've done so many times in the past… the gold price still has a long way to climb… and producers are generating record revenue and profits. But I think there's another reason why gold stocks will soar – one that hasn't dawned on many in the industry yet.
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Tuesday, February 07, 2012
Finding Fundamentals Key to Gold Stocks Investing / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The market isn't rewarding fundamentals just yet for precious metal miners, according to Byron King, editor of Daily Resource Hunter, Outstanding Investments and Energy & Scarcity Investor published by Agora Financial of Baltimore. But in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, King maps out when rising gold prices will actually lead to rising stock prices for companies with quality projects and solid treasuries.
The Gold Report: Byron, anyone who reads your reports knows two things: you like to tell stories and you like precious metals. The gold price has spent the last 11 years trending higher. Do you see it continuing upward?
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Monday, February 06, 2012
How to Find the Best Junior Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Speculating and investing in this sector is difficult. It is a far more difficult industry than others and that is why companies continue to struggle and fail even with the luxury of high metals prices. We’ve written extensively about the recent major bottom in the precious metals sector and the very positive outlook for the equities in 2012 and likely 2013. One can make money if they buy and hold a mutual fund or ETF but they can generate far superior performance with a basket of the right companies. The following explains what we look for in order to uncover the juniors that will deliver outstanding returns.
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Saturday, February 04, 2012
Gold Junior Mining Stocks Poised to Rebound / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Economics and politics. Accretion and repletion. Mergers and acquisitions. Joe Mazumdar, senior mining analyst with Haywood Securities, sees all of these as catalysts for a rebound in the junior gold space in 2012. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, he reveals the names of companies he expects to take off.
The Gold Report: What is the consensus among Haywood analysts on what 2012 will bring for mine commodities, particularly precious metals?
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Saturday, February 04, 2012
Gold and Silver Mining Stocks Tops Might Be Just Around the Corner / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
This December gold prices swooned by more than 10 per cent in their biggest monthly fall since the collapse of Lehman Brothers. For some insecure gold investors it was like a bad dream. They were happy to wake up to a bright, crisp January whose performance was more than enough to warm the heart of any gold investor. It was the metal's strongest starting month in 32 years giving a resounding answer to those who wondered if the 11-year rally in gold had ended (and they always seem to come out of the woodwork every time gold experiences a correction.)
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Friday, February 03, 2012
Junior Gold Mining Stock / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It only took eleven years, but in 2011 global gold-mine production has finally returned to pre-bull levels. In fact, with 2011’s volume expected to come in at around 88m ounces, we’ll see a new all-time production high. The latest exploration-and-development cycle is finally starting to bear fruit!
This fruit has been hard-earned though, as the miners have had to reverse the course of a brutal production decline that bottomed out in 2008. Incredibly global gold production had fallen nearly 13% in five years from 2003’s high, to a level not seen since the mid-1990s. And needless to say that painted quite an alarming fundamental picture considering demand was on the rise.
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Monday, January 30, 2012
Underpriced Gold and Silver Due to Move in 2012 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
After a tough year in 2011, there is definitely a good selection of underpriced junior resource stocks available for astute investors to focus on before the rest of the herd finally wakes up and smells the gold. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Matthew Zylstra, mining analyst at Northern Securities, reviews the gold, silver and PGM markets and tells us why he believes that better times are ahead for junior miners in 2012, and which ones he particularly likes at current price levels.
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Monday, January 30, 2012
Junior Gold Stocks Rebound from Lows / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver Stocks
The junior sector had a very difficult year in 2011 but has led the recent recovery (at least statistically) in the precious metals sector. Two of our favorite exchange traded funds, GDXJ and ZJG.to are up 30% and 25% respectively. That exceeds GDX (large caps) which has rebounded 15%. These are significant gains but barely put a dent in the low valuations for the sector. Ratio analysis shows us how undervalued the smaller gold stocks are yet an examination of history shows this is not out of the ordinary at this point in a bull market.
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Monday, January 30, 2012
Gold Stocks To Rally Like During The Great Depression And Early 70s / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Below, is an extract of my Gold Mining Fractal Analysis Report.
Read full article... Read full article..."He answered and said unto them, When it is evening, ye say, It will be fair weather: for the sky is red. And in the morning, It will be foul weather to day: for the sky is red and lowering." ~ Jesus Christ
Thursday, January 26, 2012
'Mania' in Junior Gold Mining Stocks Predicted / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Fayyaz Alimohamed, CEO of Altair Ventures Inc. and publisher of the Acamar Journal, offers historical perspective and predictions on the global economic crisis. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, he foresees a "mania" in junior mining stocks and recommends holding physical gold outside the banking system as a safety net.
The Gold Report: Fayyaz, in June 2008, using readily available economic data, you wrote that the global economy was on the verge of financial collapse. What do those sources tell you about where the global economy is headed today?
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Thursday, January 12, 2012
Gold Volatility Breeds Equity Opportunities / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Volatility in the markets isn't going away any time soon and Mike Niehuser, founder of Beacon Rock Research, expects 2012 to be a year of extreme swings. Niehuser draws parallels to the beginning of 2009, which was a short period of time that produced some very high returns. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, Niehuser shares his market outlook and names a host of companies that are positioned to take off.
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Tuesday, January 10, 2012
The Gold Stocks are Tracking Past Equity Bull Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
All bull markets have similarities and all equity bull markets have strong similarities. They go through similar phases. Most bull markets start off slow and then build towards what we like to say is an acceleration into a bubble and potential mania. In last weeks editorial we noted how bull markets, prior to the bubble phase, tend to make major bottoms every three or so years. Yet, in looking at the present bull market in gold stocks and comparing it to the previous three equity bull markets (Technology, Japan and Gold Stocks) we find stronger and deeper similarities which confirms to us that the gold stocks are in the bull market of our time.
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Tuesday, January 10, 2012
Who Really Owns Your Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Do you own gold and silver mining stocks? Or any stocks for that matter? Even if you say, "yes", chances are you don't really own them.
It is one of the dirtiest little secrets in the brokerage business. And 99.9% of people have no idea it is even being done to them. It's called "street name registration" and it's how the brokerage where you hold your stocks "registers" your shares. To save money and time, and to allow your shares to be included as assets that THEY can use to do what they want with, your brokerage never actually registers you as an owner of the shares.
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Saturday, January 07, 2012
Cheap Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold had a tough December, falling 10.5% to grind along near its worst levels since July. This sparked hyper-bearish sentiment and end-of-gold’s-secular-bull talk. Naturally gold stocks fared even worse in this rampant gold pessimism, with the flagship HUI gold-stock index plunging 14.7%. But this selling was radically overdone, as compared to gold’s absolute levels gold stocks remain incredibly cheap.
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Friday, January 06, 2012
Gold Stocks Complete First Major Bottom Since 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
All bull markets have to endure a plethora of corrections and all bull markets have to endure a handful of major corrections. The gold stocks are no different. In fact, due to nature of the mining business and the high-beta status of these stocks, it is very easy for investors to forget that they (the gold stocks) are in a real structural bull market. Corrections and crashes are commonplace and yes, even in a bull market. Yet in 2011 the gold equities did not crash. They merely digested and consolidated the massive recovery gains from 2009 and 2010. This persistent consolidation has left many scared, frustrated and distrustful of the sector at precisely the wrong time. Gold stocks have quietly completed a major bottom, their first since 2008.
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Saturday, December 31, 2011
Gold Stocks Lessons Learned in 2011 and Implications for 2012 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
2011 certainly was a difficult year for gold bugs. Gold barely held onto its gains for the year while Silver went parabolic and eventually fell to negative on the year. Mining stocks? Don't ask. The large caps (gdx) are currently down 17% on the year while the mid-tiers (gdxj) are down 41% and the explorers (gldx) are down 44%. In our last commentary we discussed the equities with respect to investing and speculating. By now, you should know that most mining stocks are speculations and do not perform consistently, even in a raging bull market.
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Friday, December 30, 2011
Junior Gold Stocks Carnage / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As 2011 comes to a close, investors will reflect on one of the most tumultuous years in market history. Though the stock markets were essentially flat on the year, those who’ve had skin in the game probably feel like they just stepped out of a barrel that went over Niagara Falls.
In assessing what worked in 2011, investors can yet again take solace in “old reliable”. For the eleventh consecutive year gold will have returned positive gains. Not only has gold’s secular bull delivered consistency, it has delivered robust returns that have greatly rewarded investors. Since its low of $256 in 2001, gold has soared 640% to its high earlier this year. And with only a couple days remaining, gold is looking to close out 2011 with a 9%+ gain despite its recent selloff.
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Friday, December 23, 2011
Riders On The Gold and Silver Storm / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Those of us who are buyers and believers in the long term continuing secular rise in resource equities are going through a time of testing. The marketplace will present participants with years such as 2011.
We reiterate our guiding principles at precisely these times that tests our basic mission statement. First and foremost is the avoidance of margin. Mining stocks are characteristically volatile and subject to turbulent corrections.
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Thursday, December 22, 2011
What's Up with Gold Mining Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Claims that the gold bull market has ended are incorrect. One of the main causes of recently lower precious metals prices is the fact that the U.S. dollar has strengthened against the Euro. Since the U.S. dollar is the world reserve currency, a stronger dollar lowers the U.S. dollar prices of global commodities. Also, financial flights to safety, e.g., out of the Euro or European sovereign bonds, temporarily increase demand for U.S. dollars and U.S. Treasuries, strengthening the U.S. dollar against other currencies and lowering U.S. Treasury yields.
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Wednesday, December 21, 2011
Investing vs. Speculating in Gold and Silver Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
One thing that is intriguing about the precious metals sector is the vast composition of the companies in the sector. The entire equity sector can be divided in so many forms and ways. We can divide the gold and silver stocks, the producers and non producers, the explorers and the developers, the royalty companies and non-royalty companies as well as those making money and those not making money. To make money in this sector one really needs to have a plan and know what they are doing. Specifically, one needs to define an investment and a speculation.
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Monday, December 19, 2011
Striking Portfolio Balance with Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold stocks have historically ranked among some of the most volatile asset classes. Over any given one-year period, it is a non-event for gold stocks to move plus or minus 38 percent. This DNA of volatility is about three times that of gold bullion, which carries an annual volatility around 13 percent.
Despite this volatility, our research shows that investors can use gold stocks to enhance returns without adding risk to the portfolio.
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Thursday, December 15, 2011
Balancing Small Silver Mining Companies with Big Payoffs: David Morgan / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
David Morgan, publisher of Silver Investor, likes the balanced risk and growth that midtier companies provide, but even he can't resist the pull of having a speculative pick pay off. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Morgan talks about the tenets he lives by when investing in mining companies, be they small-cap or midtier or billion dollar companies.
The Gold Report: David, in August you predicted that the silver price could go as high as $75 an ounce (oz). It was recently at about $32/oz. Where is it along the path to $75/oz?
Wednesday, December 14, 2011
Hundreds Of Old Gold Mines Are Reopening / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
New mining technologies combined with high metal prices are triggering a global re-activation of old mines including the Chitradurga mine in India, the Copper Mountain mine in British Colombia, the Sukari Mine in Egypt, the Orvana Mine in Northern Spain and soon the Lincoln Mine in California.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Year-end Buying Opportunities Abound in Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Christmas sales are not just for retail shoppers. Tax selling season is here, and one man's stock loss may be another man's super bargain opportunity. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Casey Research Master of Metals Louis James talks about year-end investment strategies in the current market environment, factors to consider next year as the global economic situation may affect precious metals and mining stocks and some of his current year-end favorites.
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Saturday, December 10, 2011
General Stock Market Reinforces the Bullish Outlook for Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Today’s EU summit has been billed as the best-- perhaps the last-- opportunity to save the euro. As we publish today’s essay, we still don’t know the results, and gold, like most asset classes, will react to headlines coming out of Europe. Will “Merkozy,” (ladies first), the leaders of Germany and France, be able to pull a rabbit out of the hat and save the day? On Monday the two issued an ultimatum demanding that all 17 nations in the eurozone agree to a change in European treaties that would compel them to balance budgets or face sanctions. German officials insist that budget discipline will restore investor confidence. However, the Franco-German plan could exacerbate Europe’s fundamental problem, which is a lack of growth.
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Thursday, December 08, 2011
How to Make Money in a 'Fugly' Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver Stocks
Despite the "fugly" future that Bob Moriarty, founder of 321gold.com, talks about in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he's downright bullish on the U.S. dollar for the time being. He says it's not only a safe haven but "the best investment to be in for the last six months." As for equities, Moriarty makes it clear that he takes no pleasure in watching a company lose 25% of its value in a week when there is nothing wrong with the company. At the same time, he's alert to bargains. Any time you have the opportunity to buy cash at a discount, he advises, "throw money at it."
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Wednesday, December 07, 2011
Gold Resource Stocks Searching For Direction / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As we approach the end of the year traditional tax loss selling with be evident in many of the resource shares. This has been a terrible year on balance for these companies and it is reasonable to expect more pain as we approach year end.
However, this should be the last move down before this sector takes off to the upside, a move that has been much awaited by most of the analysts and newsletter writers.
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Tuesday, December 06, 2011
Why Gold Stocks Have Underperformed and What Lies Ahead / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold is higher by 20% this year but the large cap gold stocks (GDX) are down 6% while the junior gold stocks (ETF) are down 25%. With Gold higher by 20%, we’d normally expect the gold stocks to be up 50% and more. Needless to say 2011 has been a difficult year for gold bugs. Its been a near disaster for most junior gold stocks. That being said, there are important but often ignored reasons why the gold shares have underperformed this year and reasons to consider why a big move may be only months away.
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Tuesday, December 06, 2011
Deflation Is Coming, Will be Good for Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jay Taylor believes the biggest challenge facing the U.S.—deflation—could mean a better year, or even decade, for junior gold stocks. Taylor, editor of Jay Taylor's Gold, Energy & Tech Stocks, has ridden some equities to the bottom of this punishing market and is ready to pile more cash into small gold companies. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he explains why market sentiment hasn't shaken his faith.
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Saturday, December 03, 2011
Gold Stocks Should Win Regardless of Economic Turmoil / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Investors focused on picking the next ailing economy have reinforced gold as the ultimate refuge if all the financial juggling fails. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Chen Lin talks about the effects of risk aversion on the performance of gold stocks. While it has been a tough year for precious metals stocks, there are some very promising stories smart investors should be looking at as others decide to clean house for tax purposes.
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Saturday, December 03, 2011
Gold and Stocks Possibly on the Brink of Going Up / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
There is palpable fear in the world and the urgency could be felt in the new strategy unveiled Wednesday morning by the world’s major central banks to bolster the financial system by increasing liquidity in the financial markets. In response, stock markets surged with joy with the S&P up 4.3 per cent. The move dragged down the dollar, bolstered the euro and pushed gold prices 2 per cent higher to finish November with a 1.9 per cent rise.
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Wednesday, November 30, 2011
Where is Support for Gold and Silver Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It has been a tough year for the mining stocks. The large stocks have moved back and forth in a range from support to resistance while the mid tiers and juniors have really struggled especially in recent months. With Europe seemingly on the brink and most markets turning down, it is an opportune time to examine the technical support of the various gold and silver equity indices. The longer the large cap equities maintain support, the more internal strength they build in preparation for a breakout in early 2012. In turn, such action would greatly help the juniors and non producers who have had a difficult year.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2011
What Gold Stocks Going To The Moon Will Look Like / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, BIG GOLD writes: This may sound sensationalistic, but I think the odds are very high that, on average, gold producers will sell in the $200 range before this bull market is over. With most of them trading between $20 and $40, the returns could be tremendous. And while the typical junior won't reach the same price level, their percentage returns will be much greater and potentially life-changing, as you're about to see.
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Tuesday, November 29, 2011
Silver Producers Spend a Day in the Sun / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Silver producers enjoyed solid gains today with Endeavour Silver Corporation (EXK) up 8.22% followed by Mag Silver Corporation (MVG) up 7.41% and Great Panther Silver Limited (GPL) up 5.99%. Silver prices showed gains of 1.85% to close at $31.85/oz and gold prices also posted impressive gains of 1.53% to close at $1708.70/oz in today's trading session in New York.
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Thursday, November 24, 2011
Gold Stocks Due for a Breakout Soon / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold stocks may have been underperforming investor expectations for many months, but that could be changing very soon. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT, explains how he uses relative strength analysis to pick winners for the readers of The Daily Gold Newsletter. His technical work points to a turnaround in precious metals stock prices in the coming months, leading to a huge market top near the end of the decade. In the meantime, investors can feast on some of his favorite recommendations, which he describes in detail.
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Tuesday, November 22, 2011
Major Catalysts Ahead to Trigger Next Breakout in Gold Stocks Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In bull markets, corrections and consolidations are needed to periodically cleanse the market of extreme optimism and an overbought condition. After a market has strong run it inevitably reaches a point of resistance. This is where there are more buyers than sellers. A market can correct in two ways. Either it declines and retraces much of the preceding gains relatively quickly or a market will consolidate near its highs for a long period of time. The first correction is a function of price while the second, time. The correction or consolidation ends when a fundamental catalyst emerges which triggers greater demand that overwhelms current supply.
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Sunday, November 20, 2011
Will Dividends Make Mining Shares Glitter More Than Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Of late we've seen clever moves by some precious metals mining companies to link the dividends they pay to the income they achieve on a quarterly basis. These include Silver Wheaton, Newmont, Hecla - no doubt to be followed by many more. Why have they decided to do this? The answer goes back to why we invest in the first place. We do so to make money to provide income and capital in the future. To do this we must maximize our total returns from those investments. Investments therefore must be money-making machines, not just good miners or growing companies.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 17, 2011
Jaguar A Sign of Gold Stocks Accumulation / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We were beginning to question our premises... something that almost always signifies a bottom. But, after riding through a tough year for the gold stocks, despite gold holding steadily between $1,500 to $2,000, it only came naturally that we should re-assess everything.
Were we wrong? Would the gold shares consistently underperform the metal? Would the rest of the market continue to ignore the precious metals stocks no matter what happened?
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Tuesday, November 15, 2011
Gold Producers Lead while Developers and Explorers Lag / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Back in August we wrote a piece titled: The Catalyst for Consolidation in the Gold Sector. We noticed that the large cap producers had begun to outperform the rest of the sector which consists of small producers, developers and explorers. Risk aversion, the Euro debt crisis and a struggling stock market has contributed to the continued underperformance of the riskier plays in a risky sector. The chart below shows GDX (large producers), GDXJ (developers, explorers) and the ratio between the two.
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Monday, November 14, 2011
Gold Producers Are at a Critical Juncture / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Once again the gold mining stocks are pressing for recognition and acceptance by encroaching on a previous all time high with the view to bursting through it in an attempt to convince the investment community that mining is the place to be. This is a critical juncture for these stocks as they have performed poorly in recent years despite gold making new records highs. The early years of this bull market are now behind us and those early leveraged gains on the back of gold's progress have now dissipated.
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Thursday, November 10, 2011
Silver Wheaton Triples Dividends Despite Lower Than Expected Earnings / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Silver Wheaton Corporation (SLW) has released its financial results for the third quarter, however, earnings of $0.38 per share missed the consensus of $0.50 by $0.12 of the 9 analysts covering this company. To deliver lower than expected results is rarely received well by the investment community and so the expectation now is for SLW to sold off to some extent. However, this aberration, if we may call it that, is being viewed in isolation and creates an impression that Silver Wheaton has somehow lost its way.
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Tuesday, November 08, 2011
When will Gold Stocks Reach the Bubble Phase? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold is in a bull market and so are the gold stocks despite their struggle as a group to outperform Gold. This is nothing new though. We’ve written about this in the past and Steve Saville has before us. Nevertheless, the miners are in a secular bull market and investors need to pick better stocks and ignore the hundreds of losers. The bull market is moving forward but is nowhere close to a bubble nor the speculative zeal we saw in 2006-2007. Thus, it begs the question of what lies ahead and when can we expect the initial stages of a bubble.
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Monday, November 07, 2011
Gold Ready to Rally to $2000… But Which Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The current economic conditions are, in substance, very similar to that of the Great Depression. I have recently highlighted some of these similarities in a video presentation . The pattern that is being followed, suggests that the next big event in this economic crisis, will be an acceleration of the increase in the price of gold, as well as a significant rally in gold stocks, despite economic decline.
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Saturday, November 05, 2011
Junior Gold Stocks to Watch / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Junior gold explorers from British Columbia to Colombia are poised to pounce. And they are not your ordinary explorers. The Ubika Gold 50 Index has uncovered one explorer that also produces; another has a "fully earned option" with Goldcorp. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Vikas Ranjan, managing director and principal, Ubika Research, reveals why these companies make a compelling case for success.
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Thursday, November 03, 2011
How Long Will Gold Miners Lag Bullion Prices? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As we have previously discussed, the gold miners continue to lag behind bullion prices. In the past six months, the SPDR Gold Shares ETF has increased by nearly 10%, while the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF has declined by 5%. The disconnect continues as traders feel uneasy about equities and elevated gold prices. When it comes to panic and confusion, cash is still king on Wall Street. However, another well-known investor is endorsing gold mining companies, a sign that gold miners may finally catch up to bullion prices.
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Thursday, November 03, 2011
Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
compelling argument to steer clear of gold and silver miners is their poor management. "Those companies are run by a bunch of miners. They don't know how to manage a company." Most often this criticism refers to gold miners' seemingly insatiable desire to issue new shares. By issuing new shares, a company reduces the value of shares already in the hands of the public. For instance, a company has issued 10 million shares of common stock. Now, it sells another 10 million shares. The profit-per-share to current shareholders (before the new issue) is cut by one-half.
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Monday, October 31, 2011
Why Gold Stocks are Set for a Big 2012 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Last week we discussed the concept of relative strength. Again, relative strength is the measuring of one market against another. There are perhaps 1000 mining companies and maybe 5% of them are worthy of your research and investment. Fundamental analysis should lead you to the best companies while technical analysis (relative strength analysis in this case) can generate a precise list of top prospects. Today we are focusing on relative strength in a larger context and will then apply it to the gold stocks.
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Friday, October 28, 2011
Argentina Rule Change Casts a Dark Shadow Over the Gold Mining Industry / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The re-elected President, Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner, wants export revenues from mining projects to be repatriated and converted to Argentine currency prior to their distribution.
This rule change by the Argentinian government renders this country less attractive than it use to be to inward investors. It also serves as a reminder as to the myriad of risks involved in any mining operation. This one comes under the heading of Geo-political risk, as the re-elected government seeks to stem the flow of capital out of the country. Having this cash repatriated also gives the government the opportunity, further down the line, to introduce capital controls which would result in the cash having to be re-invested in Argentina.
Thursday, October 27, 2011
Why A Mega Gold Stocks Rally Is Imminent / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
During the Great Depression, at a certain point, gold stocks started a massive rally. While most things were going down in price, gold stocks made significant gains, becoming one of the best performing sectors during that time. Below is a chart (from sharelynx.com), which illustrates the performance of the gold stocks during this time:
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Thursday, October 27, 2011
Gold Miners’ Leverage Effect Is Gone. But For How Long? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In this article, we will have a look at the so called “leverage” effect that mining companies are supposed to have to the underlying metal prices.
To explain briefly why mining companies SHOULD have a leverage effect to increasing metal prices, I will illustrate this with a simple example.
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Wednesday, October 26, 2011
Relative Strength Analysis is Important for Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Relative strength is defined as the measuring of one market against another over a specific period of time. Relative strength is an important concept in any bull market. After all, if you’ve found the bull market why not find the leaders? We consider relative strength particularly important when analyzing gold and silver stocks. There are hundreds of gold and silver stocks and despite the larger trend, they won’t always trend in the same direction. As a result, you need to be a stock picker in this sector if you want to earn the best returns.
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Saturday, October 22, 2011
Cheap Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Not even mighty gold escaped late September’s commodities massacre, so gold stocks never stood a chance. They were sucked into the violent maelstrom of commodities-stock selling, plunging sharply. And as usual when gold is weak, the gold stocks amplified its downside. The result is very cheap gold stocks today, great bargains. Relative to gold, they’ve been hammered back down near panic levels.
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Friday, October 21, 2011
Stock Market Bear is About to Sink His Teeth into Gold Miners Sector / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
At this point I think it's pretty clear the general stock market is now in the initial phase of a new bear market. It's trying to generate a bear market rally over the last three weeks, but so far it's been pretty weak. That doesn't bode well once the cyclical and secular bear trend resumes.
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Friday, October 21, 2011
Gold, Silver and Miners Technicals / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
These days, a lot is going on in the world. All those events have a big impact on the price of Stocks, commodities, bonds,… Let’s have a look at the major trends in Gold, Silver and Mining stocks.
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Friday, October 21, 2011
Gold and Silver Stocks Failure If Europe Should Fail / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Action yesterday across markets was bearish and set alarm bells ringing - in particular the action in the PM sector, where the Head-and-Shoulders bottom pattern that we have observed in PM sector stock indices appears to be aborting. If it does abort it will probably mean that the broad market will go into the tank, and that is precisely what we we can expect to happen if Europe should fail.
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Friday, October 21, 2011
Gold Stocks to Retest Lows / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold shares rebounded in line with other assets but the initial rebound has been met with more selling over the past few days. A retest of the recent lows is now inevitable. Just a few weeks ago, GDX staged an impressive intraday reversal. It gapped lower at the open and was down 7% at its lows before erasing most of its losses. GDX ultimately rallied from $51 to $58.
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Monday, October 17, 2011
Barrick Gold Corporation: Buy, Sell or Hold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) has a market capitalization of $48.21bln and is the largest gold mining company in the world. There are 999 million shares in circulation, 72% of the companies stock is held by the Institutions and it is reasonably liquid in that its average volume of shares traded is between 4 and 8 million per day, however, it can spike to 100 million shares on a very busy day.
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Friday, October 14, 2011
Is It Time to Load up on Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Casey Research writes: By almost any measure, gold stocks are undervalued. Should we load up?
After completing my research on this question, I’m convinced more than ever that we at Casey Research are in the right place. See if you agree…
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Friday, October 14, 2011
Gold Stocks Bargains Galore... / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
...at the 5¢ & 10¢ Store: TSX
I'm sure many of our readers remember the 5¢ and 10¢ stores of the past. What a treat as a kid to browse through the merchandise looking for the chance to purchase some of our favorite items literally for pennies. Well, guess what? The 5¢ and 10¢ store is back and this time it is packed with many incredible values for us big boys and girls.
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Thursday, October 13, 2011
Will Endeavour Silver Lead a Great Mining Rally? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It is no secret that precious metal miners have lagged behind bullion prices. While gold is up 16% this year, gold miner ETFs such as the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF and Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF are actually down 8% and 24%, respectively. Newmont Mining, one of the world’s largest gold producers, has been returning value to shareholders by offering a gold-linked dividend. Furthermore, the miner announced last month that it may consider a share buyback program if the disparity in bullion and equity prices persist. The situation in silver is similar. Silver prices are down about 3% for the year, while the Global X Silver Miners ETF is down about 16%. However, the recent earnings report from Endeavour Silver could spark the long overdue rally in precious metal miners.
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Tuesday, October 11, 2011
Interim Peak in Bonds Coincides with Rebound in Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We’ve written about the importance of intermarket analysis. Movements in various sectors and asset classes influence each other. The Treasury market is the largest in the world and affects trends in other markets. Interestingly, Bonds at times move with Gold. In these cases it is due to a safety or flight to quality play and as a result mining equities tend to underperform. Earlier this year, the safety plays were the Swiss Franc, Gold and Bonds. The first two were first to reverse and now Bonds are putting in an important top. The beneficiary of this market shit will be mining equities and equities in general.
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Thursday, October 06, 2011
Is Newmont Mining a Refuge for Investors? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Newmont Mining (NYSE:NEM) is one of the largest gold (NYSE:GLD) producers in the world. It is the only gold producer included in the S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY) and Fortune 500. It has also been a refuge to precious metal (NYSE:DBP) investors over the past few weeks. Shares recently hit an all-time high of $71.25 on September 20th. Now, investors have an opportunity to purchase this major gold miner at a cheaper price.
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Thursday, October 06, 2011
The HUI Gold Bugs Index Fails To Impress / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
A great rally to 630, followed by a retreat and a retest that failed, as both gold and silver prices fell. As the chart shows the HUI has gained and lost a 100 points in a matter of months. Volatility with go faster strips remains the order of the day.
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Thursday, October 06, 2011
Junior Gold Miners Offer Bigger Bang for the Buck than ETFs / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Despite the recent pullback in metals prices, Amine Bouchentouf still believes that precious metals and mining stocks offer investors the best way to profit from the unfolding global economic mess. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he talks about a range of mining stocks that can offer investors the type of diversification and upside potential needed in today's rocky market environment and highlights several favorites.
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Wednesday, October 05, 2011
Gold Stocks Bottom? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Earlier today, the markets tanked on Europe concerns. Gold & Gold Stocks were not spared.
While everybody is in panic mode, it’s time to look at some interesting charts.
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Tuesday, October 04, 2011
Gold Stocks Drop Opens Opportunities / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Steven Butler, senior precious metals analyst at Canaccord Genuity, didn't expect mining equities to fall as hard as they did after the gold price tumbled from a high of $1,900/oz. But the unexpected plunge has created some welcome bargains in the space. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Butler talks about some equities unfairly bullied by the market that have promising projects underway.
The Gold Report: Gold is down $100/ounce (oz.) and I think investors want some salvo. Is this a buying opportunity?
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Friday, September 30, 2011
Silvercorp Goes on the Offensive / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Casey Research writes: I’m writing from China, where I’m attending Silvercorp Metals’ (SVM) mine tour with other analysts and reporters. We met with company principals the first morning, including CEO and Explorer’s League honoree Rui Feng at their downtown Beijing offices, where the bulk of the discussion centered around a point-by-point rebuttal of the charges made by the now-infamous short sellers. With a reporter’s camera snapping, it became apparent to me that Rui and company have shifted from playing defense to going on the offensive.
