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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, May 22, 2018

Mayday, Mayday, Gold Price Is Sinking! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Gold dived below $1,300 last week, to many analysts’ surprise. They are panicking right now. But you do not have to. Let’s read our article and find out what is happening in the gold market!

Didn’t we tell you?
We don’t want to be like these annoying guys who always utter “didn’t we tell you?”. But, well, this is our job after all: to provide you with the finest fundamental outlook of the precious metal market. And here is what we wrote in Gold News Monitor on May the 15th:

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, May 22, 2018

Gold, Silver & US Dollar Updates with Review of Latest COTS / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Clive Maund looks at gold, silver and the dollar after reviewing the latest COT Charts. Gold's breach of nearby support last week freaked out some longs of a nervous disposition, but it did no technical damage of any significance, as we can see on our latest 3-year shown chart below on which we can observe that it is still above important supporting trendlines. This chart shows that last week's drop was just a "storm in a teacup." Recall that the pattern that has been forming since mid-2016, for nearly two years now, is the Right Shoulder of its giant Head-and-Shoulders bottom that may be viewed on the 8-year chart in the last Gold Market update.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, May 22, 2018

How Close Are We to Oil Independence? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Rodney_Johnson

Almost two years ago, the Saudis acknowledged they had a problem. The price of oil was too low.

The oil-rich county had fought a surge in supply from American frackers by opening the taps, and the move pushed oil prices to their lowest level in decades.

Even though the Saudis and other OPEC members still held onto market share, they were bleeding cash because their government budgets were modeled on oil closer to $80 than $30.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, May 21, 2018

Gold’s Near-term Downside Target / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The price of gold moved considerably lower in the past several weeks, despite the pause that we saw in the final part of the previous week. The yellow metal moved below $1,300 and confirmed this move by several daily closes below it. Moreover, gold confirmed the breakdown below the rising medium-term support line that’s based on the daily closing prices of December 2016 and December 2017 lows. Consequently, gold’s likely to move lower and the question is how low can gold decline in the near term.

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Commodities

Sunday, May 20, 2018

Looking for a Turn in Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, reflect on market factors that are driving current fluctuations in the gold price.

For nearly four months now, gold has been pressured lower by a rising dollar; the inverse correlation has been almost exact. Gold has dropped 5.2% from its January 25, 2018 close of $1,362 to its May 16 close of $1,291.50. Meanwhile, the US dollar index has risen 5.4% from this year’s low close of 88.50 on February 15, 2018, to its close on May 16 at 93.26. In the past few days, shorts have jumped in to press their luck, judging from the increase in CME open interest while the price is falling.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, May 19, 2018

GDX Gold Mining Stock Fundamentals 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The major gold miners’ stocks are still largely grinding sideways, mired in a bearish sentiment wasteland.  Traders tend to assume low stock prices must be righteous, reflecting weak fundamentals rather than poor psychology.  But once a quarter earnings seasons’ bright fundamental sunlight parts the obscuring fogs of popular sentiment.  The gold miners’ just-reported Q1’18 results prove they remain deeply undervalued.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 45 calendar days after quarter-ends.  Canadian companies have similar requirements.  In other countries with half-year reporting, many companies still partially report quarterly.

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Commodities

Saturday, May 19, 2018

Welsh Gold Being Hyped Due To Harry Meghan Royal Wedding? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

– Welsh gold and the misconceptions surrounding it – GoldCore speak to China Central Television (CCTV)
– Welsh gold mired in misconceptions, namely that it is ‘rarest’ and most ‘sought after’ gold in world
– Investors to be reminded that all mined gold is rare and homogenous
– Nothing chemically different between Welsh gold and that mined elsewhere
– Investors led to believe Welsh gold is more valuable, despite lack of authenticity in some Welsh gold products
– Peak gold: We tell Beijing’s largest TV network that Welsh gold is limited but so too is gold everywhere

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, May 18, 2018

Three Drivers of Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

We cannot value gold. It does not generate any cash flows, which we could discount. But it doesn’t mean that the price of gold changes randomly. Market sentiment is powerful in the precious metals market – but the same applies to other markets (after all, humans are emotional creatures). However, it does not operate in a void. Actually, there are some important fundamental drivers at work. Just like in the cosmos. It seems to be empty space – but gravity works there. Similarly, the precious metal market seems to be very emotional and without any logic, but when you look closely, you will discover important forces in action. What are they?

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, May 18, 2018

Natural Gas Flashes Buy Signal with Cycles Confirming / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our research team has been following the energy sector quite intensely with Oil and Natural Gas making an impressive move.  A little known seasonal pattern in Natural Gas has setup recently and we have alerted our members to this play which is already up over 16%.  Our advanced price modeling systems and Adaptive Dynamic Learning Cycles have recently triggered another buy entry point which we share in this article but first look at the seasonal chart showing the month which Natural Gas is generally strong.

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Commodities

Friday, May 18, 2018

We FINALLY Got Our Pullback In Gold GLD ETF / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

As the title notes, we are finally getting that 5th wave down in the GLD after weeks of meandering. Moreover, not only are we getting that 5th wave down, the 3rd wave within this 5th wave down extended beyond the 3.618 extension of waves i and ii down. And, such a strong extension is certainly doing its job in getting even more people souring on this complex.

Moreover, as I am reading out there in the blog-world, it seems many are turning quite negative with gold breaking below its 200DMA. Clearly, this is EXACTLY what we want to see to strike a bottom in the complex.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, May 18, 2018

GOLD Bullish Opportunity – Unrivaled for years to come! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Enda_Glynn

Hello everyone,

Well, the headlines were piling on strong today with doomsday predictions for GOLD and pie in the sky predictions for Crude oil!

