Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, October 24, 2015
GDXJ, GDX Gold Miners Holding Gains in Bullish Fashion / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
We published a video update a few days ago discussing the short-term outlook for the precious metals sector which includes the gold miners. With regards to the miners, we took the view that they could digest recent gains and hold support or break lower and trade close to the support near summer lows. After this week and today especially, one scenario is more likely.
Friday, October 23, 2015
Silver’s Deep Undervaluation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Silver is finally showing some signs of life after suffering a dark year. The epically-bearish sentiment that bludgeoned this metal to major secular lows is cracking, with a strong rebound rally now underway. And this recent buying is likely just the earliest vanguard, as silver remains deeply undervalued relative to its primary driver gold. Silver will need an utterly massive upleg to fully mean revert to normal levels.
Silver has been out of favor for a long time, the last few years. And 2015 didn’t give beleaguered silver investors much hope. By late August, July’s extreme gold-futures shorting attack had dragged silver down to a major 6.0-year secular low. Down 9.9% year-to-date at that dark nadir, silver was left for dead by traders. The despair was real, as it certainly felt like silver was doomed to keep grinding lower forever.
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Friday, October 23, 2015
The Seven Biggest Lies Told and Believed about Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: MoneyMetals
Guy Christopher writes: It’s hard to say which lie about gold is the biggest whopper.
Many widely held beliefs about gold are lies – propaganda hammered home to have us believe the only true measure of wealth is government-issued debt.
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Thursday, October 22, 2015
Silver Prices and The Fiduciary Standard Of Care / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Once again we get to continue along this discussion of how the price of silver is truly formed in the market as we see it today.
The reason for that is so that you can have as a resource the ability to go to a whole set of information that shows you what's really happening in real time, rather than going out and feeling disconnected or disintegrated and looking weak correlations that have no connection to anything.
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Thursday, October 22, 2015
USO Patience Before Picking Cycle Low / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Gary_Savage
A little more patience before trying to pick the cycle low in oil. RSI is just now getting oversold so its getting close.
I Like to see price close below the lower Bollinger band before trying to pick the bottom. Once it does then wait for a swing low to form.
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Wednesday, October 21, 2015
Why Opportunistic Investor Chen Lin Is Hoping for $20/Barrel Oil / Commodities / Oil Companies
By: The_Energy_Report
A quick drop to $20/barrel oil could be the best thing for energy companies with enough cash in the bank to take advantage of the sharp bounce predicted in the wake of such a dramatic fall. In this interview with The Energy Report, newsletter writer Chen Lin names two companies that could not only survive the oil price downturn, but also are perfectly positioned in the global market to start generating barrels of cash for investors.
Tuesday, October 20, 2015
China’s Stock Market Crash and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The stock market crashes were – alongside the devaluation of yuan – the most important recent developments in China. The stock market started rising during the summer of 2014, when the property market started to burst. The timing is no coincidence, as the government wanted to replace one bubble by another. By inflating (or at least cheerleading) the stock market bubble (by cutting interest rates and providing liquidity into the markets via the Pledged Supplementary Lending and Medium-Term Lending Facility, the Chinese version of quantitative easing both worth over the 2 trillion yuan), the Communist Party of China wanted to sell equity stakes of dangerously debt-burdened state enterprises and help clean up messy balance sheets, as well as to create a wealthy middle class, as a condition to move from exports/investment-led growth to domestic-consumption-led growth.
Tuesday, October 20, 2015
Gold On Verge Of Posting First Positive Year Since 2012 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
Gold is looking likely to finish the year positive for the first time since 2012, according to Frank Holmes writing in Forbes today. Holmes points to the weaker US dollar, the probability of near-zero interest rates for the remainder of the year and a seasonal increase in demand as underpinning the positive momentum.
Monday, October 19, 2015
Crude Oil Market Showdown: Can Russia Outlast The Saudis? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
"Two men enter, one man leaves, two men enter, one man leaves, two men enter..." -
Mad Max: Beyond Thunderdome November 27, oil consuming countries will celebrate the first anniversary of the Saudi decision to let market forces determine prices. This decision set crude prices on a downward path. Subsequently, to defend market share, the Saudis increased production, which exacerbated market oversupply and further pressured prices.
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Monday, October 19, 2015
Gold Shows Strength as Debt Ceiling Showdown Approaches / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: MoneyMetals
Stefan Gleason writes: Gold and silver markets enter this week on improved technical footing. The precious metals each rallied above resistance levels last week as disappointing economic data stimulated safe-haven buying.