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
Gold Stocks Continue To Disappoint / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The recent major rally in gold is now experiencing a correction, so it is time to take a look at how gold stocks compared to a number of other gold trading vehicles. Quite frankly, it was abysmal. The argument that gold stocks are still the best gold trading vehicle is absolutely absurd. That being said, this article is in no way trying to discredit any gold mining, exploration companies or the efforts of the industry. The aim of this article is to simply show that gold stocks in general are unsuitable when trying to benefit from rising gold prices.
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Thursday, September 29, 2011
Gold and Silver Producers Due for Big Upside / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Mike Kachanovsky, known as "Mexico Mike," doesn't follow the so-called smart money. Founder of the website smartinvestment.ca, Mexico Mike believes mainstream commentators are leading investors astray by insisting that it is too late to get into mining stocks and precious metals. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Mexico Mike explains why everyone needs to have some exposure to precious metals and gives his favorite prospects.
The Gold Report: Gold juniors fared worse than most equities in the economic collapse of 2008. Now economic fears are gripping the market once again. The S&P 500 has been trending down since mid-June. Many fear a double-dip recession—if not worse. Why do you still believe in junior precious metal equities given the current market conditions?
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Monday, September 26, 2011
Elliott Wave Counts for AMEX Gold BUGS Index and U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
A number of really interesting developments have occurred so far this week. Newmont is making fresh new highs and attached a dividend to rise in turn with the commodity itself. Three hours later, Hecla Mining issued a similar sort of plan. The seniors of the HUI are holding it up, while stocks that I am following Hecla (HL) and US Gold (UXG.TO) still have not put in bottoms. Stocks such as SanGold that are just emerging producers and getting the bugs worked out also are still basing. There are several charts to suggest that gold stocks have broken the downtrend pattern to the broad stock market indices, but still will be subject to corrections when they occur. Since the next major top is not due till late 2012/early 2013 based upon our Contracting Fibonacci spiral cycle, gold and silver stocks have a very nice run ahead of them. However, the opportune time lies somewhere between now and mid November 2011.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Now is the Season for Investing in Gold-mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jon D. Markman writes: If you're not investing in gold-mining stocks now, you should be.
Why now?
Analysts at TIS Group reminded me last week that not only are gold-mining stocks very cheap now versus gold bullion, but this also happens to be the best time of the year to buy the stocks.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Gold and Silver Stocks Maintain Long-Term Support / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Now that we are past the Fed circus we can get back to reality. But what is reality? Is it inflation? Deflation? A repeat of 2008? What matters is the message of the markets and the correct interpretation of the message. With regards to the mining stocks we are seeing a stark contrast relative to the rest of the stock market. This positive divergence has been strengthening and remains well intact despite Thursday’s sudden Fed-induced selloff.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
How Long Might It Take to Get Rich from Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Casey Research writes: Let’s just admit it: we’re invested in gold stocks not just to make money, but for the chance to change our lifestyles. And with their lackadaisical year-to-date performance, one may begin to wonder if they’re still going to bring the magic.
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Thursday, September 22, 2011
Long-Term Gold and Silver Stocks Investing Tips / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Downgrades for U.S. debt, austerity programs across Europe and political uncertainty all point to a continued uptrend in gold prices according to Brien Lundin, publisher and editor of Gold Newsletter. For long-term investors, Brien Lundin says in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, small-cap, precious metals equities are one place to take advantage of the coming upward gold price trend.
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Tuesday, September 20, 2011
Gold Stocks Escape Velocity / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I have been tracking the gold stocks since gold began to rise in 2001. I am a self-confessed screen jockey so I have seen every phase, quirk, lull and rocket ride this sector has had to offer over since it all began. I love the markets. There have been exciting explosive rallies for gold stocks; a new one has been long overdue. I have watched, analysed and successfully traded this Gold Bull Market (GBM) since it started therefore I hope am well qualified to bring you a valid point of view and an important message.
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Saturday, September 17, 2011
Gold Companies to Watch from the Yukon to Colombia / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
From the Yukon to Colombia, with stops in Nevada and Mexico, Dale Mah, an equity research analyst with Mackie Research, covers the map looking for exciting exploration plays. Mah, a trained geologist with 14 years of experience, shares his calculations and insights into how early-stage exploration plays can be safe and satisfying in this exclusive Gold Report interview.
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Monday, September 12, 2011
Gold Parabolic, BGMI, HUI and Small Miners with Big Earnings / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I've spent the past couple of weeks learning a new skill - making charts using Microsoft Excel. This article will use my new skills to compare gold's current C-wave development with gold's great parabola that concluded on January 21, 1980, as well as examine the historic relationship of gold with gold mining stocks using both the BGMI (Barron's Gold Mining Index) and HUI (Amex Gold Bugs Index). Then we will conclude with some charts of miners that appear to have not only explosive future earnings, but also explosive future price appreciation.
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Monday, September 12, 2011
Gold Mining Stocks: Is this the Breakout? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
When this bull market in precious metals began the mining stocks outperformed the metals, at least for the first few years and they delivered some very nice returns to us all. The last few years they have performed poorly and not only have they not outperformed the metals, many stocks have failed to keep pace with gold and silver, So, are we now seeing a major sea change in the outlook for mining stocks?
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Friday, September 09, 2011
Gold Stocks Prognosis: Catalyst, Please / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, BIG GOLD writes: It’s probably the #1 question on every gold investor’s mind right now: Why are gold stocks underperforming gold? Aren’t they supposed to bring us leverage to the gold price?
Yes, they are, and their performance been both disappointing and puzzling. There are some exceptions, to be sure, but in the majority of cases the stocks are lagging the metal. And it’s been happening for most of the year. What’s going on?
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Friday, September 09, 2011
Gold Consolidates Gains while Gold Equities Outperform / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In only two months Gold surged from $1500 to $1900/oz. Over the past few weeks Gold has remained range bound from $1750-$1900. The longer Gold holds this range then the more optimistic we can be. That $400 move was not a parabolic blowoff top but the initiation of an acceleration. This consolidation is likely to develop into a bullish flag. While Gold consolidates, the gold equities have taken the leadership role. The large caps have broken out from a 10-month consolidation to a new all time high. The junior golds are not far behind.
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Thursday, September 08, 2011
Time To Buy Junior Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Recently two mining giants -- Goldcorp (GG) and Barrick Gold (ABX) -- published their bullish earnings reports showing increasing margins due to a rising gold price. Here is a perfect example of a report that's trying to tell us something. The hidden message in these glowing statements is of great significance to gold traders. What is the other side of the story?
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Saturday, September 03, 2011
Gold Stocks, the Best Business For An Inflationary Environment / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Buffett has always said that you should find a company that has pricing power that can offer protection in an inflationary environment. What he means with this is you should find companies which can pass higher costs on to its customers. He once said that the ideal asset in an inflationary environment is a royalty on someone else’s sales.
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Friday, September 02, 2011
Silver Mining Stocks Lagging Bullion Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
This last year for silver has been awesome! After a sideways grind in the $15 to $20 range for most of the first three quarters of 2010, silver’s September breakout unleashed a beast that has been nearly unstoppable. By the end of that breakout month silver blasted through its bull high from early 2008, and has more than doubled since!
As an investor who’s been accumulating a bunch of this metal for over a decade, it’s been exhilarating watching my trove grow in value. Our newsletter subscribers have also been rewarded handsomely, as at Zeal we’ve been recommending physical silver since late 2001 when it was just over $4. Silver bullion should be a foundational component of everyone’s portfolio!
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Friday, September 02, 2011
Gold Bullion Extended, Miners Just Beginning Potential Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The action in the precious metals raises speculations of interest to Gold Stock Trades subscribers especially in the labyrinth created by a fear driven market. Gold at this time is participating in a runaway move past resistance. Although gold has reached new record highs it may be stalling in its attempt to continue moving parabolic, while the undervalued miners play catch up. What may this hesitation signal and shrinking of the divergence between miners and bullion mean to my readers?Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 31, 2011
Investors Are Returning To The Undervalued Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The brouhaha over the debt ceiling has generated upward moves, particularly in gold bullion. This is a primary example of a news driven market skewing orthodox technical measurements. Now it is entirely possible that the scare headlines are generating a caffeinated move to surpass resistance areas, especially in gold. The debt farce can end precipitously and so may the risk trade. What the market giveth exogenously is what the market taketh away with the resolution of the underlying media hype. The risk off trade may boost mergers and acquisition activity in the mining sector.
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Tuesday, August 30, 2011
Gold Stocks Coiled Again / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold has roared an assertive “here I am” as a wider group of investors realized the problems in the financial system were worse than they previously thought. It is hard to let go of a concept when you are taught something and believe it for a long period of time. This is especially hard when your model fits the world nicely over this time span. I have not written this article to be condescending I sincerely understand how hard it is to let go of a newly broken concept that has worked in the past. I believe this is the hurdle that is gradually breaking down and changing sentiment in the precious metals sector. Gold stocks are now freshly coiled and raring to go up.
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Tuesday, August 30, 2011
Gold Producers Riding the Risk Trade / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
With the price of gold soaring to over $1,900 an ounce and investors abandoning equities for commodities, John McClintock, equity research analyst at Mackie Research Capital, sees gold mining companies benefitting from this flight from risk. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, McClintock identifies several gold mining companies with great upside potential.
The Gold Report: With the recent performance of the gold market, what expectations do you have for the next 6–12 months?
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Monday, August 29, 2011
Gold Stocks Inch Closer to Major Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In recent commentaries we’ve discussed the relative strength of the gold stocks and in particular the relative strength of the large miners. This relative strength comes at a time when the sector is nearing a potentially historic breakout. We’ve written about this breakout before but now the gold shares are closing in and it could only be a matter of days. GDX, our proxy for large-caps is now, after almost a year of trading in a tight range, only 3-4% away from new all-time high territory. Meanwhile, ZJG, the Canadian junior gold ETF, though lagging behind, is in great position to follow GDX to new highs.
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Monday, August 29, 2011
Gold Mining Stocks: A Questionable Performance / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The gold bull remains intact and continues to show strength despite the recent take down. However a question mark still hovers over the gold mining stocks which are trading as though gold is in its seasonally summer doldrums.
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Monday, August 29, 2011
Valuation Gap Makes Gold Miners Attractive But All Miners Aren’t Created Equal / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Goldwatchers were reminded gold’s volatility works in both directions this week, with prices falling more than $100 an ounce in just one day. We forecasted the selloff last week, explaining a 10 percent correction would be a non-event. Once again the CME Group hiked the exchange’s margin requirements for gold investment to shake out overleveraged speculation. This is a positive for long-term investors.
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Saturday, August 27, 2011
Betting on Gold and Silver Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Chen Lin stumbled into investing. While working on a doctorate at Princeton, he turned $5,411 in his wife's retirement account into $1.5 million. In his newsletter, What is Chen Buying? What is Chen Selling?, Lin shares the fruits of his analytical aptitude. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Lin reveals his latest finds in undervalued gold miners, and why he has high hopes for silver, too.
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
Discovering Bargain Basement Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
If gold equities are on sale, the stocks Carlos Andres follows as publisher of the Frontier Research Report are on clearance. Andres seeks out stocks that have been unfairly pummeled, offering extra upside for investors. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Andres identifies some top picks trading at insanely low prices that belie their quality management and mining projects.
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
HUI GOLD Stocks vs Bank Of America / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold has reached an all-time high well over $1900 yesterday, so the Gold bugs have reason to celebrate. Or, at least the physical gold bulls (like mr. Paulson, who is the biggest shareholder of the GLD ETF). Not the gold stock bulls: while the GLD ETF is up almost 25% since January 1st (even after the sell-off on Tuesday and Wednesday), the HUI index is actually DOWN over the same period.
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Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Gold Stocks Debt Crisis Investing, Exiting the Eye of the Storm / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
[Ed. note: This is an interview of Doug Casey by Louis James, both of Casey Research.]
Louis James: So, Doug: London has suffered more damage from recent rioting than from anything else since the Blitzkrieg; the stock market had its most volatile week in years; gold shot well north of $1,800; and the U.S. government almost crashed into its debt ceiling. Smells like blood in the streets. What does a street fighting man like you make of all this?
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Monday, August 22, 2011
The Catalyst for Consolidation in the Gold Stocks Sector / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The Gold and Silver business is one that naturally involves much consolidation. The industry product is the same and the business is such that mergers and acquisitions are commonplace. As many readers know, the secular bear market of the 1980s and 1990s had an obvious impact on the exploration side of the business. Larger mining companies cut exploration budgets because they had to. Fast forward to today and we know that has impacted supply and the ability of the large companies (who survived the bear market) to grow organically. Hence, mergers, acquisitions and takeovers will only increase. Yet we haven’t seen much of this activity despite a raging bull market in the metals.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
Gold Hitting Record Highs: Time to Buy The Undervalued Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Uncertainty and fear are the mother's milk of the metal's market. Our pundits, politicians and professors have given us plenty of reasons to question whether these supposed savants are steering with a working compass. One day headlines proclaim, "Bernanke Ready To Do More If Needed". Then we later read that the Professor is playing down the possibility of additional quantitative easing due to internal dissent. This cold water is being doused on the markets after evoking these hopes.
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Saturday, August 20, 2011
The Zen of Resource Stocks Speculation / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Louis James, Casey International Speculator writes: Whenever gold and silver hit a correction, those are the times that try men’s souls. But they are also a classic case of making volatility our friend.
And there should be terrific bargains ahead on great stocks, if the market corrects from recent highs. It enables you to go long at prices as low as, or sometimes even lower than, those paid by speculators who picked winning plays early – but with the advantage of hindsight about the results of those companies’ exploration and development efforts. You get a combination of lower risk and lower prices.
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Friday, August 19, 2011
Gold Stocks Break to New Highs Against Equities / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In our most recent commentary we wrote about the relative strength in the gold equities. Gold equities have not only bucked the downtrend in the equity markets but in relative terms are breaking to new highs against equity indices. In the chart below we plot precious metals prices, GDX versus the Morgan Stanley World Index and GDX versus the S&P 500. We highlight how each performed during bear markets. Other than in the crash in 2008, precious metals and the equities have performed quite well during times of struggle for conventional stocks.
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Thursday, August 18, 2011
On the Verge of a Gold Stock Explosion / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It's probably the #1 question on gold stock investors' minds. Are we on the verge of a repeat of the 2008 wipe-out.
Just by the very fact that we have had so many subscribers ask us this question, we can almost on this evidence alone say no. Massive crashes never happen when everyone is looking for them and afraid of it.
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Monday, August 15, 2011
Gold Mining Companies Too Good to Pass Up / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Suffocated by staggering unemployment and economic woes, many mining jurisdictions around the world are finding the nearly $1,800/ounce gold too good to pass up. Joe Mazumdar, a senior mining analyst with Haywood Securities in Vancouver, tells The Gold Report in this exclusive interview which projects are primed to see the light of day in the face of rising gold prices and a dearth of other industry.
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Monday, August 15, 2011
Gold and Silver Mining Stock Important Technical Signals / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold Stock Trades has maintained a strong hand on signaling the completion of the basing process in mining stocks (GDX) in relation to gold(GLD) and silver (SLV) bullion prices. Right now it will suffice to alert readers that one of the most salient technical signals is occurring right now-The dreaded death crosses are being transmuted into euphoric crosses of gold.
Monday, August 15, 2011
Gold Stocks and QE2.5 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The fall into that “Elusive Abyss” has been averted once again thanks to action by the ECB and the Fed. The Fed has just offered a new QE (QE = quantitative easing) program, technically speaking that is. The Fed has announced that it will keep rates at incredibly accommodative levels for at least two more years allowing the banks to play the yield curve. Banks borrow from the Fed and then, instead of lending it into the corporate sector and CME’s, they buy Treasuries to lock in guaranteed profits.
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Monday, August 15, 2011
Relative Strength of Gold Stocks Signals the Future / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Savy and experienced market technicans and traders will laud the concept and importance of relative strength. Relative strength analysis can be used on any time frame. On large time frames it can tell us which sectors could be future leaders. On shorter time frames it can also provide insight to the future. In this analysis we examine the relative strength of the gold stocks today and compare it to the past as some important insights can be gleaned.
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Saturday, August 13, 2011
Add Gold Stocks During the Stock Market Dip / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Even with the turmoil in today's markets, Louis James, chief metals and mining investment strategist at Casey Research and the senior editor of International Speculator, Casey Investment Alert and Conversations with Casey, says business really does go on. He stresses that even in the face of what he calls "truly economically suicidal behavior on the parts of world governments," he remains very bullish on precious metals. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, James discusses what we can expect for the rest of 2011 and 2012.
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Thursday, August 11, 2011
Stock Market Collapse, Gold, Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
What a few weeks it has been.
Numerous times, before the end of QE2 (on June 30), we were questioned at conferences or in interviews about what would happen after QE2 ends. Here is a direct quote from the May issue of TDV when speaking about what will happen when QE2 ends:
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Wednesday, August 10, 2011
Simon Ridgway on Gold Exploration and the Yukon / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Ron Hera submits: The Hera Research Newsletter (HRN) is very pleased to present a fascinating interview with Simon T. Ridgway, President and Director of Yukon gold exploration company Radius Gold, Inc. (TSX:RDU), Chairman of Fortuna Silver Mines, Inc. (TSX:FVI), Chairman and Director of Focus Ventures, Ltd. (TSX:FCV), and founder of the Gold Group of metals mining and exploration companies. Beginning as a prospector in the Yukon Territory in the late 1970s, Mr. Ridgway is today an accomplished explorationist, mine builder and mining financier. Since 2003, Gold Group companies have raised over $375 million for exploration and development projects.
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Monday, August 08, 2011
Junior Gold and Silver Mining Stocks Risks and Performance / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
A Junior mining stock is a mining company in its early days. It may have successfully explored and found a good deposit; it may have completed a feasibility study on the deposit and have raised the finance to develop it into a mine. The earlier an investor finds such a company (that does become a healthy profitable company) the more return an investor is likely to make. The risks on such a company are great so an investor needs to have his finger on the pulse of the company to keep and profit on his investment.
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Friday, August 05, 2011
Gold Stocks: Where Is The Leverage? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It’s often said that gold stocks have a leverage effect on a rising gold price.
In this article we will have a look at some charts, to see if this statement is true.
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Thursday, August 04, 2011
Time to Buy Battered Junior Gold and Silver Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Move into gold and silver was the advice James West, founder of the Midas Letter Opportunity Fund, gave Midas Letter subscribers in June. He recommended moving from the junior stock market to 100% gold, silver and precious metals funds backed by bullion. For a while it looked like a bad call. But as markets tanked, gold and silver soared, and it turned out to be a smart strategy. Now might be a good time to sell the metals and get back into the juniors, he says.
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Wednesday, August 03, 2011
Are Junior Resource Stocks Really Undervalued? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Are junior resource stocks undervalued?
A quick look at the chart below of the TSX Venture Index would indicate they are:
Tuesday, August 02, 2011
Gold $1,600 Gold Equals Big Money for Mid-Cap Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Brent Cook, editor of the Exploration Insights newsletter, likes to spend his days winnowing out junior companies on the verge of making discoveries. But when he noticed a disconnect between the skyrocketing gold price and the low valuations of some larger mining companies, he jumped on it. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Cook details which types of miners will be the beneficiaries of this continuing trend.
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Monday, August 01, 2011
Three Great Ways to Play Silver Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Well it looks like an agreement has been reached and all that is left is to cross the T’s and dot the I’s. For those of you that have been reading my writings, you know that I have written that once there was some sort of agreement on the debt ceiling we will get a short term relief bounce on the dollar and that's when you buy gold and silver as there is an inverse correlation to a strong dollar and the price of gold and silver. Then the realization that nothing has changed for the better will become apparent and the markets will sell off with a vengeance.
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Sunday, July 31, 2011
The Complete Cost Of Mining Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The inspiration to write this post was to clarify some issues with the costs of mining silver. I believe many of the investing public has mistaken what is termed as the “CASH COST” as the real cost of mining silver. According to the Silver Institute in 2010, the cash cost from primary mine production was $5.27 an ounce. The Silver Institute gets their info from the World Silver Surveys produced by GFMS. I have had an email exchange over the past several months with one of their metal analysts on various topics. I recently asked permission to reproduce their Cash Cost graph for this post, and was told I could do so for $1,500.
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Monday, July 25, 2011
Gold Stocks Historic Move Directly Ahead / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
A variety of factors are lining up that lead us to believe we are on the cusp of a major move higher in the gold stocks. We feel we have been saying this for a while but the reality is we are moving closer and closer to that moment. The fundamentals couldn’t be more obvious and being in the 11th year of a bull market means the timing is ripe. We think you will find the facts and conclusions extracted from the technicals, sentiment, and valuations very compelling.
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Saturday, July 23, 2011
Triple-Digit Returns Predicted for Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
With the price of gold hitting record highs and equity prices lagging behind, Bob Moriarty, founder of 321gold.com, says it's time to gather some precious metals as insurance against hyperinflation or deflation—whichever may be coming our way—and to stock up on junior resource stocks. Prudent picks, he suggests in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, stand a good chance of yielding returns up to 500%.
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Friday, July 15, 2011
Gold and Silver Mining Stocks Stop as General Stock Market Falls / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold surged to a new record on Wednesday, propelled by the possibility of a third round of quantitative easing in the US. Already rallying hard on the back of fiscal concerns in the Eurozone, gold jumped to within reach of $1,600 an ounce after Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said the central bank could take further steps to prop up the US economy if needed (read that as QE3). Gold rose as much as 1.4 per cent on Wednesday to touch a new peak of $1,587.46 an ounce. That surpassed the previous peak of $1,575, reached on May 2. Looking back we see that gold rallied about $270 an ounce between Bernanke’s first mention in August of last year of a second round of quantitative easing – or “QE2” – and the end of the program in June.
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Thursday, July 14, 2011
Mining Stocks, Gold and Silver: Short Term Bounce or More Meaningful Move? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Recently, investors have been concerned over the possible effect of the expiration of QE2. They have been looking for a clear mission statement in order to understand the effect of government policy on their investment universe. This has sent gold(GDX) and silver(SIL) miners to key support levels and oversold conditions not seen in more than two years. Today came renewed hope for precious metals and mining stock investors from Chairman Bernanke. The U.S. central bank is prepared to provide additional stimulus if the current economic slow patch persists.
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Wednesday, July 13, 2011
Don't Fall for the Gold Stock Death Cross / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Recent trader 'chatter', to use the US Government term, has indicated that some people have become concerned with the "death cross" appearing in major gold stock indices like the Gold Bugs Index (AMEX:HUI). A death cross is denoted when a short term moving average (50 day) crosses over a long term moving average (200 day).
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Tuesday, July 12, 2011
Are Gold Stocks The Real Barbarous Relic? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In 1924 John Maynard Keynes referred to the gold standard as a “barbarous relic”, but we think the new barbarous relic is using gold stocks as a trading or investment vehicle in an attempt to benefit from rising gold prices. This isn’t the 1970s. One can buy GLD call options from a laptop in bed or take a long position in gold futures with a few taps on a smart phone whilst in line at a coffee shop. The days of having to call a broker and hopefully buy some gold shares that will hopefully go up if the gold price goes up are over. There is no longer any need to take the risk that your gold stocks will not go up with gold.
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Tuesday, July 12, 2011
First Majestic Silver Corp: Another quarterly record of silver production / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We made our first purchase of First Majestic Silver Corporation (FR:TSX || AG:NYSE) on 9th Feb 2011 at $13.13 and decided to hold despite a rapid rise in the order of 92% gained within two months of purchase. As we can see from the above chart the stock price has eased along with the correction in silver prices.
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Wednesday, July 06, 2011
Mining Stocks Not Reflecting Record Gold Prices / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Uncertainty will certainly push gold prices higher. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Mike Niehuser, founder of Beacon Rock Research, LLC, is bullish on gold and well-managed producers, advanced development and exploration companies. He shares his top eight picks and advice on easing into an investment instead of buying all at once.
The Gold Report: What is your perspective on the price of gold and your forecast for 2011?
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Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Which Index is the Best Gold Stock to Use: the HUI, XAU or the GDX? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The number, market cap and currencies of the constituents of the HUI, XAU, GDX, XGD and CDNX indices differ considerably from each other and, as such, each index presents a different picture of what is really happening in the precious metals marketplace. This article analyzes the make-up of each index to reveal the biases of each to arrive at the answer to the question in the title.
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Saturday, June 25, 2011
Pick Gold and Silver Junior Mining Stocks with Proven Management / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Mosseri and Doug Loud, at Greystone Asset Management, LLC, are New York-based money managers with a nose for potential winners in the highly competitive junior resource business. In today's turbulent market, they are being more selective in their investment choices. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, they bring us up to date on their current picks for gold and silver plays they think have what it takes to produce some major gains.
The Gold Report: Since you last spoke with The Gold Report in September 2010, there's been a lot of economic and political upheaval. As money managers, what has this done to your thinking? Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 23, 2011
Can Gold Prospectors Cushion Against Market Volatility? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Mercenary Geologist Mickey Fulp has adopted a new prospector-generator model portfolio with an emphasis on good people. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he outlines the impact global volatility could have on junior mining companies.
The Gold Report: Is there a danger of food shortages starving emerging economies and putting an end to the secular commodity bull market? In your March 21 Musing newsletter, you tracked the commodities market back to 1955, illustrating the worldwide food inflation problem crushing poor countries. You have also written about the important role of these same emerging economies in pushing the eighth year in a commodity bull market. So I have to ask, could food shortages choke growing commodity demand?
Wednesday, June 22, 2011
Are Gold Stocks Facing Another 2008 Crash? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In a word, no. We divide our rationale into three parts.
Macro : Back in 2008, a recession was beginning, the private sector was in intense deleveraging mode and the credit markets foreshadowed what was to come in the equity and commodity markets. Today we are seeing growing credit stress on the sovereign side and not in the private sector as we had in 2008. Certainly there are issues with banks but its impossible to see a repeat of 2008 when major liquidation, bankruptcies and layoffs already happened. They can and will happen again but the scale would be much smaller and so would the effect on capital markets.
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Sunday, June 19, 2011
Will Gold Stock Investors Strike Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold prices passed the $1,500 per ounce mark for the first time ever in mid-April of this year and have set up shop around $1,525-$1,550 an ounce aside from a couple of short pullbacks in early May. So far in 2011, it’s been relatively status quo for those investors who’ve embraced gold as a way to protect themselves from currency debasement, excessive money printing and inflation as prices have increased 7.67 percent. BofA-Merrill Lynch (BofA-ML) analysts are forecasting gold prices could fall to $1,400 an ounce during seasonal weakness in July before rebounding as high as $1,650 an ounce by early fall.
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Friday, June 17, 2011
Silver Wheaton, A Super Buy at $22.50 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Don’t buy Silver Wheaton yet as it will probably drift down to serious support around the $22.50 range over the summer months.
Silver Wheaton, the go-to silver company for many investors, has taken a pounding of late.
The shares trade on both the NYSE and the Toronto Exchange under the symbol SLW. To quote from the company’s website,
Saturday, June 11, 2011
HUI Gold Stocks Index Heading for Severe Prolonged Correction / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In the month of March 2008 the HUI reached a high of 519.68. For the first time since April 2008 the black line of the monthly MACD indicator has bearishly crossed beneath the red line. Each crossing led to a prolonged and severe correction. The current bearish crossing should also result in a severe and perhaps prolonged correction.
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Friday, June 10, 2011
Gold Stocks are Underowned and Oversold but Need Catalyst / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
While Gold is only 2% from all time highs, the gold stocks have struggled and underperformed badly. This is reminiscent of 2008, although we don’t think a similar result is coming. The fact is as QE 2 ends and the failed recovery peaks, money is moving out of risk assets and into Bonds. Gold is holding up very well but the gold stocks are struggling and in need of a catalyst.
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Wednesday, June 01, 2011
Gold and Silver Shares Retest of 2010 Breakout Almost Complete / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
At the start of the year we wrote about what we could expect from the gold stocks and juniors over the first half of the year. All of these markets experienced significant multi-year breakouts in late 2010. This year called for a retest of those breakouts before the next advance would begin. We believed that these markets would spend much of 2011 retesting the breakouts and that markets would later be in position for an unabated advance into 2012 and beyond. We wanted to provide an update on.
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Saturday, May 28, 2011
Gold Stocks Mega-Super Cycle / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold is in the midst of a 20-year upward climb, according to The Great Super Cycle Author David Skarica. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he points out the emerging market small caps that could profit from global economic swings.
The Gold Report: In a February interview with The Gold Report, you said, "We're in the midst of a 15- to 20-year mega-supercycle for gold and gold equities." You predicted $1,500/oz. gold prices and that gold would move higher through 2015 or 2020. Do you still believe that to be the case?
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Wednesday, May 25, 2011
Silver Bullion and Stocks Spring Into Life / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Two of our favourite silver producers led the charge today, Endeavour Silver Corporation (EXK) up 9.25% and First Majestic Silver Corporation (AG) up 7.49% as silver prices bounced $1.53/oz in today's trading session.
Silver prices have gained 4.37% in today's trading session and look to have found some support at the $34.00/oz level, which could form the platform for a re-test of the $40.00/oz level.
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Tuesday, May 24, 2011
Gold Stocks Offer Protection from Financial Crisis Storm / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Economic cycles, like weather, run in seasons. Longwave Group Founder Ian Gordon explains why he believes the world economy is in the "winter" portion of an approximate 80-year cycle and how the financial excesses of the past 60 years are now being wrung out of the system. Ian also explains how investors can prepare to profit from the coming financial storm by positioning themselves in gold and junior gold stocks in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report
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Tuesday, May 17, 2011
Gold Stocks Downside Targets / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The gold stocks are in a correction which could turn out to be the largest and deepest since the crash of 2008. Now is not the time to panic but to evaluate where the gold stocks may go and where buying will come in to support the market. We utilize moving averages, Fibonacci retirements, Bollinger bands and price action to get a good idea of where the market may bottom. Additionally, we always consult sentiment polls, fund flows and options activity.
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Thursday, May 12, 2011
The Best Time to Buy Gold Stocks in Years / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The precious metals correction is here. Gold and silver are down 4% and 30% respectively. Gold and silver stocks, as should be expected, are down even more.But here’s the thing, precious metals stocks have been hit much harder than they should have been.
