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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, March 02, 2009

U.S. Bond Market Performance Analysis / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor a while after the Q4 2008 simultaneous crash of nearly all forms of assets, bonds recovered and stocks did not.  However, of late, bonds are not so strong.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, February 28, 2009

Obama Says Short U.S. Treasuries / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Pollaro

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBank bailouts, homeowner bailouts, auto industry bailouts, and now massive stimulus packages; the Federal Government spending list goes on and on. The Federal Deficit for this fiscal year is projected by Goldman Sachs to be as high as $2.5 trillion. That's 5.5 times the fiscal 2007 Federal Deficit and 1.5 times Gross U.S. Savings. A $2.5 trillion deficit will create quite a waterfall on this graph, don't you think:

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 24, 2009

U.S. Treasuries on the Move / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE: TLT) gapped to the upside this morning ahead of Bernanke's testimony, likely expecting some supportive news, such as the Fed intending to buy Treasury paper to foster lower mortgage rates. As of yet, longs either are disappointed in Bernanke's prepared text or are so uncertain that they are taking profits as the TLTs test prior resistance at 106.50/60. Whatever the actual reason, as long as the TLTs do not break and sustain beneath 104.80, my technical work encourages me to remain long.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 23, 2009

U.S. Bond View Positive Despite Higher than Expected Inflation / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market traded higher last week. The fundamental data remains weak and pressure on the stock markets lent renewed support for bonds. Supply remains a topic of conversation for traders as the Treasury will be auctioning close to a total of another $100 Billion 2, 5 and 7 Year Notes next week. If interest remains as solid as it was on the Quarterly refunding last week, then bonds should manage to continue to hold the support levels that were tested and held during the recent down-trade.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Key Market Indicater Says Sell Gilts, Buy Stocks / Interest-Rates / Investing 2009

By: FleetStreetInvest

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWatch out! The next bubble could be about to burst. This also signals a great opportunity for smart investors – because a key indicator shows that now's a fantastic time to get into stocks.

In the past 24 months, emerging markets, housing and commodity bubbles have all popped with painful impact. Now, the same could happen again, but this time in the government bond market.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 10, 2009

Treasury Bonds Trade Lower on Increasing Supply / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market traded down again last week, as the main driver appears to be the supply side of the equation. As expected, setting up for the Quarterly Treasury refunding kept a lid on the market even as the economic landscape continues to deteriorate. Traders will have to deal with $32Billion 3 Year Notes on Tuesday, $21Billion 10 Year paper on Wednesday and $14Billion 30 Year Bonds on Thursday. The key is normally in the second leg of these 3 day auctions, so if the 10 Year tranche is well distributed, that could provide a bit of relief for this market that has seen nothing but trouble during the first 5 weeks of 2009.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 09, 2009

Investment Strategy Favours Corporate Bonds / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe worst employment report in well over a decade and the market jumps nearly 3% - could stocks be whistling past the graveyard or is there something more that we're missing? To be sure the news is bad and is going to be bad for the next couple of months as the reports are referencing the worst part of the severe recession. Job cuts seem to go hand in hand with earnings reports, housing remains dormant and even new home construction is well below “replacement” rates.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 09, 2009

Stimulus Financing Faces Major Difficulties as Treasury Bond Market Shows / Interest-Rates / Economic Stimulus

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: As I watch the $900 billion stimulus bill wind its way through Congress, knowing this will be piled atop the estimated 2009 deficit of $1.19 trillion, the longtime banker in me keeps asking the same worrisome question: How the devil are they going to finance all this rubbish?

A report released Wednesday by the U.S. Treasury Department's Borrowing Advisory Committee on the government's borrowing plans gave me the answer I expected: With great difficulty.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, February 08, 2009

Bad Debt Crisis: Inadequate Loan Loss Reserves at Numerous Minnesota Banks / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt Minnesota banks, bad loans are piling up much faster than the amount of money being set aside to cover them. The StarTribune takes a look at the problem in State's banks below norm in reserves . Despite repeated warnings of economic trouble ahead, banks in Minnesota have failed to keep pace with the rise in bad loans. Among those banks, the ratio of past-due and nonaccrual loans -- or loans for which payment is in doubt -- as a percentage of total loans rose 50 percent since 2006, while the reserves to total loans ratio remained virtually unchanged.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 05, 2009

