Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, May 28, 2011
Central Banks Monetary Policy Week in Review / Interest-Rates / Central Banks
By: CentralBankNews
The past week in monetary policy saw six emerging market central banks announce interest rate decisions. Those that altered interest rate levels were: Israel +25bps to 3.25%, and Nigeria +50bps to 8.00%. Meanwhile those that held interest rates unchanged were: Pakistan 14.00%, Turkey 6.25%, Georgia 8.00%, and Mexico 4.50%. The Central Bank of Nigeria also raised its bank cash reserve requirement by 200bps to 4% from 2%.
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Friday, May 27, 2011
$70 Trillion U.S. Debt Means The Door is About to Shut for Americans / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Jeff_Berwick
Anyone aware of the US Government's real financial situation knows that time is running out. The Government has $15.5 trillion in admitted debts but those debts, when calculated under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), or 'honest accounting', is over $70 trillion. $70 trillion divided by 300 million+ Americans works out to $233,000 per person in US Federal Government debt and obligations. Or nearly $1 million per family of four.
Friday, May 27, 2011
Endless Money Printing Quantitative Easing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
By: Puru_Saxena
Over the past few weeks, we have spent a lot of time digging into the macro data pertaining to the world's developed economies. After careful analysis, our research has convinced us that quantitative easing (money creation out of thin air) will not end anytime soon.
Friday, May 27, 2011
Implication of U.S. Low Borrowing Rates for Savers, Don't Cry for PIMCO / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Bloomberg
PIMCO's Bill Gross spoke to Bloomberg Television’s Tom Keene today. Gross said that “savers are being disadvantaged” 5 to 15 years when compared to creditors, as the U.S. keeps borrowing rates low to reduce its debt burden and that investors should look to corporate bonds instead of U.S. debt.
Thursday, May 26, 2011
Eyeing the UltraShort Treasury TNX ETF / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Mike_Paulenoff
My near and intermediate-term technical work on the 10-year yield is warning me that the correction in yield off of the Feb 9 high at 3.74% is nearing completion ahead of the initiation of a new, powerful upleg.
Let's notice that all of the action during the past two weeks has carved out a "falling wedge" formation within the lower portion of the larger, corrective pattern that has dominated the price action since early February.
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Thursday, May 26, 2011
Economic Green Shoots, Exit Strategy, No QE3 Money Printing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing
By: Jim_Willie_CB
It is not clear whether the American financial community has the ability to observe and conclude that the US Federal Reserve is adrift and relies upon deception as policy in revealing its directions. Its position is to hold steady, inflate to oblivion, support financial markets in heavy volume secretly, and lie about leaving its trapped policy corner. The USFed is a propaganda machine that deals with ruses as a substitute for transparent policy discussion in the public forum. Two years ago the ruse disseminated widely was the Green Shoots of an economic recovery that had no basis at all.
Wednesday, May 25, 2011
Eurozone Debt Crisis, Euro Dead on Arrival / Interest-Rates / Euro-Zone
By: John_Mauldin
I am attending the Global Interdependence Center’s latest conference here in Philadelphia, writing you from the Admiral’s Club on my way to Boston. The chatter last night at dinner and between sessions was focused on the risks in Europe. I did an interview with Aaron Task on Yahoo’s Daily Ticker, where I noted that European leaders are starting to use the word containedwhen they talk about Greece. Shades of Bernanke and subprime. This too will not be contained.
Tuesday, May 24, 2011
Debt Ceiling Jeopardizes U.S. Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Axel_Merk
U.S. Treasury Secretary Geithner has warned that delays in extending the U.S. debt ceiling may cause irreparable harm. While borrowing costs for the U.S. government have not yet risen, irreparable harm may have already been done to the U.S. dollar and its status as a reserve currency. Ironically, it’s not a plunging, but a rallying bond market that is a symptom of the problem. Let us explain.
Tuesday, May 24, 2011
U.S. Sovereign Debt Risk Re-Rating, Technical Default is Virtual Certainty / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Bloomberg
David Stockman, budget director under President Reagan, appeared on Bloomberg Television to discuss the latest developments in the deficit/debt debate. Stockman said there is sovereign risk on the debt of the United States and that both political parties in the U.S. are advocating “de facto default” by pointing fingers at each other.