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Thursday, May 12, 2011
Gold Stocks Stuck in Consolidation / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Though Gold and Silver were able to make new highs in recent months, the gold stocks (as evidenced by GDX (large caps) and GDXJ (larger juniors) never did. We wrote of their relative weakness and how it was a warning sign for the sector. The shares failed to breakout and have fallen back into their consolidations at a time when the sector tends to consolidate and correct.
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Tuesday, May 03, 2011
Aussie Dollar and Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The rising Aussie dollar is limiting the gold stocks at present in addition to hurting about half of the Australian economy. Exporters (manufacturing) are suffering, so are tourism & education. This article examines the recent history of the AUD gold price and gold stock valuations and profitability in this context.
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Friday, April 29, 2011
Eye on Silver Wheaton / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Silver Wheaton (SLW) has extended yesterday's upside reversal action and pierced its April resistance line at 42.60, but has not yet accelerated from the upside breakout level.
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Wednesday, April 20, 2011
Silver Wheaton Starting to Accelerate / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Yesterday we noted to subscribers that Silver Wheaton (SLW) has climbed above its April down trendline at 42.20 and is starting to accelerate to the upside toward our optimal next target of 43.60/85.
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Tuesday, April 19, 2011
Gold Mining Stocks Investing, Right Place, Right Time / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Armed with a degree in geology, Silver Spartan LLC Founder Paul Dockweiler in 2003 got himself invited to explore in a mineral-rich area of southwestern Nevada that was falling out of favor because the price of gold barely covered the cost of production. As Paul explains in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, a lot of virgin ground with the same mineralogy as a past-producing mine had never even been drilled and, of course, the gold price has since marched up fivefold.
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Monday, April 18, 2011
Why Gold Stocks are Struggling Despite Record Gold Price / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold looks fantastic. It is breaking away from a consolidation which could be called a running correction. Two weeks ago Gold broke to a new high. Last week Gold retested the breakout and then advanced to another new high at the end of the week. Its textbook bullish action. Yet the gold shares have really struggled.
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Friday, April 15, 2011
Gold, Silver and Stocks in a Financial Panic / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold is resilient, bouncing off its tentative right shoulder support. Silver is just awesome, taking no prisoners.
The commodity commentary on the Bloomberg network was particularly ridiculous today. They drew a parallel between the commodity rise into 2008 and the subsequent sharp decline with the rise into 2011, suggesting that there will be a similar decline, without ever mentioning the cause, using ominous sounding words and innuendo.
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Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Gold Stocks Bellwether Signal Confirmed / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
A bellwether is any entity that serves to create or influence trends or to indicate future events. In this essay I present an expanded excerpt from Newsletter No. 29 published in our Gold Members area on the 6th April. This followed the analysis we presented back on March 16th in No. 27 that suggested Australian gold stocks were testing important support and we were buying heavily in our educational portfolio the day before. We have been showing our subscribers how to systematically pick off the buy opportunities using technical and fundamental analysis during the course of this consolidation period.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 06, 2011
U.S. Gold: A Study In Junior Mining Leadership / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Many years ago as I was learning to trade junior resource stocks, a grizzled old gold miner -- the owner of a small publicly listed company -- asked me: "Do you know what a gold mine is?" I suspected he was leading up to the punchline, "A gold mine is a hole in the ground with a liar looking into it." As a novitiate in that perilous arena, I never really completely believed in that sarcasm. Instead, I felt there had to be honest, adventurous visionaries who went out into the wilderness and stuck to the rules. Researching the leadership of junior mining companies is crucial when screening for potential winners, and it's a major component of my research. When an investor finds leaders who have stellar track records and put their own money where their mouth is, they need to pay attention to their actions.
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Tuesday, April 05, 2011
Junior Gold Miners ETF in Bullish Coiling Formation / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
All of the action in the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) since the March 7 high at 41.00 exhibits a series of higher lows juxtaposed against lower highs. In other words, the pattern is a contracting consolidation or coil formation.
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Saturday, April 02, 2011
Junior Gold and Silver Investment Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Despite confusing short-term undulations in the price of gold, the shaky foundation under the U.S. dollar could result in long-term opportunities for gold and silver juniors, says Midas Letter Publisher and Editor James West. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, James shares some of his top-15 companies to watch.
The Gold Report: James, Comex gold futures hit an all-time high yesterday before falling back to about $1,431/oz. We're seeing dramatic daily swings in the gold price of $20–$50 regularly. How do you explain the volatility?
Friday, April 01, 2011
Junior Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
With the price of gold still hovering around all-time nominal highs, the miners are continuing to revel in their long season of prosperity. And with gold’s structural fundamentals still wildly bullish, these miners should be delivering their gold at higher prices for a long time to come.
These tidings are of course very enticing for non-producer mining companies looking to capitalize on gold’s fortunes. And for this reason there has been a flurry of activity on the junior front.
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Friday, March 25, 2011
Gold Stocks Valuations / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold stocks aren’t feeling the love these days. They have merely been drifting sideways since their latest interim high in early December. Considering gold is edging up to new nominal all-time highs, and silver is surging, many traders find this lack of gold-stock responsiveness troubling. Is there a fundamental problem with this sector today? If so, it will show up in gold-stock valuations.
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Monday, March 21, 2011
Aussie Gold Stocks Surge / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Global events currently support gold and Australian gold stocks. Yet gold and the ASX-XGD index have been in a consolidation and correction mode of late. The Australian gold sector has underperformed gold itself over the past two weeks, within a long-term uptrend, offering some sweet pickings which we did not waste. Investors swooped on these exceptional investment opportunities late last week as the Australian gold sector surged up from oversold lows. Here are the supports (from 5 year – 1 week tick chart) I provided in Newsletter 27 released 16th March:
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Monday, March 14, 2011
Australian Gold Stocks Sector Dynamics / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Australian gold stocks do not generally move up or down as a group in sequence. This presents both opportunity and an additional challenge for investors in this sector. To further complicate this dynamic the price of gold does not necessarily dictate the short term price movements in gold stocks. At times gold leads the stocks up and down - gold stocks can also lead the way.
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Thursday, March 10, 2011
Value in Small-Cap Gold Producers / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Northern Securities Analyst Matthew Zylstra seeks out junior precious metals stocks with value in the ground and growth potential that are not yet obvious to the markets. He also looks for companies that have unrecognized base metal potential that can significantly reduce the cash costs of precious metals production. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Matt shares some names and discusses catalysts that could move portfolio values significantly upward.
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Tuesday, March 08, 2011
World's Largest Silver Miner's Monumental Move is Just Beginning / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Coeur D’alene Mines Corp (CDE:NYSE $34.70) is just beginning its monumental move. I believe we may see its share price double in the next 8 – 12 weeks. This article will provide you with an update of silver’s current parabolic move; detail the underpinnings of Coeur D’alene’s incredibly strong fundamentals going forward into 2011, and expose the powerfully bullish technical outlook for its stock.
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Friday, March 04, 2011
Gold Stocks in SPX Stock Market Selloffs / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
With the general stock markets now due for a selloff while gold hits new nominal all-time highs, precious-metals-stock traders face something of a quandary. How are their stocks likely to perform in the near future? Will they ignore general-stock weakness to rally with gold? Will they get sucked into a stock-market selloff even if gold remains strong?
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Thursday, March 03, 2011
Strong Technicals for Junior Gold Miners GDXJ ETF / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The hourly chart of the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ) has two powerful aspects to it. One is that the base-like accumulation pattern that developed between early Jan and late Feb has propelled prices above its key breakout plateau at 38.50. This triggers potential upside targets at 42.50 and then 44.40.
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Tuesday, March 01, 2011
Global Gold Production and the Australian Gold Stocks Sector / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The production base of the emerging Australian gold stocks has been growing significantly of late. So have some of the share prices. Australia now boasts a number of new producers successfully ramping up their operations here and abroad, in the process posting strong capital growth for investors. Having covered this sector since early 2006 and been invested since 2001 I have been able to watch this sector more closely than most. Mines take years to bring through discovery, development, commissioning, ramp up and finally to full production. Therefore the response to higher metal prices is delayed considerably.
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Tuesday, March 01, 2011
Solid Gold Stock Picks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Toronto-based Ubika Research is making a name for itself on Bay Street. The firm launched its Gold 50 Index in February 2010 and by year-end, the high-potential gold juniors on that list were up a combined 99%. Ubika Cofounder and Analyst Vikas Ranjan returns to The Gold Report for a discerning look at the ongoing turmoil in the Middle East, its possible effect on metals markets and several promising junior explorers and producers in this exclusive interview.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Gold Stocks Long-Term Trend Still Up, Despite Price Declines / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Economic and social developments across the globe are significantly affecting the capital market moves in the present scenario. Global markets, still fragile, could be tilted off course if instability in the Middle East spreads. Markets largely ignored the revolutions in Tunisia and Egypt, two countries that are basically not that significant on the global economic scheme of things. They don’t owe much money to western banks, nor do they export large quantities of commodities, such as oil. But markets certainly took notice this week of the violent upheaval in Libya.
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Friday, February 25, 2011
Junior Gold Miners and Resource Stocks Correction / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Junior resource stocks are fickle little things. And most investors who dabble in this realm are fully aware of their capricious nature. One of the best ways to describe owning these stocks can be summed up by one of the most famous lines in literary history, “It was the best of times, it was the worst of times…”
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Thursday, February 10, 2011
U.S. Dollar Breakdown Perfect Storm for Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
A lot of short-term peaks and troughs can make things messy in the resource space, and the associated volatility can whipsaw people out of investments. "Still," says Pathfinder Asset Management Limited's Associate Portfolio Manager Taylor MacDonald, "the long-term picture itself is very much intact." The U.S. dollar is in the process of breaking down, and that will ultimately be supportive of gold. "And when you sidecar the dollar breakdown with quantitative easing, he says, "you essentially have a perfect storm forming for gold." Find out why Taylor expects the junior mining space to shine even brighter in 2011 in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.
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Monday, February 07, 2011
Forget Gold Bullion! Those in the Know Own Silver and Gold Mining Stock Warrants / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The world of warrants is the undiscovered constellation in the universe of securities. Long term (LT) warrants shone brightly in 2009 - up 242% in U. S. dollar terms - and were up a further 91% in U.S. dollar terms in 2010. That's correct: 242% in 2009 followed up with a further 91% in 2010! The warrant world consists of only 135 stars (i.e. constituents) of which only 32 are associated with 29 commodity-related stocks that have sufficient brightness (i.e. 24+ months duration) to warrant (the pun is intended!) the attention of earthly investors.
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Wednesday, February 02, 2011
HUI, Gold and Silver Storm Flags Warning / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The storm warning flags should definitely be hoisted for the HUI, gold, and silver.
The HUI is giving a warning loud and clear. Hecla Mining appears to have completed a five wave move and is now apparently ready to correct that move. Many precious metal shares are in the same position as the HUI and Hecla Mining.
Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Gold and Silver Circling Whilst Barrick Takes Out Prior High / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold and Silver prices are circling unchanged today, but the precious metals miners are acting well. Barrick Gold Corp. (NYSE: ABX) just took out its prior high at 48.42 from Jan 28, and although there is no upside follow-through just yet, my near-term pattern work and momentum oscillators point to 50.50-51.00 next.
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Thursday, January 27, 2011
Gold and Silver Resource Shares, Before You Shoot Your Next Arrow / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
David Galland, Managing Director, Casey Research writes: While I have read certain works on the life and ponderings of Buddha, I claim no deep knowledge of his philosophy. Note I didn’t use the word “religion,” because Buddha himself claimed no supernatural powers and even begged his followers not to deify him after his death. Hardly had he drawn his last breath, however, when the deification began – though most Buddhists won’t claim it as such.
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Wednesday, January 19, 2011
More Yukon Gold Will Be Found / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Mike Burke is the head of mineral services with the Yukon Geological Survey. Few, if any, know the Yukon better than Mike. He says that the geology of a "frontier district" like the Yukon requires time to be fully understood before such an area can be properly drilled. Mike steadfastly believes in the mineral potential of the Yukon, and credits much of the gold-play excitement to prospector Sean Ryan, who diligently collected soil samples all over the Yukon for years before letting the mining industry in on his secrets. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Mike tells us some of Sean Ryan's secrets and provides an update on some of the most promising projects in the Yukon's White Gold Camp.
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Tuesday, January 18, 2011
Winter White Gold Sale in the Yukon / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
What do tigers, fancy coffee drinks and an Egyptian god have in common? According to Eric Coffin, coeditor of the Hard Rock Analyst (HRA) family of publications, they all are individual opportunities in the larger area play he sees opening up in the Yukon.
The Gold Report: You and your brother David will be making online presentations for The Yukon Room, an online investment conference focusing on the Yukon—perhaps the hottest area for gold exploration. What do you plan to discuss?
Monday, January 10, 2011
A New Gold Boom Right Here in the USA / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Conrad Reed has long been forgotten by the history books.
He was 12 years old when he made the first documented gold discovery in the United States. He stumbled across a 17-pound gold nugget ($370,000 current value) while fishing just outside of Charlotte, North Carolina in 1799. Reed and his father went on to discover more gold in surrounding areas and sparked America’s first gold rush.
Wednesday, January 05, 2011
Gold and Silver Mining Stocks, Why So Much Risk for that Pittance of a Reward? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The “smart money” says if you want to rev up returns, then you must run to producers. Gold and silver, on their own, just match inflation, and they don't beat it. If only that were true!
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Tuesday, January 04, 2011
Bundle Up With Junior Gold Miners for Bitter Kondratieff Winter / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Bundle up. The bitter Kondratieff Winter looks as though it will worsen in 2011. Longwave Group Founder Ian Gordon sees strong signs that point to impending catastrophe, citing historic precedents in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report. But despite his chilling forecast, which includes the Dow dropping to about 1,000, Ian expects investments in high-quality junior gold miners to pay off royally. . .because the capital that flees the markets will flow in their direction.
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Friday, December 31, 2010
Silver Mining Stocks Are for Suckers / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Matt Badiali writes: Mining is for suckers.
I've told you this before... and you may think that as the editor of a resource and mining advisory, I've lost my mind saying so. After all, I've recommended plenty of mining companies, and most of my readers love the idea of owning them.
Tuesday, December 28, 2010
The HUI Gold Stocks Index Holiday Fractal Seasonals / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Goldrunner writes: The Holiday Season often tends to usher in strength for the Precious Metals Sector and this is especially true for those Holiday Seasons which are related in a fractal pattern.
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Wednesday, December 22, 2010
Monitoring Takeover Targets In Gold and Silver Junior Mining Stocks / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
There is a growing scarcity of available precious metal mines in the world. The old majors such Barrick(ABX:NYSE), Goldcorp(GG:NYSE), and Newmont(NEM:NYSE) are facing diminishing reserves in their existing mines. They are mature miners with pockets bulging with cheap dollars. Moreover these majors are competing with the Chinese, Russians, Japanese and Koreans who have all shown an interest in expanding their precious metals assets and diverting assets away from paper currencies into real assets. All of them know it is cheaper to buy growth rather than to find it. They are like the Red Queen in "Alice in Wonderland", who must take two steps forward just to stay in the same place.
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Sunday, December 19, 2010
GDXJ Gold Stocks ETF Investment Is a Snow Job / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Folks looking to make a fortune in small gold stocks need to be careful: There's a right way to do it... and there are a lot of wrong ways to do it.
One of the wrong ways to do it is by owning one of the world's most popular ETFs right now. The symbol is GDXJ. It goes by the name "Market Vectors Junior Mining Fund." And that name is a snow job.
Friday, December 17, 2010
Gold Stocks in a Failing Fiat Currency U.S. Dollar / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
David Galland, Managing Director, Casey Research writes: As the U.S. dollar takes a nosedive and precious metals gain more and more attention from individual investors, the number of questions and concerns is increasing as well. The following reader email addressed to Casey Research is representative of so many inquiries that we decided to provide an in-depth response that may prove instructional to others as well.
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Wednesday, December 15, 2010
Gold and Silver Mining Stocks XAU, GDX Finally Resume Up Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In our previous essay we've covered the situation on the gold market, however since rallies (and declines) often correspond to the rallies (and declines) in the mining stocks, this time we will focus on the latter and check if we can spot any divergences or confirmations.
Let's begin with looking at the very-long-term XAU Index (proxy for gold- and silver mining stocks) chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com)
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Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Buy these 8 Junior Gold Miners on Dips / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Michael Campbell writes: Michael Campbell: David could we just start and give the broad brush first of all where you see sort of that precious metals a complex. I’m talking now the bullion itself and then we’ll move to the stocks.
David Coffin: Basically I think right now the factors are consolidating after a long run. I try not to fix a date on that, but with January approaching it is profit taking time for a lot of people and institutions. We think you have to assume the consolidation for the metals continues into January.
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Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Gold Mania is Still Yet to Come, Investment Opportunities in Columbia / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Casey Research Senior Editor Louis "Indiana" James has returned from Colombia with insights into the state of Colombian politics, economics and the inside scoop on a number of unheralded Colombian explorers. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Louis shares his firsthand experiences in the Paramo Highland and discusses the differences between two sides of the same mountain when it comes to gold exploration and environmental protection.
The Gold Report: Louis, an article by Andrey Dashkov in the November issue of Casey's International Speculator discusses a chart that suggests a gold mania is still yet to come. Could you comment on that thesis?
Friday, December 10, 2010
Gold Stocks Are Still Cheap / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Earlier this week, the flagship HUI gold-stock index powered up to new all-time record highs. While fantastic for gold-stock investors and speculators, such lofty achievements inevitably cement more big bricks on top of the wall of worries. At their highest levels in history, are gold stocks wildly overbought and doomed to correct hard? Provocatively, a strong case can be made that they actually remain cheap!
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Wednesday, December 08, 2010
Gold Stocks HUI Set for Explosive Bull Run During 2011 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Joseph E. Taglioli writes: We appear to be at the 3rd wave juncture where the large cap producer gold and silver stocks and intermediate precious metals producer/developer stocks tend to start to move much better - and where the smaller explorer class starts to kick up its heels.
Let me show you what I mean with a few charts that will give you a clear visual of why “you ain't seen nothing, yet” when it come to the future performance of the stocks (and warrants) of gold and silver mining and royalty companies.
Friday, December 03, 2010
Gold Stocks Big Picture Investing The Only Way to Go! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By Jeff Clark, Senior Editor, BIG GOLD writes: Wanna know how to make a small fortune in the stock market? Start with a large fortune and buy stocks based on your emotions. Wickedly funny. Disastrously true. Letting your emotions determine the timing of stock purchases means buying when everyone around you is buying – that’s why you feel so certain – and ensures you will enter near an interim top.
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Friday, December 03, 2010
Global Gold Mining Stocks Trends / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold mineralization knows no borders. This most precious of metals can be found within the highest mountains, densest jungles, hottest deserts, and deepest bowels of the underworld. But since all land is outlined by borders, gold mining’s global affair is bound by country-level dynamics. And with the mined supply trending down, these dynamics have become increasingly important.
Since the beginning of gold’s secular bull in 2001, global production is down well over six million ounces annually. And in an environment where demand is on the rise, this has become a huge structural problem. Mining companies have faced challenge after challenge, and are having a heck of a time supplying the markets.
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Friday, December 03, 2010
Yukon Gold Rush, Northern Exposure / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
November is a busy conferencing month due in part to post-field season confabs by the exploration community. This year marked a shift for us from Quebec’s annual get together, to the one in Yukon with which it unfortunately conflicted.
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Wednesday, December 01, 2010
Gold Explorers Positive Climate in Kazakhstan / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Casey’s International Speculator, interviews Dr. Sergey Kurzin
The following is an interview Jeff Clark, co-editor of Casey's International Speculator, conducted with Dr. Sergey Kurzin, a Casey Explorers' League honoree. The Explorers' League regularly inducts serially successful mine finders with at least three economic discoveries under their belts - a true accomplishment considering that most explorers don't even have one economic find throughout their careers.
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Thursday, November 25, 2010
OTCQX Helping Canadian Junior Gold Miners Reach U.S. Investors / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Representatives from a few of the Canadian junior resource companies that are eager to bring more international investors into their folds took time from their busy schedules to share some of their views about the OTCQX via this exclusive Gold Report roundtable. Participants discussing some of the features of this "upstart" exchange include Crocodile Gold President and CEO Mike Hoffman, Rio Alto Mining President and CEO Feisal Somji and Avalon Rare Metals Investor Relations Manager Ron Malashewski.
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Friday, November 19, 2010
South African Gold Miners, Dollar/Rand Rate and the HUI / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
US dollar/SA exchange rateThe Dollar/Rand exchange rate is a very important rate for South African gold miners, as well as an important proxy for gold miners in general. Together with some other indicators, this ratio can tell us when gold miners are about to increase in real terms—that is, as compared to all other asset classes (including gold itself). When this happens, you really want to be in gold miners.
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Thursday, November 18, 2010
Update on Gold Junior Miners GDXJ ETF / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
GDXJ is the ETF for junior miners and in particular junior gold companies. This sector has been very strong in 2010 and has solidly outperformed its counterpart, GDX as well as Gold.
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Thursday, November 18, 2010
The Colombian Gold Rush / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
New mining companies looking to benefit from the skyrocketing gold price are popping up like daisies after a spring rain, which could put you on the road to riches instead of the road to ruin. The Gold Report caught up with Exploration Insights Writer Brent Cook at the New Orleans Investment Conference to get his take on economic viability versus geology. Cook, who is also an exploration analyst and geologist, discusses why Colombia may be more like the Yukon than investors think.
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Tuesday, November 09, 2010
Gold Junior Miners Latin Fever / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
PI Financial's David Goguen is vice president of Institutional Mining Sales, specializing in the mining sector. As part of his service to Canadian and U.S. resource-focused institutional investors, David evaluates and screens junior gold companies by initially dividing their enterprise values by total ounces. The result acts as a filter that either encourages David and his team to ask more questions about the company or to find other dance partners. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, David discusses PI Financial's recent institutional sales desk report titled Select Golds: Latin Focus and his methods of analysis.
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Saturday, November 06, 2010
Silver Wheaton, The $100.00 Stock / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Having sold a number of stocks in order to acquire more of Silver Wheaton Corporation (SLW) stock on 09 August 2010 we are pleased to see that our new strategy is paying off handsomely. A quick look at the above chart shows that since making that particular purchase, we have in first place SLW followed by silver, gold, the miners and the much fancied juniors, all of which are not able to keep up with SLW. The progress has been remarkable up to the closing last week at $32.95 for gain of 65% in the price of this stock.
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Saturday, October 30, 2010
African Junior Gold Mining Takeouts on the Menu / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Clarus Securities Analyst Nana Sangmuah was born in Ghana, West Africa—a growing hot spot for gold exploration. He believes several gold juniors operating in West Africa are prime takeover targets and expects merger and acquisition (M&A) activity to heat up as the major gold producers seek to replenish their diminishing project pipelines. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Nana reveals a few juniors on both sides of the Atlantic that could fall prey to larger predators.
The Gold Report: Nana, tell us about your coverage sector.
Thursday, October 28, 2010
Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited: Record Quarterly Net Income of $121.5 million / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Another record performance by Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) on the back of high gold prices along with the completion of a number of quality projects should render the Eagle more than desirable in this sector of the market. And as the trend is to acquire more ounces on Bay Street through merger and acquisition activity, its a surprise to us that this company has not been the target of a take over move by one of the large caps.
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Friday, October 22, 2010
This Indicator Says When to Sell Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold has taken a $50 hit this week and, if you’ve been watching gold stocks, it would seem like the gold bull run is over forever.Although gold is being historically an extremely volatile asset class and it’s down a mere 4% from its recent all-time highs, now that the herd is running from gold stocks is a good time to consider whether it’s time to take profits too.
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Thursday, October 21, 2010
Cherry Picking Undervalued Junior Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Junior resource companies have been on a wild ride since 2009 and Mickey Fulp, the author of The Mercenary Geologist newsletter, thinks most of them are as overvalued as they've ever been. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Mickey discusses the handful of undervalued plays he's unearthed in an overvalued gold market.
The Gold Report: We spoke earlier this year after equities had a wild ride in 2009. You made the comment that you didn't see many undervalued junior resource companies. When we spoke again in April, you said many of these juniors were at an all-time high. What's your feeling about the junior sector now that we're in October?
Friday, October 15, 2010
Time to Sell Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The rocket ship has finally blasted off for precious metals investors, who have seen massive portfolio gains over the past few months. Gold is up 17%, while silver is up a blistering 29% since late July. The Gold Miners ETF (GDX) advanced 23%, but the smart money was riding on the Silver Miners ETF (SIL), up 37% in just over two months. Not too shabby considering the S&P 500 is up just 10% during the same time period.
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Tuesday, October 12, 2010
How to Make, or Lose, a Fortune in Junior Gold and Silver Exploration Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
David Galland, Managing Director, Casey Research writes: The first thing to know about junior resource exploration stocks is that they are volatile. You can make 50% in a day, and you can lose 50% in a day.
This is due largely to the fact that they tend to be thinly traded. Thus, a whiff of good news, or bad, can overwhelm opposing trades. In the absence of a countervailing bid, the stock can move sharply until it reaches the point that someone is willing to step up and take the other side of the trade. If the news is bad and there's no bid, things get ugly really quickly. Conversely, if the news is good - for example, the recent case of the AuEx buy-out - the volume of buyers rushing to get a hold of stock can blow the proverbial doors off.
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Tuesday, October 12, 2010
Junior Gold Mining Stocks Super Nova / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Recently I have been reading and hearing about a commodities bubble. I disagree with the idea of commodities being in a bubble - some may occasionally become overbought and correct. Occasionally we will see profit taking and nervous nellies selling on the backs of the various naysayers. But what some are calling bubbles is simply demand outpacing supply.
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Monday, October 11, 2010
Analysis of Junior Mining and Exploration Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Renowned Exploration Analyst and Geologist Brent Cook produces the weekly Exploration Insights newsletter, covering geology and discoveries worldwide. In this interview, Brent catches up with former EI Writer Paul van Eeden. A fresh addition to Miranda Gold Corp.'s board of directors, Paul offers characteristically frank insights into gold and precious metals and shares several choice companies with The Gold Report.
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Saturday, October 09, 2010
Gold Stocks Best Leverage in Ounces-in-the-Ground Plays / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Kaiser Bottom-Fish Report Writer John Kaiser sees the gold price reaching well into thousands—one of a series of events that, ultimately, could result in the kind of area-play fever not witnessed on the junior board since the mid-1990s. John believes all it would take is a "holy mackerel"-type gold discovery in the right area. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, John reveals a Carlin-type gold discovery in the Yukon and a few others you'll want to know about.
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Friday, October 08, 2010
Bullish Channel for Gold Miners GDX ETF / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Just in case you want to see a real live example of channel analysis, the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) is a textbook case. The enclosed 3-month uptrend has carved out a spectacular bullish channel, which we notice rocketed through the channel resistance line yesterday morning (above 58.55) prior to reversing back beneath the upper channel line.
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Friday, October 08, 2010
Gold Stocks HUI Hits New Record High / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Inspired by gold’s relentless momentum, investors drove the flagship HUI gold-stock index to new all-time highs this week. While great fun for all of us with capital deployed in this sector, seeing the best levels in history often spawns anxiety in those with a contrarian bent. Following gold stocks’ run into record territory, are they in danger of an imminent correction?
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Another Catalyst for Gold and Silver Shares? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
If you’ve followed our work you know how useful intermarket analysis can be when deciphering future movements and trends in the precious metals complex. Years ago when I would analyze Gold I would only follow Gold. Now I am aware of a wealth of markets that can be analyzed, which can help provide an outlook for precious metals.
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Thursday, October 07, 2010
Gold Stocks Investors Strap Yourselves in This Rally is Going to be HUGE... / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We are on the point of a major breakout by Precious Metals stocks that is expected to lead to a powerful rally. The reason that the rally will be powerful is that stocks have been held in restraint since late last year by a zone of very strong resistance in the vicinity of the 2008 highs. This resistance is on the point of being overcome and when it is the last argument that bears are using to justify their position will crumble - namely that of the non-confirmation of gold's continuing new highs by stocks - and they will be forced to cover or face annihilation. This covering should give added fuel to the accelerating rally.
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Wednesday, October 06, 2010
My Greatest Gold Stocks FEAR, Selling Too Soon / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As investors in the very volatile precious metals sector it would be very easy to make the decision to sell and get out of the market as you/we have now re-cooped our capital and hopefully everyone has profits as we write this piece. So, is it time to sell?
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Tuesday, October 05, 2010
Will South African Gold Mines be Nationalized? / Politics / Gold & Silver Stocks
The argument that South African mines will be nationalized stems from Julius Malema, the head of the Youth League of the ANC. It has been rumbling on for some time now. Mrs. Shabangu the Mines Minister previously stated that it would not happen in her lifetime. This was ignored by the Youth League who held to their position. At that time it was not on the Agenda of the ANC and was treated with a measure of derision by the ANC. Then the ANC conference happened and the ANC placed the issue on the Agenda to be discussed in 2012.
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Monday, October 04, 2010
Strong Potential Remains for Barrick Gold ABX / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Apart from the fact that Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX) is down 4% since last Thursday's high at 47.65, the overall pattern off of its July low at 39.67 still remains potentially extremely combustible -- as long as the series of higher pullback lows since last August remains intact.
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Saturday, October 02, 2010
Bet on Junior Gold Mining Companies Management and Good Assets / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Pinetree Capital VP of Research Craig Stanley believes that, above all else, junior mining companies need solid management and good assets. And he believes management, in particular, trumps good assets. "We have been known to back management teams even before they have a project, based solely on their history," he says. Pinetree has positions in more than 400 companies and, in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Craig names some of his favorite gold and base metals plays in the lot.
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Friday, October 01, 2010
Silver Wheaton Corporation A Takeover Target? / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Exploration activity is moving at a fair old pace, however, the results are no longer startling, in fact discoveries of any significance are few and far between. In order for a producer to add to their pipeline of gold and silver reserves a friendly or even a hostile takeover appears to be the way go.