Silver cleared the $16.00 level, while gold poked above its 200-day moving average for the first time in five months on Wednesday. And prices closed Friday right at the 200-day line and remain there this morning.
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Monday, October 19, 2015
LBMA Looks to Modernise Gold Trading / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
Change is brewing in London as the the LBMA – the association that oversees the world’s largest gold market – is looking at how best to modernise and improve over-the-counter gold trading.
As members of the world’s gold industry meet this week at the LBMA’s annual conference in Vienna, their proposals are being sought on how to bring the gold trading in London up to date.
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Monday, October 19, 2015
Gold New Bull Market a False Dawn? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
Gold's cheerleaders are at it again, jumping up and down with excitement as they proclaim the birth of a new bullmarket, and herding their flocks into the sector, when they have barely recovered from the last fleecing.
There are 3 factors that we are going to look at which suggest that this latest rally is just another false dawn. One is the unbroken downtrends in gold and silver, the next is the unfavorable alignment of their moving averages, and finally their latest COTs, which call for caution - especially silver's which is downright bearish.
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Monday, October 19, 2015
Silver Bugs Premature Celebrations? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
Silverbugs have been getting worked up this month about the possibility of a new bull market in their favorite white metal, due to its sharp rally in the early days of the month, but as we will see in this update, the long-term charts and latest COTs reveal that there is little real cause for celebration - on the contrary, we should beware of an imminent downturn in silver and more than that, position ourselves to capitalize on it.
Sunday, October 18, 2015
Now is the Time to Short Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Submissions
Tony Mermer writes: Gold's recent rally has convinced many investors and traders that the precious metals bear market is over. I disagree. Since I believe that the gold and silver bear markets are not over, the recent rally is merely a rally within this bear market. This rally is probably over, so here's why now is the time to short gold and silver.
Saturday, October 17, 2015
Shanghai Gold Exchange Withdrawals Running at Record Pace / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jesse
Withdrawals of gold from the Shanghai Exchange alone are at 1,958 tonnes for the year. The first chart below compares that pace to the prior years.
As I noted the other day, the mispricing of value and risk in the gold market, primarily driven by traders in London and New York, is calling a form of Gresham's Law into action.
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Saturday, October 17, 2015
Gold Price Retracement / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Gary_Savage
At 12 weeks gold has probably produced it's first right translated intermediate cycle in almost 3 years. But after 2 big up weeks in a row and a test of the 50 WMA it would mot be unusual for gold to back off and regroup for a week or two before breaking through that resistance.
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Saturday, October 17, 2015
Gold And Silver - Obama Is Bullish for Gold And Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
Obama is ultimately bullish for gold and silver. His erratic and often incompetent decision-making can only cause both PMs to rally. Here is part of the reason why:
Russia's entry into the Syrian conflict to fight real terrorists is as much a side-show as it is a pivotal power play and game changer for Putin in the Middle East [ME]. We continue to report on this for diametrically opposed reasons. It puts a glaring focus on Obama's political inabilities, similar to watching a satirical comedy sketch, while at the same time, there is the potential for WWIII, mostly due to the instability of US policies. This is a tragicomedy unfolding before us on the world's stage.
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Friday, October 16, 2015
Gold and Silver Price Test Initial Resistance / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The precious metals sector, after failing to breakdown has enjoyed a strong rally in recent weeks. Gold, Silver and junior gold miners (GDXJ) have reached their 200-day moving averages with senior miners (GDX) close behind. While this is a positive development it does not yet signal that the sector is embarking on a new bull market trend. There are a few things to keep an eye on over the days and weeks to come that can help us determine if a new bull market is taking shape.
Friday, October 16, 2015
Radical Gold Stocks Underinvestment / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Despite gold blasting higher this month, this metal remains deeply out of favor among investors. They have shunned it for years thanks to extreme central-bank money printing levitating stock markets. This slayed demand for alternative investments, led by gold. But the resulting radical underinvestment in gold today is super-bullish. Vast capital inflows will be necessary to return gold investment to normal levels.
It’s impossible to overstate just how much gold is hated these days. Investors’ opinions on it range from total apathy to fervently believing gold is the worst investment on Earth. You can easily test this out in your own social circles. The next time the markets or investing come up, ask if gold is now a good buy. Everyone will say no, usually emphatically. And if you advocate for gold, they’ll think you’re naive or stupid.
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Friday, October 16, 2015
Silver Price Green Light / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Silver looks like it has bottomed and will move substantially higher. Why?
Long Term – 25+ years: Examine the silver to gold ratio since 1990. The ratio is currently low and appears to have bottomed. Silver bottoms when the ratio bottoms. Expect a multi-year rally.
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