Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Thursday, January 22, 2015
Stock Market Indexes Remain Within Medium-Term Consolidation - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, January 22, 2015
Draghi Out Early..Intentional!...Desperation...Near Breakout..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
So the market was down fairly hard this morning. Not the action Fed Governors want to see ahead of their big report due out tomorrow from the Euro Zone on the amount and full extent of their new QE program. They don't like when markets can't make the breakout they so desperately want to see. Amazingly, and out of nowhere, suddenly the Euro Zone QE program is made public a day early. Shocking! Yeah, right! The market explodes. The S&P 500 reverses up twenty points in moments. It spends the entire day after that testing the breakout level of 2035. It doesn't break out in the end with any force, but it does spend the day trying at least. It prevented the day from being a bad one.
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Wednesday, January 21, 2015
Five Stock Market Questions Wall Street Hopes You’ll Never Ask / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Last week I heard from long-time reader Ms. Florence D. A sharp 87-years young, she’s facing a situation that’s all too common for many investors who were seduced by Wall Street’s overreliance on the “never lose money” mantra.
Now she’s got a few money-losing commodity and financial stocks on hand (not ones I recommended, fortunately) and is wondering if it’s time to “hire advice on each dog.”
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Wednesday, January 21, 2015
Messin' With My Financial Brain / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Doug_Wakefield
Why is it that unlike anything else we purchase in our daily life, our brains are naturally hardwired to believe that when investment prices move higher, we must make purchases or hold on rather than start selling and reducing our position? The higher price go, the stronger the belief they will continue rising.
Tuesday, January 20, 2015
Are Stock Market Buyouts Checking Out? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
Two more key measures of optimism suddenly betray a diminishing appetite for stocks
Editor's note: With permission, this article was adapted from the January 2015 issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast. For one week only, EWI is throwing open the doors to its big-picture U.S. outlook. Follow this link to read a lot more of their latest analysis, 100% free, by joining the State of the U.S. Markets Conference.
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Tuesday, January 20, 2015
Are Stock Market Storm Clouds Massing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current position of the market
SPX: Long-term trend – Bull Market
Intermediate trend – Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Tuesday, January 20, 2015
The Truth About This Stock Market "Meltdown" Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
We talk about why you should always be in the stock market (and NOT for the same reasons Wall Street wants you in, either). That's because being in the markets allows you tap into the inevitable growth that comes from capitalism and, by implication, humanity's upside.
Lately, though, people are beginning to doubt the premise behind that Total Wealth tactic.
That's due partly to recent trading action (which is unsettling), and partly due to the hype surrounding various indicators that are almost "guaranteed" to show a looming meltdown (which is unnerving).
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Monday, January 19, 2015
Top in Dow? Stock Market Mid-Term Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Joseph_Russo
Have the equity markets finally peaked? In our view, they should have never carried on as they have - but with psychopaths at the helm of the financial sphere, you just never know what the future will bring.
It's been a long, long time since financial markets have actually reflected what's taking place in mainstream economies, and as such, it's been a similarly long time since we've even bothered to try and correlate the two.
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Sunday, January 18, 2015
State of the U.S. Markets 2015 Report and Online Conference / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
As you read this, Elliott Wave International are preparing to throw open the doors to one of their most exciting events of the year. EWI's State of the U.S. Markets 2015 Online Conference begins at noon Eastern time Tuesday, Jan. 20, and runs through noon Wednesday, Jan. 28. Registration is 100% free. And what you take away includes some of the most incisive macro-level forecasting you will find for U.S. markets. Period. The insights you will discover inside will prepare you for the major moves in U.S. stocks, commodities, gold, USD and more for the entire year ahead and beyond. Plus, when you sign up early for this 100% free, online event, you will get instant access to a new video from the legendary market forecaster Robert Prechter. Please continue reading for more, or follow this link to claim your free invitation right now »
Sunday, January 18, 2015
Stock Market Rocky Beginning to 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The US market had another down week to extend the streak to three. The market started the week at SPX 2045, dropped to 2023 on Monday, rallied to 2057 on Tuesday, then hit 1988 on Wednesday and again on Friday, before ending the week at 2019. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.25%, the NDX/NAZ lost 1.60%, and the DJ World index lost 0.45%. On the economic front, negative reports outpaced positive reports by a wide margin for the first time in many months. On the uptick: business inventories, the NY FED and consumer sentiment. On the downtick: retail sales, export/import prices, the CPI/PPI, the Philly FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, the WLEI, and the monetary base; plus the treasury surplus declined and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week, a holiday shortened one, we have Leading indicators, several reports on housing, and the much awaited ECB meeting.