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Tuesday, September 28, 2010
Expected Breakout for Barrick Gold Corp ABX / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Why did we add Barrick Gold Corp (ABX) into strength after it was up 3% from today's spike low at 44.76? Because the sharp intraday recovery rally occurred after what looks to me like the completion of a significant correction off of the 47.55 high from 9/22.
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
Beware the Forbidden Fruit of Dividend Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Beware the forbidden fruit. As precious metals begin to see vast improvement in the prices of gold and silver across the board, greed is setting in. Why should you hold physical metals when stock miners provide the same upside potential as miners – and pay a dividend?
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
Junior Gold Stocks Exception Among Equities / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As the world sinks deeper into what he calls the Greater Depression, Casey Research Chairman Doug Casey sees default on the U.S. national debt as inevitable -- albeit probably in the guise of currency destruction. He anticipates further contraction in real estate, particularly on the commercial front. As long as stocks remain overpriced, he'll shy away from equities -- except perhaps in favored sectors, such as gold. In fact, in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Doug posits that gold juniors might "go up by an order of magnitude or more, even while most other stocks are going down."
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Thursday, September 23, 2010
Gold Companies Adding Value Through Growth / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Drew Clark is a relatively new analyst with Byron Capital Markets, but that doesn't mean he doesn't espouse his fair share of wisdom. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Drew provides an in-depth look at gold companies in all categories that he believes are respectable investment opportunities.
The Gold Report: Drew, please tell our readers about your coverage sector and why you're covering precious metals.
Tuesday, September 21, 2010
AMEX HUI Gold BUGS Stocks Index Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Sorry for the delay in posting this article...the amount of time for deducing the Elliott Wave count has occupied an inordinate amount of time. The present behaviour of the HUI leaves only the presented Elliott Wave count as being plausible at the moment. There are many undercurrents in the market at present and often how they blend to create sudden vortexes or expansions in strength of flow are impossible to predict. If the HUI were to take out 450 in the coming correction, then I would have to revise my thinking...however, analysis on gold, and the broad stock market indices support the presented ideas of this article (at least for the moment).
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Friday, September 17, 2010
Nevada Moonlight and Terraco Gold and Silver Stock / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Almost 200,000 people heading to the California gold fields crossed through what is now Nevada via the California Trail. Many camped close to the confluence of the Humboldt River and Maggie Creek in northeastern Nevada. None of them had any idea they were just a very short distance away from one of the most prolific gold deposits in the world.
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Friday, September 17, 2010
Gold Stocks – Where is the Bull Market? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold bullion has been on a strong and steady march since its bottom in late 2008 but Gold stocks have remained mired in a sideways movement as investors become impatient waiting for the sun to shine upon them. But to understand why Gold stocks are moving sideways investors first need to have a brief history lesson about the industry.
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Monday, September 13, 2010
Why Buy Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
For profit and wealth protection. Gold mining companies have done extremely well over the past ten years and in particular since the 2008 credit crisis, commonly known as the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). Many investors have made well above average returns investing in gold mining companies and gold itself during this time. The opportunity has not passed because the underlying reasons that have caused this bull market have not been fixed.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 12, 2010
Junior Mining, Management, Company Stage and Risk v. Reward / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
When looking for an investment the approach I take involves looking at the global - big picture - conditions. I study trends, read the news, basically watch and listen to what's going on in the world. Then I study the different sectors in order to select the one that I think is going to match up well with, what I think is, the soon to be overriding theme. This is top down investing.
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Friday, September 10, 2010
Investing in Gold Explorers, Experience Matters / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Wes Roberts, vice president of Toronto-based HB Global Advisors, has seen just about every type of mineral deposit on the planet. There is no substitute for that kind of experience. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Wes shares some of that knowledge with you to help guide your investment decisions. He even talks about a couple of gold explorers that have interesting prospects.
The Gold Report: Wes, you work with Heenan Blaikie LLP, one of Toronto's most respected law firms, especially in the mining space. But you're not a lawyer. Please tell our readers a little bit about yourself and what you do.
Thursday, September 09, 2010
An Insider’s Perspective on Recent Gold Discoveries and Where to Look Next / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Dear reader,
It’s a perfect storm for junior gold stocks.
Gold prices are climbing steadily, billions of new exploration dollars are being pumped into the ground, and years of exploration work are starting to pay off in big new discoveries.
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Saturday, September 04, 2010
Endeavour Silver Corporation Identifies Three New Veins / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
We will start with a quick look at the chart where we can see that Endeavour Silver Corporation (EXK) has put in a good rally gaining around 22% recently and as we see it once silver prices get going this stock will be one of the winners in this sector. However, the technical indicators are slightly overbought so there may be a breather, but don’t count on it as silver appears to be powering up for decent fall rally.
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Friday, September 03, 2010
Gold Mining Stock Margins / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold mining is a tough business. In the quest to meet growing global demand these miners are constantly barraged with challenge after challenge. They are attacked by environmentalists, targets of governmental meddling, purveyors of a science that is not exact, and must always fight to renew their finite resources.
Gold miners are also at the mercy of fluctuating gold prices. Prices can be radically different from when a mine initially commences development to when it pours its first gold years later. Even on a month-to-month or week-to-week basis, miners can see material differences in their revenues based on what prices are doing. But thankfully, this blitz of opposing forces proves worthwhile in a secular bull market.
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Friday, September 03, 2010
Endeavour Merchant Bank Becomes Gold Producer / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
For the last decade, Endeavour (EDV: TSX) has been the architect of numerous equity financings and acquisitions in the junior gold sector. Over the years, the company has proven to be a savvy dealmaker, participating in M&A transactions valued at over US$28 billion.
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Tuesday, August 31, 2010
Gold and Silver Stocks Opportunity in Economic Crisis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Listening to Trader Tracks Editor Roger Wiegand talk about market conditions and precious metals is like listening to your favorite uncle tell stories at Thanksgiving. The difference is that Roger's stories are a lot more likely to make you money. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Roger offers up a few of his favorite gold and silver plays and some sage market advice.
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Tuesday, August 31, 2010
How to Invest in Junior Gold and Silver Mining Companies / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The various large-cap gold stock indices are readying for a major breakout. As we’ve noted, this isn’t just a breakout through 2008 highs but a breakout through highs dating back to 1980. Yes, there are some gold stock indices like the Barron’s Gold Mining Index and others, which show a 30-year base dating back to 1980. This will be a historic breakout for the gold stocks.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 30, 2010
Silver Producers Enter Profitable Phase / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The latest quarterly (Q2, ended June 30, 2010) results from a number of silver producers confirm that they are now entering a phase of sustainable profits. We will look at several companies and try to make sense of the numbers as well as make an EPS projection for the calendar year 2010. This particular selection of companies was not meant to be a comprehensive overview of the entire group of silver producers, yet our intention was to provide a meaningful representation of it. Frankly, these companies are doing better than most of the rest of the group in terms of absolute earnings and comparative rate of growth versus prior years. Notable omissions include Fresnillo (LSE: FRES), Hochschild Mining (LSE: HOC) and Polymetal (LSE: PMTL) mainly due to time constraints and access to data. Companies in the table below are listed in alphabetical order.
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Friday, August 20, 2010
Inflationary Catalysts Pushing Gold Stocks Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Portfolio Manager Joe Foster calls himself a "stock picker." And he's pretty good at it. Class A shareholders in Van Eck Global's International Investors Gold Fund have seen an average return of almost 25% for 10 straight years under his care. "I'm looking for the gold companies that are going to outperform the indexes, my peers and gold," Joe says. And he shares some of those companies with you, in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.
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Wednesday, August 18, 2010
Are Junior Gold Miners Ripe For Takeovers Now? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The Kinross takeover of Red Back
Recently Kinross made an offer for the shares of Red Back with its Mauritanian gold deposits as the target. The offer made to Red Back was accepted by the shareholders of Red Back, but looked on with skepticism by Kinross shareholders. In the statement made by Kinross, the Directors asked for patience to be shown by their shareholders for around six months. In that time, they expect to reveal more of the extent of the Red Back deposits.
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Wednesday, August 18, 2010
Kinross Gold Corporation: A Takeover Too Far? / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
The acquisitive nature of Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) has taken it to the door step of Red Back Mining Incorporated (RBI) which appears to be a very good acquisition in terms of providing a pipeline of mining opportunities for Kinross. As usual with the predator in these situations the stock price of Kinross reflects a fair amount of trepidation in the mood of the investor, than both management teams would have liked to see.
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Tuesday, August 17, 2010
Silver Stocks Offer Value / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In our last editorial we showed a few charts of our junior gold and junior silver indices.
Gold has moved well past its 2008 high and the same has happened with our junior gold index. Silver, at its recovery peak was within 7% off its 2008 high while our junior silver index was 25% off its 2008 high. While the junior silvers have recovered, they have lagged both the junior golds and Silver.
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Friday, August 13, 2010
Gold Stocks HUI Bull Market Seasonal Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Precious-metals stocks really haven’t had a great summer by any means. After rallying initially in June, they started relentlessly drifting lower in July. The net result of this lackluster summer trading is a lethargic drift sideways. Naturally this listlessness has weighed on sentiment among this sector’s traders.
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Thursday, August 12, 2010
If Deflation Wins, What Will Gold Stocks Do? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Senior Editor, Casey’s Gold & Resource Report writes: The talk of a possible double dip is now common banter on TV investment programs. And indeed, deflationary forces seem to have the stronger grip right now than inflationary ones. So if deflation is the next reality we have to face, what happens to our favorite stock investments?
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Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Golds and Junior Silver Mining Stocks Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I maintain two indices for premium subscribers so that we can better track the junior precious metals sector. These four charts should give you a better idea of the current state of the sector.
The first chart shows our junior gold index over the last year. The junior gold index consists of 25 companies, most of which are in the neighborhood of $100-$600 million in market cap. How a billion dollar company is a junior, is beyond me.
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Tuesday, August 10, 2010
Gold Stocks on Summer Sale / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold has bounced back from the recent correction to reclaim the $1,200 level and looks poised to make new highs in the coming weeks. While the price of gold is just 5% from its all-time nominal high of $1,261, many of the best mining companies are 20% or more below their recent highs. If the next few months play out the way I expect, it could be a very profitable ride for those who establish positions ahead of the herd.
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Friday, August 06, 2010
Junior Gold Mining Stock Bull Seasonals / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The adventures of trading junior resource stocks are meant for only a select breed. Yet even these risk-craving traders struggle with a cornucopia of emotions when putting their capital to work in this realm. This sector is capable of violent swings in either direction, and it has proven to be quite difficult to navigate on an interim basis.
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Friday, August 06, 2010
Wall Street’s Gold Mine is Main Street’s Shaft / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Wall Street started this week off with another “push-it-higher” party, as the babbling heads on TV trumpet the latest good earnings news. Respected analysts at Cabot Market Letter just said it’s “likely” the Dow could surge to 14,000 in 2011. Meanwhile, many Americans are left wondering: How can it be party time for Wall Street when it’s such hard times for the rest of us? Where’s the party for Main Street?
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Thursday, August 05, 2010
Are Silver Stocks Worth the Effort? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Question: What is it that we are trying to achieve?
Answer: Exposure to the silver bull market.
Tuesday, August 03, 2010
Gold And Silver Stocks Are About To Crash! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
There is one chart in the precious metals complex that has been true, honest, and faithful right from the beginning of its bull market. You will see a white square on this chart that says DEC 2007 DANGER!!! This was a magnificent and totally up front and obvious clue that the tide was about to turn bearish for the HUI. Between November 2000 and December 2007 the HUI did not at any time retreat below a previous monthly high.
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Saturday, July 31, 2010
A Cyclical Case for Gold Stocks Investing / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
"We're not going into a double dip. We're going into a depression. I'm convinced of that," claims renowned Market Forecaster Ian Gordon. Using his sharpest tools, Gordon has determined that the biggest market crash in our lifetime is coming sooner than most expect. But he is using a three-pronged strategy to limit the damage and even make money in the dark times ahead. You will learn why Gordon believes gold, and gold equities in particular, will perform when nothing else does in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report.
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Thursday, July 29, 2010
Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited: Record Quarterly Revenue / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
The general consensus for the quarterly income for Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) was in the order of $0.40 per share, however, news just out has the figure higher at $0.64 per share for the second quarter, compared with a penny per share for the same period last year. The effect of their new mines construction programme going into production is starting to produce the results that we have been waiting for.
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Wednesday, July 28, 2010
Putting Money on the Junior Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Equities and Economics Report writer Victor Gonçalves, in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, says the yellow metal is in its typical summer lull and will generally see more strength than weakness this year. He's enthusiastic about some undervalued juniors, saying good management is what makes or breaks these companies.
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Tuesday, July 27, 2010
Good Potential in Junior Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Could gold hit $1,500 by year-end? Ubika Research Cofounder and Analyst Vikas Ranjan thinks so. In this exclusive with The Gold Report, Vikas tells us he's pretty bullish on the yellow metal and lists a handful of gold plays he believes have strong potential for serious gains.
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Friday, July 23, 2010
Market Vectors Gold Miners GDX ETF Forming A Top / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Figure 1 is a weekly chart of the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (symbol: GDX). The pink and black dots represent key pivot points or areas of support (buying) and resistance (selling). There are two bearish signs that point to GDX forming a market top.
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Tuesday, July 20, 2010
Kinross Gold Corporation Hits the Wall / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The stock price of Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) has been hammered recently with a loss of around 20% to close today at $15.46, on the back of gold prices softening during this holiday period to trade at $1184.20 as we write.
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Monday, July 12, 2010
Barrick Gold Corporation and Goldcorp Incorporated Hedging Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The following is a comment received from one our readers regarding Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) and Goldcorp Incorporated (GG) regarding their agreements with Silver Wheaton Corporation (SLW) to forward sell their silver and reads as below:
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Thursday, July 08, 2010
Time to Board the Gold Stocks Train? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By Jeff Clark, Senior Editor, Casey’s Gold & Resource Report
One of the big hints that gold stocks will be ready for take-off is when they stop following the broader markets and strictly track gold, particularly if the market falls and gold stocks don’t. We now have data showing this has just occurred.
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Friday, July 02, 2010
Gold Early-Stage Junior Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Ahhhh … summer heat, stock-market corrections, and juniors. What more can one ask for to soothe the soul? OK, so perhaps writhing would be more appropriate than soothing. But you know, heat happens every summer, the stock markets were due for a correction (especially after an 80% move higher since March 2009), and junior gold stocks will eventually return to favor.
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Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Gold Mining Stocks on Verge of Breaking Out! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The long-term story for a gold and a gold mining stocks bull market is clear and easy to grasp: Dubious monetary policy and irresponsible fiscal policy with government debt rising all over the world are a surefire recipe for a surging demand in gold.
Toss in stagnant or even declining supply, and you have all the ingredients for much higher gold prices.
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Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Gold Miners and Explorers Face Serious Supply Problems / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Geologist Brent Cook, of Exploration Insights, in this exclusive article for The Gold Report, takes a look at the major gold mining companies' dilemma—declining production as the gold price is hitting record levels. He also explains how the junior gold explorers are confronting a similar dilemma—fewer legitimate exploration properties with the real potential to host a major economic deposit. The rare micro-cap company that discovers a meaningful gold deposit is immediately in the sights of the cash-rich gold mining companies in need of new reserves. More importantly, anyone owning these junior companies, a few of whom are mentioned later, stands to make a substantial profit.
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Thursday, June 24, 2010
ETFs for the Gold Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
A little over a year ago I told you about Four Easy Ways to Trade Gold With ETFs. Since then, gold has shot up from below $1,000 to as high as $1,265.30 this past Monday. Is it going still higher? If so, you need to know how to take advantage of the trend.
Today I’m going to review some ways you can get involved in gold through easy-to-buy exchange traded funds (ETFs). Of course, you may want to have some actual gold coins in your possession, too. However, for larger amounts or short-term speculation, ETFs are usually the best way to go.
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Wednesday, June 23, 2010
Use Gold to Protect Purchasing Power Against Inflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In the last decade, Gold Stock Analyst Editor John Doody has seen his top-listed equities skyrocket a combined 1,000%, including an eye-popping 130% in 2009. John's tried and true methods have little to do with luck; this student of the gold business rarely fails to find value at any gold price. Subscribers pay a lot for his knowledge and expertise in the Gold Stock Analyst; but in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, you get a few of his favorites Doody-free.
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Friday, June 11, 2010
Gold Stock Fundamentals Now versus 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Escalating sovereign debt problems in Europe has prompted some to wonder if another “Lehman” type collapse is on the horizon. As a result, some precious metals observers have grown cautious, fearing a replay of the events of two years ago. While it is always prudent to be cautious with an extremely volatile sector like the gold stocks, the facts illustrate major differences between their fundamentals now and in 2008.
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Thursday, June 10, 2010
A Must See Chart for Gold Stock Investors / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Brian Hunt writes: In late 2008, shares in gold stocks suffered one of the worst wipeouts in market history.
Most small, speculative gold stocks lost over 80% of their value in just a few months. Even the bigger, more established gold miners lost nearly 70% of their value in seven months.
Wednesday, June 09, 2010
The Gold Stocks Bull Market In Uncertainty / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The herd is running for the exits. Mutual fund investors are selling out at a faster and faster pace each week.
The Investment Company Institute, which tracks mutual fund inflow and outflows, reports redemptions have been surging in equity mutual funds. The last week of April, investors put in a net $1.85 billion into stock mutual funds. Since then though, it has been all downhill.
Tuesday, June 08, 2010
Constructive Outlook for GLD Gold Miners ETF / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) has the right look of a potentially explosive pattern. My near- and intermediate-term work in the GDX argues that all of the action off of the December 2, 2009 high at 55.40 represents a sideways, bullish coil pattern, which if correct will resolve itself to the upside in a thrust that should test and hurdle the most recent high at 54.63, on the way to 61.00-63.00 thereafter.
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Carpe Diem, Seize the Day, Gold at New Highs / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We currently have the world's financial and currency markets in turmoil. The debt issues of the world, the latest being Hungary, driving down the markets on Friday.
As we write this piece the gold market has exploded to the upside which is not surprising to us with our view of where we see gold in the coming months. See our forecast below.
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Thursday, May 20, 2010
Australian Gold Stocks and GFC1 versus GFC2 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
When the Rudd Unworkable Super Tax (RUST) was first announced I stated that we may not be the only ones here in Australia to suffer from this type of tax. Governments in many countries are worried about falling revenue as economic contraction bites. Plucking the goose that lays the golden egg is now thought to be contagious according to Evy Hambro of BlackRock Investment Management Ltd.
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Saturday, May 15, 2010
Gold Mining Stocks Intermediate and Development Plays Are the Golden Ticket / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In this exclusive and revealing interview with The Gold Report, Mackie Research Capital's Barry Allan, always among Canada's top-ranked mining analysts, says the European currency crisis and crippling debt problems will push gold—and the U.S. dollar—higher throughout the rest of 2010. But gold and the greenback may not be the biggest winners as a result of a faltering euro. Allan suggests other currencies could have the most to gain as investors seek other havens. Allan also sheds some light on why the best bets in the gold sector are intermediate and development plays.
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Thursday, May 13, 2010
Eye on Silver Price and Pan American Silver Corp (PAAS) Stock / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Pan American Silver Corp. (Nasdaq: PAAS) has hurdled its December high at 27.31 on the monthly chart, at the same time that spot silver has broken above its long-term resistance line (from 1980) at 19.46. If silver prices accelerate to the upside, PAAS should benefit and climb towards 35.00, again on a big-picture, monthly chart basis.
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Wednesday, May 12, 2010
3 Steps to Geographically Diversifying Your Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By Jeff Clark, Senior Editor, Casey’s Gold & Resource Report and author of this new FREE Special Report: ‘When Is the Right Time to Buy Gold?’
Jerry’s broker wrinkled his nose in disapproval.
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Friday, May 07, 2010
Gold Mining Stock Valuations / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As gold stocks continue to power higher in their usual spring rally, they are starting to attract investors’ attention again. This includes some value investors, a group that is always concerned with valuations. Unfortunately, valuation analysis of gold stocks is fairly rare. But I’ve been researching this thread for over 6 years now, and this week is a great time for an update.
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Friday, May 07, 2010
A Small Silver Mining Stock with Big Potential / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I recently returned from Mexico, where I toured the Royal Mines of Zacualpan project. The project is owned by Minpoza, a subsidiary of IMPACT Silver (IPT on the TSX-V in Canada; ISVLF on the pink sheets in the U.S.). While there, I toured two of the company’s mines — San Ramon and Chivo. I also toured the processing plant and visited other projects, some already well underway, others still being planned.
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Friday, May 07, 2010
Searching for Gold and Silver Miners in Peru / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Louis James, Senior Editor, Casey’s International Speculator
Last month I visited Peru again, penetrating perhaps a bit deeper but certainly higher up in the Andes than I’ve gone before. No nose-bleeds, but I’m not ashamed to admit that scrambling over rocks in search of boiling textures at 5,300 meters (17,400 feet) elevation left me wheezing like Darth Vader.
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Friday, May 07, 2010
Offshore Gold Miners Not Directly Affected by Australian Resources Tax / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It has been a hectic week here educating clients about global capital flows and debt cycles. One of the really interesting factors at play Down Under has been the unwinding of the carry trade which accelerated last night. The message it not always understood so I will be preparing a file to explain how this works as further education in the Members area of my site as soon as time allows.
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Tuesday, May 04, 2010
Gold Producer Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Agnico-Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) one of our favourite gold producers has seen its stock price trade in a lacklustre way recently, Sean Boyd, CEO, Agnico-Eagle explains the company’s mining projects and future prospects.
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Tuesday, May 04, 2010
Silver Commodity Stocks Investing Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It's often called the "Poor Man's Gold," but according to "Silver Guru" David Morgan of The Morgan Report and www.silver-investor.com, silver is poised to outperform gold. "The amount of silver mined meets industrial and investment demand. We've reached equilibrium," Morgan explains. In this exclusive interview for The Gold Report, Mr. Morgan gives us the straight skinny on silver and highlights several silver juniors.
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Saturday, May 01, 2010
The Future For Gold And HUI Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Have you noticed the HUI is making a beeline toward its all-time high? On the chart below, we show an inverse, Bullish Head & Shoulders bottom pattern with an upside target for the HUI of 600ish. Interestingly, should the HUI rise above 525, another larger Head & Shoulders bottom would be confirmed with an upside target of 850ish.
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Friday, April 30, 2010
Junior Gold Mining Exploration Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Since most countries accurately report mine output, and several agencies catalog this information, we know where in the world gold is being produced. But where in the world are the juniors exploring for gold? Are they spinning their drills proportionate in geography to where the miners are operating? I hear questions like this all the time, but unfortunately there is no collective means of knowing where the juniors are concentrating their efforts.
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Tuesday, April 27, 2010
Playing the Niche to Outperform the Major Stock Indices / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
John Pugsley's Stealth Investor portfolio has been outperforming the major indices since its inception four years ago. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, John explains how focusing on companies with smaller market caps allows his portfolio to upstage the market, and why the precious metals and energy sectors offer investors unique opportunities.
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Saturday, April 24, 2010
Finding the No-Brainer Gold Mining Companies / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Equities and Economics Report writer Victor Gonçalves says he favors "no-brainer" companies, meaning those you don't have to worry about. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Victor highlights several companies—some no-brainers, some promising juniors—and offers his perspectives on long and short-term investor commitment.
The Gold Report: Victor, one of the big headlines since we last spoke is Europe's loan to Greece. Some are calling it an E.U. bailout. As an economist, what's your perspective?
Thursday, April 22, 2010
Gold Stocks: Math Today, Magic Tomorrow / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Senior Editor, Casey’s Gold & Resource Report writes: Here at Casey Research, we eagerly awaited the release of quarterly reports from the companies in our favorite sector. Why? The gold price was substantially higher last quarter than during the comparable meltdown quarter of 2008, so we were anxious to find out if it would lead to a spike in profits.
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Wednesday, April 21, 2010
SABINA SILVER CORP (TSXV: SBB) Emerging Precious Metals Stock Analysis / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
CREATING PRECIOUS METALS OPPORTUNITES IN THE CANADIAN NORTH
Business Summary - Sabina Gold & Silver Corp. is an emerging precious metals company.
The Company owns a highly prospective land package in one of the world's newest and most politically stable mining jurisdictions - Nunavut, Canada.
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Saturday, April 17, 2010
Looking for High Leverage to Gold Price / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Wellington West Analyst Paolo Lostritto explains why he thinks Burkina Faso is a part of the world gold investors should keep their eyes on. He compares Burkina Faso to the Yukon in terms of the potential for large finds. Closer to home, Paolo says South Carolina is an area where gold production could begin in the next couple of years.
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Saturday, April 17, 2010
Resource Stocks Rally, Will U.S. Treasuries Spoil the Party? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We have to give the March tug of war to the bulls based on market levels and economic news. Those of a more ursine persuasion can still rightly point out that the rally really is getting very long in the tooth.
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Thursday, April 15, 2010
A Deflationary Impulse Would be a Catalyst for Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
While Gold is a hedge for inflation and deflation, that doesn’t mean that gold stocks are a hedge or outperformer in either environment. As we wrote last year, gold stocks tend to perform better when deflation is the concern.
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Wednesday, April 14, 2010
Are Gold and Silver Stocks Going to Plunge From Here? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In our previous essay, we've stated that a small correction [in gold] may be likely very soon, and since that his is what we've seen very recently, you might be wondering if this means that gold is likely to move much lower from here. Although gold didn't move in the opposite direction to the U.S. Dollar during the last several days, the negative correlation between these two markets has been visible during the whole bull market, which means that it may be worthwhile to analyze the USD index even if one is interested only in gold.
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Monday, April 12, 2010
There's Still Money in Junior Gold Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
While Union Securities, Ltd. Investment Advisor Michael Ballanger says we're still in a vintage bear market situation, he sees opportunities for investors in the junior mining sector. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Michael explains the rule of thumb he uses when investing in the juniors.
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Thursday, April 08, 2010
Gold Stocks Sector Sentiment Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Over the last few weeks we’ve been writing about potential macroeconomic developments, which will drive Gold in the near term and in the years ahead. We thought we’d take a break from that and focus on what we enjoy most: analyzing technicals and sentiment.
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Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Gold Stocks Fortune-Making Anomaly is Starting to Close / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
There’s a bull market building in small subsector of gold stocks.
Those who pay close attention now will be set to make an absolute fortune. Here’s why.
Saturday, April 03, 2010
Brent Cook: Big Discoveries, Smart Management, OPM (Other People's Money) / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Size matters to renowned exploration analyst and geologist Brent Cook, not being a fan of small projects. He follows geology and discoveries worldwide and pays close attention to the teams involved. "Although scamsters, frauds or hucksters can make a discovery, you're much better off screening out all but the best people," he tells The Gold Report readers. Brent produces the weekly Exploration Insights newsletter. In this article, he reviews several projects in West Africa, Latin America, the U.S. and Canada. Some of them include joint ventures where larger companies pay the costs for the high risks.
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Friday, April 02, 2010
Gold Global Mining 6 Year Production Downtrend Impact on Junior Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Nearly a decade into gold’s secular bull the mining industry continues to exhibit struggles. And this is best characterized by an ongoing 6-year downtrend in global mine production. For this reason, and the fact that gold is up 373% since 2001, those miners that are able to find success have the ability to greatly profit in this bull. And it is this profit potential that has attracted investors to gold stocks.
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Monday, March 29, 2010
Silver Producers Who Shine / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
"The case has never been better for having a position in precious metals as a store of value," says Mike Niehuser, founder of Beacon Rock Research, LLC, especially in light increasing amounts of government debt. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Mike talks about his goal of finding mining stocks with good management and assets with defined pathways to value creation and two in particular that he's keeping an eye on that "have excellent exploration upside."
The Gold Report: Mike, has your outlook for precious metals changed given the recent strengthening of the U.S. dollar?
Monday, March 29, 2010
Petropavlovsk’s (POG) 2009 Full-Year Results and Iron Ore Project Funding from China / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
Petropavlovsk Plc (POG) released their full-year results last Thursday. Positive figures drove their share price to a three month high. Last Tuesday there was another positive announcement, which, together with the full-year results bodes well for POG shareholders.
It was a fairy tale of positive figures for Petropavlovsk. Full year gold production rose in line with targets at 21 percent, 486,800oz.
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Friday, March 26, 2010
Junior Gold Stocks GDXJ ETF Investing / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Among all commodities stocks, no group is as alluring and dangerous as junior gold stocks. The vast majority of these small companies are explorers, having never made a single dollar in sales. Yet investors and speculators still flock to them. Junior golds far outnumber juniors in every other commodity combined.
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Friday, March 19, 2010
Is it better to buy Gold Bullion or Gold Shares? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Global equity markets have changed over the last three years, investor capacities and capabilities have changed as have interest rate patterns. This makes it incumbent upon investors to re-examine this question from the ground up.
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Friday, March 19, 2010
Are the Precious Metals Stocks Breaking Higher or Topping Out? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In the March 5th commentary, we've summarized that signals coming from the analysis of the PM stocks' charts currently don't give us very precise signals, which may mean that they are to trade sideways for some time instead of making a sharp move in any direction, but there are other signals (…) that we may be near a local top.
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Thursday, March 11, 2010
Where is the Value in the Precious Metals Sector? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Even despite the tremendous recovery in precious metals shares, I still find value across the entire spectrum. The various indices (HUI, XAU & XGD.to) as well as my proprietary junior index (shown below) all rallied back to or near the 2008 high. Since that point, Gold is about 10% higher. It is more than 10% higher when priced in foreign currencies. Meanwhile, Oil, (which is 25% the cost of mining) is down about 30% (from March 2008). I bet most other cost inputs have declined in price.
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Friday, March 05, 2010
Why I'm Buying Back into Gold Stocks Now / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Back in December, I got spooked about gold...
I actually told my subscribers to sell their gold. We sold a position we'd bought back in 2003, when gold was incredibly unpopular.
