Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Sunday, October 18, 2015
The Bulls*#* Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Everybody these days is a liar and a thief. We all know about US and China propaganda. Now, look at the Germans. Car maker Volkswagen was caught cheating the emissions standards in their diesel vehicles. Their biggest bank, Deutsche Bank, was again fined for cheating and stealing as they rigged libor rates. Last quarter they were fined some $2.5 billion and now they are facing an additional fine of $6 billion. Seems they were also laundering money for the Russian gangster land. Of course, there is no problem. In today’s world run by the new world order of banksters, if the bank can’t pay the fines the central banksters of Europe will just steal the money from the ignorant sheeple and give it to the bank. How do you say ‘liar’ in German? Is it ‘lugner’?
Saturday, October 17, 2015
Are Stock Markets About to Repeat the 1929 Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Graham_Summers
In the early 2000s, Alan Greenspan was worried about deflation. So he hired Ben Bernanke, the self-proclaimed expert on the Great Depression from Princeton. The idea was that with Bernanke as his right hand man, Greenspan could put off deflation from hitting the US. Indeed, one of Bernanke’s first speeches was titled “Deflation: Making Sure It Doesn’t Happen Here”
The US did briefly experience a bout of deflation from late 2007 to early 2009. To combat this, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke unleashed an unprecedented amount of Fed money. Remember, Bernanke claims to be an expert on the Great Depression, and his entire focus was to insure that the US didn’t repeat the era of the ‘30s again.
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Saturday, October 17, 2015
Stock Market Primary V Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2015. After a rally to SPX 2022 on Tuesday the market pulled back to 1991 by Wednesday. After that, helped by two gap openings, the market rallied Thursday/Friday to post new uptrend highs at SPX 2034. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.85%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.40%, and the DJ World gained 0.50%. On the economic front reports continue to be mixed to negative. On the uptick: retail sales, consumer sentiment, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the CPI/PPI, NY/Philly FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, the WLEI and GDPn. Next week lots of Housing reports, Leading indicators, and the ECB meets.
Saturday, October 17, 2015
Stock Market At The Breakout On The S&P 500... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
We need a strong push up next week to clear with force, but here we sit right at the 2030 breakout on the S&P 500. It seemed as if we'd never back test this far up where the two-hundred day exponential moving average lives. Bull market normally don't die easily. I expected this type of move over time, although we haven't cleared yet, thus shouldn't think about testing back up to the old highs. Let's not put the cart in front of the horse. We need to clear powerfully, and then the odds would increase dramatically that we'd pay a visit towards S&P 500 2134 or those old highs. The bulls are trying although some of the daily charts are seeing their stochastic's get overbought, but not the MACD's or RSI's so there's hope.
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Friday, October 16, 2015
Walmart’s Ominous Stock Market Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Rubino
Companies like Walmart and McDonalds’s have made their investors rich by squeezing costs and cutting prices. But it turns out that low-cost means low-wage, and as this model spread it contributed to the now-impossible-to-ignore migration of income and wealth from workers to owners of the capital and symbol manipulation skills that such a system demands.
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Friday, October 16, 2015
Stock Markets Rolling Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have turned precisely at 9:34 am, 86 market hours after it reversed from its low on September 29. There was a combined PC/TC low due on October 1, so the bottom was 2 days early. It is possible that the perception that SPX could not make a new low that drove the buyers back into the market at the end of September. Once it took hold, the market took off.
Sunday is scheduled as a Primary Cycle high, so the turn is expected. Despite the aggressive nature of the call, you may wish to go 50% to as much as 100% short at this juncture. The market may linger her for the rest of this morning, but I don’t think that the retail options will do as well as the Index option fared this morning.
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Thursday, October 15, 2015
Stock Market Bearish Topping Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Another Orthodox Broadening Top appears to be forming. Whether it makes a new high or not, it appears to be valid and has a potential target of 1532.00.
A reversal here that has not formed a new high has a 65% probability of follow through to the downside as it reverses from the top. Those are fair odds for a short position, although I would still call it an aggressive one. The odds of failure of this formation drop to 4% beneath the lower trendline at 1985.32. That corresponds to the 50-day Moving Average, where the sell signal in SPX would be confirmed.
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Wednesday, October 14, 2015
Stock Market Aggressive Sell Signals in Place / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has finally reversed beneath its trendline. This morning was a false break, due to a small Megaphone formation that resulted in a new high. It is now on an aggressive sell signal.
I re-calibrated the Primary Cycle Pivot dates and, although there was a PC Pivot on 10-6, the turn was made today, 4.3 market days later. In fact, the Cycle Top happened on a PI Hour (67.5, which is divisible by 3.1416 and 4.3). This would be expected from a rally that has a Megaphone ending and a Wave (B). Wave B of any degree may be a rogue wave in outliving its expectations. Investors are still bullish, despite only exceeding Wave (A) by only 1.52 points. In Elliott Wave parlance, this is a flat correction, due to the flat top.
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Tuesday, October 13, 2015
Stock Market Initial Projection Reached (Short-Term Top Expected) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend - SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Tuesday, October 13, 2015
Stock Market Holding Below Breakout....Bullish Action Overall... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The stock market plays games with the heads of the traders out there. For a good period of time it will not be able to move higher, and then out of the blue, things reverse and it simply can't fall very much. It transitions and fools the masses over and over, but isn't that its intentions! You bet it is. To keep you guessing and getting frustrated time after time. The house usually wins as we all know.
