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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Tuesday, December 31, 2013

Gold's Rally and U.S. Dollar's Decline or Vice Versa? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

In our Dec. 20 commentary, we discussed the outlook for the USD Index, Euro Index, and how these currencies were likely to impact gold. We summarized the essay by writing that the situation was bullish for the USD Index, and bearish for the euro. We wrote that the implications for gold were bearish. That was 10 days ago and we haven't seen any big price swings since then (except for an intra-day decline in the USD Index, but we will move to that in just a few paragraphs). Has anything changed? Was there any kind of confirmation or invalidation that would increase the bullishness of the situation for gold? Or, perhaps, the situation is even worse now than it was before (despite a small move higher)? Let's take a look (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

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Commodities

Monday, December 30, 2013

Bear Market Bottoms: Gold Stocks Once-in-a-Lifetime Opportunities / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Toby_Connor

Last week I wrote an article on why I think the bull market in stocks is coming to an end. As usual the retail public is chasing a move that is extremely mature and ripe to reverse, while assuming that the current trend will continue. Amateurs always make this mistake at tops ... and bottoms. Their emotions tell them the move will continue indefinitely. It never does.

As you can see in this next chart, dumb money traders are becoming more and more confident the further this parabolic move progresses. Professional traders, on the other hand, get more and more nervous as the market stretches further and further above the mean.

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Commodities

Monday, December 30, 2013

The Gold Owner's Price Guide for 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_J_Kosares

"It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future." - Yogi Berra, baseball philosopher

Since the beginning of gold's bull market in the early 2000s, we have recommended an unambiguous course of action: Own the physical metal -- fully paid for and stored nearby -- then sit back and watch the show.

Part of watching the show is the forecast and prediction festivities that greet each New Year. This year's entries will be of special interest to gold owners coming off the first down year for gold in the past thirteen. As our good friend, James Turk, says further on: "One losing year after 12 winning years is not that bad."

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Commodities

Monday, December 30, 2013

Basic Materials Sector Stocks Investor Opportunities / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: Rambus_Chartology

Rambus Chartology has been focusing on the Precious Metals for the most part as that is where the most compelling Chartolgy has been.

But tonite I would like to switch gears and visit a different sector which is looking very interesting to say the least.

About every two or three months or so I do a post on the Basic Materials sector just too keep an eye one what is happening there. It has been somewhat mixed for the most part but it now seems to be gaining some momentum. As you know I've taken a couple of position related to the area recently. I tried the shippers a month or so ago but got stopped out on a hard backtest but I could see the potential starting to build for this undervalued area. The latest bout of strength still hasn't shown up in the CCI commodities index as it has been flat lining on top of a long term support and resistance rail that goes all the way back to 2007. So far the CCI has corrected 50% of the move off the 2008 low which it has been holding for some time now.

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Commodities

Monday, December 30, 2013

Bitcoin Volatile Elephant in the Room Takes on Gold, Pros vs Cons / Commodities / Bitcoin

By: John_Browne

Ever since President Nixon broke the US dollar's last link to gold, the world has been set adrift on a sea of fiat currencies that have been increasingly debased, serving the interests of governments and financial elites. For the last five years, central banks have imposed near-zero rates of interest that have helped push up stock, bond, and real estate prices, but have made it nearly impossible for savers to receive meaningful returns on bank deposits.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 28, 2013

Gold And Silver 2014 Sharply Higher Prices? Be Careful What You Wish For / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

2013 comes to an end, and with it all those calls for gold and silver to be at much higher price levels. What will 2014 bring? More and more renewed calls for much higher price levels. Will 2014 be the year?

It is a possibility, but as the expression goes, "Be careful of what you wish for." So many who expect gold to exceed $3,000, even $10, 000, while for silver $100 and higher, but what are the expectations for how circumstances will be with PM at the higher end?

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Commodities

Saturday, December 28, 2013

The Mechanics of Gold and Silver Price Manipulation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Much confusion persists regarding the method, or mechanics, of how the big banks are able to push the price of precious metals around at will for so long.

GATA and Ted Butler have long established and outlined the reasons why this occurs (legally). They have also established the foundation that forms the basis of how the manipulation unfolds. Despite very clear and concise commentary, the message sometimes becomes diluted in its distribution. This situation makes for easy picking from the hard-core opposition who mainly reside, ironically, as part of the professional mining and trading community.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 28, 2013

Crude Oil Price Corrective Rally / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Gregor_Horvat

Crude oil is still trading to the upside towards $100 per barel. It seems that move from 96.20 is in five waves so we adjusted the wave count as market could already be making wave C, final leg of wave 4) that could turn down from 100-101 resistancea area.

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Commodities

Friday, December 27, 2013

Silver Stocks ETF's / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

2013 has been a brutal year for silver.  And a brutal year for a metal obviously doesn’t bode well for its mining stocks.  Companies that have been exploring for deposits, developing mines, and producing silver have sadly become the pariahs of the markets.  But if silver’s fortunes change in 2014, as they ought to, then right now could be one of the best buying opportunities of this entire secular bull market.