Friday, March 05, 2010
Penny Mining Shares, U.S. Dollar and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Penny mining shares are poised for incredible gains in the next 12 – 18 months. But before we discuss the details we believe it is necessary to lay a foundation with a brief discussion of the U.S. Dollar and gold.
Seems the world is fixated on the U.S. Dollar and many see it going substantially higher. In our opinion, the charts do not support that conclusion and we see the dollar having topped out and now heading lower.
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Monday, March 01, 2010
Global Debt Crisis Signals Gold Stocks Gold Rush Two / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We called it right again at GoldOz at the beginning of February when we called the XGD “Oversold” and it has since reversed and rallied. Gold made its low a few days later too. At the time many analysts were calling for a general market collapse and they have been wrong so far. We had stepped aside warning Gold Members with support levels and charts as this the local gold stock index weakened. This happened unexpectedly at first however we reacted quickly.
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Saturday, February 27, 2010
Gold Stock Fractal Dreamin' On the Threshold / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Looking for repetitive patterns, or fractals, in markets is something I enjoy. I know I need another hobby, but knowing what's happened in the past and what is possible based on historical precedents can help one to make speculative decisions and anticipate future movements. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't...Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Gold and Silver Stocks Correlation with the General Stock Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In the previous essay, we commented on the recent developments in the price of gold. The technical part of this week's essay is dedicated to the situation in the precious metals stocks and the general stock market. The prices of these stocks are highly correlated with the underlying metals, which means that the following analysis is useful also to Investors and Speculators following the spot prices of gold and silver.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Three Must Own Gold Mining Shares / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Despite gold’s choppy trading range …
Despite the fact that it’s entering a period of short-term weakness and may even fall to just below $1,000 an ounce …
Everyone — and I mean everyone — should consider owning at least my top three gold mining shares.
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Sunday, February 21, 2010
Research On the Central Fund of Canada Screams "Buy Precious Metals and Miners"! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I was doing some research on the Central Fund of Canada (ticker: CEF), which is a form of "paper" Gold and silver with a long track record and a much better counterparty risk profile than dangerous Gold ETFs like GLD. Now, CEF generally holds about 60% Gold and 40% silver, so it is not a "pure" Gold fund. I don't recommend paper Gold to anyone before they have established a physical position in Gold as an insurance policy that can always be cashed in when needed. I am not affiliated with nor am I recommending for or against CEF - you must due your own due diligence!
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Saturday, February 13, 2010
My Secret Gold Stocks Timing System / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark writes: Right now is the best time in a year to buy into the precious metal sector.
My long-time readers know I rarely buy gold stocks. Because of the long-term bull market in gold, these stocks get very popular with the public in a hurry. Gold stock investors are a highly emotional bunch, and they'll change
Friday, February 12, 2010
Gold Stocks, Sooner or Later You’ll Invest Abroad / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jeff Clark, Editor of Casey’s Gold & Resource Report writes: Many conventional U.S. brokers are relatively clueless when it comes to gold stocks. If you asked them to name one, chances are it would be a domestic producer, one with assets located primarily in North America. But that's not where the big money will be made over the next decade.
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Thursday, February 11, 2010
The Wii, WHY, WOO of Trading Gold Stock Warrants / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Not to worry, this is not a marketing pitch to encourage you to buy warrants. Investors must make numerous decisions before even considering the purchase of warrants as well as call options or LEAPS.
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Saturday, February 06, 2010
Buying Opportunity for Gold and Silver, Precious Metals Senior and Junior Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold, silver, and mining stocks have been declining very rapidly in the past several weeks and they have now reached (or are even below) our previous the target areas for this downswing. Is this a buying opportunity, or should precious metals investors take additional new factors into account? In the following essay we would like to provide you with our thoughts on the current situation in the precious metals stocks: both big senior companies (represented by the HUI Index and the GDX ETF) and the small-cap juniors (represented by the TSX Venture Index)
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Tuesday, February 02, 2010
Gold Stocks Oversold / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
A piece of news I expected is now out – an Obama plan to spend more money on stimulus. I have stated this would happen in the past weeks. Will it get passed or not is the question? There will be a battle and the proposals may get changed around however there is one thing for certain the Government will spend. I discussed this with a colleague a few weeks back and we agreed there was no way any government in an election mode would withdraw stimulus.
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Sunday, January 31, 2010
Gold Stock Bugs Screaming Buy Have Lost Money Over the Past Four Years / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The gold community for a number of years has been screaming, “Buy, buy, and buy now before it’s too late!” Advertisements to “Buy gold…..” are all over television seven days a week, fifty-two weeks a year. Gold bugs claim that the gold shares will far outperform the metal. Well, if you want to know what distribution over an almost four year period looks like study this chart of the HUI. It will take you less than a moment to recognize the fact that if you owned the shares in the HUI for the past four years you now have a loss. Unfortunately this loss takes place at a moment in time when the HUI has once again made an important top and is prepared to move down with a vengeance.
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Wednesday, January 27, 2010
Gold and Silver Stocks Appear to Be Bottoming, Go Long Now? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
This week's free commentary is based on what we've sent to our Subscribers yesterday in the form of a Market Alert. It (along with the following Premium Update) included comments on many markets, but in this essay we will focus on precious metals stocks. Let's begin with a long-term chart of the HUI Index (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com.)
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Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Aussie Gold Stocks Sector Shines Bright / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
History Always Repeats - Although gold had been rumoured to have been found in Australia as early as 1814, the first gold fields did not appear until thirty years later. Gold discoveries were not considered blessings in the pre 1850’s Australian convict society as the authorities believed gold fever could potentially cause anarchy in the small fledgling British colonies.
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Monday, January 18, 2010
Why Warrants of Gold/Silver Companies Outperformed Gold/Silver So Dramatically in 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We are in the eye of the storm and when the other side of the vortex engulfs us gold and silver will increase considerably, their associated stocks will go up substantially and their warrants, where available, will escalate dramatically. They did so in 2009 (see below) and will most likely do so again in 2010. Does your portfolio properly reflect the opportunities that will continue to present themselves in 2010 and beyond?
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Tuesday, January 12, 2010
Bottom Fishing in the Junior Precious Metals Sector 2010 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
According to John Kaiser, creator of the Bottom-Fish Index, companies on his 2010 list are cheap because the market thinks the junior resource sector lacks the staying power it needs for their management group to guide them into significant growth. Whether the market is correct remains to be seen. John hopes to never again see a Bottom-Fishing opportunity such as that left in the wake of the crash of 2008. That said, the denizens of the deep he dredged up for his 2009 Bottom-Fish Index soared spectacularly close to 300% last year and in this exclusive Gold Report interview, he says they may double or triple in the year we've just begun. As for gold, regardless of where the price goes—up, down or sideways—John has suggestions about good places investors to be.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2010
More Mexican Precious Metals Investing Stars Part2 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As we learned in Part I of Trey Wasser's interview, his Mexican Gold & Silver Explorers Model (MSG) tracks junior explorers and producers as they define and develop precious metal assets and bring them into profitable production. Trey's model-based index has enjoyed a 250% increase since inception in January 2007—including no loss in the 2008 crash—so he clearly has a keen eye for what it takes to make a winner. Read on as Trey willingly shares insights on lots of his favorites in Part II of this exclusive interview.
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Saturday, January 09, 2010
Trey Wasser: Identifying Stars in the Mexican Precious Metals Universe (Part I) / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Trey Wasser, who designed the Mexican Gold & Silver Explorers Model to track junior explorers and producers as they define and develop precious metal assets and bring them into profitable production, took a breather from his frequent travels south of the border to spend some time with The Gold Report. Trey's model-based index has enjoyed a 250% increase since inception in January 2007—including no loss in the 2008 crash—so he clearly has a keen eye for what it takes to make a winner. Better yet, he willingly shares insights on lots of his favorites in Part I of this exclusive interview. More to come on Monday, January 11.
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Friday, January 08, 2010
Manufacturing Our Economies and the Gold Coup of the Decade / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The Dollar fell against six other currencies on the U.S. Dollar Index on the back of news from Federal Reserve Governor Elizabeth Duke that “moderate” economic growth is likely to lead to sustained low interest rates.
So whilst the Dollar seems to be struggling but still afloat, the American manufacturing industry seems to be, dare I say, beginning to show symptoms of a recovery.
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Monday, January 04, 2010
A Surprising New Trend in Gold Stocks Emerges / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Put together a volatile asset class, a new all-time high, a sharp correction, and the start of a New Year and what do you get…a very diverse set of expectations.
Many of the long-time gold followers are as bullish as ever. Rob McEwen, one of the world’s most prominent gold bugs, recently stated, “By the end of 2010 I see the gold price at $2000 and before the game's over at over $5000.”
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Friday, December 18, 2009
Gold HUI Stocks Recovery / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
One year ago this week, I wrote about the end of the gold-stock panic. As measured by its flagship HUI gold-stock index, this sector plummeted an unbelievable 52% in a matter of weeks in October 2008. It was an epic catastrophe and its aftermath is still reverberating through gold stocks to this day. All of 2009 has been defined by gold stocks’ recovery from this unprecedented panic anomaly.
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Sunday, December 13, 2009
How to Trade Precious Metal Stocks Right Now / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Matt Badiali writes: When you're sending out your Christmas cards this month, gold and silver stock investors should send one to Beijing.
The people of China have helped gold and silver stock investors (and readers of my S&A Resource Report) make a lot of money this year. And they've helped make several of my predictions turn out right on the money.
Tuesday, December 08, 2009
Canadian Gold Junior Mining Stocks Soar, Should You Buy Now? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
For years, gold bugs like Doug Casey and his team have been saying that once gold takes off to stratospheric heights, it will take the gold mining stocks with it. It’s called the “Mania phase” of the commodity bull market.
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Friday, December 04, 2009
Gold Major and Junior Stocks Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
With the Gold market hitting the point of recognition, and Silver soon to follow, investors should now spend their energy focusing on the companies. In fact, that is why we started a newsletter dedicated to tracking as many of the companies and as frequently as possible. This weeks issue, updated nearly 55 gold and silver stocks. The majority of those stocks look like they can gain a bit more before they run into resistance.
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Wednesday, December 02, 2009
Precious Metals Stocks, Breakout or Plunge? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In a world of paper currencies and paper promises, I can think of many reasons right off the top of my head why the price of gold will continue to go up in the long term, however since this essay's length is limited, I'll just mention 5 of them. In short, while it may feel like a bubble to some, I believe we are just warming up.
Last week I mentioned a few of such reasons, but I would like to expand this topic this week. Below I have featured ten of the many points that currently point to higher value of the gold price in the long run.
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Wednesday, December 02, 2009
Are Penny Mining Stocks Your Ticket to Great Wealth? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Let’s call this a sneak preview of coming attractions.
Have you ever wanted to have the opportunity to make a lot of money? How about getting rich?
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Tuesday, December 01, 2009
Using Gold's Cyclical Model to Trade Junior Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold is cyclical. Can knowing this help us make logical trading decisions about low priced gold stocks known as Juniors? Do these wild, speculative stocks even care what the price of gold is doing. Even if they do, why would I want to gamble on such a high risk investment? Lets take a look.
Since gold has bolted to new highs, I am getting more questions about the gold ETF, gold stocks, their options and juniors in particular. Here are a few of the questions and issues.
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Tuesday, December 01, 2009
Gold Rich Australia Hikes Interest Rates Again / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Interest rates are up again here in Australia as the RBA hikes our prime rate by 0.25% to 3.75%. One bank has already come out with a 0.45% hit on mortgage borrowers of nearly double that figure. The Federal Treasurer stated that the banks have no justification to take this policy course however I beg to differ – truth is they have to rebuild their balance sheets to cover the bad and doubtful loans on their books – some of which are disguised as performing assets.
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Monday, November 30, 2009
Gold Miners Making More Money? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Mining is a tough business and profits are rarely easy to come by. I learned the concept of the "real" price of Gold from Bob Hoye at Institutional Advisors. This concept ignores the nominal price of Gold (i.e. ignores the currency effect, which is difficult for paperbugs but easy for long term Gold bulls) and focuses on the price of Gold relative to the price of other commodities as a ratio. Mr. Hoye has his own proprietary index, but as we all stand on the shoulders of giants before us, I use my own proxy of this ratio by dividing the Gold price by other commodities indices (I typically use the Continuous Commodities Index [$CCI]).
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Friday, November 27, 2009
Gold Stocks and GLD ETF Popularity / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold’s amazing run since September has mainstream analysts, who are normally gold-haters, lauding its virtues. All of a sudden gold is now an integral asset that all investors should own. Why this quick shift of opinion? Big developments on the fundamental front (that did not come as surprises to informed investors like our newsletter subscribers), coupled with a run of 22 new all-time nominal highs, can change one’s mindset rather quickly.
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Tuesday, November 17, 2009
U.S. Dollar on Death Row Means Boom Time for Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Louis James, Senior Editor of Doug Casey's International Speculator, reiterates his conviction that the dollar is on death row with no one prepared to grant a stay of execution. Dismal as it is, this situation gives rise to increasingly positive prospects for gold and other commodities that may ultimately stand in as the world's reserve currency. And there are some pretty hot speculative prospects—Louis' "best of the best" —waiting in the wings for the market's next big leg down that he's been forecasting.
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Monday, November 16, 2009
Exciting Gold Stocks Performance Down Under in Australia / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I have just completed a major overhaul of my chart set which correlates with my coverage of the Australian gold sector. It is news analysis time as I have been updating news from the end of the October releases of the September quarterly reports.
This is an intense time of the quarter for my overall company research covering the gold sector Down Under and although it is a massive undertaking to handle properly it is well worth the effort.
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Friday, November 13, 2009
SPX Stock Market Pullback to Drag Commodity Stocks Lower / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver Stocks
With the US stock markets very overextended technically, my recent research has focused on this development’s implications. Several weeks ago I outlined the extremely overbought conditions in the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX). Last week I explored how the overdue SPX pullback is even likely to spill over into the precious-metals stocks, dragging them down.
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Wednesday, November 11, 2009
Junior Gold Miner ETF GDXJ Welcomed to the Party / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The Junior Gold Miner ETF (ticker: GDXJ) from Van Eck Global is now in business. Though I have a problem with putting larger silver miners in this ETF as the heaviest-weighted holdings (get info from the Van Eck website here), I will be participating. This is a good vehicle for those looking to get into the more speculative side of the Gold patch without doing all the homework. It also provides a measure of international exposure.
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Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Gold Stocks Boom During 2010 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold has just breached US$1100 after a strong move following the purchase of 200 tonnes of gold bullion by the Reserve Bank of India from the International Monetary Fund. This overhang had been troubling “ye of little faith” observers of gold.
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Friday, November 06, 2009
U.S. Dollar Tops, while Precious Metal Stocks Bottom / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
There’s More to Seasonality Than Summer Doldrums - This has surely been an exciting week for gold and silver investors. The post-Halloween rally that I mentioned in the previous Premium Update, took metals and corresponding stocks substantially higher, and gold itself reached new highs – at least in nominal terms. The mainstream media are now reporting gold-related stories on a big scale and „gold prices“ is the second most often searched for phrase on http://finance.yahoo.com.
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Friday, November 06, 2009
SPX Stock Market and HUI Gold Stocks Pullbacks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
After India’s central bank gobbled up half of the gold (200 metric tons) the IMF recently offered for sale, gold surged 2.4% on Tuesday to a new all-time nominal high near $1085. Naturally traders flooded into the gold stocks to leverage such an exciting day, driving the flagship HUI gold-stock index up by 8.0%.
Although this surge was certainly fun, considered in context its results were disappointing. Believe it or not, in the hyper-volatile HUI an 8% up day isn’t very rare. There was a 9%+ one in early September and a 7% one in early October. Considering gold rallied $25 in a single day and exceeded its old record by $21, the HUI ought to have done much better on Tuesday.
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Thursday, November 05, 2009
Gold Stock Peak and the Dow to Gold Ratio Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I firmly believe in the concept of the Dow to Gold ratio to guide my longer term investment decisions. I also believe that for this economic cycle, the Dow to Gold ratio will get back down to 2 or less before the current secular general stock bear market is over. Why do I like the Dow to Gold ratio? Because it negates the need to worry about the inflation-deflation debate! If some of the smartest and most savvy investment professionals in the business can't agree on the inflation-deflation debate, how can a typical retail investor hope to figure it out? By reducing the issue of where to put your investment money into two simple choices (i.e. put it in the Dow Jones or buy physical Gold), the mystery of investing is reduced to the absurdly simple.
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Wednesday, November 04, 2009
Scary Specter of '30s-Style Economic Depression / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Jay Taylor, who publishes Gold, Energy & Technology Stocks and hosts his "Turning Hard Times into Good Times" radio program each week, is hoping and praying for deflation to help the U.S. heal its wounds and find its way back to prosperity. He has reasons to think the dollar might bounce back, too. Nevertheless, Jay reminds The Gold Report readers about frightening parallels to the 1930s and doesn't dismiss the possibility of a hyperinflation that renders the U.S. dollar about as valuable as toilet paper. Although bulls have been charging around Wall Street the past few months, he expects fearsome bears to reemerge soon and feast on equities almost like they did last year. If he's right, he also foresees a "grand buying opportunity" and the potential for "huge upside gains" for savvy investors in some gold mining stocks.
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Tuesday, November 03, 2009
Gold Miners Versus the S&P Index, Gimme A Break! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Ratio charts help keep things in perspective for me. Until my "great awakening" regarding long term investment cycles, I thought everyone just bought and held stocks and then woke up 40 years later with enough money to retire. BWAHAHAHAHA! The paperbugs are a little bizarre due to their religious intensity beliefs in the power of Wall Street, for-profit central bankstas and government. I used to actually care about federal reserve interest rate announcements until I learned that they don't have the power to set interest rates at all - the market does that and the fed simply follows. If you believe otherwise, you might be a paperbug yourself.
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Friday, October 30, 2009
Gold Stocks Slide as U.S. Dollar Index Strengthens, Should You Be Concerned? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The precious metals market is correcting, as I mentioned it in the previous essay, when I summarized that it seems that gold, silver, and corresponding equities need to take a breather to correct their post-$1,000-breakout rally. This is what we’ve seen lately, so the question is how low can we go and what to look for as signs of a reversal.
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Friday, October 30, 2009
Doug Casey on Leveraged Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
L: Doug, we were talking about gold last week, so we should follow up with a look at gold stocks. If one of the reasons to own gold is that it’s real – it’s not paper, it’s not simultaneously someone else’s liability – why own gold stocks?
Doug: Leverage. Gold stocks are problematical as investments. That’s true of all resource stocks, especially stocks in exploration companies, as opposed to producers. If you want to make a proper investment, the way to do that is to follow the dictates of Graham and Dodd, or use the method Warren Buffett has proven to be so successful over many years. Unfortunately, resource stocks in general and metals exploration stocks in particular just don’t lend themselves to such methodologies. They are another class of security entirely.
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Thursday, October 29, 2009
Gold Price Today, Barrick Gold’s Q3 to Show De-hedging Progress / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Barrick Gold is a perculiar investment to analyse. It’s past is steeped in mystery, some good, some bad. We’re not here to judge this on their morals, just their investment potential.
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Monday, October 26, 2009
Introducing the New Gold and Silver Companies Index (GSCI) / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
To meet the growing needs of investors interested in investing in the broader, yet small-, micro- and nano-cap skewed, precious metals mining sector (i.e. the ‘juniors’) 4 new indices have come on the scene lately to wide acclaim. They are the Gold and Silver Companies Index (GSCI) and the Precious Metals Warrants Index (PMWI) and 2 all encompassing commodity-related company indices (i.e. also including commodities other than just gold and silver) the Commodity Companies Index (CCI) and the Commodity Warrants Index (CWI).
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Sunday, October 25, 2009
Junior Gold Mining Stock List / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I have created a junior Gold Miner stock list/index for my own use and thought I would share it for those who may be interested. I was hoping that by sharing this list, I may get some feedback and suggestions for improving this list. This list is very important to me for one reason: I plan to use it to make money.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 22, 2009
Can Americans Really Buy The Canadian Mining Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We are of the opinion that the Canadian mining stocks are close to a spectacular breakout very soon and we think it timely to revisit one of our articles of a few years ago.
Are the potential gains only for Canadian investors?
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Wednesday, October 21, 2009
GDXJ ETF, A Golden Star is about to be Born / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
A new ETF is being introduced to the investing community by van Eck Global, the same corporation that is behind a number of ETFs, including GDX, the Gold Miners ETF. This ETF (symbol GDXJ) will represent 38 junior mining and exploration companies that have mining potential. The complete listing is available at the bottom of this article.
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Monday, October 19, 2009
Gold Miners Mega Profits / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Mega profits are achievable via investment in Australian gold shares and we recently proved this via an educational piece (end August) that discussed a method of valuing companies. Within six weeks the stock made a high at 260% of the original price for a clear gain of 160%.
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Friday, October 09, 2009
Clif Droke Looks at Producer Expectations for Gold, Base Metals Prices / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold is at an all-time high and the XAU index has recently achieved a new recovery high for the year. Is there a basis for this latest gold and silver stock rally in light of the recent 10-year cycle peak? What would be the justification for it based on the cycles? According to savvy market technician, seasoned chart reader and cycle analyst Clif Droke, the answer is that investors are responding to the 10-year cycle peak by running to the precious metals and its related vehicles by treating them as safe havens. The public's fear of a dollar collapse is no secret and has reached the saturation point
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Wednesday, October 07, 2009
Rye Patch Gold Drilling for Feeder System / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Rye Patch Gold (TSX.V:RPM) has a single corporate objective. Prove up somewhere in the neighbourhood of 10 million ounces of gold and equivalents, and sell the company lock stock and barrel to one of the majors operating in Nevada who need replacement ounces. CEO Bill Howald doesn’t care whether its Newmont (NYSE:NEM), Barrick (NYSE:ABX, TSX:ABX) or Kinross (NYSE: KGC, TSX: K).
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Tuesday, October 06, 2009
Gold and Silver Stocks Sentiment Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In analyzing the sentiment towards gold stocks, I am going to start with a tactic from Bernie Schaeffer of Schaeffer’s Research. I believe he espouses the idea of looking at the consensus view of analysts. If most analysts are bullish on a stock or sector, then where is the money going to come from to push shares higher? Conversely, if a sector is rising but the analysts are not bullish, they can change their mind and that provides further buying power.
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Tuesday, October 06, 2009
The Gold Stocks Big Bang / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Quick update – the Aussie XGD (weighted ASX gold index) went its own way again yesterday (Monday 5th September 2009) rising 1.4% while the XAO fell 0.58%. Gold was up to US$1,017.50 overnight and this equates to an AUD gold price of $1,160. The Dow was up despite wide claims October will be a disaster. The XGD has opened up today (Tuesday) at around 2.5% at 5,300+ and it out performed the XAO yet again closing up 2.49% on the day.
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Monday, October 05, 2009
Gold Stocks HUI Index Forecast Uptrend Into December / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The daily chart of the HUI is shown below, with the lower 21 MA Bollinger band near the index, suggestive that further downside in the HUI. Upper 34 and 55 MA Bollinger bands are still going sideways, suggestive that a top was put in place. Full stochastics 1, 2 and 3 are shown below in order of descent, with the %K beneath the %D in 2 and 3. Based upon extrapolation of the %K in stochastics 1 and 2, expect another 2-3 weeks of downside at a minimum before a bottom is put in place. The anticipated level of support is at 340-345.
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Monday, October 05, 2009
Can Gold and Silver Equities Expect +5,000% Returns Again? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
With what has happened in the world of late and what will be unfolding in the next 5 years or so those few investors who fully understand the impact the current economic situation is going to have on future inflation, the USD, interest rates, the stock market, physical gold and silver and gold and silver stocks and warrants in particular are going to be in the unique position of being the benefactors of currently unimaginable returns and wealth. All they need do, as I like to say, is “Just prepare and prosper!”
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Saturday, October 03, 2009
How to Skew the Odds in Your Favor in the Investment Game / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Well-known and highly regarded throughout the mining and exploration community, Mercenary Geologist Mickey Fulp knows stocks as well as rocks. When he's not poring over financial reports, drill results and commodity trends, he's out in the field checking properties of some of the companies he follows—whether the treks take him just below the U.S.-Mexican border, over to Haiti or all the way to Armenia. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, Mickey shares his thoughts about some of his favorites in the sector and reminds investors, "Do your own due diligence, dude."
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Thursday, September 17, 2009
Gold Stocks Still in the Early Stages of a Historic Multi Year Bull Run / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold Stocks vs. Other Stocks - Compared to various stock groups, gold stocks offer good value. Take a look at these ratios. In nominal terms the GDM index is well above its 1994 & 1996 high. Yet in real terms (against these other stock groups), GDM is considerably below the high in the mid 1990s. Why should we care? It indicates that we have yet to see a widespread move out of other stock sectors and into the gold stocks. That is pretty amazing considering that gold stocks have been rising for nine years.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Australian Gold Stocks, Diary of a Short-Term Trade & Fundamental Application / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Introduction - This article is for traders and investors (non traders) alike. Readers that know my work know that I use technical indicators for exit and entry points, however only after I like the fundamental picture in a stock or commodity.
My GoldOz Members received access to an educational file analyzing the stock at the centre of the illustration trade in this report a few weeks back. Members also would have seen the obvious parallel I used when comparing this company to one other stock which also went up nearly 50% since I posted that report.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2009
Gold Shares and Warrants, The Leverage Factor / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Investors the world over are constantly evaluating the leverage, risk and potential rewards of their investment decisions. Whether you are an individual investor or an analyst for a large mutual fund, leverage, risk and the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow are always factors to be considered.
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Friday, September 11, 2009
Gold Stocks Still Cheap / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Last week when gold started flirting with $1000, the gold stocks caught a serious bid. On an impressive 3.8% 2-day gold rally, the flagship HUI unhedged gold-stock index rocketed 15.7% higher! And the volume in this index’s elite gold stocks was staggering those 2 days, 2.8x the 3-month average.
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Thursday, September 03, 2009
Australian Gold Shares in Massive Break Out / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We have been working at the subject of international participation in the Australian Gold Sector – a “how to” for offshore investors. A file will be down loaded into our Gold Members subscription area within the next few days setting out the offshore Exchange Codes and methods to invest in this exciting gold sector from anywhere in the world.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2009
Antioquia Gold Drilling Colombian Assets / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Colombia has emerged as a prolific source of new gold deposits during the last several years, and Antioquia Gold Inc. (TSX.V:AGD) is the latest TSX Venture listed company to begin exploration there. Antioquia (pronounced An-tee-oh-¬kwee-ah) controls a 100% interest in 6 mining concessions covering a total of 279 hectares (Guayabito) and a 90% interest in 2 additional and adjacent mining concessions that cover 5,243 hectares, both in the department (province) of Antioquia, 70 kilometres northeast of Medellin, the regional capital.
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Saturday, August 29, 2009
Profiting from the Precious Metals Sector… / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In keeping with our recent theme of generating income from gold and gold share investments, we now continue with the final installment in our series. We trust you found the first two parts helpful, the former on convertible gold securities and the latter on covered calls.
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Friday, August 28, 2009
Evaluating and Choosing Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
One of the most important questions investors have about gold stocks is “which is the best stock to buy”? You want to invest in the next ten bagger, all investors do. Huge profits that leverage the coming gold price rise are most certainly possible in gold stocks however you are unlikely to achieve this by luck. Choosing without in-depth evaluation is a recipe for disaster.
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Friday, August 28, 2009
Ellis Martin and David Morgan Discuss Junior Silver Mining Companies / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Ellis Martin: Welcome to The Opportunity Show. I’m Ellis Martin. Today we are talking about the possibility of making real money at this time by investing in silver stocks. Joining me is silver guru David Morgan of silver-investor.com. Thanks for joining us today again.
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Monday, August 24, 2009
Hot Gold Stocks, Drop Bears and Market Timing / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Share price action has been patchy but exciting in many cases over the last few months. We called a correction at GoldOz and were right for the overall majority of the gold equities sector. However this has been a bit of a “drop bear” rather than a “bear market” type of correction – why? Numerous hot “multi-baggers” in our short list on the Gold Members pages have performed strongly as their share prices doubled, tripled and quadrupled or better.
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Monday, August 17, 2009
Negative Confluence for Gold Miners GDX ETF / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The big picture of the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) argues strongly that the price structure has additional downside ahead that points to a test of the Jan-Aug support line, now at 35.65. The juxtaposition of price, the RSI, and MACD at this point looks to me like the GDX is vulnerable to considerly more downside than 35.60.
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Saturday, August 15, 2009
John Doody Searching for Value Gold Stocks Comes Up With Winners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Heralded as "the best of today's best," Gold Stock Analyst author and publisher John Doody's Top 10 portfolio is up 61% through the end of July. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Doody talks about misperceptions about a summer slump, his Market Cap metric, and select producers or near producers he thinks are well positioned to thrive in the current environment.
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Thursday, August 13, 2009
New Gold & Red Back – Building a Major League Profile / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As a general rule, the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information
With gold stocks, bigger is almost always better. When you look at the cash costs of the industry, almost all the lowest cost producers are major mining companies. Larger production means more ounces to amortize costs, so a lower cost per ounce.
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Monday, July 27, 2009
Essential Gold Stock Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Australia is a major gold producing nation and a stable political environment in which to operate mining activities. The global interest in our sector is significant and we have seen massive capital inflows into the sector during the past 18 months, both during and in contrast to very tough international credit / investment conditions.
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Friday, July 17, 2009
The Gold Stocks Are Still Undervalued / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Even after a massive recovery with sustained gains the gold stocks are still significantly undervalued. At the major highs of Gold $1030/oz and HUI 520, the costs to these companies were very high. Oil was high, steel was high and because of general inflation most costs were escalating. Now we have Gold 940, and HUI 350, but Oil and Steel are much lower.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 13, 2009
When to Buy Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
“I think we're going to have some of the worst inflation, with all the printing presses around the world running 24/7.”
That’s what leading contrarian investor David Dreman said in an interview two weeks ago.