Monday, May 23, 2011
How China Stiffs Its Creditors, Debt Default / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis
By: Ian_Fletcher
I examined in a previous article the ethical case for America repudiating its financial obligations to China. While considering this tempting possibility—which makes for a better bargaining position if nothing else—we should recall the fact that China has, in fact, repudiated its own financial obligations to other nations. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 21, 2011
Central Bank Monetary Policy Update / Interest-Rates / Central Banks
By: CentralBankNews
The past week in monetary policy was relatively quiet with only 5 central banks announcing monetary policy decisions, and of those, only 1 adjusting its policy stance. Vietnam was the only bank to adjust monetary policy settings; increasing its reverse repurchase rate by 100 basis points to 15.00%. Meanwhile those that held their monetary policy interest rates unchanged were: Serbia (12.50%), Hungary (6.00%), Sri Lanka (7.00%), and Japan (0.10%). Elsewhere in monetary policy news, the Reserve Bank of Australia, Bank of England, and US Federal Open Market Committee all released the minutes from their recent monetary policy meetings.
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Friday, May 20, 2011
ECB Pushing Greece Over Brink / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Axel_Merk
Disagreements on how to address Greece's reform process boiled over this week when European Central Bank (ECB) President Trichet walked out of a meeting. Trichet warned if Greece were to extend the maturity of existing debt, the ECB would stop supporting Greece.
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Friday, May 20, 2011
The Effects of Freezing the Fed Balance Sheet / Interest-Rates / Central Banks
By: Frank_Shostak
By the end of June, the expansion of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet is expected to come to an end. According to economic commentators, Fed officials are expected to initially hold the central bank's balance sheet steady — currently at $2.75 trillion — by reinvesting the proceeds from maturing Treasuries and mortgage bonds. Thereafter, these commentators believe, as economic activity starts to gain strength, Fed officials are likely to shrink the size of the balance sheet by selling assets.
Friday, May 20, 2011
U.S. Deficit Legacy of Bush Policies and Economic Downturn / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Jesse
The Chart That Should Accompany Every Discussion of Deficits - The Atlantic
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Friday, May 20, 2011
German Bund Market Uncertainty / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market
By: Seven_Days_Ahead
Over recent weeks Government Bond markets have staged a strong rally, at a time when traders and investors have become increasingly concerned about the Euro zone Sovereign debt crisis and the US budget deficit.
Thursday, May 19, 2011
Corporate Bond Spreads Match 2007 Market Highs / Interest-Rates / Corporate Bonds
By: Tony_Pallotta
Corporate bond spreads or the difference between investment grade (Aaa rated) and high yield (Bbb rated) are currently 80 basis points. They last reached these low levels in October 2007 at 79 basis points.
When this spread comes down to such low levels it signals an overbought corporate bond market as high yield debt no longer lives up to its name. Similar to the "dash for trash" in equity tops.
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Thursday, May 19, 2011
Methodology of U.S. Monetary Policy Interest Rate Tightening / Normalization Strategy / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates
By: Asha_Bangalore
The minutes of April 26-27 FOMC meeting published today contain noteworthy insights about the future course of monetary policy. Financial markets so far have digested the policy statement, published on April 27, and studied the details of the first press conference of Chairman Bernanke. The Fed published economic projections at the close of the meeting in April which previously have been part of the minutes of the meeting.
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Wednesday, May 18, 2011
Gross Uses Sly Semantics to Hide Shorts on Government Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
Bill Gross, manager of PIMCOs Total Return Fund, the largest mutual fund in the world, claimed that reports indicating he was net short on US Treasuries were apparently part of a gross misunderstanding. Having reported this news to our readers, we thought it absolutely important to continue following up on this story until it reaches its conclusion.
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Wednesday, May 18, 2011
U.S. Treasury Bond Market Forecast, Inflation Is In The Heir / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: David_Petch
Ah, it is May, the snow has recessed to uncover nature waiting to beam with green radiance. Spring is in the air. On the same note, financial shenanigans of yesteryear are finally starting to come home to show inflation...inflation is in the air just as noticeably. This article is going to focus on "Inflation is in the Heir". Barrack Obama is a very intelligence speaker, intelligent and possess charisma. However, they could have Mickey Mouse or the Pope as the US President, or any other nation for that matter and there is nothing that can be done to prevent the coming inflationary wave...it is all part of a very long economic cycle.
Wednesday, May 18, 2011
The Federal Debt Default Tornado Is Coming, Prepare Your Storm Shelter / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: Gary_North
Sometimes we need a hole to crawl into.
I recently spoke at a conference sponsored by a small rural church in Alabama. Several of the families had been in the path of one of the tornadoes that swept through the state. One of the families had a storm shelter/basement. Several nearby families did not. So, they ran for the house of the family that did.
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