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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, December 06, 2008

Gold Red Alert- Gold Price Backwardation first time in History! / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Professor_Emeritus

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDecember 2, 2008, was a landmark in the saga of the collapsing international monetary system, yet it did not deserve to be reported in the press: gold went to backwardation for the first time ever in history. The facts are as follows: on December 2nd, at the Comex in New York, December gold futures (last delivery: December 31) were quoted at 1.98% discount to spot, while February gold futures (last delivery: February 27, 2009) were quoted at 0.14% discount to spot. (All percentages annualized.) The condition got worse on December 3rd, when the corresponding figures were 2% and 0.29%. This means that the gold basis has turned negative, and the condition of backwardation persisted for at least 48 hours. I am writing this in the wee hours of December 4th, when trading of gold futures has not yet started in New York.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 06, 2008

Central Banks Gold Reserve Actions Key to Gold Price Trend / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFrom 1980 right through to 1999, the gold market had the possibility of enormous central bank gold sales hanging over the gold market.   Central banks did nothing to remove this impression but led the market to believe that it was likely.   Their purpose was to ensure gold did not challenge the paper money markets.   In 1971, President Nixon had cut the link between gold and money but removed the ability of U.S. $ holders to change their dollars into gold.   This left the $ and all other currencies without any backing except the promise from central banks to change paper dollars into paper dollars.   This would not have worked nearly so well had the U.S. not had the power to ensure that the oil market was bound to use only U.S. dollars as payment for oil.

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Commodities

Friday, December 05, 2008

Real Interest Rates and the Gold Price / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Zeal_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt's been a tough year for gold investors. Instead of soaring during the great fear and uncertainty of the global financial panic as most gold investors expected, gold got caught up in the selling. Thus it is down 7.3% year-to-date. This is far-better performance than virtually everything else, especially the S&P 500's 40.7% YTD loss. Nevertheless, the lack of a flight to gold in such dire conditions remains disappointing.

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Commodities

Friday, December 05, 2008

Gold and the End of an Era in the Global Capitalist Economy / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

"...'What is economics?' an economics professor asks. 'Scarcity' comes the school-children's answer..."

SO WE'RE LIVING through the end of something. Something important and ugly. Everyone seems agreed on that.

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Commodities

Friday, December 05, 2008

Crude Oil Closing in on $40 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Oil is closing in on $40.00 and perhaps on the way to $37.50 amidst an increasingly acute oversold condition. The trendline created by connecting the two major rally peaks between September 2000 ($37.89) and February 2003 ($39.99) cuts across the price axis at 46.00-43.50.

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Commodities

Friday, December 05, 2008

Gold Slumps on Half a Million U.S. Job Losses / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD gave back a tepid rally early in London on Friday before slumping to fresh two-week lows at $750 an ounce on news of a huge jump in US unemployment.

More than half-a-million Americans lost their jobs last month, reported the Bureau of Labor Studies. Wall Street analysts had been expecting 325,000 job losses.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 04, 2008

Euro Rockets and U.S. Dollar Pops Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The upside reversal in EURUSD today has popped the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) to an intraday high at 77.63, which if nothing else has put some distance between the price structure and key near-term support at the December low of 75.10/05. Prices have pulled back to 75.88 even though EURUSD has held its gains, which means that gold prices remain heavily influenced by the continual selling pressure across the commodity complex in general -- and in oil, in particular. Oil prices have plunged to new lows at $44.52, the lowest level since February 2005 and at the top of a support band that stretches across major highs going back to September 2000.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 04, 2008

Gold Unmoved by Historic Interest Rate Cuts in Europe / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF GOLD Gold Prices held in a tight $10 range in Asia and London on Thursday, unmoved by historic interest-rate cuts across Europe that buoyed French and German equities as returns-to-cash sank.

The European Central Bank (ECB) lopped 75-basis points off the cost of borrowing Euros, but held above the previous 2003 low of 2.0%, with its largest ever one-day reduction.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 03, 2008

Gold Market "Illiquid" as Zero Interest Rates Loom / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD for physical delivery slipped back against the Dollar, Euro and Yen early Wednesday in London, but recovered two-thirds of this week's 3.5% drop for UK investors as the Pound tumbled again on the foreign exchanges.