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Monday, June 29, 2009
Upside Projected for Gold Miners GDX ETF / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
All of the hourly action off of Friday’s recovery high at 40.60 into this morning’s low at 38.85 in the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) has the right look of the completion of a minor correction within a larger upside recovery period that projects to 41.00 and possibly 43.25 thereafter. At this juncture, only a decline that breaks 38.00 will begin to compromise my current outlook.
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Friday, June 26, 2009
Ventana Gold Bandwagon Getting Crowded / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Nary a week passes without some new analyst report recommending Ventana Gold (TSX:VEN) as a ‘Buy” at prices exponentially higher than the last week. This week was no exception, as yesterday saw Canaccord Adams analyst Nicholas Campbell come out with a $7.50 price target for the company, citing Ross Beaty’s Lumina Capital’s ownership of 11.3% of the company.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2009
How to Analyze Insider Selling in the Junior Mining Sector / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The junior mining sector has been performing much better in the last few months and we have seen many of the shares prices jump up substantially in price. Investors may be asking, ‘is it too late to buy or should we sell?’
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Monday, June 22, 2009
Gold Stocks Can Add Returns With No Extra Volatility / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold stocks are among the most volatile asset classes, but old and new research shows that their judicious use can enhance investor returns without adding portfolio risk.
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Sunday, June 21, 2009
Gold Stock Correction Timing / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I am a big time Gold stock bull based on the deflationary depression that I believe has already begun (for those who don’t understand why deflation is good for Gold miners, look here). The stock market is a dangerous place to be right now and there’s no rush to speculate on the upside right now. Patience will be rewarded as the new bear leg down in the stock market that has begun will take even good sectors down with it.
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Saturday, June 20, 2009
Time to Buy Gold Stocks and Not the Metal? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The gold price average over the last year has risen to close to the current price. This means that the gold sales income of the mining companies has persisted for long-enough for the mining companies to have income available for payout to shareholders or to improve their Balance Sheet. This makes mining companies with their leverage to the gold price more attractive than the metal itself, currently. We let our subscribers know the shares we believe will give them the greatest overall return on their investment, so we restrict ourselves in this article to the underlying principles that guide us in our choice.
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Thursday, June 18, 2009
Musings from the 2009 World Resource Investment Conference / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The recent 2009 World Resource Investment Conference was moved to the new Vancouver Convention Centre in Vancouver BC, constructed in advance of the 2010 Winter Olympics. The fresh venue for the conference did not seem to carry the enthusiasm equal to the new venue or previous conferences at the neighboring waterfront convention center.
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Tuesday, June 16, 2009
Gold and Silver Junior Mining stocks Summertime Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Consistently urging investors to be patient and disciplined, practicing what he preaches has earned Adrian Day a sterling reputation and recognition as an authority in both global and resource investing. In the long term, he anticipates much more upside in gold juniors than seniors, and in the short term—specifically this summer—he looks forward to an "extremely good buying opportunity" among some of the juniors he follows. In this exclusive Gold Report interview, the President of Adrian Day Asset Management also says he sees gold "convincingly" breaking through the "magical big round number" of $1,000 within 9 to 12 months and expects gold to outperform stocks "fairly significantly" over the next year or so. That doesn't necessarily lead him to an optimistic economic forecast, though. Because the recession gripping the globe is the result of "secular deleveraging contractions" (interest rates too low and money too easy), Adrian thinks it will take a long time to pull free.
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Monday, June 15, 2009
When Gold Climbs Silver Soars, Silver Stocks Where Cheaper is Better / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Two weeks ago precious metals were as hot as ever. Gold prices were climbing. Gold stocks were doing even better. And silver prices were leading the way.
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Wednesday, June 03, 2009
Precious Metals: Too Far Too Fast? What’s Likely to Happen Now? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
This year’s bad economic news overshadowed the aspect of geopolitical risk, which again reared its ugly head over the past few weeks. North Korea has conducted a new nuclear test and fired short range missiles. Iran has made several moves that in slower news cycles would have dominated the headlines. Israel, worried about the situation in Iran, is conducting a five day drill, dubbed ‘Turning point 3,” to prepare Israel’s rapid response capabilities in the event of simultaneous missile strikes and terrorist attacks. All this is bad enough without mentioning other flash points, such as Afghanistan, Pakistan, Nigeria and Venezuela.
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Sunday, May 24, 2009
Igniting Gold and Silver Stock GDX, SLV ETFs / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) hit my initial upside trading target zone of 42.50 in the aftermath of its upside breakout from 39.00/55 mid-week. The GDX has confirmed its breakout from a multi-month base pattern, which has optimal (non-specific timeframe) projections into the 53.00-55.00 target zone. From a near-term perspective, the next target is 45.00. If one of the patented downside swoons occurs, the GDX should hold support at 40.00-39.50 ahead of the next significant upside pivot reversal.
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Sunday, May 24, 2009
Junior Exploration Companies Prospective Project Generator / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As a general rule, the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information
Junior exploration companies raise money to acquire and explore a property while praying/hoping the first drill hole, or maybe the next one, is the big discovery everyone’s looking for. Without internally generated positive cash flow our juniors are money-eating machines constantly having to go to the market to raise capital through equity offerings. But for an investor the resulting share dilution to acquire and explore property after property, continually looking for that discovery, means your return on any such eventual find is diluted down with each financing.
Friday, May 22, 2009
Gold Stocks Haven't Even Begun to Soar / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Steve Sjuggerud writes: Yesterday, I spent an hour and a half with two of the most experienced gold investors on the planet...
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Wednesday, May 20, 2009
CDNX Junior Miners, Keeping An Eye On The Insiders / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Recently we have seen several articles on the merits of tracking insider buying activity and we would like to put our spin on the subject adding our specific interest in the natural resource sector. The junior mining shares are looking better each day as represented by the CDNX (S&P/TSX Venture Composite Index) and investors need all the tools possible at their disposal.
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Friday, May 15, 2009
Gold Trust ETF (GLD) Looking to Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold – it is the yellow precious metal once used as a primary form of currency for thousands of years. It is durable, liquid and almost indestructible. Historically, investors have fled unstable markets in search of reliable sources of value and stability, which can generally be achieved by investing in this precious metal. For those who want cost efficient access to the gold market, investing in the SPDR Gold Trust Exchange Traded Fund (GLD) is one of the easiest means of doing so. It is the world’s largest gold-backed ETF that offers risk takers a chance to profit by establishing a position in an investment vehicle that has somewhat of an inverse relationship to the equity markets.
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Friday, May 15, 2009
Junior Gold, Silver and Resource Mining Stocks Prospects / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Just a few years ago, the junior resource stocks were hotter than the sun. The fact that the accelerating commodities bull was secular in nature was finally starting to sink in for mainstream traders. With a growing world in desperate need of endless new supplies of natural resources, capital flooded into junior resource stocks driving some truly epic gains.
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Tuesday, May 12, 2009
All Eyes are on the HUI Gold Bugs Index / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The HUI index is poised to break out above 350. The importance of this breakout is evident in the following chart.
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Monday, May 11, 2009
Gold Miners GDX ETF Bullish Consolidation? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The last three sessions in the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) represent a high level bullish congestion area between 37.80 and 36.60 atop the most recent upleg that started at the 4/17 low of 30.80. If indeed, the past 3 sessions is a bullish consolidation, then the GDX should thrust to the upside to test multi-month highs clustered in the 38.70-39.00 area, and which if hurdled, should trigger a very powerful upside follow-through that projects to 42.50, then 45.00. Conversely, if the GDX breaks and sustains beneath 36.50, then more than likely the price structure will loop down to 35.00-34.50 prior to making another run on the upside. I have tightened my stop on our model portfolio position to 36.40 to reflect my current outlook. MJP 5/11/09 11:30 AM ET (37.10)Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 11, 2009
A Kamloops BC Copper/Gold Junior Giant / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Abacus Mining AME.tsx-v (amemining.com) signed a deal with Teck Cominco (TC) in 2002 to earn into a group of claims around the old Afton mine site ten kilometers southwest of city center Kamloops, British Columbia. TC had been mining the Afton pit, as well as other pits (Ajax) to run its 10,000 tonne per day (tpd) copper/gold operation until mining was suspended in 1997 because of low copper prices.
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Friday, May 08, 2009
Favour Gold and Silver Mining Stocks That Perform Extensive and Aggressive Drilling / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Whether it's precious or base metals in the ground, Rosseau Asset Management founder Warren Irwin likes to see extensive, aggressive drill programs in promising deposits. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, he says that investments in such companies have paid off in the past and are likely to do so in the future. Gold or silver, copper or nickel, even if commodity prices fall, he argues that the miners with the higher-grade deposits and busy drills have—and offer—the best price protection.
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Friday, May 08, 2009
HUI Gold Stocks Bullish Technicals / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Over the 6 months since the height of the stock panic in late November, commodities stocks have probably been the best-performing sector. While general stocks slumped to new lower lows in early March, commodities stocks surged. Their bullish fundamentals drove 50% to 100%+ gains over the S&P 500’s exact low-to-low span!
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Tuesday, May 05, 2009
Peter Zihlmann: Junior Gold and Silver Mining Stocks a Bargain? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
What to buy—gold or gold shares? While many argue that bullion is the better investment, Peter Zihlmann of P. Zihlmann Investment Management makes a compelling case for gold shares with a focus on junior miners. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Peter explains how gold shares have actually outperformed the yellow metal at a ratio of 5-to-1 since the start of the bull market.
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Friday, May 01, 2009
Gold Stocks Investing: Producer Categories / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In my tenure as an analyst on the gold stock circuit, I’ve been blessed to have experienced some pretty neat things that have given me an inside look at the gold mining industry. And by far the most exciting of my adventures have been tours of actual gold mines.
I’ve descended deep into the bowels of the earth to tour a small subterranean mining operation that follows a series of rich gold-bearing veins. I’ve also had a behind-the-scenes tour of a robust open-pit surface operation. Ultimately whether big or small, after going on a mine tour you don’t have to be a gold bug to be in awe of what goes into that shiny gold necklace that Aunt Jenny is wearing.
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Thursday, April 30, 2009
Gold Stock Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Since I’ve written about gold more than a few times recently, I thought it was time to check in the gold stocks. Most of the mainstream media seems cautiously bullish on gold yet they offer no position on the gold stocks. While the stocks are well off their highs, there are several key positive developments for the sector. The first is that a new cyclical bull market has started in relative terms.
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Thursday, April 23, 2009
Gold Miners ETF Hurdles Over Key Resistance / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold and the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) are acting well as the market rolls over. They’re both climbing in unison this morning, but more importantly the strength in the GDX has hurdled key near-term resistance at 32.90-33.00, which from a technical perspective should trigger upside continuation towards a test of more important near-term resistance at 32.00-34.00.
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Wednesday, April 22, 2009
New Gold & Red Back – Building a Major League Profile / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As a general rule, the most successful man in life is the man who has the best informationWith gold stocks, bigger is almost always better. When you look at the cash costs of the industry, almost all the lowest cost producers are major mining companies. Larger production means more ounces to amortize costs, so a lower cost per ounce.
Monday, April 20, 2009
Recovery Rally in Gold Miners GDX ETF / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
My near-term work argues that the decline in the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) from the March 26 high at 39.15 into Friday’s low at 30.80 is complete, and that the GDX has started a recovery rally reaction that should climb at least to 33.00 in the upcoming hours.
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Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Where Have All the Gold Mines Gone? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Near-Term Production - This year’s corporate mantra for a crowd of junior explorers and miners is quite simple: “get us some near term gold production fast” (or some variation thereof). The motive of course is pure: get the share price up. For companies with $2 million to $200 million in the bank the magic bullet to riches is perceived to be the acquisition of that one gold property or company that everyone else has missed. It’s a simple and easy to understand business plan that doesn’t take a genius to grasp – find it and buy it cheap while no one else is looking. I am personally aware of more than a dozen management teams pursuing this model and there are probably another 50 companies that fall into this category. I have also spent countless hours in the same search and come to the conclusion that everyone else hasn’t missed much. This particular path to corporate riches may turn out to be an elusive dream.
Friday, April 03, 2009
Elite Junior Gold Mining Stocks at Insanely Low levels / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Junior gold stocks are a contingent of the greater junior resources circuit that has simply been obliterated in the recent stock panic . Even though gold has been strong over this stretch, the risk capital that usually finds its way into these gold explorers had all but left the scene.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 31, 2009
Huge Upside Potential for Gold Miners GDX ETF off of Base / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Truth be told, I am not the only one who sees the huge base pattern and the upside potential off of the Market Vector Gold Miners ETF (AMEX: GDX) base. So what will differentiate who gets the benefit of the forthcoming upmove that realizes the potential of the pattern?Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 27, 2009
Gold Stock Earnings Valuations / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Way back in late 2000, only the very hardest-core contrarians even considered investing in gold stocks. This sector was all but obliterated after a multi-decade bear in gold. Its flagship HUI gold-stock index was languishing in the 40s, while the headline S&P 500 still traded in the 1400s. Most investors didn't even know the tiny gold-mining sector even existed.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 24, 2009
Gold: Gold Stock Index Ratio Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Trading without indicators is like running blind and it encourages emotional trading that is the bane of successful investors. Below are brief descriptions of 5 of the most popular gold mining company indices and how they should be used in conjunction with the price of gold to determine the future movement of gold bullion and gold mining stocks. (For a much more indepth understanding and analysis of these indices please refer to my recent article entitled “Gold Indexes: Comparing and Evaluating the HUI, XAU, GDX, XGD and CDNX”.)Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 19, 2009
Investing in Junior Precious Metal Mining Stocks Using Warrants / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
While warrants have been in the news recently many investors still do not have a clue as to what they are or why they should at least consider including some long-term warrants on companies that they like in their investment portfolio's. It has been over 2 years since we have visited this title and content of this article so we sense it to be very timely.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 15, 2009
XAU Gold Stocks Rising Wedge False Breakdown? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
This analyst has been watching the markets in the past couple of weeks with a fascination akin to that associated with watching a snake charmer in action. In particular, he has been watching the rising wedge on the chart of the $XAU which caught his eye a few weeks ago and gave rise to an article with the same title as above, published on February 23rd. (See http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article9090.html )Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 14, 2009
Gold Indexes: Comparing and Evaluating the HUI, XAU, GDX, XGD and CDNX / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Market analysts, investment newsletter writers and financial planners are always commenting on how well, or poorly, the precious metals (read gold) mining sector is doing based on how a particular gold/silver mining index is trending but they are not telling you the whole story.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Things Are Looking Up in the Junior Mining Stocks Sector / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Well-known and highly regarded throughout the mining and exploration community, Mercenary Geologist Mickey Fulp returns to tell The Gold Report readers about his growing Primer for the Lay Investor, share his musings on the junior resource sector and even hand out a few nugget-shopping suggestions.
The Gold Report: The third installment in your A Primer for the Lay Investo r series, “ The Good, the Bad, and the Butt Ugly ” appeared in The Gold Report on February 24. What's the short story there?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 27, 2009
Investing in HUI Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
With gold getting a lot of attention in these wild markets, naturally its producers are also attracting interest. And almost silently, gold stocks have emerged from the depths of the 2008 stock panic to be the best-performing sector in the markets. From the November lows to this week, measured by the HUI gold stocks have soared 71% while the S&P 500 has merely ground sideways.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 25, 2009
Obama's Stimulus Will Send Gold and Gold Stocks Into the Dustbin / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We've been stressing the point ad nauseum for roughly a month now that what's necessary to get markets in gear and put the money back to work is theater, financial theater, and it appears we're about to get it. Today. Finally.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 23, 2009
Investing in Gold Exploration Companies / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
An abridged excerpt from “The Goldwatcher: Demystifying Gold Investing,” co-authored by Frank Holmes, CEO and chief investment officer at U.S. Global Investors . The book, published by John Wiley & Sons, is available from amazon.com and in bookstores.
Investors can improve their odds by learning how to assess the fundamentals of the gold exploration companies. A good tool for this job is what I call “The Five M's.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 22, 2009
Precious Metals Stocks Lagging Performance About to End... / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Alot of subscribers have been perplexed by the relatively miserable, laggardly performance of Precious Metals stocks in recent days as gold and silver have soared, especially against various major world currencies. This is one thing which is easy to explain - they have been held in check by a massive wall of overhanging supply that dates back to the extensive trading around the current price for much of 2006 and 2007, which we have looked at earlier on the 4-year chart for the HUI index.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 20, 2009
Gold Stocks Surge / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Earlier this week, the US stock markets (S&P 500) fell 4.6% to their lowest close since November 20th's panic low. It was a very unpleasant day as latent fears of bungled government meddling flared up again. But one sector, the gold stocks, was able to buck this very weak tape. That very day the HUI gold-stock index rallied 2.6%.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 17, 2009
Economic Crisis Crucible for Transforming Trashed Juniors into Treasured Equities? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
A gold bug who prefers equities as investments to bullion and bars, Midas Letter publisher James West expects his portfolio picks to shine to the tune of at least 15% appreciation on average. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, that sunny outlook stands in stark contrast to other things the well-regarded adviser sees on the horizon. He anticipates no letup in the storm of market volatility and holds out even less hope for the U.S. currency's ability to stay afloat in a multi-trillion-dollar flood of new money.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 12, 2009
Junior Producer Picks as Gold Bull Market Rumbles On / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
2008 was one of the worst years for suffering the market has ever thrown investors. Will 2009 be any better? Well I'm not optimistic but I don't rule out the occasional mini rally that sucks investors into believing everything is back on track. I do not think the market crash that started last year is over. Unemployment numbers are horrible, earnings for almost all sectors are in the red and looking to get worse. Obama's stimulus plan stinks to high heaven of rotten pork with very little of the total package actually going to where he promised during his election campaign.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
Junior Gold and Silver Miners Staged to Climb from New Ground Floor? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Whether irrational exuberance or the faltering dot-com industry triggered it, the economic downturn of 2001 hit junior resource companies hard. They bounced back in a big way. “Downturn” understates the current scenario, but AlphaNorth Asset Management President and CEO Steve Palmer sees similarities. He looks forward to taking advantage of opportunities “to get in on some of what has now become the new ground floor” and make some “tremendous gains.” While he anticipates more bad news on the employment front, he also tells The Gold Report followers that he believes “we've avoided the abyss” and confidence is returning.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 10, 2009
Canadian Gold Miners and How to Invest With $5,000 to $10,000 Revisited / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Perhaps you recall about one year ago we had a serious of articles, How to Invest….
We can all agree it has been one hell of a year so we thought it timely to revisit our previous article and see what new light we can shed on your investments decisions. Many of you have lost a substantial amount of monies over the last year, however we encourage you to look at the bright side in that now with the market for the junior's and smaller exploration companies down substantially, your investment dollars allow you to purchase more shares at the current depressed prices.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 05, 2009
Analysis of Canadian Junior Gold and Silver Mining Stocks CDNX Index / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
For over 18 months most junior mining stocks have put in an absolutely terrible performance. The chart for the CDNX index, which best represents junior gold miners as it is made of about 500 stocks most of which are mining stocks, makes this abundantly clear - and many investors in the sector will not of course need reminding of this.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Junior Precious Metal Investors Nightmare Ends / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Dark Side of the Dream - The last several months have been a nightmare for many investors in all markets of the world but perhaps no severe than those of us investors in the natural resource stocks. Frequently we would think it could not get worst only to realize that within another day or a week the natural resource stocks were still being pounded to the downside. It seems like ‘someone' had decided to drive all of the smaller natural stocks down to zero. Some of the shares actually went to one penny. A true bloodbath which wiped out enormous paper profits for all investors.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 29, 2009
Resource Stock Investment Secrets / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Sean Brodrick writes: ‘It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to Heaven, we were all going direct the other way.' — Charles Dickens, ‘A Tale of Two Cities'Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 23, 2009
Gold Miners GDX ETF Reaches New Recovery Highs / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (AMEX: GDX) is taking its lead from the gold market this morning, rather than the equity market, which has propelled the gold mining index to a new recovery high. More importantly, however, is that the price structure is attempting to hurdle a resistance plateau that represents the neckline of a base-like pattern that has developed during January.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 21, 2009
A Winning Situation for Gold Stocks in 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Heralded as “the best of today’s best,” John Doody, author and publisher of the highly regarded Gold Stock Analyst newsletter, brings a unique perspective to gold stock analysis. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Doody ponders the efficacy of the Keynesian approach, makes a case for gold equities and explains how the GSA Top 10 Stocks portfolio has outperformed every other gold investment vehicle since 1994.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 02, 2009
New Gold Stock Investment Environment Into 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
At Zeal we welcomed the new year by publishing the latest edition of our Favorite Gold-Producing Stocks Research Report. And looking back a lot has happened in the gold stock arena since the last installment. In fact in just over a year the environment in which we trade these stocks has radically changed. While some of the environmental forces have occurred from the inside out, the most impactful are external in nature and have really caught investors off guard.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 02, 2009
Randgold Resources, In Gold We Trust / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In the closing weeks of 2008, Americans have once again been shocked by a massive Wall Street scandal. Former Nasdaq chairman, Bernie Madoff was arrested for masterminding a $50 billion fraud. The Bernie Mad(e)off with investors' money Ponzi scheme is just the latest Wall Street scandal to see the light of day.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 24, 2008
Jay Taylor: Time to Start Hoarding Gold Mining Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The world's economic woes may be far from over, but deflation or inflation, gold is as good as it gets, according to Jay Taylor. Jay, whose passion for the king of metals prompted him to pursue geological studies after earning his MBA in finance and investments, has established an enviable track record in the markets. According to webeatthestreet.com, “J. Taylor's Gold & Technology Stocks Model Portfolio has more than tripled its value since January 2000 while the S&P 500 has barely moved.”Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 19, 2008
The Great Gold Stock Panic Ends and Buying Begins / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The Great Stock Panic of 2008 was so mercilessly brutal that no sector escaped its ravages. Unfortunately gold stocks, despite their history of performing really well during general-stock bears, also succumbed to the universal panic selling. Extreme fear snowballed without relent until even long-time gold-stock enthusiasts capitulated and dumped their shares in disgust.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 17, 2008
Gold Stocks B Wave Rally Underway / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Bustling shoppers amidst packed shopping malls, bungled with parcels and bags draped over arms, causing more skin lines than a heroine addict. Panic-stricken parents eyes quickly dashing left to right up and down, praying…hoping that one of their required gimmick Christmas items remain for their little ones…Tickle Me Elmo in the 1990's, Wii units and accessories for the 2000's…what will it be next year?Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 17, 2008
Gold Stocks Imminent Pullback Buying Opportunity? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
With yesterday's historic Fed move and the wild action we have seen in gold the past few months a lot of people have been asking about gold stocks. Since 2002 I have been in and out of the gold market, catching some of the great moves we have seen in the past few years and becoming known as a big believer in the long-term secular bull trend in gold. I also have had a reputation for being objective when it comes to gold, because at times I have taken profits in gold and have sat on the sidelines. Let me tell you what I see now.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 15, 2008
Gold Stocks Absurdly Undervalued! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
AN EXAMPLE OF AN ABSURDLY UNDERVALUED JUNIOR MINING STOCK WITH ASSETS IN-SITU WORTH 8 BILLION DOLLARSRead full article... Read full article...
Saturday, December 13, 2008
Junior Mining Stocks: Canada’s Subprime Market Crash / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Prior to the recent market meltdown, the market for junior mining companies had already been experiencing a severe correction since its peak in early 2007. Despite rising and historically high metal prices, money began leaving the market, in earnest, in the summer of 2007. By late last year, the correction had become a full-fledged bear market. Then the credit markets collapsed in September 2008. This caused another leg down which also included the major mining companies and the underlying commodities.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, December 11, 2008
Gold Stocks and Bullion Breakout! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Change is in the wind. The ratio of the gold shares to the gold price has now given an unequivocal buys signal – as can be seen from the following 3% X 3 box Point and Figure Chart (courtesy stockcharts.com)Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
Kinross Gold Corp Leads Gold Stocks Sector Rebound / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold Stocks have been bouncing back recently, but few can challenge the extraordinary recovery of KGC, which has more than doubled since its low below $7.
This is a sign that KGC is indeed one of the best gold mining companies in the world, since it has bounced back the furthest and the fastest.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, December 08, 2008
Measuring The Likely Strength Of This Gold Stocks Impulse Wave / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As promised Friday, here we are with a look at the Amex Gold Bugs Index (HUI) in an effort to gauge the likely strength of the anticipated impulse into the first quarter of next year. And as you will see below this move could get quite impulsive if Bollinger Band (BB) widths begin to expand during the move. Certainly such thinking would not be a stretch considering Friday's 45 point move higher in the HUI, however we are not making any assumptions in this regard as option expiries often cause violet moves if prices are either too far above or below equilibrium thresholds. So you see the true test of how strong the present impulse will be is likely better judged by what happens this week, along with other considerations which will be dealt with below.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, December 07, 2008
Gold Stocks a Buy! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As these words are being written, there are two extraordinarily worrying facts in the world's financial markets:
There has been a continuing “flight to safety” of capital – as evidenced by a collapse in the 30 year and 10 year yields shown in the charts below (courtesy decisionpoint.com and stockcharts.com respectively)
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 22, 2008
Gold Price and Stocks Bullish Breakout / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The action in gold and the miners is very encouraging. The overall indices got hammered yesterday and gold did not follow. Nor did the gold miners. Hedge fund selling and leverage unwinding in gold may be complete or nearly complete.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 18, 2008
Dudley Baker on Gold Stocks Warants Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
“It's either the end of the world or a fabulous buying opportunity”
His pitch is irresistible: “Buy a basket of juniors with warrants and it could be the easiest 500% you'll ever make.” In this exclusive look at one of the most overlooked and misunderstood investment vehicles, Dudley Baker of PreciousMetalsWarrants.com explains to The Gold Report exactly what warrants are and how they increase the odds of winning vastly higher returns. With a little arm-twisting, Baker even reveals some of his most prized “unbelievable” opportunities.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2008
Gold Mining GDX ETF's Upmove Has Legs / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I have been watching the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (AMEX: GDX) closely since its October low at 15.74 and I am very impressed with its pattern and relative strength vis-a-vis the overall market and the gold price action itself.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 14, 2008
Are We There Yet? Finding that Elusive Gold Stocks Bottom / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
David Skarica, author of the Addicted to Profits newsletter, gives The Gold Report an exclusive preview of coming market attractions including double-digit inflation, a super pop in gold stocks, and the demise of an empire. A financial advisor who earned his reputation as a contrarian before he turned 30 by predicting the dot.com bust, Skarica was the youngest person ever to pass the Canadian Securities Course. He incorporates technical analysis, historical precedent, demographics and investor behavior into his forecasts and names some likely beneficiaries of the next market move.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 13, 2008
Gold and Mining Stocks Investing, Better Early than Never Strategy / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Virtually all investors, whether in the stock markets in the United States or globally, commodities or the mining shares, the results over the last month or so is the same. Nasty, really, really nasty. Most of us in the business have also suffered and we feel the pain of our readers and subscribers to our services. Everyone is hurting.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 13, 2008
Government Bailout Should Extend to Decimated Gold Miners / Politics / Gold & Silver Stocks
I have decided to make a stronger stand on some things that have been bothering me and also some of my associates – after all I do not want to let down the public investors or companies that I have decided to support. I hope the Government is handed this essay and that the mining industry can take some motivation from what I have to say. Investors in the Mining sector – please send this to your local Minister and Ministers of Parliament and let's see if we can get some momentum here.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 12, 2008
Junior Mining Stocks Capital Destruction and Preservation / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
With feet planted on the ground and eyes trained on balance sheets, Brent Cook has earned a reputation for recognizing which juniors have the best chance of beating the odds and where rocks have the greatest potential for producing profit. An experienced professional geologist who has examined properties in more than 60 countries and learned the investment side of the business from master Rick Rule, Brent inherited investor/analyst editor Paul van Eeden's newsletter in February. He repurposed it into Exploration Insights, and in this exclusive interview, shares some of his insights with The Gold Report readers.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 10, 2008
Stock Markets Jammed Higher Before Final Capitulation / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
This current batch of investors we have in the equity markets are for lack of a better term, incorrigible, meaning beyond hope, because just when it appeared a genuine capitulation to the downside was possible, stocks are being jammed higher overnight yet again. That being said, and never the less, we cannot fully discount the possibility this bounce will not be something ‘more substantial' however, which would be consistent with the notion we put forth over the past few days that equities bounce here only to fail in early November in a retest of present price levels. Unfortunately, without a panic blow-off to the downside this morning, such an outcome becomes more probable now from a sentiment related perspective, where for this reason we will need to follow open interest put / call ratios very closely in coming days.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 10, 2008
Gold and Silver Stocks at Historic Lows Relative to Gold Price / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
THE TIMELESS PRECIOUS METAL FUND
THE TIMELESS ENERGY FUND
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Gold and Silver Mining Stocks Time to Buy? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
PERFORMANCE: ONE MONTH / TWELVE MONTHS
% CHANGE | PRICE OCT. 31 | 1 MONTH | 12 MONTHS |
THE TIMELESS PRECIOUS METAL FUND (EUR) | 3.58 | -40.5% | -77.6% |
THE TIMELESS PRECIOUS METAL FUND (USD) | 4.57 | -46.6% | -80.2% |
GOLD | 723.20 | -16.6% | -8.4% |
SILVER | 9.81 | -18.3% | -31.5% |
PLATINUM | 824.00 | -18.4% | +43.0% |
PALLADIUM | 199.00 | -0.2% | -46.6% |
GOLD & SILVER INDEX - PHILADELPHIA ($XAU) | 81.08 | -38.2% | -56.2% |
AMEX GOLD BUGS INDEX ($HUI) | 193.87 | -38.3% | -54.8% |
GOLD MINERS INDEX - AMEX ($GDM) | 574.84 | -38.6% | -57.5 % |
Monday, November 03, 2008
Gold Mining Stocks Base Building / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
My near-term pattern and momentum work in the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (AMEX: GDX) suggests strongly that the gold miners ETF has some unfinished business on the upside prior to the completion of the upleg off of the 10/24 low at 15.83. At this juncture, I am expecting a pop to the upside out of the 3-day sideways congestion area into new recovery high ground, which projects into the 23.50-24.50 target zone, after which I will be looking for a significant pullback to set up a much more potent buying opportunity.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
How to Choose a Gold Stock? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold stocks have under-performed on the way up for the gold price and have been slaughtered on the way down. Is the day of the gold equity over or is there a way to select a gold stock and profit in such a market?Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Exposing the Stealth Secrets of Investing / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Ongoing education, excellent connections and a wealth of experience combine to give John Pugsley insights that are both compelling and provocative. Using analogies as diverse as dribbling basketballs and stocking up on tuna when it's a bargain in the supermarket, he talks about the importance of patience, a focus on fundamentals and the criteria he's using to identify the next wave of winners.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 24, 2008
Financial Markets Meltdown a Nightmare for Baby Boomers / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The continuing meltdown in the financial markets has not played well for the masses of baby boomers. Their losses in 401k's and other assets are probably down on the order of 30% - 40%, minimum.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 22, 2008
Internet Startup Dot.com Collapse versus Junior Mining Sector Collapse / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Back in 2000 at the peak of the Internet bubble investors poured money into startups hoping to strike it rich with the next EBay, Amazon, or Microsoft. When the liquidity bubble popped most were left with massive losses on their positions as the startups that were running at a loss were unable to continue financing their operations and closed their websites and doors.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 18, 2008
Revisiting the HUI Gold Bugs Stock Index / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Proof is in the Pudding - Due to our intense focus on the major broad based equity indices, we discontinued coverage of the HUI more than a year ago. In going through some routine chart maintenance, we came across an old long-term chart of the HUI, left fully annotated, but unattended for more than a year.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 10, 2008
Canadian Junior Gold Miners on Sale / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Investors of precious metals companies continue to suffer along with virtually all investors in the world as this financial meltdown continues.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 07, 2008
Countertrend Rally for GDX Gold Mining ETF / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
My near-term technical pattern and momentum work in the Market Vectors Gold Mining ETF (AMEX: GDX) argues that a meaningful near-term low was established yesterday at 25.30 and that a countertrend recovery rally already is in progress that should propel price to at least 29.80-30.00 and thereafter to 32.00.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 01, 2008
Louis James: 'Screaming Buys' Among the Quality Gold Juniors / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The big downhill slide in the junior sector has a real plus side for investors—a bounty of incredible bargains. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Louis James, Senior Editor of Doug Casey's International Speculator, gives us the names of some of his top picks and explains why their prospects are so bright. Read Part I of The Gold Report interview with Louis James, "I'm buying all the bullion I can" , where he describes the currency crisis of historic proportions that is dragging our economy down.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 20, 2008
Junior Gold and Silver Miners Downward Spiral Ending? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As a veteran gold analyst, co-founder/chairman of Franco Nevada Mining Corp., acting chairman of the World Gold Council, and former president of Newmont Mining Corp., Pierre Lassonde knows this sector inside and out. He understands the plight of the juniors and the many influences on gold's behavior. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report , he predicts limited downside given the accelerating demand for natural resources and shares his favorite companies.The Gold Report: The downward spiral in the markets just doesn't stop. Junior mining stocks have been decimated, and the gold price went lower than any one predicted, although it seems to be recovering a bit. Do you see this as a repeat of the situation we had in the '70s, and what do you see as the outlook for oil and gold?