Of course this is perfect timing as usual because;

Extreme sentiments always appear at the end of a trend,

when people tend give in to the unrelenting price move, which has already happened!

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, May 18, 2018

Gold Market in First Tertile of 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The first four months of 2018 were positive for the gold market. The price of the yellow metal has gained about 2 percent in that period. As one can see in the chart below, the rally started in mid-December.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, May 17, 2018

IEA: High Oil Prices “Taking A Toll” On Demand / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Geopolitics has taken over the oil market, driving oil prices up to three-year highs. The inventory surplus has vanished, and more outages could push oil prices up even higher. Yet, there are some signs that demand is starting to take a hit as oil closes in on $80 per barrel.

In the IEA’s May Oil Market Report, the agency said that OPEC might be needed to step in and fill the supply gap if a significant portion of Iran oil goes offline. Saudi Arabia suggested shortly after the U.S. announced its withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal that OPEC would act to mitigate any supply shortfall should it occur.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, May 17, 2018

Gold Price No More Subtleness – It’s Show Time! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

On May 1st, we knew that the precious metals sector was starting a 2-week rally based on cyclical turning points, apex-based reversals, and True Seasonality for May. The rally is over, the profits cashed in… And growing once again thanks to the new short position. What’s in store for the rest of the month and the next few ones? Something epic.

Let’s start todays’ analysis with the two most important short-term reasons due to which the outlook for the precious metals sector just became very bearish.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, May 17, 2018

Silver’s Long Consolidation Looks Like a Launching Pad / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

The primary trend for gold and silver over the past year and a half has been the absence of any clear direction in prices. Metals markets have been stuck in consolidation mode. Yet for silver, in particular, that consolidation has formed a clear and potentially powerful pattern.
The silver market’s consolidation has formed a symmetrical triangle pattern. Prices are now nearing the apex of that triangle. The pattern cannot hold much longer – it must soon break in one direction or the other. And when it does, the move that follows should be sudden and sharp in one direction or the other.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, May 16, 2018

Key Gold Correlation Is Back! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

It’s back. The crucial correlation returned to the gold market. Does it herald important shifts in trends?

Real Interest Rates Are Back in Town
One of the biggest developments in the gold market during the first four months of 2018 was the breakdown of the traditional negative correlation between real interest rates and the price of bullion. As one can see in the chart below, the price of gold was uncorrelated or even moved in tandem with long-term, inflation-indexed U.S. Treasury yields in Q1 2018.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, May 16, 2018

The Coming Copper Crunch / Commodities / Copper

By: Richard_Mills

Copper had one of it best years ever in 2017, rising 27% on the back of supply disruptions and steady demand from China, by far the largest copper consumer.

Commodities analysts are usually wrong about copper supply, always predicting a glut in the market for the ubiquitous metal used in everything from piping for plumbing to wiring in houses, to components of electric vehicles. What they fail to account for is the inevitable stoppages at the major copper mines due mostly to strikes and weather problems.

In 2017 however they were right. In January last year a collection of analysts - BMI, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup and TD - were all bullish on copper, saying that after a terrible 2015 and 2016, it would be the strongest performing metal of 2017 with predictions of up to $6,200 a tonne come mid-year. By the end of 2017 copper futures trading on the London Metal Exchange (LME) were at their highest in four years, $7,236.50 a tonne or $3.28 a pound. Copper wasn’t the best performing metal of 2017 (that would be cobalt) but it was third behind palladium. 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, May 15, 2018

The Missing Link for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Last week we discussed the fundamentals of Gold, which do not appear bullish at the moment. Real rates (and yields) are rising and investment demand for Gold is flat. That in itself is a temporary but big missing link. However, we are referring to the missing link in the context of intermarket analysis. Gold is an asset that performs best when its outperforming its competitors. That’s true of any asset but especially Gold because it traditionally has been a counter-investment or an anti-investment. While Gold is firmly outperforming Bonds and showing strength against global currencies, it remains neutral to weak against global equities.  

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Commodities

Monday, May 14, 2018

Gloomy Scenarios for the Fed That Should Boost Precious Metals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Craig Hemke of the TF Metals Report. Craig runs one of the most highly respected and well-known websites in the entire industry and has been covering the precious metals for a decade now, and he puts out some of the best analysis on banking schemes, the flaws of Keynesian economics, and evidence of manipulation in the gold and silver markets.

Craig, it's been entirely too long. Thanks for joining us again, and how are you my friend?

Craig Hemke: Oh, Mike, it's always a pleasure. Thank you for having me back on. I'm a little more grayer, more wrinkles, all that kind of stuff in the last time since we've spoken, but that's what these markets will do to you, that's for sure.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, May 14, 2018

Precious Metals and Miners NUGT – The Sleeping Giant Trade / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Throughout this year, many analysts have focused on the price of Gold, Platinum & Silver markets for insight to the fear levels that exist in the global markets.  Demand for Gold and Silver have been near historically high levels for the past 12+ months and the ratio of Gold to Silver has continued to show that Silver is extremely undervalued in relative value to Gold.  We’ve highlighted these facts in previous articles to our readers.

The recent news regarding economic and political concerns regarding a wide range of Emerging Markets and established economies, we believe, has continued to drive upward price pressures in the precious metals markets.  We feel the Metals & Miners are setting up a unique opportunity for patient and skilled traders/investors.  Possibly, the opportunity of a lifetime if our analysis is correct.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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