UK Interest Rates Crash to 1% New Record Low / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Bank of England fired the fifth shot in its series of panic interest rate cuts that have taken the base interest down from 5% in October 2008 to 1% today. This follows the crash in UK GDP for the fourth quarter of 2008 which contracted by -1.5% and is inline with earlier analysis that projects towards an additional 3% GDP contraction for 2009.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 04, 2009

Credit Crisis Watch: Liquidiy Injections Starting to Thaw Credit Freeze / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAre the various central bank liquidity facilities and capital injections having the desired effect of unclogging credit markets and restoring confidence in the world's financial system? This is precisely what the “Credit Crisis Watch” is all about - a regular review of a number of measures in order to ascertain to what extent the thawing of credit markets is under way.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, February 03, 2009

Fixed-Income Investing: Safer Alternative to Equity Indexed Annuities / Interest-Rates / Investing 2009

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: For many investors, the concept of an equity indexed annuity (EIA for short) - which establishes a guaranteed minimum rate of return, and the ability to capture the upside of the next bull market with no risk of loss - is proving irresistible. That's especially true at a time when the Standard & Poor's 500 Index is still down nearly 45% from its 2007 high of 157.52 and new U.S. President Barack Obama's stimulus plan has yet to be finalized.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 02, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Puts in a Top Ahead of Treasury Auctions / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe bond market traded down again last week, oddly competing with stocks for the “most pathetic security class” title for January. The Long Bond futures declined 10.5% from the highs on December 30. In January stocks declined 8.6% but the Bond Future was off 9.2%. In spite of the mostly pathetic (and therefore supportive for the Treasury market) fundamental data, the main theme that drove trading last week was the supply both on the Treasury and corporate front. The bond friendly Fed policy statement supported the market for about 5 minutes before it buckled sharply.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, February 01, 2009

United States Day of Reckoning Treasury Bond Market Collapse Underway / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: If you read just one of my Money and Markets issues this year, make sure it's this one.

You will not hear what I'm about to say from our nation's leaders. Nor will it pour forth from talking heads on Wall Street.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Today's Interest Rates are Unreal! / Interest-Rates / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Michael_Pento

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI'm often asked the question if rising interest rates will cause downward pressure on gold prices. The answer is yes, but only if those rates are rising in real terms and not in nominal terms only. But an even more important question that needs to be asked is whether or not the Fed will be able to allow rates to rise to a level that provides the market with a positive real return. The answer, unfortunately, is no.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble About to Pop / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleShah Gilani writes: Frighteningly, like the rush into tech stocks, then the rush into real estate, and then the rush into commodities, the rush into U.S. government bonds has created a Treasury bubble. In a cruel twist of economic fate, passage of an aggressive Obama administration stimulus plan could further inflate that bubble - before popping it.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Foreigners Puking Up U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Oxbury_Research

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNew York Times: All the key drivers of China's Treasury purchases are disappearing — there's a waning appetite for dollars and a waning appetite for Treasuries, and that complicates the outlook for interest rates,” said Ben Simpfendorfer, an economist in the Hong Kong office of the Royal Bank of Scotland.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Bullish Pattern for Corporate Bond LQD ETF / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMy technical work in the iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD) is very constructive, and points still higher on an intermediate term basis. My near term work has pivoted to the upside after a pullback from the 102.60 high on 1/09 into yest.'s low at 97.32. Why? Mr. Market perceives that there is "value" and relative safety in the corporate bond sector compared with the excess-supply, debt-beleaguered sovereign (US) Treasury sector.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Bond Market Payment Rates Analysis / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Richard_Shaw

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBond rates are easy to access, but understanding what you are being paid for the components of bond rates takes a little bit of simple math to break it down. Important insights can be gained from knowing the building blocks of a rate.

Rates for key bond types are published by multiple public internet sources.  You may need to go to more than one to get all the detail you want.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, January 26, 2009

Treasury Bonds 5 Years of Interest Destroyed in 6 Weeks! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: Last month, investors from all over the world — spooked by the debt crisis — flocked to buy long-term U.S. Treasury bonds.

They bought U.S. bonds with money earned from China's export boom. They scooped up bonds with money gleaned from the savings of millions of Japanese families … with government money … oil money … even drug money.

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