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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Saturday, October 11, 2014

Gold and Silver Getting a Temporary Reprieve / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold closed last week below $1200 for the first time but has since rebounded from support at $1180. Silver has also rebounded but only after declining in 11 of the past 12 weeks. Precious Metals endured a very rough September and became very oversold. With Gold near its daily low and the gold miners (HUI, GDX) near their December lows, a rebound was probable. Precious metals bulls need to stay patient and disciplined as we believe this is an oversold bounce in a sharp downtrend until proven otherwise.

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Commodities

Friday, October 10, 2014

Gold, Stocks Market Turbulence / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

This week has seen highly volatile equities (mostly down), bond yields sharply lower, the oil price hard down, and gold side-lined but recovering after a miserable month or two. On the news front, the S&P rating agency reminded us that Greece is likely to default, Germany released some horrible industrial production numbers, and the Federal Open Market Committee unexpectedly released dovish minutes. So what’s it all about?

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Commodities

Friday, October 10, 2014

Crude Oil Price War - A Calculated Saudi Move Aimed At America / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: In 280-279 B.C., the Epirian King Pyrrhus defeated the Romans in two consecutive battles. But he suffered such a large number of casualties that his army could no longer carry on the fight.

Ever since then, the term “Pyrrhic victory” has become synonymous with winning at too high a cost.

These days some are beginning to wonder if the Saudis are marching down the same road.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 09, 2014

The Fourth Central Bank Gold Agreement - Started 27-9-2014 - What Gives? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

On 19th May 2014, the European Central Bank and 20 other European central banks announced the signing of the fourth Central Bank Gold Agreement. This agreement, which applies as of 27 September 2014, will last for five years and the signatories have stated that they currently do not have any plans to sell significant amounts of gold.

Collectively, at the end of 2013, central banks held around 30,500 tonnes of gold, which is approximately one-fifth of all the gold ever mined. Moreover, these holdings are highly concentrated in the advanced economies of Western Europe and North America, a statement that their gold reserves remained an important reserve asset, a statement made in each of the four agreements since then.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 08, 2014

Gold: Time to Prepare for Big Gains? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Casey_Research

Years of a severe downturn in the gold market have left very few bulls to speak out in favor of the yellow metal. Here are some positive opinions on the future of the precious metal, from the recently concluded Casey Research Fall Summit.

David Tice, founder of the Prudent Bear Fund, believes we are heading for a “global currency reset” that will reduce the role of the dollar in global trade. Central banks, he says, don’t possess all the gold they claim to, and the unwinding of the paper gold market probably isn’t far down the road—it could even ignite the next major crisis.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 08, 2014

Gold and Silver Stocks Apocalypse Now, Bear Market Review / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

In part I, Phase III-Dead Ahead, we established the macro case for the final phase of the gold stock bear market. As the bear market progresses the economies key constraint remains the level of debt, specifically the size and composition of the national balance sheet which has baked in the cake a deflationary outcome. It is this wave of deflation that will drive the final phase of this bear market to unimagined lows. The good news, however is when it's finally over the precious metals will transition into the next bull market. We will examine this process and the sign posts along the way as we complete phase III of the bear market and transition into the beginning of the next bull market in the precious metals.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 08, 2014

Gold; a Simpleton’s View / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gary_Tanashian

First off, if you have an interest in the price of gold and have not already done so, I highly recommend you check out Steve Hochberg’s 2-part Elliott Wave video presentation on gold (disclosure: free sign up to Club EWI brings a small commission to yours truly ;-) ).  With all his zigs, zags, waves and patterns he ends up at the same place I do with my simple version.  I may use less cluttered methods, but I find this stuff very interesting.

With markets at a key juncture, the US dollar over bought (but bullish), the precious metals, commodities and increasingly, global markets over sold but bearish and US stocks acting as if October 2014 could at least recall memories of October 2008, I want to try to weave all this together around the simplistic monthly chart of gold, which is the asset that would provide liquidity for asset market refugees if the macro really were to get very negative.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 08, 2014

Ebola and Global Recession Risks Send Stocks Sliding / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Hardly a day goes by without a headline on the spread of the deadly Ebola virus in West Africa and now in Spain and in the U.S. With more than 3,500 deaths and about 8,000 reported cases, it is one of the most severe disease outbreaks in recent years.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 08, 2014

The Gold Bug is Set to Bite Back / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: EWI

Since hitting a record high of $1921.50 per ounce in September 2011, gold prices have erased 30% in value. By the end of day on October 3, 2014, gold prices were circling the drain of a 15-month low.

After such devastation, the global community of gold analysts, advisors and investors finds itself scattered as an anthill colony after being stepped on by a giant bear paw. This recent Forbes article captures the divisiveness among gold watchers:

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Gold and the S&P 500 Index: Sum and Ratio / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

The US national debt in 1989 was about $2.8 Trillion.  Twenty Five years later, in 2014, that debt had increased by a factor of about 6.3 to $17.8 Trillion.

