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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

The London Gold Market: What’s Behind the Smoke and Mirrors? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jan_Skoyles

In our last two major research pieces we have been looking at the working parts of the gold market and where the heart of it lies. We’re trying to help investors understand where gold prices are really set.

Today we take a look at the London gold market, an older and arguably larger market than COMEX.

A couple of weeks ago we explained how we had ‘found that the COMEX was still the beating heart of the gold market.’ Since this research piece, Bron Sucheki, whose work featured in our last piece, suggested this may not necessarily be the whole story. Mr Sucheki pointed out the size of the London ‘opaque’ OTC forward market and research that shows price discovery fluctuates between both COMEX and London.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

Why You Still Shouldn’t Listen to Gold Bugs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Investment_U

Alexander Green writes: Many gold bugs are pounding the table for investors to buy gold – now that it’s dropped to roughly $1,200 – and sell stocks.

Don’t listen to them. Not because gold won’t rally from here or stocks won’t sell off – or both. But because – unbeknownst to many of their listeners – this is what they always say. Gold bugs don’t offer an investment analysis. They offer a world view that changes over the decades about as much as the constellation Orion.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

A Rare Anomaly in the Gold Stocks Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Jeff_Clark

Gold stock investors have been pummeled, including myself. Worse, we've had to hear "I told you so" from all the gold haters in the media.

There are a few commentators expressing mild interest in gold at these levels, but one thing I haven't heard any of them talk about is a metric that gold analysts are rarely able to use, because gold stocks just don't get this undervalued.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

Bernanke's Conundrum What it Might Mean for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_J_Kosares

“Central banks sold a record amount of US Treasury debt last week and bond funds suffered the biggest investor withdrawals on record as global markets shuddered at the prospect of the US Federal Reserve ending its quantitiative easing program.”

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

Gold - Stay the Course As Mixed Signals Move Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Frank_Holmes

Traders stampeded out of gold, emerging markets and bonds this month, setting record monthly outflows in June. Ever since the Federal Reserve hinted in May that signs of a stronger economy could allow for a slowdown of stimulus, markets have protested the news.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 02, 2013

Why I Remain Bullish on Gold Even While Negativity Surges / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: Gold bullion prices are taking a hard hit. Headlines are blaring with negativity, and bears continue to say the precious metal is useless. Dear reader, they may have done a good job driving the gold bullion prices lower, but they haven’t changed my opinion on gold one bit. I continue to believe that gold bullion has a shining future ahead.

Regardless of the gold bullion prices declining on the paper market, I see demand for the precious metal increasing. It’s giving the average investor another buying opportunity just like they had back in 2008.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

The Bell Just Rang On Gold Stocks - The Lows Are In! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: David_Banister

As they say on Wall Street, “They don’t ring bells at the top” and for sure they usually don’t give you a phone call at the bottom either. Many heads have rolled trying to call this recent near 2 year downdraft in Gold in terms of bottom callers, me included. I thought we would never get much below 1440 or so from the 1923 highs, but alas we all know we did.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

The Golden Gold Price Cycle / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Peter_Schiff

The New York Times had the definitive take on the vicious sell off in gold. To summarize one of their articles:

Two years ago gold bugs ran wild as the price of gold rose nearly six times. But since cresting two years ago it has steadily declined, almost by half, putting the gold bugs in flight.  The most recent advisory from a leading Wall Street firm suggests that the price will continue to drift downward, and may ultimately settle 40% below current levels.

The rout says a lot about consumer confidence in the worldwide recovery. The sharply reduced rates of inflation combined with resurgence of other, more economically productive investments, such as stocks, real estate, and bank savings have combined to eliminate gold's allure.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

Gold Price Rally Only Technical Bounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE of gold rose hard in Asian trade Monday morning, extending Friday's strong rally, but slipped back in London to start the third quarter of 2013 with an AM Fix of $1243.50 per ounce.

That was 26% below New Year for US Dollar investors, 21% down in Sterling, and 25% lower in Euros.

Silver also spiked before pulling back, dropping below Friday's finish at $19.69 per ounce.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

Russia and China Building Their Gold Reserves / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Chairman Mao Western economic commentary on China and Russia is usually coloured by monetarist assumptions not necessarily shared in Moscow and Beijing. For this reason, Russian and Chinese fiscal and monetary policies are misunderstood in financial markets, as well as the reasons their governments buy gold.

China has been notably relaxed about her own people acquiring gold, and the government itself appears to be absorbing all of China’s mine output. Russia is also building her official reserves from her own mine supply. The result over time has been the transfer of aboveground gold stocks towards these countries and their allies. The geo-political implications are highly important, but have been ignored by western governments.

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Commodities

Monday, July 01, 2013

Is the Gold Bubble Phase About to Begin? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Toby_Connor

I think the manipulation after QE4 has accelerated the bull market. We now have the necessary conditions for the bubble phase in gold to begin. I was expecting the second phase correction (the correction that separates the second phase of the bull market from the bubble phase) to occur at the next 8 year cycle low due in 2016. However I think the manipulation of the precious metals markets over the last 8 months has probably shortened the bull market.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 30, 2013

Gold Stocks Low? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: WavePatternTraders

I have been tracking a potential 5 wave decline in Gold stocks to help me also find a low in Gold.

