Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, October 06, 2015

Silver Prices and HFT / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

This is part of an ongoing series describing silver “Electronic Price Discovery versus the Fundamental Reality”.

In this discussion, we will go a little deeper and narrow with HFT and algorithm trading,  and more specifically its impact on the market.

First off, I don't think that speed, electronics or computers are necessarily a bad thing in and of themselves. Nor are the tactics employed, including “sub-millisecond trading” or “co-location of servers”, the latter meaning one can physically place servers closer to the exchanges and therefore gain a speed advantage. I don't think they're necessarily bad things in and of themselves.

Tuesday, October 06, 2015

Key Chart Shows Silver Price at Critical Crossroads / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Stefan Gleason writes: Gold and silver markets enter the week with an opportunity to build on last Friday's strong reversal. The metals had drifted lower through Thursday's close, but they got a big boost Friday after the Labor Department released disappointing jobs numbers.

Even though the official unemployment rate held steady at 5.1%, the number of jobs added in September fell short of analyst expectations. Worse, a record 94.6 million Americans of working age now aren't working. Most of these jobless Americans don't get counted as "unemployed" - making the unemployment rate a dubious statistic. It's so obviously unrepresentative of real-world realities that even mainstream financial reporters are catching on.

Monday, October 05, 2015

Gold Rose 2.2%, Silver Surged 5.4% After Poor Jobs Number On Friday / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

– BIS warns “unrealistic and dangerous to expect that monetary policy can cure all the global economy’s ills”

– Bank of International Settlements warns that recent turmoil is not caused by isolated incidents

– Debt levels are now so extreme they threaten the financial system

Monday, October 05, 2015

Gold, Silver Precious Metals: a Critical Week Ahead / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

Lets get right to the charts today as there is so much to cover. Starting with the daily gold chart you can see the blue triangle pattern we've been watching now for several weeks or so. Last Thursday gold closed right on the bottom rail which I knew was an inflection point where it could go either way. When I went to bed Thursday night I knew Friday was going to be either a very good day or a very bad day depending on what gold did in the morning. As you can see on the chart below gold dipped slightly below the bottom blue rail and then reversed direction to the upside. That last touch of the bottom blue rail confirmed the 4th reversal point was complete. The rally on Friday is now the beginning of the 5th reversal point which will make the blue triangle a reversal pattern instead of a consolidation pattern if it breaks out above the top blue rail.

Monday, October 05, 2015

Gold Price Change in Character / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

As most of you probably know the largest rallies occur during bear markets. They tend to be very aggressive and powerful. This is how one can tell the difference between a countertrend rally in a bear market and a rally in a new bull market. I’m going to suggest that the gold market is no longer acting like the typical bear market. Let me explain.

Notice how during every bear market rally over the last 3 years, the 2nd daily cycle, and sometimes the 1st daily cycle, launch higher very aggressively turning traders bullish very quickly. Once sentiment reaches 40 to 50% bulls, the rally runs out of steam and the next leg down begins. Typical bear market rally type behavior.

Saturday, October 03, 2015

Gold And Silver – A Reality Check / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Michael_Noonan

There are two things about which everyone need be clear: 1. The lack of clarity of the identity of the global elites, AKA Rothschilds and their ilk, who control the world’s money supply along with every government, and 2. The demise of the fiat “dollar” and failed fiat Euro are not accidental. Everything, everything is planned decades, or more, in advance by the global elitSes. They control and use upper echelon characters, like Soros, Kissinger, et al, and their primary membership organizations like Council On Foreign Relations and United Nations, among others.

Saturday, October 03, 2015

The Oil Industry’s Day of Reckoning / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Investment_U

Ryan Fitzwater writes: Squeezed for cash and sweating...

That is the state of oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) companies as they enter October.

Our chart above shows just how overleveraged the industry has become in relation to other sectors. On average, E&Ps have 20 times as much debt compared to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) brought in over the last 12 months.

Friday, October 02, 2015

Gold and Silver End-Quarter Influences / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Alasdair_Macleod

In a generally quiet week, gold and silver prices were marked down in thin trade towards the quarter-end, when traders make up their books, with gold falling $32 to $1114.5, and silver by 58 cents by the close on Thursday night. Prices opened lower in early European trade, with gold less than $10 from the $1100 level.

Friday, October 02, 2015

Knockout Punch for Gold Bugs / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Two months ago the precious metals complex became extremely oversold and ripe for a rebound. Two months later and the overbought condition and bearish sentiment has been alleviated to some degree. Sadly for bulls, Gold barely rebounded while both Silver and gold miners performed worse. The broad precious metals sector appears to be in position for a breakdown that could be a knockout blow to gold bulls and gold bugs.

