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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, June 16, 2014

Bond Market Kings to be Dethroned in Second Half of 2014 / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EconMatters

Jeffrey Gundlach`s Outlook

Jeffrey Gundlach of DoubleLine Capital LP says the 10-year U.S. Treasury note will likely trade in a range between 2.20 and 2.80 percent during the second half of year. Gundlach also said U.S. Treasuries are a buy for investors as they are yielding in the upper half of his projected trading range. He said this on June 10th of 2014 and it seems he still expects the 10-year yield to be lower than the 2.40% bottom put in about 3 weeks and 20 basis points ago.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 11, 2014

The European Central Bank’s House of Cards / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Frank_Hollenbeck

The European Central Bank (ECB) recently imposed negative deposit rates and is preparing a form of quantitative easing (QE) to purchase asset backed securities, corporate bonds or possibly bailout bonds. This policy may seem surprising. Why would the ECB want to try to force banks into making bad loans, or consider implementing a policy of quantitative easing that has clearly been a total failure (with obvious unintended consequences) in both the USA and Japan? The answer lies elsewhere. Under the guise of avoiding deflation or “low-flation,” the ECB is, in reality, panicking and trying to save itself from the executioner’s axe. Of course, the European banking sector and its bought-and-paid-for journalists unanimously support this prospect of continued theft through debasement. They are giddy at the prospects of higher asset prices and higher banker incomes, unjustified by fundamentals, and the implied massive transfer of income and wealth from the have-nots to the haves.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 11, 2014

Europe's Unprecedented Rate-Slashing Gives Us a Classic Profit Play / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: European Central Bank President Mario Draghi is desperate.

The European Union has been plagued with years of falling inflation and stubbornly high unemployment.

And now its central bank is attempting to employ "unconventional" policies to kick-start the economy.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

European Central Bank Goes Sub Zero / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Mike_Whitney

On Thursday, European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi dropped rates on overnight deposits to minus 0.1% thereby charging commercial banks to keep their money at the ECB. The move, which was applauded by the media as a “historic measure to fight deflation”, is nothing of the kind. Negative rates have been used in both Sweden and Denmark in recent years, but to little effect. The policy will not “get the banks lending again” as the ECB suggests, nor will it ease the high unemployment and slow growth that have plagued the Eurozone for the last six years. In truth, the rate change will have no impact at all. It’s merely public relations stunt designed to create the impression that the ECB is aggressively addressing the crisis for which it is largely responsible. Here’s how the World Socialist Web Site summed it up:

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 10, 2014

Euro-zone Bond Market Madness as Spanish 10-Year Bond Yield Lowest Since at Least 1789 / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: Mike_Shedlock

Those searching for absurdity in government bonds can find it in a multitude of places.

For example, and via translation from Libre Mercado (courtesy of my friend Bran who lives in Spain) please note Spanish 10-Year Bond Yield is Lowest Since at Least 1789.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 09, 2014

Germany Says Draghi Is A New Bismark And Dangerous / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Andrew_McKillop

Mario Draghi's Historic Decision
By pushing down the ECB's overnight rate on forced deposits to it, from the Eurozone's private banks to minus 0.1% per year, and holding the ECB's key lending rate to banks and financial establishments in the Eurozone at 0.15% per year, Draghi made a so-called historic decision. Announcing the moves last week, Draghi used several powerful images and allusions. For example Japan's lost decade, but he means 3 lost decades – and staying with Japan, he could have mentioned that BOJ lending rates in Japan have been held below 2% for 30 years. Did that stimulate the Japanese economy?

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, June 08, 2014

European Central Bank Cuts Interest Rate Below Zero / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Global_Research

Stefan Steinberg writes: The European Central Bank (ECB) slashed one of its interest rates to negative territory and unveiled a €400bn loan package for Europe’s banks in response to the ongoing economic slump and the threat of deflation.

At its meeting in Frankfurt Thursday, the central bank cut its main lending rate to 0.15 percent from its current historic low of 0.25 percent, and its overnight deposit rate from zero to minus 0.10 percent, becoming the largest central bank to lower rates to below zero.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, June 08, 2014

ECB Negative Interest Rate Is A Dud, Bank Deposits Are Long Gone / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Much ado about nothing. That about sums up the real story behind the heated headlines on the “historic” decision by the ECB to lower its deposit rate into negative territory, from 0% to -0.1%. Because without any actual deposits, the move is empty, meaningless, showmanship, sleight of hand. There was a time when it made sense for banks to park reserves at the central bank, but that time is long gone, since banks don’t have to be afraid of each other’s hidden debts anymore. Not because those debts have disappeared , but because governments and central banks are now on the hook for them.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 06, 2014

ECB Pulls Out Pea Shooter, Fires, Misses Target / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Mike_Shedlock

In a widely expected move this morning, ECB president Mario Draghi announced negative interest rates, the first-ever move for a major central bank.

The deposit rate in Europe is now negative 0.10%. The ECB also lowered the benchmark rate from 0.25% to 0.15%.

