Category: Stock Markets 2015
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Monday, February 09, 2015
Stock Markets Extend Their Medium-Term Fluctuations, No Clear Direction Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, February 09, 2015
US Stocks Rich Valuations, Insiders Selling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jesse
Maybe stocks are rather fully valued in expectations of The Recovery™.
Happy days are here again.
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Monday, February 09, 2015
Stock Market At Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Saturday, February 07, 2015
Stocks Bull Market Resuming? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
February kicks off with a strong week. The market started the week at SPX 1995. Despite a gap up opening on Monday the market quickly dropped to SPX 1981 in the first half hour of trading. That was the low for the week. After a choppy beginning off that low, the market rallied to SPX 2072 by Friday with only two sizeable pullbacks along the way. Then, late afternoon Friday, it had its biggest pullback since that low. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.40%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.15%, and the DJ World index gained 2.30%. On the economic front negative reports outpaced positive reports. On the uptick: personal income, construction spending, consumer credit, auto sales, ISM services, monthly payrolls and the WLEI. On the downtick: personal spending, ISM manufacturing, factory orders, the ADP, the MMIS, the monetary base, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit increased. Next week’s reports are highlighted by Retail sales, Export/Import prices and Business inventories.
Saturday, February 07, 2015
Stock Market Nothing Bearish At All ...Jobs Hotter Than Expected.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Markets never change in this regards. When RSI's get overbought on those sixty-minute short-term charts it usually precedes a selling episode of some kind. Market sell in different ways. It can sell in a bearish fashion which means the oscillators lag the selling in price. It can sell in a bullish-fashion, meaning price doesn't fall much, while the oscillators reset quickly. This is what we've seen for the most part over the past many years. The RSI on the sixty-minute chat on the Dow hit 75 today, while the Nasdaq and S& P 500 hit 70.
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Friday, February 06, 2015
Stock Market SPX at Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has met Cycle Top resistance at 2072.15 and been repelled. There is a small probability of another probe of no more than 5 points, but the probability diminishes considerably in the next hour or so. At this time SPX has spent 189 hours from its December 29 high to today’s high. 189.1 hours is divisible by 60.1 (14 * 4.3) and 3.1416 (Pi).
This opens the probability of a Flash Crash by the close of Wednesday, February 18.
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Friday, February 06, 2015
Stock Market SPX at a Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
We have arrived at a critical juncture with SPX. Should it exceed the two prior tops at 2064.43 and 2064.62, there may be a need for a reassessment of the Elliott Wave pattern. However, the Cycles Model si still insisting on a significant low between February 16—18.
Currently we can see two 9-wave impulses down, the first from the November 29 high and the second from the January 23 high. Each top-to-top Cycle averaged 8.6 days, giving us exactly 25.8 days as of today’s high at 2:12 pm. The next 8.6 hours will be critical, since the next Cycle is the panic phase, provided the 200-day Moving Average and Lip of the Cup with Handle is broken.
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Thursday, February 05, 2015
The Four States of the Stock Market... And Where We Are Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Where do we stand now?
Thursday, February 05, 2015
Another Stock Market Pop-n-drop Expected / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The Premarket is up this morning, nearly to yesterday’s high. I expect no less in a market that is premised on appearances, not substance.
The pattern is jumbled enough to offer at least two outcomes. It is possible that the decline in yesterday’s last half hour may have been the completion of a Micro Wave b, with a Wave c to follow. Or, the morning ramp may fail to overcome yesterday’s high and simply collapse at the open.
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Thursday, February 05, 2015
Stock Market Trend Forecast 2015 Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stocks bull market trend drove to a series of new all time highs during 2014, ending up for the sixth year in a row at Dow 17,823. So another year where the always imminent market crash and new bear market reverse gear courtesy of a string of crisis events from the euro-zone depression to the End of Fed QE fatal accidents just never materialised. In this video I conclude in detailed trend forecast for stock market for 2015.
Thursday, February 05, 2015
Stock Market VIX is Saying Go Forward With Trepidation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Marty_Chenard
As we commented last Wednesday, this close up view of the VIX is showing a triangular pattern that has morphed into a secondary triangular pattern.
Yesterday, the VIX closed at 17.33 which was inside the new triangular formation, but with an up and down breach of the prior formation.