Fridays reversal in both the $HUI and Gold was an encouraging sign for the bulls and whilst its only a 1 day move, it has the potential for something much more.

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Commodities

Sunday, June 30, 2013

Time To Buy Gold Again? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Brian_Bloom

The following interview with Jim Sinclair is highly significant in my view. (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GNjAg9x1_s8)

I find myself respecting what this man says and I think he is reading the gold market situation substantially correctly. He made four salient points in the first half of the talk (the second half was elaboration)

1.    When the bordello is raided, even the piano may need to be sold by the owners so that they may survive in the immediate future. Thereafter, the facts of life re-establish themselves and they regroup. The gold price has been falling for various reasons, including a raid by the authorities. It will bottom when weak holders are forced to sell the piano. Thereafter, it will rise.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Has Gold Lost Its Shine For Good? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

George Leong writes: Back in April, I said gold was looking bad on the chart and that as long as the stock market continued to advance higher, the prospects for gold were dim. (Read “Is Gold’s Near-Death Crisis Over-Exaggerated? Concerns of a Market Meltdown May Not Be.”)

Fast-forward two months, and while stocks have been in a minor correction, there continues to be distaste for holding gold.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

The Misunderstood Link Between Crude Oil, Natural Gas and Inflation / Commodities / Inflation

By: Money_Morning

Dr Kent Moors writes: According to conventional wisdom, there can't be a significant rise in inflation without a corresponding, and usually preceding, jump in energy prices.

In fact, the correlation between energy prices and inflation has become almost a mantra among some market pundits.

Unfortunately, the reality is somewhat different than what's portrayed by talking heads in thirty- second sound bites.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Gold And Silver Don't Blink! Purely A Mental Game Right Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

"Water, water everywhere, nor any drop to drink."

There is a similar situation with regard to fiat paper everywhere, but not a gold delivery to be made. The delirium cast by central bankers issuing unlimited fiat has kept so many people in a fiat-induced fog, unable to see clearly. The fog has lifted. It is all a game. See the fraudulent scheme for what it is and then fear no more. It is just a matter of time before everything unravels, as it surely is.

The price of gold and silver are closer to a bottom than a top. The QE-Infinity is closer to a top and will collapse under its own "goldless" weight. The PM holders are on the correct side of history. Understand that it has been one of the bigger world scams played by the central bankers, the illuminati who believed themselves untouchable, beyond the scope of comprehension by the non-banking world.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Defying Gold and Silver Bulls Optimism / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: EWI

Gold and silver have been all over the financial news.

On Thursday, June 20, silver fell below $20 (-60% from 2011 high), and gold fell below $1300 (-30% from 2011 high).

We first published the chart below after metals plunged in mid-April. It shows EWI's forecasts not only leading up to those big moves ... but during the past three years of opportunity.

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Gold and Silver Ground Floor Investor Opportunity In Next Super-Cycle? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jeb_Handwerger

The gold (GDX) and silver (SIL) miners have been hammered down to historic 1999 lows, while the U.S. banks (XLF) and U.S. dollar (UUP) reach new heights.  This is a great opportunity for value investors to enter the mining sector at possibly the ground floor of a commodity supercycle. 

Many amateur investors may be prematurely assuming that all is well with the global economic picture.  The fine tuning of the economy by the Central Banks and specifically Ben Bernanke appears to have been a major success to the masses.  On the other hand, astute investors who have learned from history and are aware of the financial risks stemming from currency devaluation.  Could this really be an illusion?  Could the dollar be on the verge of a collapse?  Is The Fed losing control of interest rates that could spike higher? 

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Are Gold and Silver Now Zombie Metals? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: The action in the gold and silver markets is enough to drive precious metals traders crazy, and in some cases, I think it has.

Analysts who once talked up the metals are now saying gold will slump to $900 an ounce… or lower. Investors who once loved mining stocks now loathe them. And on the other side, you have respectable people, furious over gold’s decline, talking about the metal going to “infinity.”

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Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Epic Investor Opportunity in Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

First, let me say I've been way too early on this call. I've been wrong and don't deny it. You have to own up to mistakes, learn from them and be humble. Moving along, the precious metals sector is likely days or potentially hours away from a bottom. With respect to Gold, we are targeting $1180 or slightly below with $1080 as a worst-case scenario. The stocks are a bit more instructive for several reasons. First, they have a more consistent history and second, the stocks bottomed ahead of Gold (using daily closing prices) at the major lows in 2000-2001 and 2008. Using data from the Barron's Gold Mining Index (BGMI) and the HUI Gold Bugs Index (HUI) we put together a chart of all of the major declines in gold stocks. We also annotated the ensuing recoveries.

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