For many decades the US piled on more debt, increased the currency in circulation much more rapidly than the economy grew, and of course, caused consumer prices to increase substantially.  Naturally the S&P 500 Index increased, as did the price of gold, since each dollar was worth less.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Huge Reversal in USD and Gold - Finally! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions (full) in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

The precious metals market finally rallied yesterday. Gold moved lower in the first hours of the session, getting very close to the Dec. 2013 low, but it rallied before the session was over, finally closing over $16 higher. Is the final bottom in?

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Silver “Particularly Cheap” as “Blood On The Commodity Streets” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

With few exceptions, commodity prices have fallen sharply in recent months, to their lowest levels in over a year. 

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 07, 2014

Why NED Davis is Dead Wrong About Gold Price Falling to $660 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jason_Hamlin

John LaForge, commodities strategist at Ned Davis Research says gold is going to $660 an ounce.

In an appearance on CNBC on Thursday, LaForge said that the end of the current “supercycle” for gold could push the precious metal down to $660 an ounce, or about 40% lower than where it is currently trading.

LaForge said that in the 1980s, the price of gold fell about 65% from peak-to-trough as the precious metal endured a 20-year bear market. And after hitting $1900 an ounce in 2011, gold should see a similar peak-to-trough decline in the current cycle.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, October 06, 2014

Gold Price Support At $1,180/oz and $1,161/oz, Then At $1,000/oz / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Gold had a torrid September and suffered further losses last week of 2.2%.

Gold in U.S. Dollars,  5 Years (Thomson Reuters)

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Commodities

Monday, October 06, 2014

Long-term Forecast for Commodity Prices and Mining Industry Funding / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Dr_Volkmar_G_Hable

Rising global scarcity of resources – metals, minerals and energy – that an ever-increasing human population uses every day to sustain its unsustainable lifestyle, has been the most important topic since the burst of the dotcom bubble in 2000. The reason is simple: we live on a planet with a distinctly finite resource base and a rapidly growing population.

For over the last twelve years supply has struggled to keep pace with demand. Yet we experience a collective breakdown among junior miners of epic historical proportions. Confused investors have been questioning their portfolio strategies and have withdrawn their money from “value in the ground” to re-invest it into scarily overvalued internet companies with questionable earnings and even more precarious business models built on promises of more bites and bytes. Today’s situation displays eerie similarities to the business and economic developments leading up to year 2000 and the events we remember all too well. I am considering a new article with the title “50 shades of investor insanity”.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 05, 2014

CRB Heading into its Three Year Cycle Low / Commodities / CRB Index

By: Toby_Connor

Now that oil has made a lower intermediate low warning bells are ringing that the commodity complex has more than likely begun the move down into its three-year cycle low. That bottom isn’t due until May or June of next year at the earliest.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 04, 2014

Gold And Silver - Elites V Gold: Still No Contest / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

Without question, the least understood, least visible force that affects almost everyone's lives, certainly in the Western world, is that of the elites, the moneychangers, the relative handful that controls everything, from the BIS, IMF, and down to the central bankers. These individuals remain nameless and faceless, but their roots are founded by that widely known banking clan, the Rothschilds.

There has been an increase in the vague awareness of the elites acknowledged as forces that control everything, but by and large, such people are pseudo-intellectually aware, a part of the "crowd" that professes to know more than the average individual [which is an easy accomplishment, anyway], but in effect it is a false sense of awareness because these individuals otherwise lead a similar life to the less informed. Both groups remain a part of the "system," maintaining bank accounts, use of credit cards, registered to vote, in fact registered to do everything to meet the requirements of the system that keeps everyone suppressed.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 04, 2014

Gold Price Look Out Below / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Sy_Harding

Gold experienced a spectacular bull market run from its low at $250 an ounce in 2001 to its peak above $1,900 an ounce in 2011. Its long bull market was largely supported by expectations that the Fed’s easy money policies would create spiraling inflation, of which gold, the historical hedge against inflation, would be the big benefactor.

However, spiraling inflation did not materialize. In fact, inflation remained quite benign, and in 2011 gold gave up on the idea. It rolled over into a 37% bear market decline to $1,200 an ounce.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, October 04, 2014

Gold and Silver to Face More Body Blows / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold has broken below $1200 this morning in what should begin the final breakdown. In weekly and monthly terms $1200 was the remaining support. Sure Gold could bounce from $1180 but todays breakdown is more significant. Both metals are now in breakdown mode while the mining stocks continue to slide. There is more downside ahead and bulls should continue to stand aside before a favorable buying opportunity emerges.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 04, 2014

The Sound Money Business: Four Years Past and Future Forecast / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Peter_Schiff

Yesterday, I launched a new website and announced the rebranding of my gold bullion dealer from Euro Pacific Precious Metals to SchiffGold. I started this company four years ago to provide a trustworthy option for my Euro Pacific Capital brokerage clients, but it has since grown to become a major US gold dealer in its own right. This landmark for my company comes in the midst of a historic time for the precious metals. The past four years have had highs and lows. We have been experiencing the inflation of remarkable new asset bubbles, and gold’s response has been mixed. But I have reason to believe that over the next four years, gold and silver investors will witness shocking macroeconomic events that put to rest any doubts about the importance of having sound money in every portfolio.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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