In a display of puffery, Draghi announced “we aren’t finished here”.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 06, 2014

Euro-zone Negative Interest Rates, Ready to Pay the Bank to Hold Your Money? / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Chris_Vermeulen

The six members of the European Central Bank (ECB) Executive Board and the 16 governors of the euro area central banks vote on where to set the rate. We watch interest rate changes closely as short term interest rates are the primary factor in currency valuation.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 06, 2014

The Great QE Bubble Lives On / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Raul_I_Meijer

This is one of those days where I wonder what I’m going to say about this one. It’s all too convoluted six ways to Sunday. Yeah, Mario Draghi delivered for markets and investors, and stocks rise a bit more. Like they’re not high enough yet, setting records in . One thing he didn’t do is commit to asset backed securities purchases, and so that is now what markets will be demanding from him next time around. Who cares anymore that ABS were the main conduit to blew up the same markets in 2008? Investors are happy, and Jack and Jill are ignorant. The Great QE Bubble lives to see another day. Yay!

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 06, 2014

Currency Wars - When Interest Rates Go Negative / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: John_Rubino

Yesterday morning the European Central Bank tried something different. As Bloomberg reported:

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Interest-Rates

Friday, June 06, 2014

ECB Cuts Base Interest Rate. So What? / Interest-Rates / ECB Interest Rates

By: Jonathan_Davis

I won’t bore you with the minutiae just a couple of details:

BBC website

The ECB has cut the Base Rate by the staggering amount of, er, 0.1% to 0.15%.

Also, banks depositing funds at their Central Bank (the ECB) will be charged 0.1% for the privilege.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 04, 2014

When Fed Money Printing Runs Wild / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Clif_Droke

Since the advent of the quantitative easing (QE), the Fed’s unprecedented attempt at reversing the impact of the credit crisis, many long-held beliefs and assumptions have been demolished. One of the most sacred assumptions on the part of investors and economists alike is that central bank money printing always eventually leads to inflation. Yet six years have passed since the Fed first embarked on its historic attempt at reversing the effects of the credit crash and alas, no signs of inflation are on the horizon.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, June 04, 2014

ECB Euro-zone Stimulus / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Everyone expects Mario Draghi’s ECB to announce stimulus measures on Thursday. If the forward guidance, if we can call it that, which was ‘leaked’ by Draghi and his minions is accurate, we’ll see the bank’s main refinancing rate lowered, and the deposit rate perhaps even turned negative, with a less obvious set of measures that may include asset purchases also in the offing. The main goal must be to drive down the euro, which is still way too expensive from the point of view of exports and which therefore holds back ‘recovery’ in the eyes of policy makers, pundits and economists. But it would have to be driving down the euro without driving down stock markets at the same time.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 03, 2014

Why U.S. Treasury Bond Yields are at Record Lows / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Michael_Pento

It seems that nearly everyone is confounded by the record low bond yields that are prevalent across the globe today. If investors can correctly pinpoint the real reason behind these low sovereign debt yields, they will also be able to find a great parking place for their investment capital to weather the upcoming storm.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, June 03, 2014

Where $1 of QE Money Printing Goes: The Untold Story / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: F_F_Wiley

“We don’t understand fully how large-scale asset purchase programs work to ease financial market conditions.” - New York Fed President Bill Dudley

“I don’t think there’s any doubt that quantitative easing enabled the rich and the quick. It was a massive gift… It was deliberate in the sense that we were hoping to create the wealth effect… I hope that we do indeed succeed in being able to say in the end the wealth effect was more evenly distributed. I doubt it.” - Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher

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Interest-Rates

Monday, June 02, 2014

30 Year US T-Bonds Headed For New Highs / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Austin_Galt

In recent months I’ve heard a lot of chatter about how interest rates are now on the up. Heads are nodded in approval with comments along the lines of rates couldn’t really go any lower. Well count me out of that love-fest. After looking at the yearly chart of 30 Year US Treasury Bonds I have to say I can’t disagree enough. Let’s see why.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, May 30, 2014

The Party Is Over In The U.S. Treasury Bond Market / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EconMatters

Last Hurrah

Everybody knew the GDP number was going to be revised down on this reading, and that it probably gets revised up for the next reading, and Bond Traders used the Revision in first quarter GDP to take the 10-Year Yield down to 2.4% on a nice push, but this required a whole lot of ammunition, and as soon as Europe started to close at 10 am central time (Europe close is 10:30 am for practical purposes) the Traders needed to start closing some of these positions.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, May 29, 2014

BRICS Gold Source & Belgium U.S. Treasury Bonds Bulge / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The detection of the rapid rise in USTreasury Bonds in the Belgium official central bank account has aroused broad and deep suspicions. Finally an open sore is visible that cannot be explained away easily. It first appeared a couple months ago. The initial knee-jerk reaction was that the USFed was colluding with the Euro Central Bank to hide heavy bond monetized purchases in New York, in effect demonstrating the Jackass point that the QE volume was huge, that the Bernanke and Yellen Fed were astute liars using deception. Next the evidence pointed to Russia having embarked on a significant dump of USTBonds using the proxy of EuroClear. It all made so much sense, the Russian account having declined in roughly the same volume as the Belgium account rose. Be sure to know that tiny Belgium has a rather notable current account deficit, no surplus funds to invest. Belgium has a GDP of $480 billion, the bulge fast approaching the size of their entire economy. Their chief export is tied closely to the hot air emanating from the EU Commission and Parliament, neither body possessing a scintilla of global integrity.

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