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Thursday, February 05, 2015
Greece News Kills Stock Market Reversal.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market had a bad start to the day as the bears were in early on trying to stop the recent rally. They had enough ammunition overall from some bad earnings reports last night. The biotechnology stocks the big killer early on as Gilead Sciences Inc. (GILD) was crushed on their report. That report took the entire sector down early on in a big way only to see them and the whole market recover until there was about 20 minutes left in the day. That's when the ECB told Greece they couldn't use their bonds as collateral.
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Wednesday, February 04, 2015
ASX200 Aussie Stock Market's Final Fling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Austin_Galt
It seems like only yesterday I was writing about the Aussie stock market, the ASX200. Oh, hang on, it was. Well, only a few days ago. Since then price has exploded to new rally highs. While I was confident of this happening I wasn't expecting it now.
Price has launched higher parabolic style in part due to the Reserve Bank of Australia cutting the cash rate by 0.25%. But fundamentals are used as excuses and I don't make excuses. I was wrong in thinking price wouldn't make new rally highs now.
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Wednesday, February 04, 2015
Stock Market Bears Are About to Take Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have turned back at 2046.10 (above the 50-day Moving Average) where Micro Wave v equals a near-Fibonacci 63.35% of Micro Wave i. The SPX sell signal still stands.
Good luck and good trading!
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Tuesday, February 03, 2015
Signs of Stock Market Insanity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
As most people with a functioning brain cell already know, stock indices have become more manipulated than a marionette at a children’s show. Yes, stocks are now even more manipulated than even gold! Of course, we all know that the Federal Reserve Bank is the chief puppeteer. But as we close out January of 2015, I would even say that stock indices have gone a step further. They are now driven by insanity. Why do I say such? Read on for signs of insanity that should give us all pause.
Tuesday, February 03, 2015
How Low will Stock Market Go? Lindsay Long Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
If the Dec high was point H of Lindsay’s long cycle (approximately 20 years) as suspected then we can examine past declines from H to I to get an idea as to how low this decline will go. Unfortunately, with only four previous long cycles to examine (since 1921) the sample size is less than “significant”.
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Tuesday, February 03, 2015
FTSE Stock Market Triple Top - The Golden Age of QE and The Fiat Endgame... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clive_Maund
As you are doubtless aware we are living in a new paradigm - the age of global QE has arrived. Amongst the major power blocs it started with the US, spread to Japan, which adopted it with a particular gusto, after suffering from deflation for decades, and just has been taken up by Europe in a big way, after waiting for half its young people in many constituent countries to become unemployed due to the ravages of deflation. Smaller countries will have to join in or their currencies will soar and they will become uncompetitive.
Tuesday, February 03, 2015
Stock Market Reversal Up at The Dow 200's.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market tried higher in the morning only to see the rally sell off quite fast. The usual market swings took place for the rest of the day until there was about forty-five minutes left in the session. From there the daily index charts all put in bottoming candles. Well, at least it seems as if they did, but who knows in this insane environment of massive whipsaw. What should be often is not but again, these should be very short-term bottoming sticks that if correct, isn't a message of hold on long term. It's an in and out market for now. The Dow was the very first index to challenge down to its 200-day, exponential moving average. That's because the multi-nationals have been hurt in the Dow-30 based on currencies.
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Tuesday, February 03, 2015
Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2015 by Nadeem Walayat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market has had wild roller coaster ride during January in the wake of the euro-zone crisis where one of the best days of the year (+275) is immediately followed by the worst day of the year (-335) the effect of which is to literally grind the strength out of the stocks bull market rally of 2014 with stomach churning moves that have been encouraging the perma-bears to literally scream at the top of their lungs that this time, THIS TIME the bull market really is over! Which has been regurgitated at length by the mainstream media and BlogosFear backed by supporting reasons coalescing around euro-zone collapse, end of Fed QE, and possible interest rate hikes being just around the corner, all of this despite the FACT that stocks actually do quite nicely during the early years of RATE hiking cycles! In fact its rate CUTS that stocks bulls need to worry about for they signal WEAKNESS ahead. Then there’s China weakness, Europe recession, ISIS and not forgetting EBOLA! So plenty of doom for the bears to play pick and mix with for reasons why Bull Market End Time is here!
Monday, February 02, 2015
Precarious Times for Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Bob_Loukas
It suddenly seems as though the good times in equities might be ending. Though my perspective is based only on “gut feel”, there seems to be an underlying level of fear that has crept into the markets. If so, it’s a real problem for equities. Any market trading at all-time highs and with a valuation far above historical averages requires a continued level of irrational excitement and speculative ignorance to remain sustainable. And fear is not consistent with irrational, speculative ignorance.