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 19, 2008
GDX Gold Miners ETF Upside Potential / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Interesting action in the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (AMEX: GDX) today largely because it is getting the benefit of the lift in equities AND the relatively buoyancy of gold and euro/$ prices. Purely from a pattern perspective, the upleg from the 9/11 low at 27.35 to yesterday's high at 36.14 exhibits bullish form AND also argues that it has unfinished business on the upside for continuation into the 38.00-39.00 area prior to completion. As long as today's pullback low at 32.90 remains intact, the bullish near-term pattern remains intact and viable.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 19, 2008
Junior Gold Mining Stocks Crash Crisis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Commodities investors were treated to an extraordinary event this week when gold skyrocketed 11.1% in a single trading day! This was all the more impressive since everything non-commodities was getting crushed. That same day the SPX plunged 4.7%, erasing 1/20th of the US stock markets' value, for the second time in 3 days.
Having just weathered the biggest and meanest commodities correction of this entire secular bull, this week's surge was wonderfully refreshing. I suspect it will prove to be the vanguard of a major new upleg. But even if it is, a disturbing problem continues to vex the commodities realm. Small miners and explorers, the junior stocks, have long ceased participating at all in this bull market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 18, 2008
Gold Mining Sector Rotation, $950 Gold Price Forecast / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Commodities Commentary, The Slowing Dragon, and Gold Price Forecast - Madison Avenue Research Group's outlook for gold is bullish. Our sentiments echo Philip Klapwijk, Chairman of London-based research firm GFMS Ltd. at a conference in London today. Klapwijk said "We're expecting gold to stage a powerful rally in the fourth quarter” and believes gold may rise to US$950 an ounce by the end of year as central banks and miners hold back sales and investors buy the metal as a haven against falling stock prices.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, September 13, 2008
When the Gold's all Gone, the Market will go Nuts! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
John Embry, Chief Investment Strategist for Sprott Asset Management and renowned industry expert, has researched the sector for 30 years. He expresses disbelief as he explains today's irrational pricing in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report . He attributes gold's alarming distress to "violent intervention by the paper players." But he's convinced they can only hold prices down for so long and forecasts four-digit gold by January 2009. Juniors present the best opportunity to leverage the coming gold price explosion and he shares his favorite names.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 07, 2008
Gold Miners Bullish GDX ETF / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Although the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) action may not feel like it is at or very near to a significant low, the pattern from the March high at 56.87 into Friday's low at 31.65 (-45%) exhibits pattern, momentum and volume characteristics indicative of an important tradable low, if not a more meaningful low. If my work proves accurate, then the GDX is just beginning a recovery rally to 35.50 in the upcoming days.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 05, 2008
Gold Mining Stocks Investing Challenges / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
With seven consecutive years of rising gold prices, the gold mining industry has had ample reason to boost output. The demand for gold has grown and will continue to grow and legendary profits can be won for shareholders. But in provocative fashion not only have the gold miners been unsuccessful in growing supply, global mined gold production is down since the beginning of the bull.
In last week's essay I revisited gold's strategic fundamentals with particular focus on economics, drilling down on global gold production and reserves trends. And interestingly global gold production is down 4% since 2001. In a secular bull market this is not a logical supplier response to an economic imbalance.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 04, 2008
Junior Mining Investing, Gold Stocks Divergence Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Few investors can stand up to the fortitude of an investor in the junior mining sector. Basically, if you did not sell everything in May 2006, then your portfolio is probably under water. The drawn downs in the junior's has been beyond belief. Most of the shares are down 50% or more from the May 2006 highs and many are off 70%, 80% and even 90%.
Are investors insane to stay with these ‘investments' or should we be looking elsewhere?
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 04, 2008
Gold Stocks Developing a Double Bottom Pattern / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Tumultuous market conditions have taken their toll on the commodity sector and caused a change in the Elliott Wave count of the HUI as mentioned in the prior Internet update. The main crux of the problem has been leveraged individuals and funds that were forced to liquidate positions, thereby triggering stops all the way down causing increased liquidation. It is probably a safe bet that a significant portion of the tax-loss selling for 2008 has already occurred, but as analysis presented below suggests, trading opportunities exist over the next 4-6 months before the HUI completes the present consolidation pattern. I stress that 4-6 months is the minimum time frame for the HUI correction to complete, but it could easily extend until May-July 2009 (depending upon how long the consolidation pattern in the USD takes as mentioned in the last Internet update).Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, August 21, 2008
Gold Mining Stocks Investing Lesson From History / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Sean Brodrick writes: I was in Colorado recently, and all around me were reminders that I was in a state with a rich history of minerals — natural gas, silver, and especially gold.
The Colorado Gold Rush, better known as the "Pikes Peak Gold Rush," is America's most profitable afterthought. Miners who had rushed across the continent in the 1849 California Gold Rush backtracked a decade later to Colorado, to chase down elusive rumors of gold.
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Wednesday, August 20, 2008
Commodities & Gold Stocks: Decennial Pattern Comparison with Nasdaq / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In early April I wrote a commentary titled “ Commodity Boom? You Ain't Seen Nothing Yet! ” in which I hypothesized that commodities would maintain investment leadership through the end of the decade and the rally would end in spectacular fashion in early 2010. This would be consistent with a “decennial pattern” of leadership which began in the 1970s with each decade's winner roughly doubling the stupendous gains of the prior decade's winner.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 19, 2008
Gold Mining Stocks GDX ETF Decline Incomplete / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Despite the 40% decline in the Market Vectors Gold Mining ETF (AMEX: GDX) since March, the gold miners ETF does not exhibit the pattern of completion and likely still will hit one or both of my optimal lower targets derived off of the massive top formation we see on the enclosed daily chart. Let's expect a bounce from the vicinity of 33.50, but thereafter another loop to lower lows into the 30.00-28.00 area to complete the Jul-Aug (Sept?) decline.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 19, 2008
Technical Analysis of US Dollar and AMEX Gold BUGS Index / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
This editorial focuses primarily on the US Dollar Index, with respect to how recent market actions have affected the present consolidation pattern underway since March 2008. The very last chart focuses on the HUI and how the sharp decline nullified the long-term count I was following due to the 0-II trend line being broken. One thing I have learned over the years is that fundamental analysis must be married to technical analysis. It is wrong for someone to assume that Elliott Wave patterns are “the be all end all”…they are a technical tool used to predict future market action based upon the surrounding wave structure. Glenn Neely's pattern base is extremely complicated, which makes tracking patterns even that more difficult.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 15, 2008
Epic Gold Stocks Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The precious-metals stocks did not take kindly to gold's steep selloff this week. On Monday the flagship HUI gold-stock index plunged 6.0% at the climax of what can only be described as a crash. In this event's final 3 days, the HUI bled 13.1% of its value. In less than a month, it had plummeted 33.1% by the time the dust settled!
Although the HUI has a well-deserved reputation for extreme volatility, this selloff was still exceptional. Typically, sharp HUI declines emerge after major uplegs from high levels. But as you'll see in these charts, the HUI wasn't high technically when this heavy selling started battering it as August dawned. In fact it was already pretty beaten-up pre-crash , under both its summer support and 200-day moving average.
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Thursday, August 14, 2008
Precious Metals Stocks on Major Buy Alert / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
If you take a stroll around the financial district of any big city such as London, New York or Tokyo, you will walk past countless well dressed and groomed men, in smart suits and ties with tidily coiffured hair and neatly clipped nails, and if you listen to their conversations you will observe that many of them speak softly in measured tones. The image conveyed is one of poise and professionalism. Yet beneath the veneer of civility and reasonableness there frequently lurks a seething cauldron of greed, lust - and fear, a fact which many women are instinctively aware of and which business women are able to turn to their advantage.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, August 12, 2008
Bear Comparison: Today's Junior Resource Mining Sector vs 2001's Nasdaq / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
"Another lesson I learned early is that there is nothing new in Wall Street. There can't be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again. I've never forgotten that. I suppose I really manage to remember when and how it happened. The fact that I remember that way is my way of capitalizing experience." - Jesse Livermore, Reminiscences of a Stock OperatorRead full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 11, 2008
AMEX GOLD BUGS INDEX (HUI): Again a Golden Opportunity to Buy Gold Shares? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Two major gold indices dominate the market - the AMEX's Gold BUGS Index (HUI) and the Philadelphia Stock Exchange's XAU
The major difference between the two is that the BUGS index is made up exclusively of mining stocks that do not hedge their gold positions more than a year-and-a-half into the future. This makes the BUGS Index much more profitable than the XAU when gold prices are rising, but can also compound its losses when gold declines. BUGS is an acronym for B asket of U nhedged G old S tocks. The index was introduced on March 15, 1996 with a starting value of 200.
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Thursday, August 07, 2008
Gold ETF- The Best Trading Vehicle for Trading Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
GLD Gold ETF - Taking advantage of the gold market using the GLD exchange traded fund to generate consistent profits in any market condition.
As I mentioned before, the past 5 months have been very frustrating for most traders as we are stuck in this sideways price action. I also noted that August to December is generally the stronger months for gold. Although gold has been under selling pressure during the last 4 weeks I think there is light at the end of the tunnel. It's usually the darkest before dawn, but there are some hurtles for gold to over come before we are in the clear which I explain below.
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Tuesday, August 05, 2008
Forecasting the Gold Stocks Bottom / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Last Wednesday morning I wrote an article titled "Gold Stocks are Near a Key Bottom." When I put the article together I was looking for a bottom in gold stocks to put my own money to use in. Except for a small position, I have been out of them for awhile now and have been looking for a bottom in July/August to mark an end of their summer long consolidation phase.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, August 04, 2008
Precious Metals Portfolio Configuration Critical at this Point / Portfolio / Gold & Silver Stocks
Just a few quick words this morning accompanied by a smattering of charts to keep you updated at where we are with the present correction in precious metals. In a nutshell, any further weakness in precious metals shares will increase the likelihood of one more Minor Degree wave lower being necessary before the larger correction is compete. As mentioned a week ago, the small speculators (see yellow bars ) have been squeezed out of the crude oil market, which is bearish. And although the Gold / Crude Oil Ratio's turn higher should prove to be a big plus for gold at some point, the initial reaction by orthodox traders will be to think deflation, and sell gold in response.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 30, 2008
Gold Stocks Head for Final Bottom Before Huge Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I believe the next few days are going to be key days for gold stocks just as May was a key time for the S&P 500 and the broad market. If you were following me then you'll know that I took short positions against the general market back in May. However I did not short at the exact top. In fact I got in a little early and let the S&P 500 go up a percent above my entry point. I was convinced when I got in that the market was about to make a critical top - one that would last for the rest of the year - but I wasn't sure at the exact price or moment that it would come. I was only certain that it was coming within a week, so I decided to just start to build a position. Of course it worked fantastic as the market has fallen apart since then.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Ominous Top Forming in Gold Mining ETF / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Current weakness in the Market Vectors Gold Mining ETF (AMEX: GDX) is imbuing the larger chart pattern with a very ominous look -- of a major, multi-month top forming. Furthermore, if the price structure presses beneath critical support between 42.50 and 41.50, the massive top formation will trigger significant sell signals that project a target of 37 to 34 thereafter.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Australian Emerging Gold Stocks- Big Bang For Your Buck / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Big bang for your buck – isn't that what investors want – the ten bagger or better. But where is it going to come from next. Haven't the easy pickings already been taken this far into the PM bull? After all the low hanging fruit has been taken hasn't it? You can see that from the charts on the HUI and the XAU can't you? That is not to say these magnificent indices will not go higher but I am talking about the easy pickings and leverage.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Junior Gold Stocks Benefit from Stabilizing Equity Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Junior Gold Stocks - With the Stock Market Panic behind us - for now - we are settling in for a range bound, relatively calm, second half of '08. Junior Gold Stocks should finally start to benefit as the wet blanket smothering equity markets lift.The New York Stock Exchange indicator for new lows reached an extreme of 1304 on Tuesday the 15 th of July. That was even worse than the 1100 new lows reached on the 22 nd of January. Such extremes spell one thing P-A-N-I-C.
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Tuesday, July 22, 2008
Financial Sector in Crisis as Gold Stocks Set to Go Ballistic / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Right now, those holding financial stocks can be viewed as a frog in a pot of boiling water. As long as the water does not boil, the frog is safe…but mark my words, before the year closes out, the water will boil.
Trying to have a realistic and “contrary view” when someone is directly involved in a particular market is extremely difficult, especially when being stuck in the pot. This will apply to those in the commodity market within 3-4 years, so everyone involved will have to try and have a level head. As gold bugs, we are trying to stick are toes into the water but are repelled by the heat. It will be important to make sure all participants are carrying a thermometer in their pocket to realize when the markets become overheated to a near boiling point, causing everything to spill over.
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Tuesday, July 15, 2008
Gold Stocks Soar as the Bears are on the Loose in Goldilocks Economy Country / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Mama, Papa, and Baby Bear are back from their walk in the woods. They find the goldilocks economy sitting on their gold stocks and unceremoniously decide to eat her. End of story.
The bears are on the loose in goldilocks country, the place where fairy tales of a “new economy” were once sold to unsuspecting investors. As usual, stories change, depending on whoever gets to live to tell them. Alas, Goldilocks will not be among those.
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Friday, July 11, 2008
AMEX GOLD BUGS INDEX (HUI): Another Golden Opportunity to Buy Gold Shares? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Two major gold indices dominate the market - the Philadelphia Stock Exchange's XAU and the AMEX's Gold BUGS Index (HUI).
The major difference between the two is that the BUGS index is made up exclusively of mining stocks that do not hedge their gold positions more than a year-and-a-half into the future. This makes the BUGS Index much more profitable than the XAU when gold prices are rising, but can also compound its losses when gold declines. BUGS is an acronym for B asket of U nhedged Gold Stocks. The index was introduced on March 15, 1996 with a starting value of 200.
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Wednesday, July 09, 2008
Bernanke's Indecision on Interest Rates Opens the Door for Resource Juniors / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
On June 25, Bernanke left key short term rates unchanged at 2%, citing "considerable stress" in financial markets and tight credit conditions. The Fed also cautioned about the upward pressures on prices caused by rising oil and other commodity prices. On the same day, Mr. Warren Buffett fingered "exploding" inflation as the biggest risk to the economy. Buffett said on CNBC "It's huge right now, whether it's steel or oil. We see it everywhere."Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 06, 2008
Gold Stocks - The Next Big Winners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold Stocks - A contrarian view on where the next Gold Stock winners will emerge.Searching for the Golden Goose?
For years we have been speaking and writing about the massive bind the Fed now finds itself in. With price inflation rising – read as food and energy skyrocketing -- and little hope for nominal interest rate increases – read as housing too weak for higher rates – negative Real Interest Rates (nominal rates less inflation) looks set to persist for some time.
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Thursday, July 03, 2008
South African Gold Shares- A Good Place to Invest? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We have been asked whether South African gold shares remain a good investment? Our stock answer will be from now on, yes, in the longer term . How could we say that when it is becoming apparent to all that the political and economic climate of South Africa is decaying and looks likely to continue to decay as far as one can see ahead?Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, July 02, 2008
Why Are Gold Stocks So Cheap? – Down Under / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The Mid and small sized Australian resource stocks have been sold down to unrealistic levels – scary to even some sophisticated investors who have contacted me lately. As mentioned by one – “becoming irrational cheap, as if they go bankrupt”. This article examines the gold sector Down Under, with emphasis on the producers and emerging producers, and exposes an area of value possibly greater than any market currently on offer.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 01, 2008
Gold Stocks Not Chasing Media Hyped News Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Those rushing into the paper oil market and chasing Gold on the latest news need to answer two important questions. Why has Silver not been confirming move in paper oil and Gold? Why have Gold stocks not been confirming this action? Failure of these two markets, until Tuesday, to have joined in paper oil mania induced market action raises serious concerns about both the price of paper oil and Gold. This week's chart is of the GDM, the index of Gold stocks from the Amex.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 30, 2008
Gold Stocks Gearing Up For a Big Rally / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
While the broad market fell last week gold rallied hard. For the past few weeks we've seen gold and gold stocks held down as various US Federal Reserve officials have talked more hawkish about inflation and market analysts have predicted future rate hikes from the Fed later this year. As I wrote last week though I do not believe we'll see the Fed raise rates this year, because I'm expecting the bear market in stocks and further banking problems to force them to stay on hold. Once this becomes clear to the market - which I think will happen in the Fall - I'm expecting we'll see some real fireworks - with steep losses in stocks and the dollar - which will lead to an explosion in the price of gold.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 04, 2008
Indiana Jones and the Temple of Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Sean Brodrick writes: In the mid-1500s, legend has it that Spanish explorers were traveling through the Guanajuato region of Mexico when they camped for the night by the side of a river. They piled stones in a circle and built a fire in the middle of the circle. During the course of the night, the heat of the roaring fire melted raw silver right out of the rock, leaving puddles of metal for the astonished explorers to discover in the morning.
The Spanish forgot their original mission and started looking around for the source of the silver-rich rock. They quickly found it, and that was the start of the silver town of La Luz.
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Monday, June 02, 2008
Apex Silver Mining: Buy, Sell or Hold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Some of our readers are stockholders of Apex Silver Mines Limited and have written expressing their concern about this stocks performance. Firstly, we must point out that we are not financial advisors; we represent a small group of investors in the United Kingdom and also invest our own funds in the precious metals markets. However we will throw our humble opinion into the ring in an attempt to answer our reader's requests.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 30, 2008
Silver Stocks Long-term Fundamentals Remains Excellent / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
If you've been following the financial markets in recent months you'll likely have noticed that precious metals are still deep-out-of-favor contrarian plays. The stock-market cheerleaders presenting the financial news jeer the PMs and still attribute their record-high “bubble” levels to nothing but inflation and anti-dollar hedges. Rarely are PM fundamentals considered.
With this universally rotten PM sentiment it is apparent that the metals and their related stocks are still far from being mainstream favorites. This is just fine though as it tells us there is still a long way to go in their secular bull markets.
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Friday, May 16, 2008
Mining Companies Leverage / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
This week I decided to look over some of our earlier reports and provide some information that can help to clarify some common misperceptions in valuing mining companies. The following is edited down considerably from a November 2007 Morgan Report.
One of the best ways to gain leverage to the precious metals is still in the mining sector and specifically through both junior and senior mining stocks. One analytical method is to take the total resource (indicated and inferred) and determine how many ounces you as an investor are receiving per share or per dollar invested.
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Monday, May 12, 2008
Sell Gold Shares in May and Walk Away? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Here we are in May, and everyone asks the question, is it time to sell and walk way? Well that depends what you are holding. This article focuses on timing in regard to the junior resource mining equities, for which we use the S&P/TSX Ventures Composite Index as a proxy.
Resource Junior Sector Roller Coaster
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Thursday, May 08, 2008
Why a Top in Crude Oil is Bullish for Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Technical analysis isn't just a study of price action of a single stock or market. It involves much more. It has been a while since I've written about intermarket analysis, which studies and compares the relationships between markets. Some markets will be weak if certain markets are in a bull trend. Some markets trend together. A simple example of intermarket analysis is that gold and oil (and most commodities) tend to rise together. Wouldn't that entail gold stocks rising as well? Wouldn't that mean rising oil is good for gold stocks?Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 02, 2008
Junior Precious Metals Mining Companies Risk / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Dear David,
Thank you very much for your hard work and excellent research. Your level approach to the metals has long been a beacon to follow.
Thank you.
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Friday, May 02, 2008
Junior Gold Mining Stocks in the Midst of Fear Driven Sentiment Storm / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
While recent activity in the gold stock sector has caused many of its battle-hardened investors to capitulate, the tried and true speculators still holding strong in the junior-gold-stock realm are feeling beaten and bloodied.
As a speculator in junior gold stocks I have not been immune to the carnage in this small sector either. And it's not difficult to hear the wailing and gnashing of teeth. The juniors are in the midst of a fear-driven sentiment storm that is fierce and unforgiving.
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Friday, May 02, 2008
Gold Stocks- Time to Buy? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
From a trading perspective, the charts are showing that it might be “buying time” in gold shares.
Let's look at three relationships:
- The relationship of the speculative $HUI to the less speculative $XAU
- The relationship of the $HUI to the gold price
- The relationship of the $XAU to the gold price
Thursday, April 17, 2008
Kinross Gold Corporation Re-visited / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Kinross Gold Corporation, has made terrific progress a since it was established in 1993 and is now the third largest primary gold producer in North America by reserves. All its nine mines are in relatively politically stable countries such as the United States , Brazil , Chile and Russia . Canadian based Kinross employs more than 5,000 people worldwide.
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Monday, April 14, 2008
Precious Metals Juniors- The Next Mania / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As suggested in our last meeting , you can fool some of the people some of the time, but you apparently can't fool investors anymore, evidenced by the failure in attempting to engineer a dollar ($) rally. The question then arises however, is this week's failed $ rally the result of relative economic weakness in the States, where it's perceived an extended recession has commenced; or, is this just the result of continued ‘party line talk' out of the European Central Bank (ECB)? You see European central bankers are simply doing their part in the expectations management game in talking hawkish, with fresh comments this week halting the $ rally in its tracks. In this respect it's obvious the international brotherhood of central bankers wish to manage the $ lower to relieve the key global consumer (the only people crazy enough to run up credit balances to the stars), but they may have gone too far this time, especially if they are serious about defending $1,000 gold .Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 04, 2008
HUI Gold Bugs Stock Index Big Daily Moves Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
For precious-metals stock traders, weathering outsized volatility is a fact of life. Yet again over the last few weeks this truth was really driven home. The flagship HUI gold-stock index experienced some neck-snapping swings. And this generated much angst for those not yet steeled against such extreme volatility.
While long-term investors shouldn't care one bit, big swings can be very perilous for speculators. These big daily moves tend to generate intense levels of greed or fear. And these emotions are the mortal enemies of all speculators, the primary challenge that must be overcome if one is to succeed in trading.
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Thursday, April 03, 2008
Buy Gold and Silver Stocks With Both Hands and Feet / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The sudden about-face last night to become bullish on gold and silver stocks again requires some explanation. We have been aware for some considerable time that Precious Metals stocks have been woefully underperforming gold and silver, a point made clear by Mr Bob Moriarty of www.321gold.com in his recent article Buy with both hands , but were not minded to go long because our research indicated that another heavy decline in gold and silver was imminent, which is what we have just seen.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 21, 2008
HUI Gold Stocks Bull Market Hit by Seasonal Selling / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
After an incredibly volatile week for the precious metals, PM-stock traders are very worried. Despite Bernanke's Fed forcing real interest rates even more massively negative , gold plunged. The PM-stock traders, never paragons of courage anyway, panicked. The HUI gold-stock index plummeted with gold.
We were stopped out of a lot of trades in the carnage, but the great thing about stop losses is they automatically get your capital out early in a sharp plunge. So we are now blessed with lots of dry powder to scoop up irrationally beaten-down bargains. Great opportunities have bloomed! I will discuss our trading strategy in depth, including specific new trades, early next week in Zeal Speculator .
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Thursday, March 20, 2008
Interesting Development with Gold and Gold Shares / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Have a look at the green Relative Strength Charts below. Either the shares need to (soon) start rising relative to gold or the gold price needs to start falling relative to the shares. If the gap in the gold price chart below (at around $850 per ounce) is covered, that will be a very healthy development.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 26, 2008
Gold Investors Reluctance to Buy Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
This wonderful rally in Gold, largely driven by money chasing momentum, is generating a great deal of bravado. Coming sale of a significant amount of Gold by the IMF is scoffed at. Why all of a sudden did the G-7 agree to it? Is more to come? At the same time, US$ is feeling the wrath of momentum money as its value is trashed. “More Money” Misken at the Federal Reserve thinks only of benefits from lower U.S. interest rates, while ignoring the damage.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 26, 2008
Gold Stocks Potential Future Investment Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I get more questions about gold than other single topic. The fascination for the "barbarous relic" among my readers is clear. This week in Outside the Box we take a look at the gold stocks and the potential future investment opportunity. David Galland of Casey Research provides an intriguing analysis of the gold market today. In particular, why have gold stocks lagged the rise in gold? This is the opposite of what orthodox gold investing strategy says should happen. And I happen to agree with David's rationale for the paradox and his contention that gold stocks are poised (finally!) for the same rise that their base metal brethren have seen.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 24, 2008
Gold's Hypnotic $1000 Price Target and the Outlook for Precious Metal Shares / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
There is a lot of fear circulating around the Internet concerning gold/silver and the gold/silver stocks. As contrarians, that's exactly what we like to see. It lets us know the prevailing trend (up) is still intact and that higher prices are likely to be seen before the next interim top is in.
The fear in the PM stocks among the “dumb money” trading public almost perfectly mirrors the optimism shown by the “smart money” traders who have recently been buying the PM stocks with both hands in anticipation of another leg up in the momentum market for the gold stocks. Take for instance the latest readings in the CBOE Gold Index put/call open interest.
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Saturday, February 23, 2008
XAU Gold Stocks Index Brought Down Through Derivatives Market Manipulation / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Who remembers when the effects of the sub-prime contagion and subsequent freeze-up of the debt markets began to make itself visible?
For those of you who might be unaware, it was the summer of 07 – and I'd like to present this little picture of how the DOW JONES reacted to the impending financial seizures and ‘broke down' as a little refresher:
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Friday, February 22, 2008
HUI Gold Stocks Index Up-Legs Structure Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Despite very difficult prevailing stock-market conditions, the HUI unhedged gold-stock index has soared 55% since mid-August! You'd think gold-stock traders would be thrilled with such awesome gains. Instead they are very disappointed, because gold itself is up 45% over this same period of time and the HUI hasn't adequately leveraged its gains.
To delve into this vexing conundrum, a couple weeks ago I updated my research on HUI leverage to gold . It showed that leverage varies wildly over the course of uplegs, so it is pointless to worry about mid-upleg. Like the weather, it will soon change. As I was doing this leverage research, some fascinating peripheral insights into the technical structure of HUI uplegs became apparent.
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Thursday, February 14, 2008
Investing in the XAU and HUI Gold Indices for Small Investors / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Many small investors have heard of the XAU and HUI indices through discussion by financial professionals but investment vehicles giving small investors access is another story. Currently, the futures market offer the best access.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 13, 2008
Large Institutional Buying of Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold continues to do well but we are still impatiently awaiting the gold mining stocks to follow gold's lead. What's happening? Any reason for this? What do the statistics say about the gold equities?Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, February 09, 2008
When Will Gold and SIlver Share Prices Catch Up Precious Metal Prices / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Many of you out there are frustrated at what seems to be the very poor performance of gold & silver mining shares over the last couple of years when compared to the performance of the gold & silver price, understandably so. Even the Junior's have not performed to their full potential. Why not?
