Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, January 13, 2015
Stock Market SPX Triple Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It is hard to imagine that SPX could decline another 350 points, give or take, from here in only 2.3 days. However, it has done so before. In order for a Flash crash to work, it needs an element of surprise. I have no idea what the catalyst might be. But once it begins, gravity may take over rather quickly.
SPX is on a triple sell signal until further notice.
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Monday, January 12, 2015
SPX Stock Market Pop-n-drop. Crude Just Drops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures rallied in the Premarket to the cash equivalent of the Intermediate-term resistance at 2053.65, then backed away. Should it not exceed resistance then it may turn down in Wave (iii) of [i] of 3. I don’ expect it should take long to do that. This decline has a lot of ground to cover this week.
Monday, January 12, 2015
Is the Stock Market 7-Year Cycle Rolling Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, January 12, 2015
Stocks Head Lower Again As Investors Continue To Hesitate / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Saturday, January 10, 2015
Stock Market Roller Coaster Start to 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The first full week of 2015 starts off like a roller coaster. The market started the week at SPX 2058. After a gap down opening on Monday the market dropped to SPX 1992 by midday Tuesday. Then it rallied to SPX 2064, helped by two gap up openings, by late Thursday afternoon. Then on Friday it sold off again, hitting SPX 2038 by late morning, then ending the week at 2045. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.60%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.45%, and the DJ World was -0.80%. Economic reports for the week were generally positive. On the uptick: auto sales, the ADP, consumer credit, wholesale inventories, the MMIS, plus the unemployment rate, weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit all improved. On the downtick: factory orders, ISM services, monthly payrolls and the WLEI. Next week will be highlighted by the FED’s Beige book, the CPI/PPI and Industrial production.
Saturday, January 10, 2015
The ECB Will Be Big Factor in 2015’s First Half Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sy_Harding
The European Central Bank has provided assurances for months that it is ‘monitoring’ economic conditions in the 18-nation euro-zone, and will take aggressive stimulus measures ‘if necessary’.
However, even as those economic conditions worsen, increasingly indicating the euro-zone is sliding into recession, and pressure mounts for the ECB to take action, it has done nothing except periodically re-affirm its assurances that it will do so if necessary.
Friday, January 09, 2015
Stocks on a Confirmed Sell / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is on confirmed sell signal, since it has declined beneath the 50-day at 2042.43 it will be on a confirmed sell signal through the end of the decline.
Thursday, January 08, 2015
Stock Market Pop-n-drop Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX pattern left itself open for a final surge by the ned of the day by not breaking support at 2020.41 and the algos took it from there with Fed Governor Charlie Evans’ comments last night. This was based on the unexpected collapse of the 10-year yields, raising risk premia in stocks as well as commodities.
Thursday, January 08, 2015
Stocks Regain Some Ground After Recent Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Tuesday, January 06, 2015
Hedge Funds Net Long the SPX? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Normally this is where the SPX back-tests the 50-day Moving Average. Today is not a Pivot day, so I would not be surprised if SPX simply touches the 50-day and resumes its decline, but we have to be patient. It is not in the nature of a decline to miss a retest of support/resistance.
A decline beneath 2017.00 raises the probability that the decline has resumed.
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Tuesday, January 06, 2015
Stock Market Loses Key Support...Bears Need Follow Through.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market had a bad day today. Why? Because all the key indexes lost their 50-day exponential moving averages and that's bearish short term. The bulls will have to get busy in a hurry to get it back above. The longer it stays below the braver the bears will get and the lower the market will go, which also means the further away the 50's will get. That means the next rally may only back test those lost 50's only to follow that up with another strong move lower. Losing the 50-day exponential moving average with force is the key and today we got just that. The S&P 500 closed 15 points below. The Nasdaq closed 21 points below and the Dow closed 75 points below. Roughly half a percent or more. If the bears can get a strong gap down tomorrow they are really in business, but do remember that it's hard to keep a market oversold and that's what those key index shorts term charts are. RSI's 30 or below.
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Monday, January 05, 2015
Stock Market Confirmed Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX gapped down nearly 4 points, which was less than the decline at 9:00 am. So, despite the algos attempting to spike the open, SPX still opened down and is now beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2039.84.
Monday, January 05, 2015
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Investors Take Profits Following December Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Sunday, January 04, 2015
World Stock Markets Continue to Separate from the U.S. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Donald_W_Dony
Global equity markets typically trend in a cohesive path. They can separate for brief periods of time, but they ultimately will move as one unit.
The last time the markets separated was in 2008. Oil prices were soaring and three indexes (Canada, Russia and Brazil) all continued to advance while world markets fell.
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Saturday, January 03, 2015
Stock Market Happy New Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2089. After hitting an all time high at SPX 2094 by noon Monday, the market traded lower for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.35%, the NDX/NAZ lost 1.80%, and the DJ World index dropped 1.30%. Economics reports for the holiday week were sparse, and biased to the downside. On the downtick: construction spending, the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing and the WLEI. On the uptick: consumer confidence and the monetary base. Next week’s report will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes and the Payrolls report.
Friday, January 02, 2015
Fed Abandons Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
The seemingly-invincible US stock markets powered higher again last year, still directly fueled by the Fed’s epic quantitative-easing money printing. But 2015 is shaping up to be radically different from the past couple years. The Fed effectively abandoned the stock markets when it terminated its bond buying late last year. So this year we will finally see if these lofty stock markets can remain afloat without the Fed.
Mainstream stock investors and speculators are certainly loving life these days. The flagship S&P 500 stock index enjoyed an excellent 2014, climbing 11.4%. And that followed 2013’s massive and amazing 29.6% blast higher! The last couple years were truly extraordinary and record-breaking on many fronts, with the US stock markets essentially doing nothing but rally to an endless streak of new nominal record highs.
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Monday, December 29, 2014
Stock Market Master Cycle Top May Have Extended to Mid-January / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
On Friday, SPX closed beneath its hourly ending Diagonal formation. As I write, the SPX Premarket is down another 6 points. This doesn’t guarantee that it will open there, but it means that the market will bear watching this morning.
Wednesday, December 24, 2014
The Biggest Unstoppable Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Holiday markets tend to slow up a bit, and this week is proving to be no exception, so I thought we’d change things up a bit by diving into the mailbag and tackling a few of the fabulous questions you’ve asked recently.
Of course, as is our way around here, I’ll follow each answer with some actionable investment advice you can put to work right now as well as specific recommendations for your consideration.
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Tuesday, December 23, 2014
How to Play Weakness in Oil and Russian Stocks into 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyGainsLetter
George Leong writes: We are three days away from Christmas and just over a week from the New Year. This is the perfect time to look over your portfolio and holdings in the stock market.
To get set for trading in the stock market in 2015, take some winners if you haven’t already done so and dump some losers. Then consider what is occurring in the stock market and global economy (especially oil and Russian stocks) in relation to your economic outlook for the New Year.
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