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Monday, October 12, 2015
Stock Market S&P 500: Is it This Simple? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
In an age of Algorithms, High Frequency Trading, Quant-injected performance engines and every Casino Patron with an e-Trade account hyper-stimulating the market after each bit of news that is fed (no pun intended) to us by the financial media and Policy Central, the lowly individual can be forgiven for feeling small and vulnerable; for feeling as if the answers are beyond her, or that long-term success is out of his reach.
Indeed, this very publication has ground its gears pondering the fact that August-September market sentiment became historically over bearish in ratio to the relatively minor downside experienced thus far. That was a bullish, not a bearish thing. With sentiment now being repaired it is time to ask if we are giving the bulls too much latitude.
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Monday, October 12, 2015
Stock Market Waiting for the Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX Premarket is down a fraction. That means we have to give it a little more room fefore the reversal. Equities may rally to 11:00 am or shortly after to have rallied for 60.2 hours from the low. Since the decline was 56 hours, it makes sense that a rally, no matter how strong, will take a bit longer. In addition, there is some unfinished business because Minor Wave C has not yet equaled Minor Wave A, a common relationship. To do so, it would have to rally to 2025.76.
Monday, October 12, 2015
Stock Market One Step Back From the Ledge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Michael_Pento
I started Pento Portfolio Strategies three years ago with the knowledge that the unprecedented level of fiat credit creation had rendered the globe debt disabled and would result in mass global sovereign default. As a consequence, there would be wild swings between inflation and deflation dependent upon the government provisions of fiscal stimulus, Quantitative Easing and Zero Interest Rate Policies...
Monday, October 12, 2015
Stock Market / GDX New Lows Coming: Panic Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The stock market came back with a vengeance out of the late September low (5- week lows), but failed to come back evenly, creating a case of an inter-market bearish divergence. The Dow Industrials, NYA, OEX and SOX made a higher high above the September 17th top on October 9th, but the SPX and NASDAQ Comp failed to do so. The SPX came close but the Comp failed miserably. In charting terms, we have just created a "double top" and hence a 'double top reversal' is at hand. Normally, it runs a Fibonacci .333 to .382 past the previous low (1871 SPX) and that forecasts ideally somewhere between or near 1780-96 on the SPX within the next 5-6 TD's.
Sunday, October 11, 2015
October Stocks Bear Market and Crash Killer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
We are now well into October, which is THE month for stock market doom and gloom to prevail. This is the month when the perma stock market crash proponents are at their most vocal when they dust down and repost ancient charts of previous crashes such as 1929 and 1987 and more recently 2008, to once more proclaim that history is about to repeat and a stock market crash is imminent. Though this time its even worse than usual because even those who may have been 'mostly' bullish threw in the towel several weeks ago to at least conclude that stocks bear market had begun.
Saturday, October 10, 2015
Stock Market Primary V to New Highs Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The week started at SPX 1951. After a gap up opening on Monday morning to start the week, the market made higher highs and lows every day ending the week at SPX 2015. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.5%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.5%, and the DJ World index gained 4.4%. Economic reports for the week continued their neutral to negative bias. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, the WLEI, GDPn and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: ISM services, consumer credit, export/import prices, the MMIS and the trade deficit expanded. Next week, a busy week, we get Industrial production, the FED’s Beige book, and Retail sales.
Saturday, October 10, 2015
A Week Where Pessimism Ruled.... Stock Markets Rally.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Pessimism has been rocking in over the past two months. Step by step we've seen more and more bears come in, while more and more bulls run out. Shorting positions dramatically on the rise. Fewer and fewer people are talking as if the market can actually go up again. So naturally the market had a nice week to the upside, closing at overbought on the short-term charts for good measure. Shows how much pessimism and short interest can do for the short-term, if not a bit longer than that. The bull-bear spread started the week at minus 4%. It was probably close to zero or slightly green, but still a solid number for the bulls.
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Friday, October 09, 2015
Stock Market Rally May be Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
At 9:59 am the SPX made a failed attempt at a new high, missing by 95 ticks. It appears to be coming back down and may break the uptrend at 2010.00. SPX regains its sell signal below the 50-day Moving Average at 1993.78.
The reason I brought up the time element is that it is exactly 51.6 hours from the low on Sept 29.
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Friday, October 09, 2015
Stock Market Waiting for the Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket is higher this morning. This appears to be the final phase of the rally, which may be gunning for the hourly Cycle Top at 2022.41.
ZeroHedge comments, “Several days ago, we pointed out a startling fact: short interest in the NYSE had risen to match the record level seen just before the collapse of Lehman!
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Friday, October 09, 2015
Stock Market History Calling, Says Performance will be Crappy for Another ~10 years! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
I remember the first time I walked into Henry Blodget’s new startup, Business Insider, back in 2009. Twelve fresh-faced kids were crammed into a room about the size of my bedroom, pounding away on laptops, creating a new destination website. He took me over to a corner; we sat down in front of a few cameras; and he began shooting question after question at me, later turning the session into a series of interviews.
You walk into his office today and it’s still packed wall-to-wall with fresh-faced kids (the older I get the younger they look), but the offices are much larger, and it seemed to me last time that there had to be at least 150 people in them. But the interviews are still quick-paced, even if they’re now conducted in a special room, with upgraded equipment.
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