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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, January 10, 2015

Crude Oil Price Forecasts / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Investment_U

Rachel Gearhart writes: This week’s chart looks at oil prices from December 2012 through the end of 2014. It also does something quite interesting. It shows predictions out to June 2016. To create the chart, we looked at forecasts from Goldman Sachs, analysts surveyed by Bloomberg and the futures market.

As you can see in the chart, analysts and Goldman Sachs forecast a strong rebound in oil prices.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, January 10, 2015

Crude Oil Price Ten Year Forecast to 2025: Importers Set to Receive a $600 Billion Refund / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_Butter

This is an update on a long-term oil price forecasting model developed in early 2008 first posted in April 2009 as “The Impending Mother of All Oil Shocks” which was updated in December 2010 and posted as “Crude Oil Price Ten Year Forecast to 2020”.
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article24849.html
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article10260.html

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Commodities

Saturday, January 10, 2015

Very Strong Indirect Reasons To Buy Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

Got gold? Got silver? If not, you may not survive very well under the current and future regime[s] established in this country. Does price matter? Sure, everyone wants to buy reasonably near the lows, and there are many of us who paid substantially higher prices than currently exist. However, if there is no intent to sell but only hold as a form of wealth protection and/or a form of insurance against a worthless fiat paper currency, then price paid is really immaterial and focus should remain on purpose, not price. Owning and controlling either or both gold and silver are far more important.

In a market that is forming a bottom, price usually moves sideways along the RHS of the chart [Right Hand Side]. What is known for certain is that the farther price moves along the RHS, the closer it gets to a final resolution: a final bottom and eventual reversal of trend. The same applies to the ownership of gold and silver.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 10, 2015

The Other Side of the “Oil Glut” / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: The pundits continue to hawk the same reasons for the fall in oil prices.

These are always “spearheaded” by comments about surging global supply led by the onslaught of unconventional (tight and shale) oil production in the U.S.

Invariably, what’s missed by these “TV sages” are the pricing dynamics kicking in that virtually guarantee an increase in oil prices as we move into 2015.

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Commodities

Saturday, January 10, 2015

Euro and Oil in the Year Ahead 2015 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: HRA_Advisory

There was enough good news in the US through December to send all the major indices in New York except NASDAQ to new all-time highs and the tech index isn’t far off. It’s all rainbows and ponies on Wall St right now which should make any sensible person a bit nervous.

As I expected oil is still in the dumps and that state of affairs should last for a while. As noted in the last issue this big a drop in oil prices is a stimulus though it’s a smaller stimulus in the US than Wall St. wants to believe. Expectations are high after the US printed 5% GDP growth in Q3. That was indeed impressive and cheaper oil should help generate good growth numbers in Q4 and Q1 2015. Things may tail off after that though.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, January 10, 2015

Top 5 Gold Stocks - January 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Mike_McAra

The precious metals market isn’t really all about metals. Well, it sort of is but it is not ONLY about metals. Mining stocks are a significant part of the market and one that is very much interesting for gold and silver investors. In this commentary, we try to give you an idea why but we don’t stop there. We also discuss the 5 top gold stocks for January 2015 and let you know what might make a solid mining stock investment, in our opinion.

Mining stocks is the general name for the stocks of companies extracting metals. The term is pretty self-explanatory, companies that qualify to this category mine metals, not only precious metals but also ores like copper. From the perspective of a precious metals investor, the most interesting mining stocks are those linked to gold, silver, platinum and, possibly to a lesser extent, palladium. In these considerations we’ll apply the term “mining stocks” in this restricted form, and only to senior mining stocks.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, January 09, 2015

Gold Stocks Turning Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners have seen impressive investor interest in their beaten-down stocks in this young new year, with capital inflows fueling a sharp rally.  And this buying is likely just beginning, as major market changes are afoot that should catapult gold much higher.  With gold stocks trading at fundamentally-absurd price levels relative to prevailing gold prices, this sector’s upside potential is vast and unequalled.

But after the gold miners suffered a miserable couple of years, it sure takes a contrarian to understand that.  The leading gold-stock investment vehicle and metric is Van Eck Global’s Gold Miners ETF, which trades under the symbol GDX.  It is an excellent well-constructed gold-stock benchmark that matches the traditional HUI gold-stock index very well.  So it naturally reflected the extreme carnage ravaging this sector.

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Commodities

Friday, January 09, 2015

Gold and Silver Steady Start for 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Gold and silver started the year at a muted point, with gold at $1168 and silver at $15.50, from which modest rallies have developed, with gold up 4% and silver 6%. These rises were against a background of high volatility in equity markets, a strong US dollar and very weak oil prices.

The firmly entrenched bearish opinions in recent months for the outlook for gold and silver have backed off from recent extremes. There is confusion in dealers’ minds, brought about by the threat of deflation and the collapse in oil prices.

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Commodities

Friday, January 09, 2015

The Hoarder, The Miser, The Gold and Silver Investor / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

A subscriber sent me the following note recently:

You know I was driving home tonight and was observing all the cars building etc. I thought maybe I am nuts this can't all stop. Then I also said to myself this is an illusion that massive un-payable debt has created. I hope for all of our sakes the former wins because the latter would be unbearable. Do you honestly believe a collapse war and poverty is truly going to happen? What's the difference even if you have a ton of silver people just would take it. No law cops etc. everything would be vaporized!

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Commodities

Friday, January 09, 2015

Gold Price Shows Increasing Relative Strength Amid US Dollar Strength / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The current trendy reason for the mainstream to dislike Gold is strength in the US Dollar. On the surface it makes quite a bit of sense. Gold is priced in dollars. Dollar strength automatically pressures the Gold price. However, this popular view reveals a total lack of introspection. Since the end of 2013 Gold is essentially flat (positive by a fraction) while the greenback has gained a whopping 14.9%. Better yet, since Gold’s early November low it has gained 6.0% even while the US$ is up 5.8%. This type of relative strength within the context of an aging bear market may be another sign of a major trend change brewing under the surface.