On the stock market, Wall Street's strong overnight finish faded in Asia and left European bourses almost 1.5% lower by lunchtime.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 03, 2008

Gold Robust Physical Demand / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold rose nearly 1% yesterday as the dollar gave up some of its gains in recent days. Gold has remained slightly weaker in European trading and this is likely because of continuing dollar strength, particularly against the euro.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 03, 2008

Stock Market and Commodities Will Recover; Economic Crisis Far from Over / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: The_Gold_Report

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs SilverStrategies.com editor Sean Rakhimov tells us in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, the economic crisis may go on for a generation but the market is a separate animal that will stir back to life sooner. He expects physical gold and silver to lead the parade, with base metals lagging 12-18 months behind, followed by share price recovery for the majors and on down the line. When picking stocks to buy now, he says investors have to decide for themselves whether a company will survive the washout; it may be tough going from here to there, but sticking with survivors should prove beneficial in the long run.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 03, 2008

Why Investors Pay High Silver Premiums? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Roland_Watson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI was checking out a new facility by Eric LeMaire which lists the latest eBay prices for gold and silver as well as some common numismaticals from decades past. You can see the statistics at this link . What struck me were the huge premiums that silver investors are prepared to pay for one ounce coins right up to 100 oz bars. At a glance I could see an average premium of 124% for American Silver Eagles, 164% for Kookaburras and 105% for Maples. More sane premiums can be seen on the 100 oz at 35% which is nevertheless still a hefty premium compared to how much one may pay for other asset classes.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

Comex Gold Shock and Awe / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Rob_Kirby

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis past Friday, Nov. 28, 2008, was first notice day for delivery of the December COMEX [a division of NYMEX] gold and silver futures contracts which trade on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The chart appended below shows that on Friday, 8,600 gold futures contracts @ 100 ounces per contract [and 3,040 silver futures contracts @ 5,000 ounces per contract] were delivered. To try to give some perspective to these numbers the previous delivery month for gold futures was October, 2008 when there were 11,554 deliveries for the entire month – a “big” number by historical standards.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

Gold and Stocks Bounce after Yesterdays Slide / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE SPOT PRICE OF PHYSICAL GOLD bounced $13 per ounce from a new 7-session low early Tuesday, while world stock markets found their floor almost 15% below the start of last month.

Recording an AM Gold Fix here in London of $772.50, the Gold Price stood 5% below last week's peaks vs. the Dollar and Euro as well as Sterling.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

Gold Crashes by 5% But Posts Strong Annual Gain in Sterling / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold fell sharply yesterday and gave up some of its recent gains. Gold for February delivery dropped $42.20 to end at $776.80 an ounce or 5.4% on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The sell off begin in Asia on sharply lower oil prices and continuing dollar strength but continued as European and US stock markets again fell sharply.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

Citigroup Predicts Gold 2000 in 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe horror of this financial crisis continues to grow.

The debate continues over bailing out the auto industry. What do you think? If a bailout occurs it will only be the first in a never ending line of industries seeking help. The world is now quickly changing and moving with a determined force we have not witnessed in our generation or the generation before.

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Commodities

Monday, December 01, 2008

Gold Corrects After Novembers Surge as Dollar Strengthens / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

WHOLESALE GOLD PRICES fell sharply in Asia and London on Monday, dropping 3.2% from Friday's best weekly close in eight and falling below $791 an ounce.

The six-day rally in global stock markets also stalled on a fresh surge in the US Dollar and Japanese Yen.

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Commodities

Monday, December 01, 2008

Gold Holding above Important $800 Support Level / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

In thin holiday trading, gold rose 1% on Friday closing above the important $800/oz mark for a gain of 3.1% for the week – its third week in a row of gains. It was up 14% for the month of November which was its largest monthly gain in more than 9 years.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 30, 2008

Gold Breakout, Re-run of September Price Action? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIs this September all over again, a sharp couple day rally and then a more casual topping out and decline? This time the rally didn't even come close to the 200 day moving average line which has now turned to the down side. But who knows, maybe this time it's different.

GOLD : LONG TERM As mentioned last week the long term P&F chart, although showing a valid upside (bullish) break-out, is still a weak break and projects only to the top of the Sept-Oct highs. That does not make for a strong long term reversal. Other than an extra X during the latest move the P&F remains as it was last week.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 30, 2008

Precious Metals Scene In Europe / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Morgan

During my recent trip to Europe we visited four main cities: London, Paris, Zurich, and Munich. My impression of each location varied, in relation to the current global economic climate and how the precious metals are behaving.

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