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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 28, 2016

FOMC Interest Rates and Their Impact on the US Economy / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Charles_Carnevale

To me, interest rates and their future direction seems to be obsessively discussed and debated by many investors.  So much so, that I often get the impression that many investors believe that interest rates coupled with Federal Reserve policy are the primary drivers of our economy.  From my perspective, interest rates and Federal Reserve monetary policy are contributing factors to economic growth and stability.  However, I would stop short of considering them of primary importance.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

On the Italian and Eurozone Doomsday Scenario / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Steve_H_Hanke

On June 23rd, the voters in the United Kingdom (UK) turned a collective thumbs-down on the European Union (EU). The Brexit advocates – the ones who had had enough of the EU’s mandates and regulations – won the day. But, this is only the first step on a long and winding exit road. To formally begin its withdrawal from the EU, the UK must trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, and the new British Prime Minister, Theresa May, won’t do that before the end of 2016. Once triggered, the UK has two years to negotiate its exit from the EU.

The Brexit vote was a surprise that temporarily rocked the markets, sent the pound to a 32 year low, and sent the chattering classes chattering. It also poured fuel on a simmering Italian fire – a fire that could result in an Italian, as well as a Eurozone, doomsday scenario.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Japan's "Helicopter Money" Play: Road to Hyperinflation or Cure Debt Deflation? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Ellen_Brown

Fifteen years after embarking on its largely ineffective quantitative easing program, Japan appears poised to try the form recommended by Ben Bernanke in his notorious "helicopter money" speech in 2002. The Japanese test case could finally resolve a longstanding dispute between monetarists and money reformers over the economic effects of government-issued money.

When then-Fed Governor Ben Bernanke gave his famous helicopter money speech to the Japanese in 2002, he was talking about something quite different from the quantitative easing they actually got and other central banks later mimicked. Quoting Milton Friedman, he said the government could reverse a deflation simply by printing money and dropping it from helicopters. A gift of free money with no strings attached, it would find its way into the real economy and trigger the demand needed to power productivity and employment.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Are Central Banks Crazy Enough to Think Helicopter Money is the Answer? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Rodney_Johnson

Central banks around the world have a common problem. They are failures. For the past eight years, central bankers worked tirelessly to generate economic activity. They pushed interest rates below zero and printed trillions of dollars.

And yet, the IMF recently cut its global growth forecast again.

Most economies are stuck in neutral while threats such as the debt crisis in Europe and deflation in Japan keep growing. Now central bankers are talking about a new tool – helicopter cash (free money distributed by a government agency). It won’t work either, but don’t expect that to stop the bankers from trying!

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Consumption and Debt Will Bring Down the System - Video / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: Mario_Innecco

I like to talk about credit consumption and financial bubbles and also
production which is seems to been forgotten for the last note 20 years or
so especially in the Western countries you know the United States Canada Australia
Europe Japan it seems like the problem - all the solutions in terms of the economy is for
the creation of more credit more leverage more bubbles in order to keep people consuming and creating this
artificial wealth and paying taxes to keep a big bloated government going or
you know creating credit to build Matt weapons you know of war and conflict for
profit and i remember i think it was after the financial crisis and hank.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 25, 2016

Japan’s Lemming Central Bank Blindly on the Path Towards Hyperinflation / Interest-Rates / HyperInflation

By: Michael_Pento

The financial world is buzzing about former Fed chairman Ben Bernanke's recent trip to Japan, where he advised Japan's central bank chief Haruhiko Kuroda on how to manage his nation out of multi-decades of stagnant growth. Channeling economist Milton Friedman, Bernanke warned that Japan was vulnerable to perpetual deflation and stagnate growth and that helicopter money--where the government issues non-marketable bonds with no maturity date and the Central Bank buys them with counterfeited credit--was the most useful tool in overcoming this condition.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 25, 2016

The Path to Fed-Exit / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

I recently proposed that the liberty movement capitalize on Brexit with "Fed-exit": a campaign to "secede" from the Federal Reserve. Fed-exit could be accomplished with a few simple policy changes.

Passing Audit the Fed is a good first step toward Fed-exit. Contrary to the Federal Reserve's propaganda, auditing the Fed will not reduce the Federal Reserve's mythical "independence." It will simply allow Congress and the people to learn the full truth about the Fed's conduct of monetary policy.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 21, 2016

Addicted to Debt - We Can’t Borrow from the Future Anymore / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: John_Mauldin

While everyone was talking about Brexit last month, the Bank for International Settlements released its 86th annual report.

Based in Basel, Switzerland, the BIS functions as a master hub for all the world’s central banks. It settles transactions among central banks and other international organizations. It doesn’t serve private individuals, businesses, or national governments.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 21, 2016

The Bank of Central Banks Reveals the Biggest Threat to the Global Financial System / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: John_Mauldin

The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is in the unique position of serving global economic stability in general… and central banks in particular.

It functions as a master hub for all the world’s central banks. It settles transactions among central banks and other international organizations. It doesn’t serve private individuals, businesses, or national governments

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

TNX - A little Late But Still Expected / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Ed_Carlson

The high forecast by the Hybrid Lindsay model for early last week was delayed for three days by option expiration. Even if the high is seen today or tomorrow, that would still be within the margin of error for the model. The new high in the Dow probably means that a new Basic Advance began last February but we’ll wait and see what happens during the upcoming pullback before making that “official”.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 18, 2016

Don't Reform the Fed - FedExit! / Interest-Rates / US Presidential Election 2016

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Opponents of a central bank should take advantage of the post-Brexit vote revival of secessionist sentiments to promote a secession from central banking, or "Fed-exit." Ending the Federal Reserve's monopoly on money is the key to restoring and maintaining our liberty and prosperity.