There have been several reasons: -
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Friday, February 08, 2008
Maximise Gold Profits by Using Leveradge HUI Unhedged Gold-stock Index / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As a stock-market sector, gold stocks are obscure, increasingly volatile, and seemingly perpetually unloved. Yet investors and speculators choose to own them anyway. Why? Because in the past gold stocks have greatly amplified gold's underlying gains. Traders are betting this outperforming behavior will continue in the future.
The outperformance so far in this bull market has been enormous. At best in recent weeks, the flagship HUI unhedged gold-stock index was up 1237% since its bull was born in November 2000. This incredible run was driven by a 262% gain in gold since its own bull launched in April 2001. Thus bull to date per simple math, the HUI has leveraged gold's underlying gains by 4.7x!
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Thursday, February 07, 2008
The Single Best Investment for 2008! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Larry Edelson writes: In late 1865, to cover the staggering costs of the Civil War ... to bail out financial institutions on the verge of bankruptcy ... and to help stem the financial losses in towns and municipalities ... Washington issued tidal waves of government bonds, to the tune of almost $29.5 billion per day.
Money was printed with reckless abandon, and inflation shot to the moon.
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Friday, January 25, 2008
Price Structure Peaking for Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
My pattern, momentum and cycle work on the Market Vectors Gold ETF (AMEX: GDX) suggest strongly that the price structure is peaking and could roll over at just about any time in the upcoming two weeks. This is also due to my perception that the underlying fundamentals have turned less friendly towards the miners, gold "consumption," inflation, and the overall bull market in equities.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 24, 2008
Gold and Silver ETF's (GLD, SLV) Disparities With Gold Price Means Higher Risk / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I have heard from many investors inquiring if they should sell their gold stocks and just buy the gold and silver ETFs. The first thing they should understand is that doing so would prolong the time they must wait for gold and silver to reach their true market levels which are much higher. The gold and silver ETFs were created by such financial giants as JP Morgan and Barclay's Bank that also serve as custodians and sub-custodians. These are the very firms that have been involved in the process of short selling gold and silver in huge quantities. That they would be involved in creating the ETFs had to be considered as most unlikely unless they had nefarious purposes.
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Thursday, January 24, 2008
Gold Stocks - The Next Stock Market Sector to Crash? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I have thought hard for a long time about writing this article. There is a danger that it might spook a lot of investors out of gold stocks and gold mutual funds altogether, and therefore bring unnecessary loss to many people. On the other hand, this one article will probably not be that influential.
I cannot shake the feeling that, during the first part of 2008 at least, gold stocks will have a whale of a bad time. Yet, nobody wants to address the subject because most so-called gold bugs are really gold stock bugs. Nobody wants to scare their own customers away, but there is a time when a warning is due, and I think hat time is now.
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Wednesday, January 23, 2008
Gold Stocks Bull Market - Have No Fear, Wave [3] of III of the HUI Gold Bugs Index is Nearly Here / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
One fault with Elliott Wave if considered a fault is that price objectives can be reached quicker than anticipated. When small indices such as the HUI are examined, slapping an Elliott Wave count onto it can be rather difficult. Such a small representation of the global indices can cause prices to move rather quickly, so there MUST be some allowance for the behaviour and structure of patterns. I would be the first to admit flaws with the counts presented below, but as described in “The Technical Palette” written in September 2006, using Frame Shift Analysis aids in determination of the correct reading frame of a selected section of chart within surrounding wave structures. By providing a realistic balance with wave structures, a somewhat accurate road map can be painted to guide the investor for where things stand in the big picture.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Gold Stocks to Play Catch Up to Gold Price During 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold continues to perform quite beautifully.
And these are not simply short term rallies. These are real highs and very real price gains. Right now there appears to be a great disconnect between the gold price and the price of gold stocks. But I am here to remind you that this disconnect is slowly evaporating away. The following individual below is an individual worth listening to. I like the wise predictions he has put together for 2008. Let's hear a couple of these sound predictions.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Gold and Silver Stocks Held Back by Bearish Stock Markets / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Juniors will move once a stock market bounce gets underway: Whilst we spend most of our time talking about Gold in US Dollars we often fail to recognize that this is truly a global business.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 12, 2008
Gold and Silver Stocks Bull Market Vs US Stocks Secular Bear Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The young new year has not been very happy at all for the stock markets. In the first five trading days of 2008 alone, the S&P 500 bled a brutal 5.3%. This sharp slide nearly doubled the SPX's losses since early October to 11.2%. Once a general-market correction exceeds 10%, Wall Street gets nervous.
These growing fears have been very apparent on CNBC, which reflects general stock-market sentiment as efficiently as a weathervane reflects prevailing winds. Hosts and guest commentators alike on this premier television network for traders have been universally wringing their hands in disgust. Not only are they worried, but they are lamenting that “all sectors” are being crushed by the “universal selloff”.
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Monday, December 31, 2007
Golden Resource Review 2007 and Forecast for 2008 / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold has closed at a record high this year – in Australia the junior index has outperformed the emerging producers and larger producers as predicted in my published articles. These were the most undervalued of all stocks on the Australian Stock Exchange – the ASX. As we close this year I see significant under valuation across the resource sector here – and I see a record Australian Dollar gold price of over $950 per ounce.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 21, 2007
Gold Stock Sentiment Paradox - HUI/Gold Ratio Trends / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
If you are a gold-stock investor, the dark cold days surrounding the winter solstice seem exceptionally fitting this year. As the warm sunlight has largely fled the northern hemisphere, so has bullish sentiment largely fled the gold stocks. Thankfully as inevitably as sun returning to the north, gold-stock sentiment too will thaw.
Today's terrible gold-stock sentiment is really something of a paradox. The gold price is the primary long-term driver of gold miners' profits and hence their stock prices. And gold is really looking good these days. After powering over $800 nominal for the first time in a quarter century in early November, gold has since casually meandered near $800 like it was born to trade here.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, December 07, 2007
Investing in Gold Stocks (GDX) Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Investing and speculating in gold stocks is a very risky business. While they tend to greatly leverage the underlying gains in gold during a secular gold bull, individual stocks face a wide variety of perils on their journey to legendary gains. As a scary recent example illustrates, sometimes these perils can be catastrophic.
In late November, long-time junior-gold market-darling NovaGold (NG) shocked investors with a stunning announcement. This company said that its flagship Galore Creek project, which it only started construction on six months earlier , was suddenly uneconomical. NovaGold was shutting it down! As the markets opened after this news, NG gapped down 27%. It ended that single trading day down 53% from the previous day's close! Talk about a catastrophe for its owners.
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Thursday, December 06, 2007
Why Junior Mining Stocks are Plummeting Despite Gold and Silver Bull market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The precious metals markets are killing the prices of many of the junior mining shares. What's happening and why are questions being asked by many individual investors as well as the most experienced analysts. Times like these are somewhat a mystery but yet an opportunity.
The market sentiment is terrible for many stocks and it seems there are few bids and the stocks have plummeted without merit and without regard for the company fundamentals, and the future outlook for the price of gold and silver.
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Friday, November 30, 2007
How to Select the Best Gold Producing Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In the wild and whacky world of gold stocks, investors and speculators have a wide range of options for capital deployment. These options can be categorized in many different ways, but it all boils down to risk. The degree of risk varies from extremely risky with the junior gold explorers to just plain risky with the large senior producers.
This risk is inherent due to the nature of mining and commodities-market volatility. And in general the gold-stock sector is going to carry greater risk than most other stock sectors. But of course the old market adage applies here, greater risk can lead to greater rewards. So while gold-stock trading is not for the faint of heart, catching this sector in a secular bull market has so far led to legendary gains for those willing to take these risks.
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Wednesday, November 28, 2007
Junior Miners Heading into US Tax Selling Period Presents Potential Buying Point / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
First you're an unknown, then you write one book and you move up to obscurity. - Martin Myers
I recently returned from Europe speaking on the merits of precious metals and in particular silver. About a month before I left for the three-city tour, which started in Munich Germany, my friends at http://www.silberinfo.com/ began
diligently working on translating my book, Get the Skinny on Silver
Investing into the German language.
Friday, November 09, 2007
Trading the Gold Stocks Bull Market / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold, which was a scoffed-at pariah not too many years ago, suddenly finds itself on the verge of being almost sexy again. With this metal now challenging its all-time nominal high from January 1980, I am hearing from more ordinary non-market-following folks who are newly interested in gold investing.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 29, 2007
How Undervalued Are Austrailian Gold Miners? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Don't think for a minute that the world has not become a “one market place” game or you will miss out. Investment strategy must follow the money or money flows to stay with trends and the earlier you catch one the more you make if you can hang in there – simple isn't it. I have an early trend for you to consider and it is misunderstood by most – with low sovereign risk.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 09, 2007
Gold Stocks to Soar as Credit Crisis Turns Into Currency Crisis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I get more questions about gold than other single topic. The fascination for the "barbarous relic" among my readers is clear. This week in Outside the Box we take a look at the gold market, its growth-to-date, and potential future investment opportunity. Doug Casey and David Galland of Casey Research provide an intriguing analysis of the gold market today.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 08, 2007
Gold Under Comes Under Pressure / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) is under pressure today with the entire commodity complex, but the weakness has not inflicted any meaningful damage to the overall dominant uptrend off of the August low at 63.47. Only a break below 71.15 will begin to compromise my still bullish outlook.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 08, 2007
Aussie Junior Gold Mining Stocks Play Catch Up / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Aussie Junior companies have been hot for over two years now – pick the right ones and you are making big money fast and there is a classic pattern forming that indicates a new cycle has only just begun. The bottom made in April 2005 has been followed by two distinct up-legs and both ended in a sharp correction. If you also invested when we suggested – bringing money into Australia from the US you have been making even bigger money as our Dollar is in an uptrend against the USD. I have included a chart of the ASX Gold juniors (which is provided as a live link on GoldOz thanks to our friend Nick Laird at Sharelynx) as proof of this directly below.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 04, 2007
PEAK GOLD - A Primer on the Economics of Gold Mining / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Barrick Gold Mining Company Execs Continue to Exercise Options and Sell Shares: In Part Four I revealed that when it comes to owning Barrick shares, the two top Barrick executives, CEO Greg Wilkins and CFO Jamie Sokalsky have voted with their feet. In retrospect it looks more like a stampede of insiders out of Barrick shares and options.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 02, 2007
Spotting Value in Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
"...Why are gold-mining stocks lagging the gold price so badly – and what can mining exec's do to fund their operations from here...?"
WHAT'S UP with gold mining stocks?
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Tuesday, October 02, 2007
Gold Stocks Expected to Correct During October / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The short-term Elliott Wave chart of the HUI is shown below, with the thought path denoted in green. I expect the HUI to hit 401-403 on Monday AM, to complete wave (1).[1].III. Wave (2) should take approximately 4-5 weeks to complete, bottoming around early November. As mentioned last week, wave 1 was longer in time than wave 2, suggestive that wave 1 was to be the longest wave in 2/3 of time, price or complexity for all impulsive waves of Minor Degree (pink).Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 28, 2007
Gold Mining Challenges - Gold Stocks Gains Over Leveraged Against Gold Price / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
With gold once again above $700/oz, there is a renewed interest in gold stocks. Throughout the course of this gold bull it is indeed the gold stocks that have provided investors with excellent leverage to the rising price of gold. These companies that are responsible for bringing the metal to market should be well positioned to greatly profit in a secular gold bull.
But now more than ever gold mining companies are finding it increasingly difficult to do what they do best. The geopolitical, regulatory, inflationary and environmental hurdles are higher than ever. And the discovery shortfalls from the previous bear-market cycle have really hindered this industry's growth prospects.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 28, 2007
A Fresh Spin on the Commodities Supercycle / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
There's an important distinction between a supercycle for commodities and a supercycle for resources stocks.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 20, 2007
Gold, Crude and Euro Breaking Out on US Interest Rate Cut - Montary Doves at Point of Gun / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
WOW! What an interesting couple weeks. A lousy August Jobs Report, even though it exaggerated job growth the upside! The Birth-Death Modlel actually added 120 thousand mythical jobs, including construction jobs and financial sector jobs, both clearly in retreat, a blatant deception. The US Federal Reserve finally was given the smoking gun they needed on a platter to cut interest rates. Martin Feldstein gave the USFed considerable political cover, urging cuts, claiming they were already 100 basis points too high. So gold is breaking out, crude oil is breaking out, the euro is breaking out, the Canadian looney dollar is breaking out, the HUI stock index of miners is breaking out, and the USDollar is breaking down.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 14, 2007
HUI Gold Bugs Index Upleg Cycles / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Remember the brutal first hour of trading on August 16th? That was the fateful day when a mini-panic ripped through gold stocks like a tornado. The HUI plunged 10% in the first hour of trading and some high-potential smaller gold stocks plummeted over 25%! For leveraged PM-stock speculators, it felt like Armageddon.
Sentiment that morning was about as bad as it has ever been in this precious-metals bull. Gold and silver miners were loathed and calls for much deeper lows abounded. Yet just 15 trading days later, gold powered above $700 for the first time since May 2006. This gold breakout drove a strong PM-stock surge and the HUI quickly shot above its pre-August-mini-panic levels.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 11, 2007
Taking Profits in Gold Long Position / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
I am looking to exit part of my long position (model portfolio) in the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) at 70.80 today for three reasons:Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 11, 2007
The Wallstreet Big Boys Are Not Interested in Junior Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
And Now For Something Completely Different: What good would it do you if Michael Bloomberg became the next President of the United States ? Answer: In spite of all the platform promises he would undoubtedly make, no good in all likelihood, just like with Bush if you were not a defense contractor or oil baron. That is to say, like Bush, he would work on ways to reward his buddies for supporting his campaign. Good or bad depending on who you are – that's how the game is played. As mentioned here many times now, and highlighted in our piece The Bourgeoisie Of America , what should begin to become more plain to everybody very soon is that guys like Bloomberg, in the top three-percent for sure, are only worried about lining their own pockets – and it's to hell with everyone else. And on a larger scale, and increasingly, official policy is being run on this basis, where again, such actions are not about to help you and me in anyway past putting off the inevitable – that being through a painful process bring us back to a system for the people as opposed to the one we have – designed to rape, pillage, and plunder.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 07, 2007
Silver Standard Resources Up 11.47% / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We are pleased to report that Silver Standard Resources Incorporated gained a massive $3.49 yesterday as it continued on the recovery trail.
Silver Standard (SSRI) has a market capitalisation of $2.11 billion and is one of the largest stocks in the silver-prices portfolio. There is a school of thought that says the big profits will be confined to the junior silver stocks sector, which we don't disagree with, however we do believe that quality silver stocks will perform and bring us good returns. Do bear in mind that picking the right junior stock is also difficult as some of them may not find any silver and will not be around when this market explodes across the finishing line. And a gain of 11.47% in one day is not too shabby, probably one of the best silver stock gainers yesterday.
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Thursday, September 06, 2007
Newmont Mining in Double Bottom Pattern / Companies / Gold & Silver Stocks
We highlighted Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM) 8 days ago at 41.72. Aside from the fact the NEM has climbed 6% since the 8/28 read, let's notice that today's thrust from 43 to over 44 occurred immediately after the price structure hurdled the 200 DMA (42.82), which also has propelled NEM above its prior rally peak of 44.05 on 7/24…leaving behind a big "W" pattern (Double Bottom). A sustained climb above 44 will trigger upside potential off of the Double Bottom towards the 48-50 target zone.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 29, 2007
Resource Investors – Keep Your Eyes on the Prize / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Investors continue to experience losses in their portfolios due to the recent market fears.
We continue to remind ourselves, as should all investors in the natural resource sector, that the big picture has not changed and the reasons and arguments for these investments are as sound today, if not more so. Corrections will come and yes, they will go, leading us to another great rally. But obviously that day not yet arrived. Patience and focus is essential for all of us at this time.
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Tuesday, August 28, 2007
Gold, Newmont Mining Rising Out of Double Bottom / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Instead of reviewing spot gold, or the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) today, let's have a look at Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM), which is the second largest component of the GDX (Market Vectors Gold Mining ETF).Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 24, 2007
Credit Crunch Bites HUI Gold Bugs Index; Carnage Amongst Junior Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
After weathering a consolidation running for 16 months now, the remaining precious-metals-stock investors and speculators are a pretty hardened lot. Used to being the ridiculed black-sheep contrarians, it takes quite a bit to faze us. Yet the brutal downside action in the HUI last week certainly fit the bill.
Between Monday the 13th and Thursday the 16th, the HUI unhedged gold-stock index shed 18% of its value on an intraday basis. Wednesday and Thursday were the particularly nasty days, with 3/4ths of these losses occurring between the open Wednesday and the first couple hours of trading on Thursday morning.
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Thursday, August 16, 2007
The 'PAIN' In Precious Metals Stocks! / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
If you're reading this article we likely know how you're feeling about your investments. You probably feel a little anxious, uncomfortable, worried, you may be thinking about selling or you have recently sold some of your investments. You may not be adding to positions or you may have stopped viewing your trading account because you do not want to see your accounts performance.How do we know this? Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 10, 2007
HUI Gold Stock Index and Stock Market Bears / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The turbulent financial markets of the past few weeks have certainly been exciting, a welcome respite from the usual lackluster summer doldrums. But whenever volatility increases, especially after a long period of time lacking it, long-latent fears of investors and speculators flare brightly.
The small subset of investors and speculators trading precious-metals stocks has certainly not been immune from this growing unease. On some of the more intense selling days lately in the general stock markets, the HUI gold-stock index fell far more than the flagship S&P 500. This suggests PM-stock traders' fears are spiraling higher even faster than those of the mainstream traders.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, August 10, 2007
Technical Analysis Report on 68 Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
As per the title, I completed a 71 page report on 68 gold stocks. If you go to my home page, http://www.trendsman.com you can buy this report for the economical sum of $40. Each stock has a chart and a paragraph analysis of its six to 18 month technical outlook. With that shameless promotion out of the way let's get to some analysis of gold and the gold stocks.
This lengthy update gives a lengthier look at gold and the gold stocks. Say a one to two year outlook.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, August 08, 2007
Silver Stocks SSRI and PASS Buck the Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Silver prices have risen moderately in recent trading and yet many silver stocks are falling.
Two of our silver stocks are bucking the trend in silver stocks, rising nearly 10% in the last few trading sessions. This is what we; as investors want to see, silver stocks that rise considerably when silver prices rise moderately. When silver prices rise considerably at the end of the summer, these silver stocks will lead the way to incredible gains.
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Tuesday, August 07, 2007
MPTrader - Gold's Sideways Pattern Should Resolve Itself to the Upside / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The gold market in general, and the pattern that has developed in the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) recently is very interesting because neither the downward correction in equities nor the 10% plunge in crude oil prices since Aug. 1st has negatively impacted the precious metal.
Meanwhile, the dollar is under pressure vs. the Euro, which is sitting near its historical high, and has declined 6% vs. the Yen since late June... which probably deserves some credit for putting a floor under gold prices recently.
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Friday, August 03, 2007
Silver Stocks - Hecla Mining: Buy / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
We are giving a BUY signal on Hecla Mining. It is has been marked as a BUY for a long time in our silver portfolio , but we are issuing an additional BUY signal as we think at this point one should add to any holdings in Hecla that one may have and if one has not yet established a position in this stock, now is the time to build that position.
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Thursday, August 02, 2007
AMEX Gold BUGS Index Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
This article was published on Monday July 30 th for the benefit of subscribers. Well, the anticipated breakout in the HUI, which was counting impulsive represents yet the third failed breakout attempt over the course of the past 12 months. The only saving grace is that the pressure for an upside move is building and when it occurs, Katie bar the door. Fib price retracements of what was thought to be the “start” of wave III are shown on the right hand side denoted in blue. The 61.8% retracement level has been tested, but short-term stochastics having the %K beneath the %D at mid channel depth suggests further downside/consolidation can be expected. The upper 21 MA BB curled down, confirming the top also noted by the lower BB's curling up. Fibonacci time extensions of various waves are shown mid chart, with the next cluster of Fib dates occurring in early August and early September. Expect the HUI to go sideways for another 1-2 weeks at a minimum before going higher.
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Saturday, July 28, 2007
Gold Stock Prices Turned Back Down (Again) – Where to now? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold Stock prices have been turned back again from major resistance. The 3rd time in a year! What does it mean? Are we entering another gut wrenching correction or will we reverse higher?
Can I be forgiven for asking if Gold shares will ever break out?
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Wednesday, July 25, 2007
Optimistic Negative Correlations Between Banking and Gold Stock Sectors / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
An unusual chart is presented, since the Broker Dealers sit at the nexus of the massive asset-backed bond ‘con game' perpetrated upon the nation and the world. The extent of possible fraud will be sure to be unraveled. They sold acidic bonds, over-rated, misrepresented, opaque as a stone in their fundamentals and inner workings. REVENGE IS BEING DOLED OUT TO THIS DEEPLY CORRUPT GROUP, which boldly write in covenants to obstruct lawsuits by limiting legal liability. As the Broker Dealer XBD stock index suffers deep wounds, the USFed will be compelled to rescue them, since their components are INSIDERS on Wall Street.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, July 22, 2007
Gold and Silver Marketwatch- This Time It's For Real... / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The powerful rally by large Precious Metals (PM) stocks over the past couple of weeks is believed to be the start of a "breakout drive" that will vault the sector indices out of the large holding patterns that they have been stuck in for past 18 months, for these patterns date back further than the actual highs to the start of last year, ushering in a period of rapid and substantial advance.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, July 19, 2007
Gold Stocks Bull Market - The Next Phase Has Begun / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
On Thursday gold stocks broke out from the consolidation that began in May 2006. The XAU closed at 158.25, exceeding its consolidation high of 153.15. The HUI closed at 371.88, exceeding its consolidation high of 369.69. If not for the recent slip in Eldorado Gold (EGO), the HUI would be at least a few points higher.
How do we know that this breakout is for real or confirmed?
Given the aforementioned case with Eldorado, I'm going to use the XAU here.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 17, 2007
MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Gold Streets ETF Consolidates Above Support / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
For the past four sessions, and since it thrust above its declining 50-day moving average, the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) has consolidated above the 50 DMA in what appears to be a bull flag formation that should resolve itself in a thrust towards the May '06-July '07 resistance line, now at 67.80. At this juncture, only a sustained break of the 50 DMA will begin to compromise the developing bullish scenario.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 16, 2007
Gold $400 and The Relationship Between the Gold Price and Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The US dollar continues to see saw back and forth. And as the dollar continues to demonstrate its weakness gold will continue to dig deeper into its present 600 per ounce foundation.
Here is an interesting thought. How will gold do when it hits 400 an ounce? You say wait a minute, Dave, its already passed 400 an ounce. So what is my point? My point is to illustrate the significance of the gold price. Whether it's 300 an ounce or 500 an ounce or even 400 an ounce.
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Wednesday, July 11, 2007
The Gold Rush in the Sea - Electrolytic Marine Salts / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Sean Brodrick writes: I was raised in Maine, and I'm visiting my old stomping grounds right now. One thing I've always liked about this great state is its rich history. Just about everything has happened here once (and sometimes twice).
Case in point: The other day I was walking around Portland. As I came across all kinds of interesting street names — "Gold," "Silver," "Market," and "Exchange" just to name a few — I was reminded of perhaps the strangest story to ever come out Maine. It's the tale of the 1898 gold rush in Lubec, Maine.
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Saturday, July 07, 2007
Gold Stocks vs. Oil Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Oil Stocks are likely to outperform Gold Stocks over the next 6-months which should provide further support to the stock market.
A question I get asked a lot is where should I be investing my money?
“I'm a believer in the Commodity Super-cycle and in Peak Oil but gosh, just tell me what (and when) I should be buying!”
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 02, 2007
Gold - Keep an Eye on Newmont Mining / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The share price of Newmont Mining, the second biggest gold minig company in the world, recently touched an almost two year low of $38.08 on the 27th of June. This was the lowest level for NEM (ticker symbol) since August 2nd, 2005! It also marked a very significant drop from the high of $62.72 reached on January 31st, 2006.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 02, 2007
How Do You Make Money in Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
The uranium price remains over 135 dollars per pound and seems content to remain climbing.
It amazes me how depressed and skeptical everyone becomes when a target price objective is not met. I suppose it's hard to remember what the original objective of the game is. And the objective is to make money in natural resource stocks. Is that objective being met? For those who had the good sense to listen to solid advice and purchase the best precious metals companies.
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Friday, June 29, 2007
Silver Miners: It is not good enough to be good / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Having spent a good chunk of my career involved with major construction projects I have gained experience in the Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) timeframes of a variety of projects.
The reason we are bringing this to your attention as investors is in response to our mailbag, which currently has a theme of: “I bought this mining company a couple of weeks ago and they have not produced any metal yet”
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Thursday, June 28, 2007
The Gold of the Pharaohs - Egyption Gold Mining / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Sean Brodrick writes: Just the mention of "the gold of the pharaohs" conjures up images of pyramids, enormously rich rulers, sparkling statues, bejeweled beauties, and forgotten treasure troves.
Heck, the famous funerary mask and coffin of King Tutankhamen was made from more than 242 pounds of pure gold! And King Tut was just a taste of the vast wealth gathered by the ancient society by the Nile.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, June 27, 2007
Gold XAU Index and Financial Markets Analysis - Strong Nerves Required / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It can be seen from the chart that the most recent price weakness in XAU brought it to rest on the lower trendline that has been in place since 2002.
Can this trendline be penetrated on the downside? Of course it can. It happened for a few months in mid 2005 – before pulling back up to move within the rising channel once again.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, June 15, 2007
HUI Gold Bugs Index Irrational Pessimism / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In a December 1996 speech, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan uttered one of the most famous catch phrases in modern market history. Buried deep in a typically Greenspanian sentence of great length and grammatical complexity, the words “irrational exuberance” cut through his usual obfuscation to rise to immortality.
Greenspan was trying to gently communicate that the US stock markets might be getting a little frothy at the time, so when world stock markets slumped right after his speech the financial media looked to Greenspan's cryptic warning with awe. The notion of irrational exuberance was widely discussed and grew into something of a slogan for the great stock bull of the late 1990s.
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Wednesday, June 13, 2007
Downward Pressure Increases for Gold Stocks Over the Summer / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
There will be a time when gold and silver stocks shine in performance, but that time is definitely not now. After over 12 months of flat performance, investors will have to endure at lest another 6-8 weeks of weakness.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 12, 2007
Why the Big Money in Gold Shares Still Lies Ahead / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
This week in Outside the Box we take a quizzical gander at the gold market, its growth-to-date, and potential future investment opportunity. We have witnessed a significant rise in the gold market from a July 1999 price of $252 an once, to $653 an once today, an increase of 159%. David Galland, of Casey Research, provides an intriguing analysis of the gold market today and the inherit investment opportunity existent on account of severely curtailed research exploration, institutional obstacles, NGOs, and rising global demand, driven primarily from the emerging market economies.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 05, 2007
A Look at Pan American Silver (PAAS) and The Silver Stock Sector / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
It has been a rough past few weeks for the silver stocks, with some taking more of a hit than others. A few “name” stocks like Coeur d'Alene (CDE) have born the full brunt of the bears' fury while other stocks have held up quite well and some have even gone on to make new highs in spite of the recent correction. We'll take a look at some of these stocks in this report.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 25, 2007
Silver Stocks on the Rise / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
While we await silver to press onto new highs, what is the current situation with silver mining stocks? If you go to Yahoo! Finance, you will find various indices to represent various mining companies with an emphasis on gold such as the HUI and the XAU. You will of course be able to check up on your favourite silver stock but there is no silver stock index one can consult. For that reason, I formulated my own Silver Analyst Stock Composite index or the SASC index for short. Its chart for the last 5 years is shown below being a composite of 14 well known stocks with a silver background. The 50 day and 200 day moving averages are also shown in red and green.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 08, 2007
Is Apex Silver Mines a Buy? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
In the current issues of the Silver Analyst, we have been analyzing and ranking 63 stocks, which have been known, perceived or touted as silver plays in the last 4 years. Clearly some come out as losers while others look like being winners for the next surge in silver prices. One stock caught my attention recently for technical and fundamental reasons and that is Apex Silver Mines Ltd.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 07, 2007
Commodities Market Wrap - Gold, Silver, Crude Oil and Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold gained $7.90 (1.16%) for the week, closing at $689.70. It was gold's highest close in 8 weeks. Its intraday high for the week was $693.20, and its intraday low was $670.00.
Below is gold's daily chart, which shows two support lines - the first is closest to the present price, and the second is further below.
Over the short term we are of the opinion that the first support line holding is the most probable scenario. If it holds then a test of the highs would be in order.
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Friday, May 04, 2007
HUI/Gold Ratio Trends / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Adam Hamilton writes : As we continue our fascinating journeys of discovery as students of the markets, we do a lot of charting work at Zeal. Recently a chart that I hadn't given much thought to for the better part of 8 months caught my attention again. It was a HUI/Gold Ratio chart, also known as HGR in this essay.
The HUI/Gold Ratio is as simple as it sounds, it is calculated by merely dividing the daily close of the HUI unhedged gold-stock index by the daily close in the price of gold. When this resulting ratio is graphed over time, it vividly illustrates the ever-shifting relative strength of the gold stocks versus gold. As their bulls mature, one is stronger and then the other, back and forth. They are engaging in a great secular tug-o-war.
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Wednesday, May 02, 2007
The Long-term Recovery Process Well Underway in South African Gold Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
You wouldn't know it by looking at the latest headlines and earnings announcements, but our old friend of DDRDGOLD (formerly Durban Roodepoort Deep) has been looking good from a relative strength standpoint. Not only that, but DROOY made it past its latest 13-week quarterly cycle bottom without taking so much as a minor hit. Will miracles never cease!Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 01, 2007
Gold Market Outlook – how far is down? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
While it is next to impossible to pick the exact tops and bottoms, there are some signs we can look for to help us position ourselves to buy into weakness, and do some selling into strength.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 25, 2007
Gold Shares – The Leverage Factor / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Investors the world over are constantly evaluating the leverage, risk and potential rewards of their investment decisions. Whether you are an individual investor or an analyst for a large mutual fund, leverage, risk and the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow are always factors to be considered.Read full article... Read full article...