Unfortunately silver is currently in a sentiment wasteland.  Even contemplating a foray into this metal, let alone its stocks, is a fool’s errand to the majority of mainstream investors.  Their mindset is why bother wasting even a cent of precious capital investing in a sector led by an asset that’s down 36% on the year.  It’s much more prudent to throw money at the ever-rising stock markets, right?

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Commodities

Friday, December 27, 2013

Gold Opening / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Submissions

Thomas Clayton writes: Above red EMA9

Minimal Red Volume Bars

MACD lines crossed positive, Histogram Bars are above Zero,

Stoch RSI Positive Up

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Commodities

Friday, December 27, 2013

Gold and Silver Tottering Into the End of the Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jesse

"Oh what a tangled web we weave,
When first we practise to deceive!" - Sir Walter Scott, Marmion

“The arrogance and brutality of empire are not repealed when they temporarily get deployed in a just cause.” - Michael Kazin

When governments intervene in markets, other than occasionally and transparently in currency and interest rate markets in pursuit of clear policy, I do not see how they can expect investors to maintain the confidence in their policies and actions.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 26, 2013

Gold Stocks Bear Market Cycle Bottom Forming Right Now! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: David_Banister

Today we take a look at the Bullish Percent Index chart relative to Gold’s cycle and Gold Stocks.

Essentially it tells you what percentage of Gold sector stocks are at or above a moving average, which normally would be 50 days. When 70% or more are above a 50 day moving average, sectors can be peaking out. If you look at our chart at the bottom, we have labeled various incidents with A, B, C, and D.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 26, 2013

Platinum - Our Favorite Precious-Metals Trade Going Into 2014 / Commodities / Platinum

By: DailyWealth

Brian Hunt writes: Among the most important financial decisions you'll ever make is the decision to buy precious metals like gold and silver.

At Stansberry & Associates, we have been urging investors to buy precious metals for more than 10 years. We own precious metals ourselves. We've even published books on the right ways to invest in them.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 26, 2013

Relaxing U.S. Crude Oil Exports Ban is Bad News for Consumers / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EconMatters

US Energy Boom

The US is producing much more energy domestically the last decade in all forms from natural gas to crude oil with a myriad of boutique products along the way, and so it is natural for producers to want to maximize profits by expanding their marketplace.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 25, 2013

Leading Indicators from the Superstars of Resource Investing 2014 / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: The_Gold_Report

Knowledge is money in resource investing. That is why The Gold Report reaches out to the top experts in the sector all year long to bring you their best investing ideas. For this special year-end feature, we asked some of your favorite thought leaders about the tools they use to spot trends and make those important buy-sell decisions. What are the early indicators that gold will rise, plummet or coast sideways? Is it Federal Reserve bond buying? China's growth rate? Lipstick sales? You may be surprised by the answers.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 25, 2013

Fracking, Uranium and Solar, Oh My!: Growth and Innovation 2013 / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: The_Energy_Report

A more profitable outcome often requires a new way of doing things. The Energy Report profiled some of the most innovative stories in the energy space in 2013. Our experts talked about everything from developments in hydraulic fracturing techniques to new ways of finding and processing natural resources. As we look forward to exciting new opportunities in 2014, let's revisit some stories our experts shared last year.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 24, 2013

Silver Bells Ringing Price Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Joseph_Russo

I would like to wish each of our readers, subscribers, partners, and supporters a delightfully enlightened and prosperous holiday season. Although no one literally rings any bells at market tops or bottoms, let me just state that there is strong technical evidence for a multi-generational bottom in silver occurring some time in 2014, and leave it at that. Click here for the entertaining prophecy and here for some final downside targets before this mother of all bull markets ignites. Below are the unfolding charts.

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Commodities

Monday, December 23, 2013

Gold 2014 - Why You should Bet Against Goldman Sachs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

It is a tragic irony that at a time when gold and silver are completing large basing patterns after a long and deep correction, and are at last nearly ready to turn up and start their next major uptrends, most investors in the PM sector have been psychologically crippled and rendered impotent by huge losses - some have been ruined. Most investors in the sector, or would be investors, will therefore not partake in the PM sector's next major upleg, and will stand idly by watching it from the sidelines. Not so Big Money which has been and is soaking up the better PM stocks like a giant sponge at knockdown silly prices.

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Commodities

Monday, December 23, 2013

Silver Price Major Up-trend Forecast 2013 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

On silver's 14-year chart we can see that, despite the severe correction since the Spring 2011 peak, it has still not broken down from the large broadening uptrend shown, nor has it dropped below the nearby zone of strong support shown. In the last update, posted on 6th October, we looked for the next major uptrend to begin almost immediately, having observed a large potential Head-and-Shoulders bottom completing. That pattern aborted and we were stopped out (of both gold and silver) for a minor loss. Although that interpretation was invalidated, it still looks like silver is in a basing process, and it may be forming a Double Bottom with its June lows.

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Commodities

Monday, December 23, 2013

Gold and Silver Parabolas and Ratios Story / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Rambus_Chartology

Below is a combo chart that I’ve shown you several times that has the INDU:GOLD ratio on top and gold on the bottom. So far the parabolic move in the ratio and gold is still playing out. As you can see on the gold chart below gold touched the parabolic arc this week with the ratio chart on top doing the same. This was an important week for this ratio and gold to keep the parabolic moves going in each direction.

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