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Commodities

Friday, January 09, 2015

The Real Cause Of Low Oil Prices: Interview With Arthur Berman / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

With all the conspiracy theories surrounding OPEC's November decision not cut production, is it really not just a case of simple economics? The U.S. shale boom has seen huge hype but the numbers speak for themselves and such overflowing optimism may have been unwarranted. When discussing harsh truths in energy, no sector is in greater need of a reality check than renewable energy.

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Commodities

Friday, January 09, 2015

Why the Paper-Price of Gold and Silver Matters / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Joseph_Russo

Part 1: If you are at all inclined to agree with the largely defensive and reflexive concept that paper-prices (i.e. dollar-values) for all products, commodities, and services are virtually meaningless, you're going to want to read this.

If you are especially quick in holding to the notion that the paper-price valuations of gold and silver simply don't matter, read on - we're going to share some opinions as to why all of these paper-prices do matter.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Sub $50 Crude Oil - Unbelievable Lack of Trust in the System - Video / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: David_Morgan

If the oil sector unraveled, as it is doing now, what would happen to gold and silver prices? David Morgan of Silver-Investor.com thinks, “Gold, I am pretty sure, would maintain right where it’s at, and that would be the worst case scenario, or it would go up and go up rapidly. Gold and silver may go down temporarily like we saw in 2008, but they will catch a bottom and come up. Silver in a deflationary environment has not done that well in the past. . . . Gold and silver are crisis hedges. People will say I don’t know what is happening. I’m scared. I need something I can trust. You can trust money that has been money for 5,000 years.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Two Strategies to Profit as Crude Oil Price Drops Below $50 a Barrel / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: DailyGainsLetter

The energy sector was dismal in 2014 and it is looking like we could see more of the same for this year. If you are long on oil, you may want to read this, as oil prices could move lower and there are two strategies you can consider to profit from their drop: put options and futures.

Currently, we have the excessive supply overriding the declining demand as the global economy struggles along. China just announced its gross domestic product (GDP) growth would fall to seven percent this year; however, I think the real figure is likely already below seven percent, as there’s some fudging of the numbers. The eurozone could dwindle into another recession or see flat growth, and Russia is clearly heading for another recession in 2015, as long as President Putin continues to refuse to conform to global demands.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 08, 2015

The Price Of Gold And The Art Of War Part IV / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

If you wait by the river long enough, the bodies of your enemies will float by
                           Sun Tzu, The Art of War, 5th century BC

WHITHER GOLD

After theV, bankers could no longer force the price of gold lower by loaning central bank gold and selling it in the open market. In 2001, as demand—and the price of gold—rose, the bankers were forced to flood markets with discounted ‘paper gold’, gold futures, i.e. paper promises of future gold deliveries at lower prices, in order to contain gold’s rising price.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Energy Players Profit from the Oil Price "Grinch" / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Getting started this year took a bit longer than usual.

When I returned home from the Bahamas, I had to hook up an entirely new system of computers and peripherals. To top it off, everything is in a new version of Windows.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Gold Price Will Likely Go Higher in 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldSilverWorlds

Steen Jakobsen: Things Are About To Take A Different Turn In 2015

This article is based on an interview conducted by Claudio Grass, the Managing Director of Global Gold based in Switzerland, with Mr. Steen Jakobsen. Mr. Jakobsen is the Chief Economist and Chief Investment Officer at Saxo Bank, where he has served for a total of 14 years, including two years where he left to act as Chief Investment officer of Limus Capital. He is a renowned economist and trader with more than 25 years of experience in the fields of proprietary trading and alternative investment. The topics covered in the interview range from monetary policy to business cycles and precious metals. This is the full interview in Q&A format.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Jim Rogers Gold Price 50% Correction Low During 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Jim Rogers Gold outlook for 2015 according to a recent youtube video is for the gold price to halve from its all time high during 2015, which implies a drop from its April 2011 high of $1923 to $960 as the following extract illustrates -

"We have a lot of people who bought gold in the last 14 years. Gold has not had a proper correction for a long long time and in my view until there is a proper correction Gold cannot make a bottom and start over."

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Will the January Effect Give Gold and Silver Miners a Bounce? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

The January Effect, the surge that small-cap companies may experience at the beginning of the year, goes back some seven decades. What will 2015 bring? The Gold Report talked to some experts to find out what they are expecting in the early days of the new year and which companies might be in position to take advantage. Most experts were optimistic about a bump, but some had some very interesting ways to profit from it.

Louis James, senior editor of the International Speculator, Casey Investment Alert and Conversations with Casey: We certainly had plenty of tax-loss selling, and I think most investors who know resources see the sector as close to bottom, so, yes, I do expect healthy January buying. I'd differentiate that by commodity, however, as bad economic news could push oil and copper further down, while pushing gold and silver up, and the January effect won't be enough to offset another sharp decline in industrial commodities.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Challenging the Mainstream Propaganda / Commodities / Propaganda

By: Nick_Barisheff

Paul Joseph Goebbels was the Minister of Propaganda in Nazi Germany from 1933 to 1945. He once said that if you tell a big enough lie and keep repeating it, people eventually come to believe it.

Today’s governments together with the mainstream media seems to have taken Goebbels’ comment to heart. They omit facts and distort the truth to suit their agenda, while a completely different point of view is presented by highly qualified, intelligent analysts through blogs, websites and Internet articles. This article by Raul Ilargi Meijer gives an excellent overview of the propaganda disseminated by the press today. 

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