By manipulating the money supply to fix interest rates, the Federal Reserve engages in price fixing. After all, interest rates are nothing more than the price of money. Like all prices, they communicate information about economic conditions to market actors. Federal Reserve attempts to override the market rate of interest with a Fed-favored rate distort the price signals sent to businesses, investors, and consumers. The result of this distortion is a Fed-created boom, followed by a Fed-created bust.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 12, 2016

Could the US Bond Market Bubble Finally Be Ready to Burst? / Interest-Rates / Bond Bubble

By: Harry_Dent

The great commodity bubble has been steadily bursting since mid-2008, but has taken a nosedive since early 2011. It's now down 70% overall, and 80%-plus in industrial commodities like iron ore.

Real estate has seen its first bubble burst and it clearly looks like a second one is on the way.

Stocks have now seen a third bubble and the largest burst is still just ahead… but, the question remains: when does it begin in this endless realm of QE and stimulus?

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 11, 2016

ECB and BOJ Now Trapped in Endless Counterfeiting / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Michael_Pento

The Fed was able to end its massive $3.7 trillion series of Quantitative Easing campaigns without the stock market and economy falling apart. The end of QE 3, in October of 2014, did cause temporary turmoil in the major averages; but all in all, it did not lead to a protracted market decline, nor did it immediately send the economy into a recession.

The consensus view then became that the Fed’s strategy of unprecedented interest rate and monetary manipulations was a huge success, and it would be able to slowly raise the Fed Funds rate with impunity.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, July 09, 2016

10-Year Treasury Bond At All-Time Low...Explains Stocks Bull Market... / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jack_Steiman

We have been going nowhere for a couple of years. Within that process the emotions of all traders were tested over and over. Many times it appeared that the market was about to break down. Action was terrible on price and their oscillators, and that bad action was accompanied by poor economic reports. One after another, they came in poorly. Just when all hope seemed lost for the bulls they'd pull some magic trick, also known as fed-magic dust. A QE program here. A bail out there. Low rates forever everywhere kept the markets from breaking down. It was good to be the fed. You needed a bull to keep the economy going through those 401K reports. It didn't always work though because the market couldn't break out.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, July 09, 2016

Dead Pulses & Urgent Systemic Reform / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Several important factors work in a powerful manner to debilitate, to distort, and to wreck the global financial and economic system. It is long past the point of effective remedy. After the Lehman kill event, every conceivable wrong move and policy was made and implemented. The investment in the corrupt elements has been so profound in the last several years, as to make remedy impossible. The official policies have been so errant and heretical, as to make remedy impossible. The distortions with the broken elements have been so dedicated in service to the ruling banker class, as to make remedy impossible.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 07, 2016

Europe In Chaos - Can You Imagine The Fed Raising Interest Rates In This World? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2016

By: John_Rubino

Two short months ago it was generally expected that US interest rates would rise for the balance of the year — a move made possible by steady economic growth and general global stability. Here’s a representative piece of reporting from early April:

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 04, 2016

Federal Reserve Quantifornication Revisited / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Richard_Mills

Californication is a brilliant 1999 song by the Red Hot Chili Peppers. Many of the lyrics reference the often insane, unrealistic, impossible dream images Hollywood sells to the world.

"Space may be the final frontier but it's made in a Hollywood basement."

Quantifornication is the term I coined for what the Federal Reserve is selling to the world - the unrealistic, insane fiat dream that the monetary policy employed by the Fed can fix the predicament we are in.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 01, 2016

UK Interest Rate Cut to 0.25% Imminent and More QE Money Printing / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The establishments operation fear had painted a relentless propaganda picture all year for a significant rise in UK interest rates following a Brexit outcome that was destined to send consumer borrowing rates soaring, which at the time I repeatedly warned was just NOT going to happen for the fundamental reason that BrExit induced uncertainty would make a rate hike LESS likely as the last thing the Bank of England would want to do is to add to market uncertainty i.e. the complete opposite to REMAIN propaganda. In fact I stated that a BrExit could even result in a rate CUT as the following excerpt illustrates:

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 29, 2016

The Fed’s Money Printing Brings a Strange Outcome / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Rodney_Johnson

I keep reading that the U.S. debt is out of control. That we’re spiraling toward a certain financial death, evidenced by the fact that we now owe more than 100% of annual GDP.

According to a recent study by Rogoff and Reinhart, this is well beyond the threshold of where economies struggle. And we’re not alone. Several other countries have the same high level of debt outstanding, and Japan is at the top of the list, owing almost 250% of GDP. Clearly, we’re all going to die.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 21, 2016

Here’s Why German Banks Consider Hoarding Billions of Euros in Vaults / Interest-Rates / War on Cash

By: John_Mauldin

One of Germany’s largest banks is seriously considering stockpiling cash. Sources within Commerzbank have told Reuters they are “examining the possibility” of hoarding billions of physical euros in secure vaults.

This is truly bizarre. Under normal conditions, holding cash is anathema to commercial bankers. They keep as little as possible on hand; they certainly don’t go out of their way to hold more.

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