Friday, October 02, 2015

Survival Secrets from Colorado Resource Investing Front Lines / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: The_Gold_Report

Top experts and select companies traveled to Colorado last week for a pair of conferences focused on the survivors in the natural resource mining sector. The Gold Report reached out to some of the discerning voices there and asked whether the barrage of headlines from the Federal Reserve and China impacted the mood, and what companies they would be following up on when they returned to their offices. While the Precious Metals Summit was geared toward development-stage companies and the Denver Gold Forum was mostly populated by large, producing mining companies, everyone seemed fixated on survival. For those of us watching from home, experts we talked to were kind enough to name some of the standout companies they saw in boothland.

Thursday, October 01, 2015

Gold Cycle Running Out of Steam / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

I predicted that gold would rally last week up to the $1,155 area, and was also equally unsurprised when it was rejected the first time by that declining (see green trend-line on chart) resistance line. Those are standard or obvious Cycle pivot points, but how it continued lower yesterday to fall well below the 10 day moving average was not a “typical” development if you’re a supporter of the bull case in gold.

Thursday, October 01, 2015

NIRP, its Likelihood and Effect on Commodities / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Alasdair_Macleod

In last week's article I pointed out that negative interest rates should lead to a general shift in consumer preferences from money towards essential goods. Central bankers may wish for this outcome on a controlled basis to allow them to hit their price inflation targets, and this could happen quite quickly. If people face a tax on their cash and bank deposits, which is what a negative interest rate amounts to, they will simply reduce these balances, artificially boosting demand.

Thursday, October 01, 2015

The Great Illinois Gold Rush! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

There is no gold rush in Illinois.  The important question is, “Why Not?”

Per Mike Shedlock (Mish) here and here:

• “Illinois is in serious financial trouble.”
• “Illinois has no current budget.”
• “The reality is Illinois is flat-out broke.”

Thursday, October 01, 2015

Best Short-Term Commodity Market Opportunities - Video / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

Dear Investor,

Elliott Wave International's Senior Commodity Analyst, Jeffrey Kennedy, has just recorded a live webinar titled "Today's Top Commodity Opportunities."

Wednesday, September 30, 2015

China Boosts Gold Reserves 1% in August, Diversifying Assets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

In his article for Bloomberg Business Ranjeetha Pakiam takes a look at China’s recent accumulations in gold and how the country now compares in the world league table on gold holdings. He observes that there is a deliberate policy of increased transparency in China “as the country improves data quality, increases its presence in commodities trading and promotes the international role of the yuan”.

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Gold - Somebody Call Warren Buffett - Quick / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Peter_Degraaf

A few years ago Warren was interviewed on CNBC.  The interviewer asked him:  “Where do you think gold will be trading five years from now?”  His answer showed an ongoing dislike for gold as he replied:  “I have no views as to where it will be, but the one thing I can tell you is it won’t do anything between now and then except look at you.  Whereas, you know, Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO) will be making money, and I think Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) will be making a lot of money and there will be a lot — and it’s a lot — it’s a lot better to have a goose that keeps laying eggs than a goose that just sits there and eats insurance and storage and a few things like that.”

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

The Difference Between Gold and Debt / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Simple version:  Gold is good.  Sovereign debt is bad.

The world has added approximately $60 Trillion in debt since 2007, much of it sovereign debt created from deficit spending on social programs, wars, and much more.  In that time the world has mined perhaps 30,000 tons of gold, or about 950 million ounces, worth at September 2015 prices a little more than a $Trillion.  It is easy to create debt – central banks “print” currencies by BORROWING those currencies into existence.  Debt increases, currency in circulation increases, and until it crashes, life is good for the financial and political elite.  But debt increasing 60 times more rapidly than gold indicates that debt is growing too rapidly and due for a reset.

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Peak Food Island Earth / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Island Earth is our latest article on the concept of Peak Food, which was introduced in two previous articles. We do recommend reading those other two articles in conjunction with this one: Peak Food 2 and Peak Food, An Introduction

Below we will observe that Island Earth is a major component of Peak Food. Reality is that Island Earth, combined with a myriad of other factors, has serious negative implications for our world's ability over time to satisfy human demand for food at affordable prices. Today, many ignore the reality of Peak Food. For the farsighted investors, Peak Food offers an investment opportunity that can provide benefits for generations.

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Not Enough Gold to Pay All Holders of Gold Obligations / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Hubert_Moolman

It is often reported that governments and central banks have for years leased or sold their gold to bullion banks; therefore, they are unlikely to possess the tons of gold, they are said to hold. Also, the bullion banks seem to be under enormous pressure recently. Just look at the recently reported spike in the gold coverage ratio on COMEX, with, there being over 200 ounces of paper gold claims for every ounce of deliverable gold (as reported on zerohedge.com)

Tuesday, September 29, 2015

Silver Prices - Who Was That and When Will it End? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Two events occurred in the silver market recently. On Tuesday, September 22nd, and Monday, September 28th the price got hammered. While it is true - this didn’t happen in a vacuum. These downdrafts occurred across basically all markets. However, it would be a mistake to leave it at that correlation and not investigate further. While most markets share an electronic trading, “character”, there is much more that meets the eye - and more so for silver.