Saturday, January 17, 2015
Rough Week For Stock Bulls But No Thrust Down Yet.... / Companies / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
It wasn't a good week for the bulls, but if we look back on this market as to whenever it corrects, it seems about 5% is mostly the normal drop. That's just what we got from the top many weeks back at the old highs on the S&P 500. Basically, it was a one hundred point move lower, or 5%. Let's face it, that's not even selling when you think of the risk this environment holds based on all the troubles it's facing from horrific monthly charts to froth, etc. We had a major breakdown through the diagonals on all the key-index daily charts, but there has been absolutely no real follow-through to this point.
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Saturday, January 17, 2015
Stock Market Deflation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tim_Wood
Ever since the 2000 stock market top, the natural deflationary cyclical forces have been bearing down on not only the stock market, but the underlying economy. It has been these natural deflationary cyclical forces in which the Money Masters have been fighting with their massive liquidity and intervention campaign. As a result of the unprecedented efforts to re-liquify the economy, the stock market has been the tool of choice to paint the illusion that everything is okay. As a result of the unprecedented efforts to re-inflate, this cycle has become the most extreme ever and as a result I believe the current market environment is the most dangerous since the inception of the Dow Jones Industrial Average in 1896.
Friday, January 16, 2015
Stock Market Dow Theory Sell Signal in the Making / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Christopher_Quigley
The death of the Euro as we know it.
I believe the decision yesterday by the Swiss Central Bank to end its pegged link to the Euro and change its interest rate to a negative .75% is as a seismic event in the history of European monetary integration.
Many financial journalists are commenting accordingly on many media channels that this event is one further step towards the eventual demise of the Euro.
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Thursday, January 15, 2015
Stock Market Negative Expectations Following Swiss National Bank Decision To Unpeg Its Currency / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, January 15, 2015
Will the Crude Oil Price Crash Spell Ruin for Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
Talk of deflation was overheard on the Street as a few analysts quoted by the news wires mentioned the D-word. One reason for the recent equity market weakness is the uncertainty among investors as to whether lower oil prices are ultimately beneficial or detrimental for the economy. In one camp are those who maintain that lower oil prices will boost consumption; on the other side are those who claim that plummeting energy prices can only lead to outright deflation. Because neither side has a decisive majority right now, equities are caught in the imbalance of opinion which explains much of the recent volatility.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 14, 2015
More Stock Market Supports Breaking, Investors Don't Seem to be Worried Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has crossed beneath both its previous low and the Lip of the Cup with Handle formation. It may stop at mid-Cycle support at 1975.36, but not for long. The next real support is the 3-year trading channel trendline at 1900.00. Minor Wave 3 should expand considerably to a multiple of the length of Wave 1. A multiple of 3X, for example, would put SPX at 1750.00. I suspect it may be an even greater multiple, such as 3.382 or 3.5X, since that would take Wave 3 nearer to 1700.00.
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Wednesday, January 14, 2015
Stock Market SPX Trendline About to be Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX did gap down but not beneath the Lip of its Cup with Handle formation. It challenged the Lip but bounced back above. It may be gathering strength for another attempt below the trendline, since it has also stubbornly closed beneath the 50-day Moving Average three days in a row. The algos cannot keep it elevated enough…ultimately, the breakdown could be severe.
Tuesday, January 13, 2015
Kitchin Cycle Points to an Important Stock Market Decline in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
An approximate 4yr cycle, which has been identified as early as the 15th century, was popularized by Joseph Kitchin in his 1923 text Cycles and Trends in Economic Factors. The 4yr cycle between lows in the Dow can be found throughout the entire history of the index.
The chart below includes one inverted cycle of five years which ended at the high in 2007. The only other inversion in the Dow occurred in 1946.
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Tuesday, January 13, 2015
Conclusion from Swelling Stocks/Yields Ratio / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ashraf_Laidi
As stocks hit a fresh record high relative to bond yields -- measured by the S&P500/US 10-yr yield ratio at 1081--the contrast between these two markets becomes palpable and the remaining conclusion for a stabilization in the ratio may not appeal to equity bulls. This is not the first time we see a new a high in the stocks/yields ratio, but plunging oil prices are certainly making this phenomenon less of an aberration and more of the new normal... until when?
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Tuesday, January 13, 2015
Stock Market Still Not Totally Bearish...Not Good Either... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Although you can't be happy if you're bullish at this moment in time. There are more reasons than we need to think about things like a bear market or at the least, a severe correction. The weekly and monthly-index charts are poor. The daily charts are showing weak oscillators. Froth has been off the charts for a very long time. Bears are in deep hibernation. It's been far too long as well. The bulls saw an incredible head fake last week with two strong gap up days that ran higher all day. Well, let's just say it could end up being a huge head fake. That story still unwritten. The market looked powerful prior to the open. With about one hour to go before it opened the futures started falling fast allowing for a flat bell ring.
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